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BK Liepaja vs VEF Riga Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 13 Feb 2027
Tip-off: 17:00
Scheduled
Position#12
Record2-5
FormLLLLW
Points / game80.1
Allowed / game78.6
vs
Position#2
Record7-1
FormWLWLL
Points / game89.8
Allowed / game71.4
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Liepajas Olimpiskais centrs
Other2026
Meetings · BK Liepaja v VEF Riga
13 Feb 2027
BK L v VRI
upcoming
14 Mar 2026
BK L74
VRI86
14 Dec 2024
BK L89
VRI80
28 Apr 2024
BK L64
VRI86
14 Nov 2023
BK L78
VRI85
28 Apr 2023
BK L60
VRI92
23 Apr 2023
BK L76
VRI71
30 Sep 2022
BK L98
VRI93
30 Oct 2021
BK L77
VRI83
28 Apr 2021
BK L81
VRI100
13 Mar 2021
BK L74
VRI85
04 Nov 2020
BK L81
VRI95
06 Feb 2019
BK L70
VRI106
04 Apr 2018
BK L52
VRI100
28 Feb 2018
BK L56
VRI98
16 Apr 2017
BK L75
VRI84
03 Feb 2016
BK L108
VRI102
08 May 2015
BK L69
VRI92
03 May 2015
BK L70
VRI83
28 Jan 2015
BK L87
VRI95
28 Dec 2013
BK L67
VRI81
19 Dec 2012
BK L69
VRI100
08 Oct 2011
BK L76
VRI83
24 Oct 2010
BK L69
VRI66
30 Sep 2009
BK L57
VRI95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BK Liepaja win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
VEF Riga win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BK LiepajaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLiepaja
Date
Competition
Parnu
#10
L
73-76
73
76
-3
70avg 68
A26/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#5
L
83-87
83
87
-4
61avg 68
H30/09
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#2
L
55-82
55
82
-27
45avg 68
A03/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Lausanne Basket
#18
W
81-74
81
74
+7
74avg 68
H06/10
ENBL
Rigas Juniori
#8
W
98-88
98
88
+10
86avg 68
H11/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#6
L
71-78
71
78
-7
63avg 68
H14/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#1
L
69-85
69
85
-16
54avg 68
A17/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Kapfenberg Bulls
#1
L
83-108
83
108
-25
77avg 68
A21/10
ENBL
Bristol Flyers
#14
L
72-85
72
85
-13
62avg 68
H27/10
ENBL
Viimsi
#13
W
112-54
112
54
+58
no box
H31/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-16
18-23
16-18
21-19
20-25
22-23
24-20
17-19
12-17
20-28
11-27
12-10
20-23
23-19
21-15
17-17
23-24
26-23
21-21
28-20
20-16
16-17
15-24
20-21
20-21
14-20
19-24
16-20
22-17
23-30
15-30
23-31
20-19
8-21
28-18
16-27
37-7
21-18
33-12
21-17
161.4Avg total
79.7Scored
81.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)80.178.6158.7+1.629%
Season at home (4)91.076.8167.8+14.250%
Season away (3)65.781.0146.7-15.30%
Last 10 (10)79.781.7161.4-2.030%
Last 5 (5)81.482.0163.4-0.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)76.388.8165.1-12.56%
vs Similar (3)75.076.0151.0-1.033%
vs Weaker (9)89.182.6171.7+6.656%
This opponent (VEF Riga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VEF RigaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRiga
Date
Competition
Keila KK
#11
W
90-60
90
60
+30
93avg 85
H29/09
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#12
W
82-55
82
55
+27
84avg 85
H03/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Lok. Plovdiv
#27
W
106-83
106
83
+23
105avg 85
H07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Tal Tech
#6
W
90-70
90
70
+20
84avg 85
A10/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Neftchi IK
#45
W
110-94
110
94
+16
117avg 85
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Parnu
#10
W
89-72
89
72
+17
84avg 85
H17/10
Latvia-Estonian League
CSM Oradea
#8
L
84-92
84
92
-8
77avg 85
A21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Valmiera Glass Via
#3
W
97-89
97
89
+8
94avg 85
A24/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Mykonos
#3
L
88-91
88
91
-3
83avg 85
H28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Tartu Ulikool
#5
L
74-86
74
86
-12
no box
H31/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-21
21-10
17-10
19-19
17-12
28-20
27-11
10-12
27-27
26-14
28-17
25-25
18-15
21-18
28-19
23-18
24-26
26-30
30-16
30-22
17-19
19-15
29-17
24-21
23-20
17-20
22-25
22-27
22-16
20-17
27-27
28-29
26-20
21-20
25-18
16-33
34-25
17-15
9-18
14-28
170.2Avg total
91.0Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)89.871.4161.1+18.488%
Season at home (5)87.867.8155.6+20.080%
Season away (3)93.077.3170.3+15.7100%
Last 10 (10)91.079.2170.2+11.870%
Last 5 (5)86.486.0172.4+0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)86.389.9176.2-3.633%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)89.571.8161.3+17.890%
This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: +3.7+3.7Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +6.4+6.4Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -2.3-2.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: +3.7+3.7Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +6.4+6.4Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -2.3-2.3
BK LiepajaVEF Riga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BK LiepajaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Parnu
#10
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A26/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#5
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H30/09
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#2
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A03/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Lausanne Basket
#18
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H06/10
ENBL
Rigas Juniori
#8
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H11/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#6
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H14/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#1
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A17/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Kapfenberg Bulls
#1
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A21/10
ENBL
Bristol Flyers
#14
L
28-40
28
40
-12
H27/10
ENBL
Viimsi
#13
W
58-25
58
25
+33
H31/10
Latvia-Estonian League
81.0Avg total
40.3Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.142.883.9-1.637%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.742.685.2+0.150%-
Last 30 away (14)39.443.082.4-3.621%-
Last 10 (10)40.340.781.0-0.440%-
Last 5 (5)40.237.277.4+3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)36.843.980.7-7.212%-
vs Similar (3)38.338.076.3+0.367%-
vs Weaker (9)48.743.492.1+5.267%-
This opponent (VEF Riga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VEF RigaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keila KK
#11
W
54-31
54
31
+23
H29/09
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#12
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H03/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Lok. Plovdiv
#27
W
53-41
53
41
+12
H07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Tal Tech
#6
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A10/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Neftchi IK
#45
L
50-56
50
56
-6
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Parnu
#10
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H17/10
Latvia-Estonian League
CSM Oradea
#8
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Valmiera Glass Via
#3
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A24/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Mykonos
#3
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Tartu Ulikool
#5
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H31/10
Latvia-Estonian League
83.7Avg total
45.7Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.239.085.2+7.380%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.138.584.5+7.693%-
Last 30 away (15)46.439.585.9+6.967%-
Last 10 (10)45.738.083.7+7.780%-
Last 5 (5)43.237.480.6+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)43.139.882.9+3.378%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)47.538.185.7+9.480%-
This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
BK Liepajatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BK Liepaja: 74.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.217.2
46.2%
52.7%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.57.9
32.2%
31.2%23.7
🏀 Free throws24.316.8
69.1%
67.8%16.8
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
VEF Rigatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

VEF Riga: 92.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.423.7
58.7%
52.7%47.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.68.8
31.9%
31.2%26.4
🏀 Free throws25.618.9
73.8%
67.8%18.9
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Feb 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
BK Liepaja
WLLLLWWLLL
VEF Riga
LLWLWWWWWW
#12
League position
#2
-11.3
Net rating
+18.5
86.5
Offensive rating
104.6
97.8
Defensive rating
86.1
47.1%
Effective FG%
54.3%
54.0%
Opp. effective FG%
50.2%
16.7%
Turnover %
11.7%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.38
32.2%
3-point %
31.9%
61.8%
Assist %
74.5%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence86.5 · 104.6Defence97.8 · 86.1Shooting47.1% · 54.3%3-point %32.2% · 31.9%Ball care16.7% · 11.7%Free throws0.39 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ BK Liepaja   ■ VEF Riga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
BK Liepaja wins
9
VEF Riga wins
DateGameScore
03/10/26VEF Riga v BK Liepaja82-55
14/03/26BK Liepaja v VEF Riga74-86
04/11/25VEF Riga v BK Liepaja83-71
14/12/24BK Liepaja v VEF Riga89-80
05/11/24VEF Riga v BK Liepaja74-58
01/05/24VEF Riga v BK Liepaja73-48
28/04/24BK Liepaja v VEF Riga64-86
25/04/24VEF Riga v BK Liepaja77-56
29/12/23VEF Riga v BK Liepaja86-76
14/11/23BK Liepaja v VEF Riga78-85
BK Liepajalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/26HViimsi112-54
27/10/26HBristol Flyers72-85
21/10/26AKapfenberg Bulls83-108
17/10/26ARigas Zelli69-85
14/10/26HTal Tech71-78
11/10/26HRigas Juniori98-88
06/10/26HLausanne Basket81-74
03/10/26AVEF Riga55-82
30/09/26HTartu Ulikool83-87
26/09/26AParnu73-76
VEF Rigalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/26HTartu Ulikool74-86
28/10/26HMykonos88-91
24/10/26AValmiera Glass Via97-89
21/10/26ACSM Oradea84-92
17/10/26HParnu89-72
14/10/26ANeftchi IK110-94
10/10/26ATal Tech90-70
07/10/26HLok. Plovdiv106-83
03/10/26HBK Liepaja82-55
29/09/26HKeila KK90-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BK Liepaja
Latvia-Estonian League 2026
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW29%
HomeLWLW50%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %29%50%0%
Points / game80.191.065.7
Allowed / game78.676.881.0
Point differential+1.6+14.2-15.3
Avg total158.7167.8146.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
VEF Riga
Latvia-Estonian League 2026
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL88%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %88%80%100%
Points / game89.887.893.0
Allowed / game71.467.877.3
Point differential+18.4+20.0+15.7
Avg total161.1155.6170.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%80%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rigas Zelli770100%94.075.6+18.4
2 VEF Riga87188%89.871.4+18.4
3 Valmiera Glass Via76186%91.775.7+16.0
4 Ventspils86275%87.081.1+5.9
5 Tartu Ulikool75271%82.374.0+8.3
6 Tal Tech96367%74.671.8+2.8
7 BC Kalev/Cramo74357%84.181.3+2.9
8 Rigas Juniori63350%84.288.3-4.2
9 BK Ogre73443%86.786.1+0.6
10 Parnu52340%77.478.6-1.2
11 Keila KK83538%71.983.6-11.8
12 BK Liepaja72529%80.178.6+1.6
13 Viimsi91811%71.286.0-14.8
14 Latvijas Universitate91811%76.991.9-15.0
15 Keila Coolbet8080%71.091.0-20.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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