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BK Liepaja vs Valga Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Nov 2018
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 85-76
28-22 8-16 20-11 29-27
Position#14
Record1-6
FormWLLLL
Points / game68.1
Allowed / game93.6
vs
Position#13
Record1-5
FormLLLWL
Points / game68.2
Allowed / game80.5
Meetings · BK Liepaja v Valga
03 Nov 2018
BK L85
VALG76
10 Mar 2018
BK L81
VALG89
29 Mar 2017
BK L108
VALG85
29 Dec 2015
BK L96
VALG73
04 Oct 2012
BK L96
VALG66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BK Liepaja winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BK LiepajaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Malta U18
#9
W
77-66 OT
77
66
+11
A25/07
EuroBasket U18 C
Gibraltar U18
#7
L
64-66
64
66
-2
A27/07
EuroBasket U18 C
San Marino U18
#6
L
58-67
58
67
-9
H28/07
EuroBasket U18 C
Tal Tech
#5
L
82-99
82
99
-17
A30/09
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#3
L
57-97
57
97
-40
A01/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Jekabpils
#15
W
81-65
81
65
+16
H06/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#8
L
62-93
62
93
-31
H13/10
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#2
L
47-102
47
102
-55
A16/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#1
L
66-110
66
110
-44
H20/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#9
L
82-89
82
89
-7
H28/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-17
13-21
19-12
15-14
23-16
16-18
10-19
15-13
6-29
10-13
21-16
21-9
25-28
21-25
18-28
18-18
28-38
9-20
14-21
6-18
19-25
22-12
20-18
20-10
11-25
22-18
15-26
14-24
6-25
20-22
6-30
15-25
21-33
14-27
16-32
15-18
16-24
24-19
19-22
23-24
153.0Avg total
67.6Scored
85.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)68.193.6161.7-25.414%
Season at home (4)72.889.2162.0-16.525%
Season away (3)62.099.3161.3-37.30%
Last 10 (10)67.685.4153.0-17.820%
Last 5 (5)67.691.8159.4-24.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)64.994.3159.3-29.40%
vs Similar ◀ (8)74.578.4152.9-3.925%
vs Weaker (4)79.870.0149.8+9.875%
This opponent (Valga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValgaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BK Ogre
#4
L
79-94
79
94
-15
A25/04
LBL
Parnu
#5
L
66-90
66
90
-24
A26/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BK Ogre
#4
L
81-93
81
93
-12
H29/04
LBL
BK Ogre
#4
L
51-85
51
85
-34
A02/05
LBL
Valmiera Glass Via
#12
L
84-88
84
88
-4
A29/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Jurmala
#7
L
67-90
67
90
-23
H03/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tallinna Kalev
#10
L
61-87
61
87
-26
A06/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#4
L
65-81
65
81
-16
H12/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#11
W
62-58
62
58
+4
H19/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#8
L
70-79
70
79
-9
H27/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-30
13-22
25-19
29-23
12-18
16-24
25-27
13-21
19-26
20-26
25-13
17-28
17-22
9-20
13-17
12-26
16-21
27-22
20-24
21-21
13-26
17-22
21-23
16-19
14-27
21-17
11-28
15-15
15-24
14-14
16-21
20-22
13-15
4-21
24-12
21-10
14-14
25-20
18-20
13-25
153.1Avg total
68.6Scored
84.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)68.280.5148.7-12.317%
Season at home (4)66.077.0143.0-11.025%
Season away (2)72.587.5160.0-15.00%
Last 10 (10)68.684.5153.1-15.910%
Last 5 (5)65.079.0144.0-14.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)67.788.2155.9-20.50%
vs Similar ◀ (14)78.978.9157.9+0.057%
vs Weaker (1)105.088.0193.0+17.0100%
This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: -8.8-8.8Q1: -7.8-7.8Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: -4.2-4.2Q3Q3: -6.6-6.6Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -3.3-3.3
BK LiepajaValga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BK LiepajaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Malta U18
#9
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A25/07
EuroBasket U18 C
Gibraltar U18
#7
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A27/07
EuroBasket U18 C
San Marino U18
#6
L
16-42
16
42
-26
H28/07
EuroBasket U18 C
Tal Tech
#5
L
46-53
46
53
-7
A30/09
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#3
L
37-58
37
58
-21
A01/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Jekabpils
#15
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H06/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#8
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H13/10
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#2
L
26-47
26
47
-21
A16/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#1
L
35-60
35
60
-25
H20/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#9
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H28/10
Latvia-Estonian League
79.8Avg total
34.3Scored
45.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.944.779.6-9.927%-
Last 30 at home (17)33.645.679.2-12.124%-
Last 30 away (13)36.543.580.1-7.031%-
Last 10 (10)34.345.579.8-11.220%-
Last 5 (5)35.046.081.0-11.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)32.749.582.2-16.80%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)39.138.978.0+0.262%-
vs Weaker (4)36.035.071.0+1.075%-
This opponent (Valga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValgaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BK Ogre
#4
L
25-52
25
52
-27
A25/04
LBL
Parnu
#5
L
28-42
28
42
-14
A26/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BK Ogre
#4
L
39-52
39
52
-13
H29/04
LBL
BK Ogre
#4
L
26-42
26
42
-16
A02/05
LBL
Valmiera Glass Via
#12
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A29/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Jurmala
#7
L
30-48
30
48
-18
H03/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tallinna Kalev
#10
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A06/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#4
L
29-38
29
38
-9
H12/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#11
L
17-36
17
36
-19
H19/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#8
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H27/10
Latvia-Estonian League
74.2Avg total
31.1Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.142.578.6-6.530%-
Last 30 at home (14)33.942.376.2-8.429%-
Last 30 away (16)37.942.880.7-4.831%-
Last 10 (10)31.143.174.2-12.010%-
Last 5 (5)30.040.070.0-10.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)32.944.777.6-11.97%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)38.339.677.9-1.350%-
vs Weaker (1)53.051.0104.0+2.0100%-
This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
BK Liepaja wins
3
Valga wins
DateGameScore
10/03/18BK Liepaja v Valga81-89
11/11/17Valga v BK Liepaja77-80
29/03/17BK Liepaja v Valga108-85
21/12/16Valga v BK Liepaja58-93
02/04/16Valga v BK Liepaja84-67
29/12/15BK Liepaja v Valga96-73
16/11/12Valga v BK Liepaja60-57
04/10/12BK Liepaja v Valga96-66
BK Liepajalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/18HRapla82-89
20/10/18HVentspils66-110
16/10/18AVEF Riga47-102
13/10/18HParnu62-93
06/10/18HJekabpils81-65
01/10/18ABC Kalev/Cramo57-97
30/09/18ATal Tech82-99
28/07/18HSan Marino U1858-67
27/07/18AGibraltar U1864-66
25/07/18AMalta U1877-66 OT
Valgalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/10/18HParnu70-79
19/10/18HLatvijas Universitate62-58
12/10/18HBK Ogre65-81
06/10/18ATallinna Kalev61-87
03/10/18HJurmala67-90
29/09/18AValmiera Glass Via84-88
02/05/18ABK Ogre51-85
29/04/18HBK Ogre81-93
26/04/18AParnu66-90
25/04/18ABK Ogre79-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BK Liepaja
Latvia-Estonian League 2018
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL14%
HomeWLLL25%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %14%25%0%
Points / game68.172.862.0
Allowed / game93.689.299.3
Point differential-25.4-16.5-37.3
Avg total161.7162.0161.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Valga
Latvia-Estonian League 2018
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL17%
HomeLLWL25%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %17%25%0%
Points / game68.266.072.5
Allowed / game80.577.087.5
Point differential-12.3-11.0-15.0
Avg total148.7143.0160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Kalev/Cramo770100%92.671.0+21.6
2 Ventspils87188%93.275.6+17.6
3 VEF Riga54180%96.866.8+30.0
4 Tartu Ulikool64267%84.078.2+5.8
5 BK Ogre85362%91.981.9+10.0
6 Tallinna Kalev85362%80.878.1+2.6
7 Tal Tech74357%79.781.6-1.9
8 Parnu73443%77.381.0-3.7
9 Latvijas Universitate52340%70.276.0-5.8
10 Jurmala83538%78.180.6-2.5
11 Rapla83538%75.585.2-9.8
12 Valmiera Glass Via62433%91.798.7-7.0
13 Valga61517%68.280.5-12.3
14 BK Liepaja71614%68.193.6-25.4
15 Jekabpils6060%66.886.5-19.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
BK Liepaja288202985
Valga2216112776
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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