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Nacional vs Bigua Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 00:45
Final 71-67 (OT)
21-14 9-13 17-19 12-13 12-8
Position#3
Record15-2
FormWWWLW
Points / game93.4
Allowed / game81.7
vs
Position#7
Record9-10
FormLLWLW
Points / game84.8
Allowed / game83.6
UruguayLiga Uruguaya· Larre Borges
Other2023-24
Meetings · Nacional v Bigua
11 May 2026
NACI100
BIGU78
05 May 2026
NACI98
BIGU95
23 Jan 2026
NACI97
BIGU73
03 Jan 2025
NACI97
BIGU82
02 Feb 2024
NACI71
BIGU67
02 May 2023
NACI80
BIGU93
21 Apr 2023
NACI91
BIGU84
02 Dec 2022
NACI83
BIGU93
05 Nov 2021
NACI82
BIGU94
21 Jun 2021
NACI76
BIGU86
18 Jun 2021
NACI76
BIGU69
14 Jun 2021
NACI92
BIGU97
31 Jan 2020
NACI91
BIGU84
30 Oct 2018
NACI72
BIGU81
08 Dec 2017
NACI70
BIGU64
26 Oct 2012
NACI70
BIGU76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nacional winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bigua winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NacionalUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNacional
Date
Competition
Sao Paulo
#6
W
89-84 OT
89
84
+5
89avg 85
A17/12
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#3
L
78-86
78
86
-8
72avg 85
A18/12
Champions League Americas
Malvin
#5
W
84-83
84
83
+1
79avg 85
A05/01
Liga Uruguaya
Larre Borges
#13
W
94-82
94
82
+12
95avg 85
A10/01
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#12
W
111-61
111
61
+50
111avg 85
H13/01
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#8
W
99-79
99
79
+20
96avg 85
A16/01
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
W
111-105 OT
111
105
+6
no box
A19/01
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
W
86-61
86
61
+25
83avg 85
H23/01
Liga Uruguaya
Quimsa
#3
L
78-86
78
86
-8
63avg 85
H27/01
Champions League Americas
Sao Paulo
#6
W
86-82
86
82
+4
80avg 85
H29/01
Champions League Americas
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-8
26-23
21-24
12-21
18-18
24-13
13-28
23-27
29-14
15-24
18-25
22-20
24-17
34-12
14-26
22-27
32-13
31-25
25-14
23-9
16-24
30-13
32-21
21-21
18-26
25-30
36-21
19-21
20-22
21-14
26-8
19-17
19-23
18-18
20-25
21-20
22-24
24-22
20-17
20-19
172.5Avg total
91.6Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)93.481.7175.1+11.788%
Season at home (8)88.074.0162.0+14.088%
Season away (9)98.288.6186.8+9.789%
Last 10 (10)91.680.9172.5+10.780%
Last 5 (5)92.082.6174.6+9.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)77.482.6160.0-5.327%
vs Similar (8)88.486.1174.5+2.288%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)96.078.7174.7+17.391%
This opponent (Bigua) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BiguaUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBigua
Date
Competition
Goes
#12
L
86-91
86
91
-5
85avg 79
A01/12
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
L
81-94
81
94
-13
75avg 79
H05/12
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
L
67-80
67
80
-13
61avg 79
H08/12
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#9
W
99-90
99
90
+9
93avg 79
A12/12
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#5
W
89-75
89
75
+14
85avg 79
H18/12
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
L
81-87
81
87
-6
81avg 79
H04/01
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#4
L
86-96
86
96
-10
80avg 79
A12/01
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#8
W
97-82
97
82
+15
61avg 79
H19/01
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
L
72-77
72
77
-5
62avg 79
A26/01
Liga Uruguaya
Larre Borges
#13
W
94-61
94
61
+33
100avg 79
H30/01
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-21
22-23
22-20
15-27
22-32
22-19
19-22
18-21
20-26
11-20
19-11
17-23
26-26
25-31
18-20
30-13
21-24
28-14
20-18
20-19
14-28
33-23
19-15
15-21
23-20
21-25
18-22
24-29
26-19
25-26
22-16
24-21
18-30
17-11
15-11
22-25
22-21
25-15
27-18
20-7
168.5Avg total
85.2Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)84.883.6168.5+1.247%
Season at home (10)84.780.5165.2+4.260%
Season away (9)85.087.1172.1-2.133%
Last 10 (10)85.283.3168.5+1.940%
Last 5 (5)86.080.6166.6+5.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)88.291.8180.0-3.525%
vs Similar (10)84.885.6170.4-0.850%
vs Weaker (16)87.280.6167.8+6.762%
This opponent (Nacional) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: +5.4+5.4Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -0.1-0.1
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: +5.4+5.4Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -0.1-0.1
NacionalBigua
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NacionalLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sao Paulo
#6
W
43-31
43
31
+12
A17/12
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#3
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A18/12
Champions League Americas
Malvin
#5
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A05/01
Liga Uruguaya
Larre Borges
#13
W
58-29
58
29
+29
A10/01
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#12
W
63-38
63
38
+25
H13/01
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#8
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A16/01
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
L
43-56
43
56
-13
A19/01
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H23/01
Liga Uruguaya
Quimsa
#3
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H27/01
Champions League Americas
Sao Paulo
#6
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H29/01
Champions League Americas
84.6Avg total
46.3Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.241.385.5+2.857%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.041.186.1+3.957%-
Last 30 away (16)43.441.584.9+1.956%-
Last 10 (10)46.338.384.6+8.070%-
Last 5 (5)42.643.285.8-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)37.940.077.9-2.136%-
vs Similar (8)45.446.191.5-0.838%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)49.539.288.7+10.491%-
This opponent (Bigua) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BiguaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Goes
#12
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A01/12
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
L
44-51
44
51
-7
H05/12
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
L
31-46
31
46
-15
H08/12
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#9
L
51-57
51
57
-6
A12/12
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#5
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H18/12
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
L
47-51
47
51
-4
H04/01
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#4
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A12/01
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#8
W
51-45
51
45
+6
H19/01
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A26/01
Liga Uruguaya
Larre Borges
#13
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H30/01
Liga Uruguaya
90.2Avg total
44.8Scored
45.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.443.589.0+1.950%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.242.586.8+1.844%-
Last 30 away (14)46.844.791.5+2.157%-
Last 10 (10)44.845.490.2-0.640%-
Last 5 (5)44.843.688.4+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)45.046.891.8-1.825%-
vs Similar (10)43.246.589.7-3.330%-
vs Weaker (16)46.940.987.8+6.169%-
This opponent (Nacional) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nacionaltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nacional: 81.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.219.6
54.1%
51.0%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.39.6
37.9%
33.3%28.8
🏀 Free throws18.713.3
71.1%
71.7%13.3
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Biguatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bigua: 84.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.2 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.221.6
56.5%
51.0%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.010.4
35.9%
33.3%31.2
🏀 Free throws14.410.2
70.8%
71.7%10.2
They take 67.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nacional
WLWWWWWWLW
Bigua
WLWLLWWLLL
#3
League position
#7
+11.2
Net rating
+3.2
113.7
Offensive rating
107.6
102.5
Defensive rating
104.4
55.3%
Effective FG%
55.4%
47.7%
Opp. effective FG%
52.7%
17.3%
Turnover %
18.8%
31.3%
Off. rebound %
26.5%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.21
37.9%
3-point %
35.9%
66.4%
Assist %
67.8%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence113.7 · 107.6Defence102.5 · 104.4Shooting55.3% · 55.4%3-point %37.9% · 35.9%Ball care17.3% · 18.8%Off. rebounds31.3% · 26.5%Free throws0.30 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)80% · 40%
■ Nacional   ■ Bigua
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Nacional wins
7
Bigua wins
DateGameScore
27/11/23Bigua v Nacional101-94
06/05/23Bigua v Nacional79-88
03/05/23Nacional v Bigua80-93
26/04/23Bigua v Nacional87-68
22/04/23Nacional v Bigua91-84
19/04/23Bigua v Nacional69-70
09/02/23Bigua v Nacional94-86
02/12/22Nacional v Bigua83-93
05/02/22Bigua v Nacional91-88
05/11/21Nacional v Bigua82-94
Nacionallast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/01/24HSao Paulo86-82
27/01/24HQuimsa78-86
23/01/24HCordon86-61
19/01/24AAguada111-105 OT
16/01/24ATrouville99-79
13/01/24HGoes111-61
10/01/24ALarre Borges94-82
05/01/24AMalvin84-83
18/12/23AQuimsa78-86
17/12/23ASao Paulo89-84 OT
Bigualast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/01/24HLarre Borges94-61
26/01/24ACordon72-77
19/01/24HTrouville97-82
12/01/24ADefensor86-96
04/01/24HPenarol81-87
18/12/23HMalvin89-75
12/12/23AUrupan99-90
08/12/23HHebraica y Macabi67-80
05/12/23HAguada81-94
01/12/23AGoes86-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nacional
Liga Uruguaya 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW88%
HomeWWLWW88%
AwayWWWWW89%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %88%88%89%
Points / game93.488.098.2
Allowed / game81.774.088.6
Point differential+11.7+14.0+9.7
Avg total175.1162.0186.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %6%0%11%
Bigua
Liga Uruguaya 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW47%
HomeLWLWW60%
AwayWLWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %47%60%33%
Points / game84.884.785.0
Allowed / game83.680.587.1
Point differential+1.2+4.2-2.1
Avg total168.5165.2172.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%30%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)67% (3)0% (3)
Overtime %5%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nacional1715288%93.481.7+11.7
2 Penarol2017385%83.069.9+13.2
3 Aguada2015575%87.580.8+6.7
4 Defensor1912763%81.479.1+2.3
5 Hebraica y Macabi1911858%83.179.8+3.3
6 Bigua1991047%84.883.6+1.2
7 Malvin2091145%81.880.7+1.1
8 Cordon1981142%72.375.8-3.5
9 Trouville2061430%80.787.0-6.3
10 Urupan1851328%76.583.6-7.1
11 Goes1951426%78.386.4-8.1
12 Larre Borges2031715%76.289.8-13.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Nacional21917121271
Bigua14131913867
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