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BK Liepaja vs VEF Riga Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 13 Feb 2027
Tip-off: 17:00
Scheduled
Position#11
Record4-6
FormLWWWL
Points / game82.4
Allowed / game77.3
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.1/10
Below normal
4.0/10
Below normal
Position#2
Record8-2
FormLWLWW
Points / game90.2
Allowed / game76.0
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Liepajas Olimpiskais centrs
Other2026
Meetings · BK Liepaja v VEF Riga
13 Feb 2027
BK L v VRI
upcoming
14 Mar 2026
BK L74
VRI86
14 Dec 2024
BK L89
VRI80
28 Apr 2024
BK L64
VRI86
14 Nov 2023
BK L78
VRI85
28 Apr 2023
BK L60
VRI92
23 Apr 2023
BK L76
VRI71
30 Sep 2022
BK L98
VRI93
30 Oct 2021
BK L77
VRI83
28 Apr 2021
BK L81
VRI100
13 Mar 2021
BK L74
VRI85
04 Nov 2020
BK L81
VRI95
06 Feb 2019
BK L70
VRI106
04 Apr 2018
BK L52
VRI100
28 Feb 2018
BK L56
VRI98
16 Apr 2017
BK L75
VRI84
03 Feb 2016
BK L108
VRI102
08 May 2015
BK L69
VRI92
03 May 2015
BK L70
VRI83
28 Jan 2015
BK L87
VRI95
28 Dec 2013
BK L67
VRI81
19 Dec 2012
BK L69
VRI100
08 Oct 2011
BK L76
VRI83
24 Oct 2010
BK L69
VRI66
30 Sep 2009
BK L57
VRI95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BK Liepaja win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
VEF Riga win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BK LiepajaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLiepaja
Date
Competition
Lausanne Basket
#18
W
81-74
81
74
+7
74avg 72
H06/10
ENBL
Rigas Juniori
#12
W
98-88
98
88
+10
86avg 72
H11/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#6
L
71-78
71
78
-7
63avg 72
H14/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#1
L
69-85
69
85
-16
54avg 72
A17/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Kapfenberg Bulls
#6
L
83-108
83
108
-25
77avg 72
A21/10
ENBL
Bristol Flyers
#10
L
72-85
72
85
-13
62avg 72
H27/10
ENBL
Viimsi
#13
W
112-54
112
54
+58
118avg 72
H31/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#15
W
92-65
92
65
+27
no box
H04/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Juniori
#12
W
99-69
99
69
+30
no box
A07/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#3
L
72-89
72
89
-17
no box
A14/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-23
23-19
21-15
17-17
23-24
26-23
21-21
28-20
20-16
16-17
15-24
20-21
20-21
14-20
19-24
16-20
22-17
23-30
15-30
23-31
20-19
8-21
28-18
16-27
37-7
21-18
33-12
21-17
28-17
21-9
25-21
18-18
23-24
28-17
28-12
20-16
18-23
18-21
15-28
21-17
164.4Avg total
84.9Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)82.477.3159.7+5.140%
Season at home (5)91.274.4165.6+16.860%
Season away (5)73.680.2153.8-6.620%
Last 10 (10)84.979.5164.4+5.450%
Last 5 (5)89.472.4161.8+17.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)75.289.9165.1-14.60%
vs Similar (2)82.080.5162.5+1.550%
vs Weaker (13)87.579.3166.8+8.254%
This opponent (VEF Riga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VEF RigaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRiga
Date
Competition
Neftchi IK
#38
W
110-94
110
94
+16
117avg 85
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Parnu
#7
W
89-72
89
72
+17
84avg 85
H17/10
Latvia-Estonian League
CSM Oradea
#15
L
84-92
84
92
-8
77avg 85
A21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Valmiera Glass Via
#3
W
97-89
97
89
+8
94avg 85
A24/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Mykonos
#7
L
88-91
88
91
-3
83avg 85
H28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Tartu Ulikool
#4
L
74-86
74
86
-12
69avg 85
H31/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Fribourg Olympic
#46
W
97-65
97
65
+32
no box
A04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Viimsi
#13
L
88-104
88
104
-16
no box
A08/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Lok. Plovdiv
#24
W
85-83
85
83
+2
no box
A11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Ventspils
#5
W
96-85
96
85
+11
no box
A14/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-26
26-30
30-16
30-22
17-19
19-15
29-17
24-21
23-20
17-20
22-25
22-27
22-16
20-17
27-27
28-29
26-20
21-20
25-18
16-33
34-25
17-15
9-18
14-28
26-14
27-14
21-22
23-15
25-27
14-18
26-30
23-29
20-24
22-28
22-17
21-14
26-26
22-19
21-13
27-27
176.9Avg total
90.8Scored
86.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)90.276.0166.2+14.280%
Season at home (5)87.867.8155.6+20.080%
Season away (5)92.684.2176.8+8.480%
Last 10 (10)90.886.1176.9+4.760%
Last 5 (5)88.084.6172.6+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)86.689.6176.2-3.038%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)89.574.6164.0+14.981%
This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -1.7-1.7
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -1.7-1.7
BK LiepajaVEF Riga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BK LiepajaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lausanne Basket
#18
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H06/10
ENBL
Rigas Juniori
#12
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H11/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#6
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H14/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#1
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A17/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Kapfenberg Bulls
#6
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A21/10
ENBL
Bristol Flyers
#10
L
28-40
28
40
-12
H27/10
ENBL
Viimsi
#13
W
58-25
58
25
+33
H31/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#15
W
49-26
49
26
+23
H04/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Juniori
#12
W
51-41
51
41
+10
A07/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#3
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A14/11
Latvia-Estonian League
81.5Avg total
42.9Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.042.484.4-0.340%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.442.185.5+1.250%-
Last 30 away (14)40.542.683.1-2.129%-
Last 10 (10)42.938.681.5+4.360%-
Last 5 (5)44.435.279.6+9.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)36.444.380.7-7.97%-
vs Similar (2)42.545.087.5-2.550%-
vs Weaker (13)46.940.887.7+6.269%-
This opponent (VEF Riga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VEF RigaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neftchi IK
#38
L
50-56
50
56
-6
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Parnu
#7
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H17/10
Latvia-Estonian League
CSM Oradea
#15
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Valmiera Glass Via
#3
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A24/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Mykonos
#7
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Tartu Ulikool
#4
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H31/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Fribourg Olympic
#46
W
53-28
53
28
+25
A04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Viimsi
#13
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A08/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Lok. Plovdiv
#24
L
42-52
42
52
-10
A11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Ventspils
#5
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A14/11
Latvia-Estonian League
86.1Avg total
44.8Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.739.585.1+6.277%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.138.584.5+7.693%-
Last 30 away (15)45.340.585.7+4.860%-
Last 10 (10)44.841.386.1+3.560%-
Last 5 (5)46.642.088.6+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)43.539.883.2+3.888%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)46.339.085.3+7.471%-
This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
BK Liepajatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BK Liepaja: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.018.7
49.2%
52.5%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.97.9
33.1%
31.4%23.7
🏀 Free throws25.618.1
70.7%
68.3%18.1
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
VEF Rigatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

VEF Riga: 91.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.723.1
58.2%
52.5%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.98.8
31.5%
31.4%26.4
🏀 Free throws26.018.4
70.8%
68.3%18.4
They take 67.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Feb 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
BK Liepaja
LWWWLLLLWW
VEF Riga
WWLWLLWLWW
#11
League position
#2
-2.0
Net rating
+14.5
91.6
Offensive rating
101.3
93.5
Defensive rating
86.9
49.4%
Effective FG%
53.7%
52.0%
Opp. effective FG%
50.1%
16.1%
Turnover %
12.4%
0.41
Free-throw rate
0.38
33.1%
3-point %
31.5%
63.2%
Assist %
77.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence91.6 · 101.3Defence93.5 · 86.9Shooting49.4% · 53.7%3-point %33.1% · 31.5%Ball care16.1% · 12.4%Free throws0.41 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ BK Liepaja   ■ VEF Riga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
BK Liepaja wins
9
VEF Riga wins
DateGameScore
03/10/26VEF Riga v BK Liepaja82-55
14/03/26BK Liepaja v VEF Riga74-86
04/11/25VEF Riga v BK Liepaja83-71
14/12/24BK Liepaja v VEF Riga89-80
05/11/24VEF Riga v BK Liepaja74-58
01/05/24VEF Riga v BK Liepaja73-48
28/04/24BK Liepaja v VEF Riga64-86
25/04/24VEF Riga v BK Liepaja77-56
29/12/23VEF Riga v BK Liepaja86-76
14/11/23BK Liepaja v VEF Riga78-85
BK Liepajalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AValmiera Glass Via72-89
07/11/26ARigas Juniori99-69
04/11/26HKeila Coolbet92-65
31/10/26HViimsi112-54
27/10/26HBristol Flyers72-85
21/10/26AKapfenberg Bulls83-108
17/10/26ARigas Zelli69-85
14/10/26HTal Tech71-78
11/10/26HRigas Juniori98-88
06/10/26HLausanne Basket81-74
VEF Rigalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AVentspils96-85
11/11/26ALok. Plovdiv85-83
08/11/26AViimsi88-104
04/11/26AFribourg Olympic97-65
31/10/26HTartu Ulikool74-86
28/10/26HMykonos88-91
24/10/26AValmiera Glass Via97-89
21/10/26ACSM Oradea84-92
17/10/26HParnu89-72
14/10/26ANeftchi IK110-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BK Liepaja
Latvia-Estonian League 2026
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL40%
HomeLWLWW60%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %40%60%20%
Points / game82.491.273.6
Allowed / game77.374.480.2
Point differential+5.1+16.8-6.6
Avg total159.7165.6153.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%60%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
VEF Riga
Latvia-Estonian League 2026
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW80%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayWWWLW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %80%80%80%
Points / game90.287.892.6
Allowed / game76.067.884.2
Point differential+14.2+20.0+8.4
Avg total166.2155.6176.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+70%80%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rigas Zelli990100%93.774.1+19.6
2 VEF Riga108280%90.276.0+14.2
3 Valmiera Glass Via108280%89.876.4+13.4
4 Tartu Ulikool85362%82.876.4+6.4
5 Ventspils106460%86.183.4+2.7
6 Tal Tech106460%73.773.8-0.1
7 Parnu74357%78.978.1+0.7
8 BC Kalev/Cramo95456%85.181.9+3.2
9 Keila KK105550%74.381.6-7.3
10 BK Ogre94544%86.786.7+0.0
11 BK Liepaja104640%82.477.3+5.1
12 Rigas Juniori83538%80.088.5-8.5
13 Viimsi112918%74.386.8-12.5
14 Latvijas Universitate101910%76.891.6-14.8
15 Keila Coolbet9090%70.391.1-20.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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