Bigua vs Nacional Result & Analysis

The Liga Uruguaya clash on 9 November 2026 between Bigua and Nacional promises a razor-thin contest, with the odds level and the projected score a perfect 88-88. Bigua enters the game with a 4-1 record, averaging 89.4 points and conceding 84.0, and is third in the league; they are undefeated at home, winning all three of their 91.7-point games and allowing 80.7. Their last five games include a narrow loss to Malvin 73-87 away and victories over Defensor 89-82 at home and Urunday 99-91 away. Nacional, meanwhile, sits 1-3, 89.8 points for and 91.8 against, ninth in the standings, and has only one road win, 90.0 points for and 77.0 against. Their last five games feature a 90-77 win away at Atenas but three defeats at home, including a 78-83 loss to Hebraica y Macabi. Historically, Nacional has dominated the series 9-1, most recently beating Bigua 100-78 on 11 May 2026. Pythia gives Nacional a 51% chance to win versus 49% for Bigua, with a 48% probability that the home side will cover the -1.0 spread and a 45% chance of the over on the 178.5 total. The model also notes a 5% likelihood of overtime. The game will hinge on whether Bigua can maintain its home dominance against a Nacional side that has struggled on the road.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bigua winWon

49.2%fair 2.03

Best odds1.84

Implied51.6%

Edge-2.4pp

Nacional winLost

50.8%fair 1.97

Best odds1.93

Implied48.4%

Edge+2.4pp

Pythia's frozen forecast of 09 Nov 07:05 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Bigua

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormBigua

Date

Competition

Union Atletica

81-76

79avg 83

H21/03

Liga Uruguaya

Welcome

#12

91-87

93avg 83

H23/03

Liga Uruguaya

Nacional

95-98

-3

86avg 83

A05/05

Liga Uruguaya

Nacional

82-105

105

-23

71avg 83

H09/05

Liga Uruguaya

Nacional

78-100

100

-22

68avg 83

A11/05

Liga Uruguaya

Hebraica y Macabi

92-86

85avg 83

H19/10

Liga Uruguaya

Larranaga

94-74

+20

89avg 83

H23/10

Liga Uruguaya

Urunday

99-91

94avg 83

A27/10

Liga Uruguaya

Defensor

89-82

83avg 83

H29/10

Liga Uruguaya

Malvin

73-87

-14

no box

A04/11

Liga Uruguaya

22-17

14-19

17-22

28-18

18-22

32-23

13-25

28-17

27-22

18-33

30-24

20-19

29-30

19-32

17-18

17-25

25-27

9-12

19-26

25-35

24-29

20-24

29-17

19-16

18-13

30-9

26-28

20-24

26-31

14-25

33-23

26-12

24-19

28-31

15-15

22-17

21-23

19-17

20-21

13-26

176.0Avg total

87.4Scored

88.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (5)	89.4	84.0	173.4	+5.4	80%
Season at home (3)	91.7	80.7	172.3	+11.0	100%
Season away (2)	86.0	89.0	175.0	-3.0	50%
Last 10 (10)	87.4	88.6	176.0	-1.2	60%
Last 5 (5)	89.4	84.0	173.4	+5.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	78.8	97.3	176.2	-18.5	0%
vs Similar (10)	87.7	87.1	174.8	+0.6	60%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	94.3	84.1	178.4	+10.2	79%

This opponent (Nacional) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Nacional

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormNacional

Date

Competition

Bigua

105-82

105

+23

94avg 81

A09/05

Liga Uruguaya

Bigua

100-78

100

+22

97avg 81

H11/05

Liga Uruguaya

Aguada

83-96

-13

73avg 81

H19/05

Liga Uruguaya

Aguada

109-89

109

+20

106avg 81

A21/05

Liga Uruguaya

Aguada

74-87

-13

57avg 81

H25/05

Liga Uruguaya

Aguada

91-92 OT

-1

78avg 81

A28/05

Liga Uruguaya

Aguada

81-83

-2

71avg 81

H21/10

Liga Uruguaya

Atenas

#12

90-77

+13

90avg 81

A22/10

Liga Uruguaya

Goes

110-124

110

124

-14

94avg 81

H27/10

Liga Uruguaya

Hebraica y Macabi

78-83

-5

no box

H07/11

Liga Uruguaya

30-29

32-19

18-17

25-17

27-25

12-9

26-19

35-25

25-27

21-30

21-21

16-18

24-26

28-31

32-14

25-18

18-29

21-26

25-16

10-16

20-15

28-22

15-24

17-19

19-29

26-17

21-25

15-12

24-23

25-18

24-11

17-25

28-30

27-28

28-31

27-35

21-25

24-22

16-15

17-21

181.2Avg total

92.1Scored

89.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (4)	89.8	91.8	181.5	-2.0	25%
Season at home (3)	89.7	96.7	186.3	-7.0	0%
Season away (1)	90.0	77.0	167.0	+13.0	100%
Last 10 (10)	92.1	89.1	181.2	+3.0	40%
Last 5 (5)	90.0	91.8	181.8	-1.8	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	85.8	89.0	174.8	-3.2	20%
vs Similar (1)	71.0	83.0	154.0	-12.0	0%
vs Weaker (24)	92.1	81.9	174.0	+10.2	75%

This opponent (Bigua) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Over/Under 173.5Actual: Over 173.5

Over 173.5

56.7%

@ 1.57-2.2pp

Under 173.5

43.3%

@ 2.25+2.2pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.57

Under

Bet365

2.25

Over/Under 178.5 · main lineActual: Over 178.5

Over 178.5

44.7%

@ 1.95-5.6pp

Under 178.5

55.3%

@ 1.91+5.6pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.95

Pinnacle

1.86

SBO

1.83

Betano

1.80

WilliamHill

1.80

Under

WilliamHill

1.91

Pinnacle

1.88

Betano

1.83

SBO

1.83

1xBet

1.80

Over/Under 183.5Actual: Over 183.5

Over 183.5

33.4%

@ 2.22-8.2pp

Under 183.5

66.6%

@ 1.58+8.2pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

2.22

Under

Bet365

1.58

📊 3. Team Totals

Bigua total 85Actual: Bigua over 85

Over 85

62.4%

Under 85

37.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Bigua total 89 · main lineActual: Bigua over 89

Over 89

46.6%

@ 1.72-3.4pp

Under 89

53.4%

@ 1.72+3.4pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.72

Under

1xBet

1.72

Bigua total 93Actual: Bigua over 93

Over 93

31.5%

Under 93

68.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Nacional total 85.5Actual: Nacional over 85.5

Over 85.5

60.9%

@ 1.39-2.0pp

Under 85.5

39.1%

@ 2.36+2.0pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.39

Under

1xBet

2.36

Nacional total 89.5 · main lineActual: Nacional under 89.5

Over 89.5

45.6%

@ 1.87-4.4pp

Under 89.5

54.4%

@ 1.83+4.4pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.87

Bet365

1.83

1xBet

1.72

Under

Bet365

1.83

Betano

1.78

1xBet

1.72

Nacional total 93.5Actual: Nacional under 93.5

Over 93.5

31.1%

@ 2.35-6.1pp

Under 93.5

68.9%

@ 1.39+6.1pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

2.35

Under

1xBet

1.39

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Bigua -4Actual: Bigua -4

BIGU -4

36.5%

@ 2.35-3.2pp

NACI +4

63.5%

@ 1.55+3.2pp

Best 5 market prices

BIGU

Bet365

2.35

NACI

Bet365

1.55

Spread Bigua -1 · main lineActual: Bigua -1

BIGU -1

47.7%

@ 1.85-2.8pp

NACI +1

52.3%

@ 1.89+2.8pp

Best 5 market prices

BIGU

Pinnacle

1.85

Bet365

1.83

SBO

1.82

NACI

Pinnacle

1.89

SBO

1.86

Bet365

1.83

Spread Bigua +2Actual: Bigua +2

BIGU +2

54.5%

@ 1.65-1.9pp

NACI -2

45.5%

@ 2.15+1.9pp

Best 5 market prices

BIGU

Pinnacle

1.65

Bet365

1.62

NACI

Bet365

2.15

Pinnacle

2.13

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

BiguaNacional

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 45.5
Last 30 (30)	24.1	21.7	45.8	+2.4	57%	47%
Last 30 at home (15)	23.8	20.8	44.6	+3.0	60%	33%
Last 30 away (15)	24.4	22.6	47.0	+1.8	53%	60%
Last 10 (10)	23.4	23.3	46.7	+0.1	40%	50%
Last 5 (5)	22.6	23.0	45.6	-0.4	40%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	22.2	27.8	50.0	-5.7	17%	83%
vs Similar (10)	25.6	21.3	46.9	+4.3	70%	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	23.9	19.4	43.2	+4.5	64%	29%

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 45.5
Last 30 (30)	23.1	23.0	46.1	+0.0	50%	63%
Last 30 at home (17)	23.4	23.9	47.3	-0.5	47%	71%
Last 30 away (13)	22.6	21.9	44.5	+0.7	54%	54%
Last 10 (10)	23.6	25.8	49.4	-2.2	40%	90%
Last 5 (5)	22.4	24.4	46.8	-2.0	40%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	21.0	25.4	46.4	-4.4	0%	60%
vs Similar (1)	16.0	29.0	45.0	-13.0	0%	0%
vs Weaker (24)	23.8	22.3	46.1	+1.5	62%	67%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	23.0	43.3	-2.6	23%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.4	21.7	44.1	+0.7	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.3	24.2	42.5	-5.9	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	22.5	42.8	-2.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	21.2	43.4	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	18.0	24.0	42.0	-6.0	33%	-
vs Similar (10)	18.5	22.7	41.2	-4.2	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	22.7	22.7	45.4	+0.0	36%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.6	20.2	43.8	+3.4	67%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	23.3	20.1	43.4	+3.2	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	24.1	20.3	44.4	+3.8	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.4	22.2	46.6	+2.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.0	21.4	47.4	+4.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	24.2	20.8	45.0	+3.4	60%	-
vs Similar (1)	22.0	17.0	39.0	+5.0	100%	-
vs Weaker (24)	23.6	20.2	43.8	+3.4	67%	-

BiguaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Union Atletica

36-36

H21/03

Liga Uruguaya

Welcome

#12

50-45

H23/03

Liga Uruguaya

Nacional

45-55

-10

A05/05

Liga Uruguaya

Nacional

48-62

-14

H09/05

Liga Uruguaya

Nacional

34-39

-5

A11/05

Liga Uruguaya

Hebraica y Macabi

44-53

-9

H19/10

Liga Uruguaya

Larranaga

48-22

+26

H23/10

Liga Uruguaya

Urunday

40-56

-16

A27/10

Liga Uruguaya

Defensor

52-50

H29/10

Liga Uruguaya

Malvin

40-40

A04/11

Liga Uruguaya

89.5Avg total

43.7Scored

45.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 91.5
Last 30 (30)	44.5	44.7	89.1	-0.2	43%	47%
Last 30 at home (15)	46.2	42.5	88.7	+3.7	60%	53%
Last 30 away (15)	42.7	46.8	89.5	-4.1	27%	40%
Last 10 (10)	43.7	45.8	89.5	-2.1	30%	60%
Last 5 (5)	44.8	44.2	89.0	+0.6	40%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	40.2	51.8	92.0	-11.7	0%	50%
vs Similar (10)	44.1	44.0	88.1	+0.1	40%	40%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	46.6	42.1	88.6	+4.5	64%	50%

This opponent (Nacional) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

NacionalLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bigua

62-48

+14

A09/05

Liga Uruguaya

Bigua

39-34

H11/05

Liga Uruguaya

Aguada

46-57

-11

H19/05

Liga Uruguaya

Aguada

52-57

-5

A21/05

Liga Uruguaya

Aguada

39-55

-16

H25/05

Liga Uruguaya

Aguada

48-37

+11

A28/05

Liga Uruguaya

Aguada

45-46

-1

H21/10

Liga Uruguaya

Atenas

#12

49-41

A22/10

Liga Uruguaya

Goes

55-58

-3

H27/10

Liga Uruguaya

Hebraica y Macabi

45-47

-2

H07/11

Liga Uruguaya

96.0Avg total

48.0Scored

48.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 91.5
Last 30 (30)	46.7	43.2	89.9	+3.5	57%	40%
Last 30 at home (17)	46.7	44.0	90.7	+2.7	47%	47%
Last 30 away (13)	46.7	42.2	88.9	+4.5	69%	31%
Last 10 (10)	48.0	48.0	96.0	+0.0	40%	60%
Last 5 (5)	48.4	45.8	94.2	+2.6	40%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	45.2	46.2	91.4	-1.0	20%	40%
vs Similar (1)	38.0	46.0	84.0	-8.0	0%	0%
vs Weaker (24)	47.4	42.5	89.9	+4.9	67%	42%

This opponent (Bigua) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

1st half winnerActual: Bigua win

BIGU win

no forecast

@ 1.81

NACI win

no forecast

@ 1.93

1st half Spread Bigua -0.5 · main lineActual: Bigua -0.5

BIGU -0.5

no forecast

@ 1.83

NACI +0.5

no forecast

@ 1.91

1st half Over/Under 91.5 · main lineActual: Over 91.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.83

Under

no forecast

@ 1.83

Bigua 1st half total 45.5 · main lineActual: Bigua over 45.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.83

Under

no forecast

@ 1.83

Nacional 1st half total 45.5 · main lineActual: Nacional under 45.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.94

Under

no forecast

@ 1.80

1st half: BIGU + total 91.5

BIGU & over

no forecast

@ 3.60

BIGU & under

no forecast

@ 3.65

1st half: Draw + total 91.5

Draw & over

no forecast

@ 26.00

Draw & under

no forecast

@ 26.00

1st half: NACI + total 91.5

NACI & over

no forecast

@ 3.80

NACI & under

no forecast

@ 3.80

1st half Over/Under 90.25Actual: Over 90.25

Over

no forecast

@ 1.83

Under

no forecast

@ 1.79

1st half Spread Bigua -1.5Actual: Bigua -1.5

BIGU -1.5

no forecast

@ 2.04

NACI +1.5

no forecast

@ 1.80

1st half Over/Under 93.5Actual: Over 93.5

Over

no forecast

@ 2.12

Under

no forecast

@ 1.64

1st half Spread Bigua +1Actual: Bigua +1

BIGU +1

no forecast

@ 1.67

NACI -1

no forecast

@ 2.11

1st half Over/Under 89Actual: Over 89

Over

no forecast

@ 2.02

Under

no forecast

@ 1.75

1st half Spread Bigua -2.5Actual: Bigua -2.5

BIGU -2.5

no forecast

@ 2.22

NACI +2.5

no forecast

@ 1.64

1st half Over/Under 87.75Actual: Over 87.75

Over

no forecast

@ 1.89

Under

no forecast

@ 1.74

1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Bigua (regulation)

BIGU

no forecast

@ 1.87

Draw

no forecast

@ 17.00

NACI

no forecast

@ 2.00

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	22.7	44.2	-1.3	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.6	22.2	42.8	-1.6	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.3	23.3	45.5	-1.0	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.9	21.9	43.8	+0.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.6	20.8	45.4	+3.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	19.3	23.0	42.3	-3.7	17%	-
vs Similar (10)	19.9	22.3	42.2	-2.4	20%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	23.4	22.9	46.4	+0.5	43%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.4	20.1	43.5	+3.4	63%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	24.4	20.4	44.8	+4.0	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	22.2	19.6	41.8	+2.5	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.6	19.3	41.9	+3.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	21.2	42.0	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	20.0	21.6	41.6	-1.6	40%	-
vs Similar (1)	21.0	18.0	39.0	+3.0	100%	-
vs Weaker (24)	24.2	19.8	44.1	+4.4	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.2	19.4	41.6	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.7	18.7	42.4	+5.1	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.7	20.1	40.8	+0.5	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	20.9	42.7	+0.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	19.0	39.0	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	19.3	22.5	41.8	-3.2	33%	-
vs Similar (10)	23.7	20.8	44.5	+2.9	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	22.4	17.1	39.4	+5.3	71%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	19.4	39.2	+0.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.0	19.8	39.8	+0.2	41%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.6	18.9	38.5	+0.7	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	20.6	41.0	-0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	22.4	41.0	-3.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	20.6	21.2	41.8	-0.6	40%	-
vs Similar (1)	12.0	19.0	31.0	-7.0	0%	-
vs Weaker (24)	20.0	19.0	39.0	+1.0	46%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.6	42.1	85.8	+1.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	44.3	40.9	85.2	+3.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.9	43.4	86.3	-0.5	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.7	42.8	86.5	+0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.6	39.8	84.4	+4.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	38.7	45.5	84.2	-6.8	33%	-
vs Similar (10)	43.6	43.1	86.7	+0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	45.8	40.0	85.8	+5.8	57%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.3	39.5	82.7	+3.8	63%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	44.4	40.2	84.6	+4.2	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	41.8	38.5	80.3	+3.2	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.0	39.9	82.9	+3.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.4	43.6	83.0	-4.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	40.6	42.8	83.4	-2.2	40%	-
vs Similar (1)	33.0	37.0	70.0	-4.0	0%	-
vs Weaker (24)	44.2	38.9	83.1	+5.4	71%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.

BIGU win + total 178.5

🔒 Pro

NACI win + total 178.5

🔒 Pro

Overtime

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: BIGU leads at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: level at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: NACI leads at half

🔒 Pro

Team with the highest-scoring quarter

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring half

🔒 Pro

🔒 8 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Bigua under 100.5	87.9%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+9.1pp	Lost
Bigua under 97.5	81.4%	1.28	Bet365 1.28	-	-	-	-	+9.0pp	Lost
Bigua under 95.5	75.9%	1.38	Bet365 1.38	-	-	-	-	+8.9pp	Lost
Bigua under 101.5	89.7%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	+8.2pp	Lost
Bigua under 99.5	86.0%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+8.2pp	Lost
Bigua under 103.5	92.6%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+7.6pp	Lost
Bigua under 105.5	94.8%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+7.3pp	Lost
Under 189.5	78.2%	1.31	Bet365 1.31	-	-	-	-	+7.3pp	Lost
Nacional under 98.5	83.3%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+7.1pp	Won
Bigua under 107.5	96.5%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+7.1pp	Lost
Nacional under 100.5	87.6%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+7.0pp	Won
Bigua under 110.5	98.1%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+6.9pp	Won
Bigua under 109.5	97.6%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+6.9pp	Lost
Under 194.5	85.6%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+6.8pp	Lost
Nacional under 96.5	78.2%	1.30	Bet365 1.30	-	-	-	-	+6.7pp	Won
Nacional under 99.5	85.5%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+6.7pp	Won
Nacional under 102.5	91.0%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	+6.6pp	Won
Nacional under 106.5	95.6%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+6.6pp	Won
Nacional under 108.5	97.0%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+6.6pp	Won
Nacional under 110.5	98.0%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+6.5pp	Won
Nacional under 94.5	72.2%	1.41	Bet365 1.41	-	-	-	-	+6.5pp	Won
Nacional under 104.5	93.6%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+6.5pp	Won
Nacional under 109.5	97.6%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+6.4pp	Won
Bigua under 111.5	98.4%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+6.2pp	Won
Nacional +20.5	95.8%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+6.2pp	Lost
Under 199.5	91.0%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+5.9pp	Won
Under 204.5	94.5%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+5.8pp	Won
Nacional over 67.5	97.9%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+5.6pp	Won
Nacional over 71.5	94.9%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+5.6pp	Won
Nacional over 69.5	96.7%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+5.5pp	Won
Nacional +25.5	98.1%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+5.4pp	Won
Bigua +19.5	94.8%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+5.1pp	Won
Nacional over 70.5	95.9%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+5.1pp	Won
Nacional over 68.5	97.3%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+5.1pp	Won
Bigua over 69.5	96.5%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+5.0pp	Won
Nacional +15.5	91.1%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+5.0pp	Lost
Bigua over 70.5	95.7%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+4.9pp	Won
Nacional over 77.5	85.4%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+4.9pp	Won
Bigua +24.5	97.7%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+4.9pp	Won
Nacional over 73.5	92.6%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+4.6pp	Won
Bigua over 72.5	93.6%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+4.6pp	Won
Nacional +6.5	71.5%	1.38	Bet365 1.38	-	-	-	-	+4.6pp	Lost
Nacional +10.5	82.3%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+4.6pp	Lost
Nacional over 72.5	93.8%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+4.5pp	Won
Nacional over 75.5	89.4%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+4.4pp	Won
Bigua over 71.5	94.7%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+4.3pp	Won
Bigua over 74.5	90.8%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+3.6pp	Won
Nacional over 74.5	91.1%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+3.6pp	Won
Overtime: no	94.5%	1.03	Betano 1.03	-	-	-	-	+3.5pp	-
Bigua over 73.5	92.3%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+3.3pp	Won
Bigua over 78.5	82.5%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+3.0pp	Won
Bigua +14.5	89.1%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+3.0pp	Won
Bigua over 76.5	87.1%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	+2.7pp	Won
Nacional over 78.5	83.1%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+2.6pp	Won
Nacional over 76.5	87.5%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+2.5pp	Won
Bigua over 75.5	89.0%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+1.9pp	Won
Nacional over 79.5	80.5%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+1.7pp	Won
Nacional over 80.5	77.7%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+1.5pp	Won
Over 154.5	90.8%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+1.5pp	Won
Bigua +9.5	79.0%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+1.2pp	Won
Bigua over 77.5	84.9%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	+1.1pp	Won
Bigua over 79.5	79.9%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+0.4pp	Won
Nacional over 82.5	71.5%	1.30	Bet365 1.30	-	-	-	-	+0.1pp	Won
Bigua over 80.5	77.1%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	-0.7pp	Won
Bigua over 81.5	74.0%	1.23	Bet365 1.23	-	-	-	-	-1.3pp	Won
Over 159.5	84.7%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	-1.4pp	Won
Over 164.5	76.3%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	-2.5pp	Won

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Biguatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bigua: 89.5 points a game scored

🏀🏀47%

🏀🏀🏀32%

🏀21%

🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 47% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 32% of the points

🏀 Free throws18.9 pts a game · 21% of the points

League average for comparison: 82.2 points a game

52%

31%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.7	20.9	54.0%	50.3%	41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.9	9.6	33.2%	32.1%	28.8
🏀 Free throws	23.6	18.9	80.1%	70.5%	18.9

They take 67.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Nacionaltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nacional: 93.5 points a game scored

🏀🏀52%

🏀🏀🏀31%

🏀17%

🏀🏀 2-pointers48.4 pts a game · 52% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 31% of the points

🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 17% of the points

League average for comparison: 82.2 points a game

52%

31%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	47.9	24.2	50.5%	50.3%	48.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.2	9.8	34.8%	32.1%	29.4
🏀 Free throws	21.0	15.7	74.8%	70.5%	15.7

They take 76.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.5	21.2	49.9%	50.3%	42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	31.1	10.5	33.8%	32.1%	31.5
🏀 Free throws	21.1	15.5	73.5%	70.5%	15.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.5	18.8	51.5%	50.3%	37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	33.7	11.9	35.3%	32.1%	35.7
🏀 Free throws	22.3	16.7	74.9%	70.5%	16.7

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.9	21.3	52.2%	50.3%	42.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.0	10.3	35.4%	32.1%	30.8
🏀 Free throws	20.0	15.2	76.0%	70.5%	15.2

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	43.4	21.9	50.5%	50.3%	43.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.8	9.7	34.8%	32.1%	29.0
🏀 Free throws	22.0	15.7	71.5%	70.5%	15.7

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.7	22.1	53.0%	50.3%	44.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.2	10.2	33.7%	32.1%	30.6
🏀 Free throws	18.7	12.9	69.3%	70.5%	12.9

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.2	17.9	52.2%	50.3%	35.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	32.2	10.6	32.8%	32.1%	31.7
🏀 Free throws	20.4	14.4	70.6%	70.5%	14.4

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Bigua

LWWWWLLLWW

Nacional

LLWLLLWLWW

League position

#10

+0.1

Net rating

+3.6

97.0

Offensive rating

97.4

96.9

Defensive rating

93.7

52.2%

Effective FG%

51.1%

50.2%

Opp. effective FG%

52.2%

13.8%

Turnover %

14.3%

0.35

Free-throw rate

0.28

33.2%

3-point %

34.8%

63.0%

Assist %

52.9%

60%

Form (last 10/10)

40%

Profile

■ Bigua ■ Nacional

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Bigua wins

Nacional wins

Date	Game	Score
11/05/26	Nacional v Bigua	100-78
09/05/26	Bigua v Nacional	82-105
05/05/26	Nacional v Bigua	98-95
23/01/26	Nacional v Bigua	97-73
03/11/25	Bigua v Nacional	93-110
05/03/25	Bigua v Nacional	96-102 OT
03/01/25	Nacional v Bigua	97-82
03/02/24	Nacional v Bigua	71-67 OT
27/11/23	Bigua v Nacional	101-94
06/05/23	Bigua v Nacional	79-88

Bigualast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
04/11/26	A	Malvin	73-87
29/10/26	H	Defensor	89-82
27/10/26	A	Urunday	99-91
23/10/26	H	Larranaga	94-74
19/10/26	H	Hebraica y Macabi	92-86
11/05/26	A	Nacional	78-100
09/05/26	H	Nacional	82-105
05/05/26	A	Nacional	95-98
23/03/26	H	Welcome	91-87
21/03/26	H	Union Atletica	81-76

Nacionallast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/11/26	H	Hebraica y Macabi	78-83
27/10/26	H	Goes	110-124
22/10/26	A	Atenas	90-77
21/10/26	H	Aguada	81-83
28/05/26	A	Aguada	91-92 OT
25/05/26	H	Aguada	74-87
21/05/26	A	Aguada	109-89
19/05/26	H	Aguada	83-96
11/05/26	H	Bigua	100-78
09/05/26	A	Bigua	105-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bigua

Liga Uruguaya 2026-27

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWL	80%
Home	WWW	100%
Away	WL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	5	3	2
Win %	80%	100%	50%
Points / game	89.4	91.7	86.0
Allowed / game	84.0	80.7	89.0
Point differential	+5.4	+11.0	-3.0
Avg total	173.4	172.3	175.0
Over 178.5	20%	0%	50%
Win by 10+	20%	33%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Nacional

Liga Uruguaya 2026-27

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLL	25%
Home	LLL	0%
Away	W	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	4	3	1
Win %	25%	0%	100%
Points / game	89.8	89.7	90.0
Allowed / game	91.8	96.7	77.0
Point differential	-2.0	-7.0	+13.0
Avg total	181.5	186.3	167.0
Over 178.5	25%	33%	0%
Win by 10+	25%	0%	100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (2)	0% (2)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Penarol	4	4	0	100%	91.0	73.5	+17.5
2	Goes	5	4	1	80%	92.4	86.2	+6.2
3	Bigua	5	4	1	80%	89.4	84.0	+5.4
4	Aguada	5	3	2	60%	78.4	75.8	+2.6
5	Defensor	4	2	2	50%	77.2	77.0	+0.2
6	Hebraica y Macabi	4	2	2	50%	81.8	82.8	-1.0
7	Malvin	6	3	3	50%	76.5	79.7	-3.2
8	Larranaga	5	2	3	40%	84.6	85.2	-0.6
9	Urunday	6	2	4	33%	79.7	80.7	-1.0
10	Nacional	4	1	3	25%	89.8	91.8	-2.0
11	Union Atletica	5	1	4	20%	77.4	82.2	-4.8
12	Atenas	5	1	4	20%	71.0	86.6	-15.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Bigua	25	28	28	29	110
Nacional	15	29	18	27	89

← all games of the day

Bigua vs Nacional Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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