Bigua vs Nacional Result & Analysis

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (21)	84.3	85.6	169.9	-1.3	43%
Season at home (10)	86.6	85.5	172.1	+1.1	40%
Season away (11)	82.2	85.7	167.9	-3.5	45%
Last 10 (10)	82.0	84.7	166.7	-2.7	30%
Last 5 (5)	80.0	83.6	163.6	-3.6	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	73.6	84.8	158.4	-11.1	0%
vs Similar (7)	74.6	80.9	155.4	-6.3	29%
vs Weaker (15)	87.9	83.1	171.0	+4.7	60%

This opponent (Nacional) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Nacional

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormNacional

Date

Competition

Hebraica y Macabi

101-88

101

+13

90avg 81

H10/01

Liga Uruguaya

Malvin

88-67

+21

78avg 81

A14/01

Liga Uruguaya

Penarol

89-85

86avg 81

A19/01

Liga Uruguaya

Trouville

#13

77-81

-4

69avg 81

H23/01

Liga Uruguaya

Defensor

96-81

+15

93avg 81

H27/01

Liga Uruguaya

Welcome

#12

117-69

117

+48

128avg 81

A30/01

Liga Uruguaya

Urupan

#10

121-65

121

+56

121avg 81

A03/02

Liga Uruguaya

Cordon

86-79

77avg 81

A07/02

Liga Uruguaya

Urunday

99-79

+20

99avg 81

H10/02

Liga Uruguaya

Aguada

91-94

-3

75avg 81

H13/02

Liga Uruguaya

21-30

25-22

32-17

23-19

20-12

26-19

27-16

15-20

24-23

26-17

22-25

17-20

16-13

22-20

21-13

18-35

23-17

16-19

26-26

31-19

28-21

29-23

30-13

30-12

27-25

36-10

29-14

29-16

20-17

27-17

17-23

22-22

33-16

24-24

22-16

20-23

19-22

20-36

26-15

26-21

175.3Avg total

96.5Scored

78.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (21)	94.0	77.5	171.5	+16.5	90%
Season at home (11)	93.4	79.3	172.6	+14.1	82%
Season away (10)	94.7	75.5	170.2	+19.2	100%
Last 10 (10)	96.5	78.8	175.3	+17.7	80%
Last 5 (5)	102.8	77.2	180.0	+25.6	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	87.0	91.2	178.2	-4.2	40%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	90.6	76.0	166.6	+14.6	88%

This opponent (Bigua) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

BiguaNacional

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	22.9	43.5	-2.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.3	23.7	43.9	-3.4	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.9	22.1	43.0	-1.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	22.7	44.4	-1.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	22.4	42.0	-2.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	18.8	24.8	43.5	-6.0	25%	-
vs Similar (7)	18.6	21.4	40.0	-2.9	43%	-
vs Weaker (15)	22.5	22.5	45.1	+0.0	53%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.8	19.7	42.5	+3.1	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	24.5	20.5	45.0	+4.1	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.1	18.9	40.1	+2.2	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.1	19.6	42.7	+3.5	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.4	20.2	45.6	+5.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	22.4	23.4	45.8	-1.0	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	22.9	19.0	41.9	+4.0	72%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	20.5	40.7	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.3	20.5	40.9	-0.2	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.9	20.5	40.5	-0.6	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	22.3	42.7	-1.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	22.8	43.2	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	18.4	20.4	38.8	-2.0	25%	-
vs Similar (7)	16.9	21.4	38.3	-4.6	29%	-
vs Weaker (15)	22.6	20.2	42.8	+2.4	53%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.0	20.6	43.7	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.5	21.1	42.6	+0.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	24.5	20.2	44.7	+4.3	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.1	20.7	45.8	+4.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	27.2	22.0	49.2	+5.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	21.0	23.6	44.6	-2.6	20%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	23.4	20.0	43.5	+3.4	68%	-

BiguaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Welcome

#12

48-43

A21/01

Liga Uruguaya

Defensor

46-49

-3

H24/01

Liga Uruguaya

Aguada

45-51

-6

H28/01

Liga Uruguaya

Urupan

#10

41-42

-1

A31/01

Liga Uruguaya

Cordon

41-39

A04/02

Liga Uruguaya

Quimsa

28-36

-8

A09/02

Champions League Americas

Minas

39-41

-2

A10/02

Champions League Americas

Penarol

40-46

-6

H14/02

Liga Uruguaya

Urunday

41-45

-4

H27/02

Liga Uruguaya

Hebraica y Macabi

52-58

-6

A02/03

Liga Uruguaya

87.1Avg total

42.1Scored

45.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.7	43.4	84.1	-2.7	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.6	44.2	84.8	-3.6	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.9	42.6	83.5	-1.7	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.1	45.0	87.1	-2.9	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.0	45.2	85.2	-5.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	37.1	45.1	82.2	-8.0	0%	-
vs Similar (7)	35.4	42.9	78.3	-7.4	14%	-
vs Weaker (15)	45.1	42.7	87.9	+2.4	67%	-

This opponent (Nacional) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

NacionalLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Hebraica y Macabi

46-52

-6

H10/01

Liga Uruguaya

Malvin

46-31

+15

A14/01

Liga Uruguaya

Penarol

50-40

+10

A19/01

Liga Uruguaya

Trouville

#13

38-33

H23/01

Liga Uruguaya

Defensor

39-36

H27/01

Liga Uruguaya

Welcome

#12

57-44

+13

A30/01

Liga Uruguaya

Urupan

#10

63-35

+28

A03/02

Liga Uruguaya

Cordon

47-34

+13

A07/02

Liga Uruguaya

Urunday

57-40

+17

H10/02

Liga Uruguaya

Aguada

39-58

-19

H13/02

Liga Uruguaya

88.5Avg total

48.2Scored

40.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.9	40.3	86.2	+5.5	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	46.1	41.5	87.6	+4.5	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	45.7	39.1	84.8	+6.5	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	48.2	40.3	88.5	+7.9	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	52.6	42.2	94.8	+10.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	43.4	47.0	90.4	-3.6	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	46.4	39.0	85.4	+7.4	76%	-

This opponent (Bigua) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	19.6	39.1	-0.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.5	19.1	39.6	+1.3	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.5	20.1	38.7	-1.6	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	20.1	40.6	+0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	20.2	40.8	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	15.9	21.8	37.6	-5.9	12%	-
vs Similar (7)	18.6	18.3	36.9	+0.3	43%	-
vs Weaker (15)	21.9	19.1	41.0	+2.7	67%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	19.3	40.9	+2.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.3	18.2	40.5	+4.1	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.7	20.5	41.2	+0.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.2	17.8	43.0	+7.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.8	16.2	41.0	+8.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	18.6	24.2	42.8	-5.6	20%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	22.1	18.4	40.5	+3.8	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	20.0	40.7	+0.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.5	20.1	40.7	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.9	19.9	40.8	+1.1	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	19.6	39.0	-0.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	18.2	37.6	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	20.6	17.9	38.5	+2.8	62%	-
vs Similar (7)	20.6	19.7	40.3	+0.9	43%	-
vs Weaker (15)	20.9	21.3	42.1	-0.4	40%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.1	18.8	40.9	+3.3	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.5	20.2	41.7	+1.3	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.7	17.3	40.1	+5.4	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.1	20.7	43.8	+2.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.4	18.8	44.2	+6.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	25.0	20.0	45.0	+5.0	80%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	21.5	18.5	40.0	+3.0	64%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.2	39.6	79.9	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.0	39.3	80.3	+1.7	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.5	40.0	79.5	-0.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.9	39.7	79.6	+0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.0	38.4	78.4	+1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	36.5	39.6	76.1	-3.1	12%	-
vs Similar (7)	39.1	38.0	77.1	+1.1	71%	-
vs Weaker (15)	42.7	40.4	83.1	+2.3	40%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.6	38.1	81.7	+5.5	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.8	38.4	82.2	+5.4	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	43.5	37.8	81.3	+5.7	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	48.3	38.5	86.8	+9.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	50.2	35.0	85.2	+15.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	43.6	44.2	87.8	-0.6	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	43.6	36.9	80.5	+6.8	72%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Biguatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bigua: 80.8 points a game scored

🏀🏀49%

🏀🏀🏀36%

🏀15%

🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 49% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 36% of the points

🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 15% of the points

League average for comparison: 83.1 points a game

50%

34%

16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.5	19.6	49.6%	51.5%	39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.6	9.7	35.1%	33.0%	29.1
🏀 Free throws	17.9	12.5	69.8%	71.7%	12.5

They take 67.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Nacionaltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nacional: 95.9 points a game scored

🏀🏀51%

🏀🏀🏀33%

🏀15%

🏀🏀 2-pointers49.0 pts a game · 51% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 33% of the points

🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 15% of the points

League average for comparison: 83.1 points a game

50%

34%

16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	44.7	24.5	54.8%	51.5%	49.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.7	10.7	36.0%	33.0%	32.1
🏀 Free throws	21.3	14.8	69.5%	71.7%	14.8

They take 74.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	45.3	24.0	53.0%	51.5%	48.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.6	7.3	28.5%	33.0%	21.9
🏀 Free throws	19.7	14.0	71.1%	71.7%	14.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.8	19.8	49.7%	51.5%	39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.9	8.8	32.7%	33.0%	26.4
🏀 Free throws	17.6	12.0	68.2%	71.7%	12.0

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.9	18.7	49.5%	51.5%	37.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.2	10.1	34.6%	33.0%	30.3
🏀 Free throws	16.8	12.2	72.6%	71.7%	12.2

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.8	22.3	52.1%	51.5%	44.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.8	10.4	34.9%	33.0%	31.2
🏀 Free throws	19.4	13.3	68.7%	71.7%	13.3

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.6	20.7	50.9%	51.5%	41.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.1	9.1	33.7%	33.0%	27.4
🏀 Free throws	18.9	13.3	70.5%	71.7%	13.3

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.2	19.8	50.5%	51.5%	39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.6	8.8	31.7%	33.0%	26.3
🏀 Free throws	17.8	12.1	68.1%	71.7%	12.1

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Bigua

WLLLLLWLLW

Nacional

LWWWWWLWWW

League position

-3.9

Net rating

+22.0

102.8

Offensive rating

117.8

106.7

Defensive rating

95.8

50.9%

Effective FG%

54.5%

49.3%

Opp. effective FG%

49.5%

16.6%

Turnover %

13.5%

24.7%

Off. rebound %

31.9%

0.27

Free-throw rate

0.29

35.1%

3-point %

36.0%

64.5%

Assist %

64.5%

30%

Form (last 10/10)

80%

Profile

■ Bigua ■ Nacional

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Bigua wins

Nacional wins

Date	Game	Score
03/01/25	Nacional v Bigua	97-82
03/02/24	Nacional v Bigua	71-67 OT
27/11/23	Bigua v Nacional	101-94
06/05/23	Bigua v Nacional	79-88
03/05/23	Nacional v Bigua	80-93
26/04/23	Bigua v Nacional	87-68
22/04/23	Nacional v Bigua	91-84
19/04/23	Bigua v Nacional	69-70
09/02/23	Bigua v Nacional	94-86
02/12/22	Nacional v Bigua	83-93

Bigualast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
02/03/25	A	Hebraica y Macabi	95-87
27/02/25	H	Urunday	85-92
14/02/25	H	Penarol	72-83
10/02/25	A	Minas	77-81
09/02/25	A	Quimsa	71-75
04/02/25	A	Cordon	80-82
31/01/25	A	Urupan	93-89
28/01/25	H	Aguada	81-95
24/01/25	H	Defensor	79-81
21/01/25	A	Welcome	87-82

Nacionallast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
13/02/25	H	Aguada	91-94
10/02/25	H	Urunday	99-79
07/02/25	A	Cordon	86-79
03/02/25	A	Urupan	121-65
30/01/25	A	Welcome	117-69
27/01/25	H	Defensor	96-81
23/01/25	H	Trouville	77-81
19/01/25	A	Penarol	89-85
14/01/25	A	Malvin	88-67
10/01/25	H	Hebraica y Macabi	101-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bigua

Liga Uruguaya 2024-25

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLW	43%
Home	WLLLL	40%
Away	WWWLW	45%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	21	10	11
Win %	43%	40%	45%
Points / game	84.3	86.6	82.2
Allowed / game	85.6	85.5	85.7
Point differential	-1.3	+1.1	-3.5
Avg total	169.9	172.1	167.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	10%	20%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	62% (8)	67% (3)	60% (5)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Nacional

Liga Uruguaya 2024-25

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWL	90%
Home	WLWWL	82%
Away	WWWWW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	21	11	10
Win %	90%	82%	100%
Points / game	94.0	93.4	94.7
Allowed / game	77.5	79.3	75.5
Point differential	+16.5	+14.1	+19.2
Avg total	171.5	172.6	170.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	71%	73%	70%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	60% (5)	33% (3)	100% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Nacional	21	19	2	90%	94.0	77.5	+16.5
2	Aguada	22	18	4	82%	89.7	79.8	+9.9
3	Penarol	21	16	5	76%	84.8	74.0	+10.7
4	Malvin	22	14	8	64%	80.7	76.5	+4.1
5	Defensor	22	11	11	50%	87.6	82.7	+4.9
6	Bigua	21	9	12	43%	84.3	85.6	-1.3
7	Hebraica y Macabi	21	9	12	43%	85.8	88.2	-2.5
8	Cordon	21	9	12	43%	83.6	86.4	-2.8
9	Urunday	22	8	14	36%	80.0	85.8	-5.9
10	Urupan	22	7	15	32%	81.1	87.8	-6.7
11	Welcome	22	5	17	23%	77.2	94.1	-16.9
12	Trouville	21	4	17	19%	74.1	83.6	-9.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final
Bigua	19	26	26	17	8	96
Nacional	24	20	27	17	14	102

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Bigua vs Nacional Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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