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BK Ogre vs BK Liepaja Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 74-96
16-28 22-18 17-22 19-28
Position#5
Record-
FormWWLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#6
Record-
FormWWWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
LatviaLatvian CupLatvian Cup - Quarter-finals· Ogres
Other2024
Meetings · BK Ogre v BK Liepaja
17 Feb 2027
BK O v BK L
upcoming
05 Dec 2025
BK O76
BK L83
01 Mar 2025
BK O91
BK L96
18 Jan 2025
BK O69
BK L78
22 Apr 2024
BK O81
BK L85
16 Apr 2024
BK O94
BK L79
10 Apr 2024
BK O89
BK L81
06 Jan 2024
BK O74
BK L96
14 Oct 2023
BK O86
BK L62
10 May 2023
BK O82
BK L81
04 May 2023
BK O66
BK L78
19 Oct 2022
BK O81
BK L68
20 Apr 2022
BK O84
BK L69
14 Apr 2022
BK O82
BK L65
23 Mar 2022
BK O90
BK L76
15 May 2021
BK O v BK L
upcoming
09 May 2021
BK O90
BK L87
10 Mar 2021
BK O75
BK L98
30 Jan 2021
BK O92
BK L74
24 Oct 2020
BK O94
BK L77
17 Nov 2018
BK O95
BK L68
31 Mar 2018
BK O110
BK L74
29 Nov 2017
BK O77
BK L73
25 Mar 2017
BK O77
BK L87
03 Dec 2016
BK O71
BK L53
12 Mar 2016
BK O77
BK L86
28 Nov 2015
BK O54
BK L92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BK Ogre winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
BK Liepaja winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BK OgreLatviaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOgre
Date
Competition
Tartu Ulikool
#5
L
65-80
65
80
-15
56avg 78
H21/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
W
94-73
94
73
+21
86avg 78
A27/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Prometey
#2
W
85-76
85
76
+9
88avg 78
A04/11
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
51-106
51
106
-55
30avg 78
A10/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#15
W
88-71
88
71
+17
91avg 78
H15/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Tallinna Kalev
#16
W
101-73
101
73
+28
99avg 78
H25/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#9
W
93-90
93
90
+3
88avg 78
A02/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#4
L
78-84
78
84
-6
79avg 78
A08/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#8
W
93-72
93
72
+21
98avg 78
H20/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#6
L
75-87
75
87
-12
66avg 78
H29/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-16
16-20
6-21
14-23
19-9
22-22
24-19
29-23
29-18
15-24
25-19
16-15
13-24
13-31
14-27
11-24
28-15
13-18
22-17
25-21
25-21
22-15
29-20
25-17
22-17
23-20
23-24
25-29
15-23
28-17
13-23
22-21
30-13
22-21
18-15
23-23
22-20
14-21
16-24
23-22
163.5Avg total
82.3Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)82.381.2163.5+1.160%
Last 5 (5)88.081.2169.2+6.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)68.885.0153.8-16.217%
vs Similar ◀ (13)80.886.1166.8-5.331%
vs Weaker (11)89.371.4160.6+17.982%
This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BK LiepajaLatviaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLiepaja
Date
Competition
Rapla
#10
W
72-65
72
65
+7
62avg 73
H02/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Tallinna Kalev
#16
W
87-63
87
63
+24
85avg 73
H09/11
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
L
78-85
78
85
-7
72avg 73
H14/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#9
L
68-89
68
89
-21
64avg 73
A18/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#15
L
73-78
73
78
-5
70avg 73
A19/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
W
88-65
88
65
+23
87avg 73
A24/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#8
W
75-65
75
65
+10
65avg 73
H07/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#6
W
84-81 OT
84
81
+3
76avg 73
H12/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#5
L
63-78
63
78
-15
59avg 73
A22/12
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
L
76-86
76
86
-10
60avg 73
A29/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-21
19-22
16-12
16-10
29-16
20-15
18-20
20-12
21-26
14-19
21-19
22-21
20-17
16-23
17-23
15-26
19-11
23-20
18-19
13-28
17-12
23-18
25-17
23-18
20-17
16-15
17-7
22-26
17-18
18-27
24-14
14-14
20-17
16-20
7-21
20-20
11-24
20-21
22-19
23-22
151.9Avg total
76.4Scored
75.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)76.475.5151.9+0.950%
Last 5 (5)77.275.0152.2+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)74.285.5159.7-11.431%
vs Similar ◀ (9)82.780.4163.1+2.267%
vs Weaker (8)81.968.5150.4+13.475%
This opponent (BK Ogre) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.6+5.6Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -0.9-0.9
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.6+5.6Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -0.9-0.9
BK OgreBK Liepaja
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BK OgreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tartu Ulikool
#5
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H21/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A27/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Prometey
#2
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A04/11
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
26-55
26
55
-29
A10/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#15
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H15/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Tallinna Kalev
#16
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H25/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#9
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A02/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#4
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A08/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#8
W
52-34
52
34
+18
H20/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#6
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H29/12
Latvia-Estonian League
80.5Avg total
42.0Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.540.482.9+2.057%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.540.584.1+3.060%-
Last 30 away (15)41.440.381.7+1.153%-
Last 10 (10)42.038.580.5+3.580%-
Last 5 (5)44.637.682.2+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)36.242.578.7-6.317%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)44.343.587.8+0.854%-
vs Weaker (11)43.735.779.5+8.082%-
This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BK LiepajaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rapla
#10
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H02/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Tallinna Kalev
#16
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H09/11
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H14/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#9
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A18/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#15
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A19/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
W
40-30
40
30
+10
A24/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#8
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H07/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#6
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H12/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#5
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A22/12
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A29/12
Latvia-Estonian League
75.9Avg total
38.0Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.440.579.8-1.143%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.940.180.0-0.150%-
Last 30 away (16)38.940.879.7-1.938%-
Last 10 (10)38.037.975.9+0.140%-
Last 5 (5)35.637.873.4-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)35.043.178.1-8.123%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)42.643.686.1-1.033%-
vs Weaker (8)42.932.875.6+10.188%-
This opponent (BK Ogre) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
BK Ogretheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BK Ogre: 81.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.3 points a game
47%
33%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.521.6
52.0%
52.2%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.17.9
35.7%
29.9%23.7
🏀 Free throws19.414.4
74.2%
69.7%14.4
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
BK Liepajatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BK Liepaja: 75.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.3 points a game
47%
33%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.919.1
51.8%
52.2%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.98.0
30.9%
29.9%24.0
🏀 Free throws18.713.6
72.7%
69.7%13.6
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
BK Ogre
LWLWWWLWWL
BK Liepaja
LLWWWLLLWW
#5
League position
#6
+1.2
Net rating
+0.9
108.1
Offensive rating
101.2
106.9
Defensive rating
100.3
52.6%
Effective FG%
49.5%
51.4%
Opp. effective FG%
45.3%
20.4%
Turnover %
19.3%
34.1%
Off. rebound %
28.1%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.30
35.7%
3-point %
30.9%
62.4%
Assist %
59.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence108.1 · 101.2Defence106.9 · 100.3Shooting52.6% · 49.5%3-point %35.7% · 30.9%Ball care20.4% · 19.3%Off. rebounds34.1% · 28.1%Free throws0.31 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ BK Ogre   ■ BK Liepaja
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
BK Ogre wins
3
BK Liepaja wins
DateGameScore
14/10/23BK Ogre v BK Liepaja86-62
13/05/23BK Liepaja v BK Ogre82-75
10/05/23BK Ogre v BK Liepaja82-81
07/05/23BK Liepaja v BK Ogre111-108 OT
04/05/23BK Ogre v BK Liepaja66-78
10/02/23BK Liepaja v BK Ogre68-99
19/10/22BK Ogre v BK Liepaja81-68
20/04/22BK Ogre v BK Liepaja84-69
16/04/22BK Liepaja v BK Ogre84-89
14/04/22BK Ogre v BK Liepaja82-65
BK Ogrelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/23HRigas Zelli75-87
20/12/23HParnu93-72
08/12/23AVentspils78-84
02/12/23ATal Tech93-90
25/11/23HTallinna Kalev101-73
15/11/23HViimsi88-71
10/11/23ABC Kalev/Cramo51-106
04/11/23APrometey85-76
27/10/23AValmiera Glass Via94-73
21/10/23HTartu Ulikool65-80
BK Liepajalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/23AVEF Riga76-86
22/12/23ATartu Ulikool63-78
12/12/23HRigas Zelli84-81 OT
07/12/23HParnu75-65
24/11/23AValmiera Glass Via88-65
19/11/23AViimsi73-78
18/11/23ATal Tech68-89
14/11/23HVEF Riga78-85
09/11/23HTallinna Kalev87-63
02/11/23HRapla72-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BK Ogre
Latvian Cup 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
BK Liepaja
Latvian Cup 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ventspils110100%103.085.0+18.0
2 Latvijas Universitate1010%85.0103.0-18.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
BK Ogre1622171974
BK Liepaja2818222896
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