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BK Ogre vs Keila KK Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 08 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 99-91
19-19 30-22 24-26 26-24
Position#5
Record10-7
FormWWWWL
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game77.3
BK Ogre 🏆
vs
Position#14
Record1-13
FormLLWLL
Points / game71.4
Allowed / game92.2
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Ogres
Other2024
Meetings · BK Ogre v Keila KK
13 Nov 2026
BK O v KEIL
upcoming
04 Feb 2026
BK O112
KEIL99
08 Jan 2025
BK O99
KEIL91
02 Mar 2024
BK O89
KEIL65
21 Jan 2023
BK O97
KEIL76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BK Ogre winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Keila KK winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BK OgreLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOgre
Date
Competition
Viimsi
#13
W
70-53
70
53
+17
64avg 75
A10/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#4
W
92-88
92
88
+4
86avg 75
A13/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#11
L
76-87
76
87
-11
76avg 75
H17/11
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#1
L
73-78
73
78
-5
64avg 75
A30/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#6
W
68-66
68
66
+2
60avg 75
A06/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#8
W
95-81
95
81
+14
95avg 75
A13/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#9
W
71-57
71
57
+14
70avg 75
H18/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BS Ogre
#15
W
125-73
125
73
+52
no box
A21/12
Latvian Cup
Keila Coolbet
#12
W
85-82
85
82
+3
82avg 75
H29/12
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#1
L
59-81
59
81
-22
52avg 75
H04/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-14
17-14
25-10
14-15
29-20
20-15
24-29
19-24
23-19
21-28
17-22
15-18
20-21
18-16
21-13
14-28
23-19
12-19
9-14
24-14
24-15
27-24
25-20
19-22
25-22
23-13
6-12
17-10
32-18
32-14
36-26
25-15
26-17
18-21
18-26
23-18
13-19
10-18
14-28
22-16
156.0Avg total
81.4Scored
74.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)79.277.3156.5+1.959%
Season at home (8)78.977.1156.0+1.862%
Season away (9)79.477.4156.9+2.056%
Last 10 (10)81.474.6156.0+6.870%
Last 5 (5)87.074.8161.8+12.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)72.987.1160.0-14.30%
vs Similar (9)84.377.9162.2+6.478%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)82.878.2161.0+4.562%
This opponent (Keila KK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Keila KKLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKK
Date
Competition
Keila Coolbet
#12
L
72-83
72
83
-11
59avg 63
A23/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#4
L
71-94
71
94
-23
54avg 63
H02/11
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#1
L
78-90
78
90
-12
60avg 63
H09/11
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#7
L
82-83
82
83
-1
74avg 63
A16/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#15
L
68-77
68
77
-9
61avg 63
A30/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#6
L
85-89
85
89
-4
76avg 63
A03/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#3
L
42-89
42
89
-47
31avg 63
H10/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#13
W
85-77
85
77
+8
83avg 63
H14/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#2
L
48-122
48
122
-74
27avg 63
A21/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#11
L
68-98
68
98
-30
56avg 63
H28/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-24
15-15
20-24
20-20
26-27
13-13
12-27
20-27
27-25
17-17
13-25
21-23
12-27
23-17
30-21
17-18
23-23
8-18
16-16
21-20
23-14
19-20
25-25
18-30
12-15
9-28
13-27
8-19
17-17
22-22
20-10
26-28
10-35
21-36
12-22
5-29
21-29
11-24
19-17
17-28
160.1Avg total
69.9Scored
90.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)71.492.2163.6-20.97%
Season at home (7)70.488.7159.1-18.314%
Season away (7)72.395.7168.0-23.40%
Last 10 (10)69.990.2160.1-20.310%
Last 5 (5)65.695.0160.6-29.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)71.893.2165.0-21.40%
vs Similar (9)76.877.4154.2-0.744%
vs Weaker (2)78.576.5155.0+2.050%
This opponent (BK Ogre) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +4.5+4.5Q1: -4.8-4.8Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: -5.2-5.2Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -3.4-3.4Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -6.9-6.9
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +4.5+4.5Q1: -4.8-4.8Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: -5.2-5.2Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -3.4-3.4Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -6.9-6.9
BK OgreKeila KK
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BK OgreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Viimsi
#13
W
31-28
31
28
+3
A10/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#4
W
49-35
49
35
+14
A13/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#11
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H17/11
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#1
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A30/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#6
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A06/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#8
W
51-39
51
39
+12
A13/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#9
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H18/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BS Ogre
#15
W
64-32
64
32
+32
A21/12
Latvian Cup
Keila Coolbet
#12
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H29/12
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#1
L
23-37
23
37
-14
H04/01
Latvia-Estonian League
79.3Avg total
42.7Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.940.282.2+1.753%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.039.682.6+3.450%-
Last 30 away (16)41.040.881.8+0.256%-
Last 10 (10)42.736.679.3+6.170%-
Last 5 (5)46.036.282.2+9.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)36.043.479.4-7.429%-
vs Similar (9)41.239.180.3+2.156%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)43.939.983.8+4.062%-
This opponent (Keila KK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Keila KKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keila Coolbet
#12
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A23/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#4
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H02/11
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#1
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H09/11
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#7
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A16/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#15
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A30/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#6
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A03/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#3
L
21-43
21
43
-22
H10/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#13
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H14/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#2
L
31-71
31
71
-40
A21/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#11
L
32-53
32
53
-21
H28/12
Latvia-Estonian League
79.2Avg total
34.6Scored
44.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.143.779.8-7.523%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.041.980.9-2.931%-
Last 30 away (14)32.945.778.6-12.914%-
Last 10 (10)34.644.679.2-10.020%-
Last 5 (5)33.048.081.0-15.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)35.648.083.6-12.411%-
vs Similar (9)35.236.371.6-1.133%-
vs Weaker (2)45.535.581.0+10.0100%-
This opponent (BK Ogre) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
BK Ogretheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BK Ogre: 75.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.9 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.717.5
49.0%
51.9%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.89.3
33.5%
32.3%27.9
🏀 Free throws17.912.3
68.7%
70.6%12.3
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Keila KKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Keila KK: 68.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.9 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.915.7
46.3%
51.9%31.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.78.5
26.8%
32.3%25.5
🏀 Free throws18.512.0
64.9%
70.6%12.0
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
BK Ogre
LWWWWWLLWW
Keila KK
LLWLLLLLLL
#5
League position
#14
+1.0
Net rating
-25.1
102.8
Offensive rating
84.4
101.9
Defensive rating
109.5
49.5%
Effective FG%
43.4%
44.0%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
17.7%
Turnover %
22.0%
30.7%
Off. rebound %
23.1%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.28
33.5%
3-point %
26.8%
63.1%
Assist %
66.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence102.8 · 84.4Defence101.9 · 109.5Shooting49.5% · 43.4%3-point %33.5% · 26.8%Ball care17.7% · 22.0%Off. rebounds30.7% · 23.1%Free throws0.28 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)70% · 10%
■ BK Ogre   ■ Keila KK
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
BK Ogre wins
1
Keila KK wins
DateGameScore
12/10/24Keila KK v BK Ogre83-96
02/03/24BK Ogre v Keila KK89-65
18/10/23Keila KK v BK Ogre80-71
21/01/23BK Ogre v Keila KK97-76
30/10/22Keila KK v BK Ogre81-87
BK Ogrelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/25HVEF Riga59-81
29/12/24HKeila Coolbet85-82
21/12/24ABS Ogre125-73
18/12/24HRapla71-57
13/12/24AVentspils95-81
06/12/24ATartu Ulikool68-66
30/11/24AVEF Riga73-78
17/11/24HParnu76-87
13/11/24AValmiera Glass Via92-88
10/11/24AViimsi70-53
Keila KKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/12/24HParnu68-98
21/12/24ABC Kalev/Cramo48-122
14/12/24HViimsi85-77
10/12/24HRigas Zelli42-89
03/12/24ATartu Ulikool85-89
30/11/24ALatvijas Universitate68-77
16/11/24ABK Liepaja82-83
09/11/24HVEF Riga78-90
02/11/24HValmiera Glass Via71-94
23/10/24AKeila Coolbet72-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BK Ogre
Latvia-Estonian League 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL59%
HomeLLWWL62%
AwayWWLWW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %59%62%56%
Points / game79.278.979.4
Allowed / game77.377.177.4
Point differential+1.9+1.8+2.0
Avg total156.5156.0156.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)100% (1)40% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Keila KK
Latvia-Estonian League 2024
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL7%
HomeLLLWL14%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %7%14%0%
Points / game71.470.472.3
Allowed / game92.288.795.7
Point differential-20.9-18.3-23.4
Avg total163.6159.1168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 VEF Riga1715288%81.867.3+14.5
2 BC Kalev/Cramo1512380%86.872.8+14.0
3 Rigas Zelli1915479%83.369.5+13.8
4 Tartu Ulikool1611569%82.278.8+3.4
5 Valmiera Glass Via1812667%82.275.5+6.7
6 BK Ogre1710759%79.277.3+1.9
7 BK Liepaja168850%79.979.2+0.6
8 Keila Coolbet157847%79.081.6-2.6
9 Tal Tech1881044%77.283.3-6.1
10 Rapla167944%78.782.2-3.5
11 Ventspils1771041%88.087.9+0.1
12 Parnu1661038%79.179.3-0.2
13 Viimsi1841422%72.383.6-11.3
14 Latvijas Universitate1821611%70.683.6-13.0
15 Keila KK141137%71.492.2-20.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
BK Ogre1930242699
Keila KK1922262491
← all games of the day
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