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BK Ogre vs Keila KK Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 04 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 112-99 (OT)
22-29 17-25 25-24 29-15 19-6
Position#8
Record9-11
FormLWWLL
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game78.5
vs
Position#12
Record4-15
FormLLLWL
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game94.6
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Ogres
Other2025
Meetings · BK Ogre v Keila KK
13 Nov 2026
BK O v KEIL
upcoming
04 Feb 2026
BK O112
KEIL99
08 Jan 2025
BK O99
KEIL91
02 Mar 2024
BK O89
KEIL65
21 Jan 2023
BK O97
KEIL76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BK Ogre winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Keila KK winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BK OgreLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOgre
Date
Competition
BC Kalev/Cramo
#5
W
111-101 OT
111
101
+10
110avg 75
H13/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Jekabpils
#10
W
100-92
100
92
+8
85avg 75
A17/12
Latvian Cup
Valmiera Glass Via
#1
W
90-77
90
77
+13
83avg 75
H20/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#6
W
85-83
85
83
+2
82avg 75
A04/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#9
L
71-85
71
85
-14
69avg 75
A07/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#3
L
72-89
72
89
-17
59avg 75
A10/01
Latvian Cup
Keila Coolbet
#14
W
95-66
95
66
+29
no box
H14/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#3
W
114-98
114
98
+16
no box
H17/01
Latvian Cup
Viimsi
#10
L
77-78
77
78
-1
75avg 75
A21/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
78-83
78
83
-5
69avg 75
H28/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-26
23-26
24-13
18-17
28-33
13-23
35-10
24-26
23-22
25-18
19-17
23-20
20-27
21-22
22-14
22-20
18-20
23-19
20-23
10-23
20-27
14-22
23-24
15-16
29-14
17-18
26-20
23-14
34-24
23-16
32-33
25-25
18-22
20-20
20-17
19-19
20-30
23-21
14-11
21-21
174.5Avg total
89.3Scored
85.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)80.078.5158.5+1.645%
Season at home (10)82.578.9161.4+3.650%
Season away (10)77.678.0155.6-0.440%
Last 10 (10)89.385.2174.5+4.160%
Last 5 (5)87.282.8170.0+4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)82.989.0171.9-6.129%
vs Similar (6)76.375.8152.2+0.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)84.073.2157.2+10.867%
This opponent (Keila KK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Keila KKLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKK
Date
Competition
Valmiera Glass Via
#1
L
81-86
81
86
-5
66avg 64
A21/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#9
L
70-97
70
97
-27
49avg 64
H06/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#13
W
103-75
103
75
+28
101avg 64
A09/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#6
L
93-117
93
117
-24
76avg 64
A12/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#10
W
82-77
82
77
+5
71avg 64
H16/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#9
L
72-76
72
76
-4
55avg 64
A27/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#7
L
79-81
79
81
-2
66avg 64
H10/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
93-96
93
96
-3
no box
H17/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
W
86-82
86
82
+4
69avg 64
A21/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#4
L
69-91
69
91
-22
56avg 64
H27/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-21
19-22
16-20
21-23
19-16
17-38
24-22
10-21
31-20
26-20
19-20
27-15
21-24
20-35
19-22
33-36
23-15
21-23
21-16
17-23
14-21
27-20
15-13
16-22
18-22
14-25
27-16
20-18
21-30
29-28
17-20
26-18
28-26
18-24
24-11
16-21
19-16
22-29
11-21
17-25
170.6Avg total
82.8Scored
87.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)81.094.6175.6-13.621%
Season at home (9)80.290.7170.9-10.422%
Season away (10)81.798.2179.9-16.520%
Last 10 (10)82.887.8170.6-5.030%
Last 5 (5)79.885.2165.0-5.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)78.095.6173.6-17.78%
vs Similar (4)92.580.0172.5+12.5100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (BK Ogre) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -5.1-5.1Q3Q3: +5.3+5.3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -1.9-1.9
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -5.1-5.1Q3Q3: +5.3+5.3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -1.9-1.9
BK OgreKeila KK
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BK OgreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Kalev/Cramo
#5
L
40-52
40
52
-12
H13/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Jekabpils
#10
L
41-56
41
56
-15
A17/12
Latvian Cup
Valmiera Glass Via
#1
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H20/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#6
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A04/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#9
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A07/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#3
L
34-49
34
49
-15
A10/01
Latvian Cup
Keila Coolbet
#14
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H14/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#3
W
57-40
57
40
+17
H17/01
Latvian Cup
Viimsi
#10
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A21/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
43-51
43
51
-8
H28/01
Latvia-Estonian League
87.9Avg total
42.9Scored
45.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.642.184.7+0.557%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.440.284.6+4.171%-
Last 30 away (16)41.043.884.8-2.844%-
Last 10 (10)42.945.087.9-2.140%-
Last 5 (5)43.642.886.4+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)42.844.887.6-2.050%-
vs Similar (6)39.839.779.5+0.267%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)44.238.082.2+6.267%-
This opponent (Keila KK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Keila KKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valmiera Glass Via
#1
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A21/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#9
L
36-54
36
54
-18
H06/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#13
W
57-40
57
40
+17
A09/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#6
L
41-59
41
59
-18
A12/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#10
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H16/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#9
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A27/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#7
L
32-47
32
47
-15
H10/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
50-58
50
58
-8
H17/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
L
46-50
46
50
-4
A21/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#4
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H27/01
Latvia-Estonian League
90.7Avg total
43.2Scored
47.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.348.189.4-6.830%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.545.386.8-3.747%-
Last 30 away (15)41.150.991.9-9.813%-
Last 10 (10)43.247.590.7-4.330%-
Last 5 (5)42.048.290.2-6.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)39.949.089.0-9.119%-
vs Similar (4)50.241.892.0+8.5100%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (BK Ogre) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
BK Ogretheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BK Ogre: 83.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.4 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.819.4
54.2%
53.1%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.29.7
37.0%
32.4%29.1
🏀 Free throws21.815.6
71.6%
69.8%15.6
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Keila KKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Keila KK: 80.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.4 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.622.0
50.5%
53.1%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.77.1
30.0%
32.4%21.3
🏀 Free throws22.915.3
66.8%
69.8%15.3
They take 67.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
BK Ogre
LLWWLLWWWW
Keila KK
LWLLLWLWLL
#8
League position
#12
-1.3
Net rating
-8.9
105.2
Offensive rating
95.7
106.4
Defensive rating
104.6
54.8%
Effective FG%
48.5%
48.8%
Opp. effective FG%
50.8%
17.5%
Turnover %
14.5%
26.9%
Off. rebound %
22.1%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.34
37.0%
3-point %
30.0%
62.5%
Assist %
37.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence105.2 · 95.7Defence106.4 · 104.6Shooting54.8% · 48.5%3-point %37.0% · 30.0%Ball care17.5% · 14.5%Off. rebounds26.9% · 22.1%Free throws0.35 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ BK Ogre   ■ Keila KK
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
BK Ogre wins
1
Keila KK wins
DateGameScore
25/10/25Keila KK v BK Ogre74-90
08/01/25BK Ogre v Keila KK99-91
12/10/24Keila KK v BK Ogre83-96
02/03/24BK Ogre v Keila KK89-65
18/10/23Keila KK v BK Ogre80-71
21/01/23BK Ogre v Keila KK97-76
30/10/22Keila KK v BK Ogre81-87
BK Ogrelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/26HTartu Ulikool78-83
21/01/26AViimsi77-78
17/01/26HVentspils114-98
14/01/26HKeila Coolbet95-66
10/01/26AVentspils72-89
07/01/26AParnu71-85
04/01/26AVentspils85-83
20/12/25HValmiera Glass Via90-77
17/12/25AJekabpils100-92
13/12/25HBC Kalev/Cramo111-101 OT
Keila KKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/26HRigas Zelli69-91
21/01/26ABK Liepaja86-82
17/01/26HTartu Ulikool93-96
10/01/26HTal Tech79-81
27/12/25AParnu72-76
16/12/25HViimsi82-77
12/12/25AVentspils93-117
09/12/25ALatvijas Universitate103-75
06/12/25HParnu70-97
21/11/25AValmiera Glass Via81-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BK Ogre
Latvia-Estonian League 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL45%
HomeLWWWL50%
AwayLLWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %45%50%40%
Points / game80.082.577.6
Allowed / game78.578.978.0
Point differential+1.6+3.6-0.4
Avg total158.5161.4155.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)0% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %5%10%0%
Keila KK
Latvia-Estonian League 2025
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL21%
HomeLWLLL22%
AwayLWLLW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %21%22%20%
Points / game81.080.281.7
Allowed / game94.690.798.2
Point differential-13.6-10.4-16.5
Avg total175.6170.9179.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%0%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)33% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tartu Ulikool2018290%87.278.3+8.8
2 Rigas Zelli1915479%92.878.5+14.4
3 VEF Riga1814478%90.478.2+12.2
4 Ventspils1914574%92.282.9+9.3
5 Tal Tech2014670%84.879.5+5.3
6 BC Kalev/Cramo1913668%95.481.5+13.8
7 Valmiera Glass Via1913668%89.480.9+8.5
8 BK Ogre2091145%80.078.5+1.6
9 Parnu2191243%80.479.7+0.7
10 BK Liepaja1841422%79.188.8-9.7
11 Keila KK1941521%81.094.6-13.6
12 Viimsi2041620%73.889.9-16.1
13 Latvijas Universitate1821611%77.995.6-17.7
14 Keila Coolbet2021810%76.293.7-17.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
BK Ogre2217252919112
Keila KK29252415699
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