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BK Liepaja vs Rigas Zelli Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 18 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 70-86
17-17 27-18 15-24 11-27
Position#2
Record2-0
FormLWLWL
Points / game100.5
Allowed / game70.5
vs
Position#6
Record1-1
FormLWLLL
Points / game97.0
Allowed / game75.0
LatviaLatvian CupLatvian Cup - Quarter-finals
Other2026
Meetings · BK Liepaja v Rigas Zelli
03 Feb 2027
BK L v RZE
upcoming
18 Jan 2026
BK L70
RZE86
12 Dec 2025
BK L77
RZE79
05 Oct 2024
BK L78
RZE82
28 Jan 2024
BK L79
RZE90
12 Dec 2023
BK L84
RZE81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BK Liepaja winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rigas Zelli winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BK LiepajaLatviaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLiepaja
Date
Competition
Ventspils
#6
L
69-104
69
104
-35
51avg 76
A16/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#9
L
83-90
83
90
-7
68avg 76
H23/11
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#8
W
83-76
83
76
+7
66avg 76
A05/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#4
L
77-79
77
79
-2
66avg 76
H12/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#5
L
73-99
73
99
-26
62avg 76
A20/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#7
L
76-95
76
95
-19
62avg 76
A21/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Salaspils
#14
W
114-63
114
63
+51
118avg 76
A28/12
Latvian Cup
Latvijas Universitate
#13
L
84-103
84
103
-19
73avg 76
H05/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#6
W
87-78
87
78
+9
82avg 76
A10/01
Latvian Cup
Parnu
#9
L
69-85
69
85
-16
no box
A14/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-26
10-30
23-25
21-23
20-26
24-22
21-24
18-18
15-21
20-18
25-18
23-19
21-17
17-16
23-25
16-21
15-29
21-22
18-23
19-25
9-24
19-26
31-28
17-17
27-16
29-15
39-17
19-15
22-31
26-30
14-19
22-23
25-15
23-20
22-18
17-25
14-22
21-21
13-23
21-19
168.7Avg total
81.5Scored
87.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)100.570.5171.0+30.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (2)100.570.5171.0+30.0100%
Last 10 (10)81.587.2168.7-5.730%
Last 5 (5)86.084.8170.8+1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)74.687.8162.4-13.17%
vs Similar (4)76.884.2161.0-7.50%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)86.173.8159.9+12.382%
This opponent (Rigas Zelli) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rigas ZelliLatviaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZelli
Date
Competition
Tal Tech
#7
W
96-65
96
65
+31
96avg 81
H06/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Spartak Pleven
#20
W
85-81
85
81
+4
79avg 81
A09/12
ENBL
BK Liepaja
#11
W
79-77
79
77
+2
76avg 81
A12/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#13
W
109-65
109
65
+44
103avg 81
A16/12
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
W
80-77
80
77
+3
70avg 81
H21/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
76-78
76
78
-2
67avg 81
H27/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Daugavpils
#15
W
116-63
116
63
+53
120avg 81
A28/12
Latvian Cup
Valmiera Glass Via
#1
L
103-121
103
121
-18
96avg 81
A04/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#2
L
78-87
78
87
-9
63avg 81
H10/01
Latvian Cup
Ventspils
#6
L
95-100
95
100
-5
88avg 81
A13/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-10
24-17
22-19
24-19
26-28
17-21
20-15
22-17
17-21
16-17
25-23
21-16
27-10
22-19
35-22
25-14
26-24
14-15
23-20
17-18
20-17
21-25
23-20
12-16
22-9
25-18
38-18
31-18
31-30
27-36
26-19
19-36
15-25
20-23
18-22
25-17
21-22
27-24
23-25
24-29
173.1Avg total
91.7Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)97.075.0172.0+22.050%
Season at home (1)78.087.0165.0-9.00%
Season away (1)116.063.0179.0+53.0100%
Last 10 (10)91.781.4173.1+10.360%
Last 5 (5)93.689.8183.4+3.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)80.085.3165.3-5.333%
vs Similar (6)89.387.3176.7+2.067%
vs Weaker (20)91.076.5167.5+14.575%
This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.4-4.4Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +5.0+5.0Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +2.0+2.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.4-4.4Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +5.0+5.0Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +2.0+2.0
BK LiepajaRigas Zelli
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BK LiepajaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ventspils
#6
L
25-56
25
56
-31
A16/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#9
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H23/11
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#8
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A05/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#4
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H12/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#5
L
36-51
36
51
-15
A20/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#7
L
28-50
28
50
-22
A21/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Salaspils
#14
W
56-31
56
31
+25
A28/12
Latvian Cup
Latvijas Universitate
#13
L
48-61
48
61
-13
H05/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#6
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A10/01
Latvian Cup
Parnu
#9
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A14/01
Latvia-Estonian League
84.0Avg total
39.3Scored
44.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.240.180.3+0.157%-
Last 30 at home (11)42.240.482.5+1.855%-
Last 30 away (19)39.140.079.1-0.958%-
Last 10 (10)39.344.784.0-5.430%-
Last 5 (5)43.044.087.0-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)37.443.981.3-6.621%-
vs Similar (4)38.539.077.5-0.575%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)43.036.579.5+6.591%-
This opponent (Rigas Zelli) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rigas ZelliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tal Tech
#7
W
50-27
50
27
+23
H06/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Spartak Pleven
#20
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A09/12
ENBL
BK Liepaja
#11
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A12/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#13
W
49-29
49
29
+20
A16/12
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H21/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H27/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Daugavpils
#15
W
47-27
47
27
+20
A28/12
Latvian Cup
Valmiera Glass Via
#1
L
58-66
58
66
-8
A04/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#2
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H10/01
Latvian Cup
Ventspils
#6
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A13/01
Latvia-Estonian League
85.5Avg total
44.4Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.840.686.4+5.160%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.940.884.6+3.157%-
Last 30 away (16)47.440.587.9+6.962%-
Last 10 (10)44.441.185.5+3.350%-
Last 5 (5)45.845.891.6+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)39.346.786.0-7.30%-
vs Similar (6)47.345.292.5+2.250%-
vs Weaker (20)46.239.085.2+7.270%-
This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
BK Liepajatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BK Liepaja: 81.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.3 points a game
47%
33%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.519.7
52.5%
52.2%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.08.5
27.4%
29.9%25.5
🏀 Free throws24.716.9
68.4%
69.7%16.9
They take 68.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rigas Zellitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rigas Zelli: 90.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.3 points a game
47%
33%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.420.7
56.9%
52.2%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.911.0
35.6%
29.9%33.0
🏀 Free throws23.816.5
69.3%
69.7%16.5
They take 67.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
BK Liepaja
LWLWLLLWLL
Rigas Zelli
LLLWLWWWWW
#2
League position
#6
-6.2
Net rating
+10.8
101.9
Offensive rating
108.9
108.2
Defensive rating
98.2
47.4%
Effective FG%
55.3%
53.2%
Opp. effective FG%
46.9%
16.3%
Turnover %
17.3%
30.4%
Off. rebound %
30.9%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.35
27.4%
3-point %
35.6%
52.8%
Assist %
58.7%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence101.9 · 108.9Defence108.2 · 98.2Shooting47.4% · 55.3%3-point %27.4% · 35.6%Ball care16.3% · 17.3%Off. rebounds30.4% · 30.9%Free throws0.36 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ BK Liepaja   ■ Rigas Zelli
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
BK Liepaja wins
7
Rigas Zelli wins
BK Liepajalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/26AParnu69-85
10/01/26ARigas Zelli87-78
05/01/26HLatvijas Universitate84-103
28/12/25ASalaspils114-63
21/12/25ATal Tech76-95
20/12/25ABC Kalev/Cramo73-99
12/12/25HRigas Zelli77-79
05/12/25ABK Ogre83-76
23/11/25HParnu83-90
16/11/25AVentspils69-104
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/26AVentspils95-100
10/01/26HBK Liepaja78-87
04/01/26AValmiera Glass Via103-121
28/12/25ADaugavpils116-63
27/12/25HTartu Ulikool76-78
21/12/25HVEF Riga80-77
16/12/25ALatvijas Universitate109-65
12/12/25ABK Liepaja79-77
09/12/25ASpartak Pleven85-81
06/12/25HTal Tech96-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BK Liepaja
Latvian Cup 2026
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
Home--
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games2-2
Win %100%-100%
Points / game100.5-100.5
Allowed / game70.5-70.5
Point differential+30.0-+30.0
Avg total171.0-171.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%-50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Rigas Zelli
Latvian Cup 2026
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game97.078.0116.0
Allowed / game75.087.063.0
Point differential+22.0-9.0+53.0
Avg total172.0165.0179.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BK Liepaja220100%100.570.5+30.0
2 Valmiera Glass Via330100%102.775.0+27.7
3 Latvijas Universitate220100%91.084.0+7.0
4 Ventspils32167%97.786.3+11.3
5 BK Ogre32167%95.393.0+2.3
6 Rigas Zelli21150%97.075.0+22.0
7 Vef Riga Skola21150%74.073.5+0.5
8 VEF Riga31233%94.084.3+9.7
9 Gulbenes Buki1010%99.0101.0-2.0
10 Jekabpils1010%92.0100.0-8.0
11 Jelgava1010%66.079.0-13.0
12 Sigulda1010%73.0106.0-33.0
13 Bauskas BJSS1010%60.0111.0-51.0
14 Salaspils1010%63.0114.0-51.0
15 Daugavpils1010%63.0116.0-53.0
16 Rigas Juniori1010%56.0117.0-61.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
BK Liepaja1727151170
Rigas Zelli1718242786
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