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Keila KK vs BK Ogre Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 12 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 83-96
21-18 17-35 19-16 26-27
Position#14
Record0-1
FormWLWLL
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game116.0
vs
BK Ogre 🏆
Position#5
Record2-1
FormLLWLW
Points / game86.7
Allowed / game76.3
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Keila Tervisekeskus
Other2024
Meetings · Keila KK v BK Ogre
06 Mar 2027
KEIL v BK O
upcoming
25 Oct 2025
KEIL74
BK O90
12 Oct 2024
KEIL83
BK O96
18 Oct 2023
KEIL80
BK O71
30 Oct 2022
KEIL81
BK O87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Keila KK winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
BK Ogre winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Keila KKLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKK
Date
Competition
Latvijas Universitate
#14
L
74-79
74
79
-5
56avg 68
A09/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Prometey
#2
L
59-113
59
113
-54
40avg 68
A17/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Tallinna Kalev
#16
W
83-74
83
74
+9
79avg 68
H20/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
L
77-80
77
80
-3
59avg 68
H24/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#6
L
71-79
71
79
-8
52avg 68
A24/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#6
W
93-69
93
69
+24
88avg 68
H26/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#6
L
53-60
53
60
-7
38avg 68
A28/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#6
W
80-79 OT
80
79
+1
76avg 68
H01/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#6
L
67-87
67
87
-20
61avg 68
A02/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Ventspils
#8
L
78-116
78
116
-38
59avg 68
A08/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-22
22-16
13-18
20-23
11-31
20-30
13-30
15-22
21-12
29-21
7-21
26-20
16-17
19-22
24-17
18-24
20-22
9-19
21-22
21-16
22-18
24-19
27-20
20-12
11-14
7-13
20-12
15-21
11-13
25-14
20-18
10-21
17-18
9-17
19-27
22-25
15-31
15-23
22-33
26-29
157.1Avg total
73.5Scored
83.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)78.0116.0194.0-38.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)78.0116.0194.0-38.00%
Last 10 (10)73.583.6157.1-10.130%
Last 5 (5)74.282.2156.4-8.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)76.395.0171.3-18.70%
vs Similar (9)78.679.4158.0-0.944%
vs Weaker (5)86.679.4166.0+7.280%
This opponent (BK Ogre) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BK OgreLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOgre
Date
Competition
Prometey
#2
L
82-97
82
97
-15
74avg 77
A30/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Prometey
#2
L
82-90
82
90
-8
78avg 77
H03/04
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#5
W
89-81
89
81
+8
no box
H10/04
LBL
BK Liepaja
#5
L
72-83
72
83
-11
no box
A13/04
LBL
BK Liepaja
#5
W
94-79
94
79
+15
no box
H16/04
LBL
BK Liepaja
#5
L
73-99
73
99
-26
no box
A19/04
LBL
BK Liepaja
#5
L
81-85 OT
81
85
-4
no box
H22/04
LBL
Latvijas Universitate
#15
W
90-74
90
74
+16
92avg 77
H21/09
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#7
L
75-80
75
80
-5
69avg 77
A28/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#8
W
95-75
95
75
+20
90avg 77
H05/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-20
19-27
21-28
22-22
23-25
19-22
21-20
19-23
22-18
19-25
24-21
24-17
23-25
26-12
11-20
12-26
23-18
27-20
28-21
16-20
18-29
24-31
16-20
15-19
18-17
21-18
13-20
17-14
23-27
21-19
17-9
29-19
11-23
17-21
23-25
24-11
21-13
26-17
24-21
24-24
167.6Avg total
83.3Scored
84.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)86.776.3163.0+10.367%
Season at home (2)92.574.5167.0+18.0100%
Season away (1)75.080.0155.0-5.00%
Last 10 (10)83.384.3167.6-1.040%
Last 5 (5)82.882.6165.4+0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)74.687.4162.0-12.80%
vs Similar (13)84.780.5165.2+4.262%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)80.377.7158.0+2.758%
This opponent (Keila KK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +0.7+0.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +0.7+0.7
Keila KKBK Ogre
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Keila KKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A09/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Prometey
#2
L
31-61
31
61
-30
A17/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Tallinna Kalev
#16
W
50-33
50
33
+17
H20/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H24/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#6
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A24/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#6
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H26/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#6
L
18-27
18
27
-9
A28/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#6
W
36-27
36
27
+9
H01/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#6
L
26-35
26
35
-9
A02/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Ventspils
#8
L
30-54
30
54
-24
A08/10
Latvia-Estonian League
73.4Avg total
34.2Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.044.282.2-6.227%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.843.684.4-2.831%-
Last 30 away (17)35.944.680.6-8.724%-
Last 10 (10)34.239.273.4-5.040%-
Last 5 (5)31.236.067.2-4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)36.549.686.1-13.16%-
vs Similar (9)36.738.074.7-1.333%-
vs Weaker (5)45.438.083.4+7.480%-
This opponent (BK Ogre) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BK OgreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Prometey
#2
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A30/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Prometey
#2
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H03/04
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#5
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H10/04
LBL
BK Liepaja
#5
W
49-37
49
37
+12
A13/04
LBL
BK Liepaja
#5
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H16/04
LBL
BK Liepaja
#5
L
42-60
42
60
-18
A19/04
LBL
BK Liepaja
#5
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H22/04
LBL
Latvijas Universitate
#15
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H21/09
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#7
L
28-44
28
44
-16
A28/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#8
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H05/10
Latvia-Estonian League
84.8Avg total
42.1Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.340.581.8+0.950%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.438.982.2+4.550%-
Last 30 away (14)39.042.381.3-3.350%-
Last 10 (10)42.142.784.8-0.640%-
Last 5 (5)40.043.083.0-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)39.243.482.6-4.220%-
vs Similar (13)40.539.880.3+0.854%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)43.140.083.1+3.158%-
This opponent (Keila KK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Keila KKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Keila KK: 72.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.9 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.015.0
44.1%
51.9%30.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.29.6
32.9%
32.3%28.8
🏀 Free throws18.913.5
71.4%
70.6%13.5
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
BK Ogretheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BK Ogre: 84.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.9 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.522.4
52.7%
51.9%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.47.7
31.6%
32.3%23.1
🏀 Free throws23.516.3
69.4%
70.6%16.3
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Keila KK
LLWLWLLWLL
BK Ogre
WLWLLWLWLL
#14
League position
#5
-13.7
Net rating
+4.8
94.0
Offensive rating
111.8
107.7
Defensive rating
107.0
46.5%
Effective FG%
50.7%
54.0%
Opp. effective FG%
48.1%
17.2%
Turnover %
15.9%
20.2%
Off. rebound %
35.6%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.35
32.9%
3-point %
31.6%
53.3%
Assist %
64.8%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence94.0 · 111.8Defence107.7 · 107.0Shooting46.5% · 50.7%3-point %32.9% · 31.6%Ball care17.2% · 15.9%Off. rebounds20.2% · 35.6%Free throws0.30 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Keila KK   ■ BK Ogre
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Keila KK wins
3
BK Ogre wins
DateGameScore
02/03/24BK Ogre v Keila KK89-65
18/10/23Keila KK v BK Ogre80-71
21/01/23BK Ogre v Keila KK97-76
30/10/22Keila KK v BK Ogre81-87
Keila KKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/10/24AVentspils78-116
02/05/24AParnu67-87
01/05/24HParnu80-79 OT
28/04/24AParnu53-60
26/04/24HParnu93-69
24/04/24AParnu71-79
24/03/24HValmiera Glass Via77-80
20/03/24HTallinna Kalev83-74
17/03/24APrometey59-113
09/03/24ALatvijas Universitate74-79
BK Ogrelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/10/24HVentspils95-75
28/09/24ABK Liepaja75-80
21/09/24HLatvijas Universitate90-74
22/04/24HBK Liepaja81-85 OT
19/04/24ABK Liepaja73-99
16/04/24HBK Liepaja94-79
13/04/24ABK Liepaja72-83
10/04/24HBK Liepaja89-81
03/04/24HPrometey82-90
30/03/24APrometey82-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Keila KK
Latvia-Estonian League 2024
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game78.0-78.0
Allowed / game116.0-116.0
Point differential-38.0--38.0
Avg total194.0-194.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
BK Ogre
Latvia-Estonian League 2024
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game86.792.575.0
Allowed / game76.374.580.0
Point differential+10.3+18.0-5.0
Avg total163.0167.0155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Parnu110100%77.053.0+24.0
2 Tal Tech220100%93.089.5+3.5
3 VEF Riga54180%80.667.6+13.0
4 Valmiera Glass Via43175%78.267.0+11.2
5 BK Ogre32167%86.776.3+10.3
6 Ventspils32167%92.085.7+6.3
7 Rigas Zelli32167%85.783.7+2.0
8 BC Kalev/Cramo32167%78.078.0+0.0
9 BK Liepaja51420%78.485.4-7.0
10 Tartu Ulikool1010%71.074.0-3.0
11 Keila Coolbet1010%82.086.0-4.0
12 Rapla1010%65.080.0-15.0
13 Latvijas Universitate4040%68.885.0-16.2
14 Viimsi1010%52.089.0-37.0
15 Keila KK1010%78.0116.0-38.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Keila KK2117192683
BK Ogre1835162796
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