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BK Ogre vs Parnu Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 71-60
18-14 17-23 17-14 19-9
Position#8
Record1-2
FormWLLLW
Points / game84.7
Allowed / game83.7
BK Ogre 🏆
vs
Position#9
Record1-1
FormLLLLW
Points / game86.5
Allowed / game78.0
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Ogres
Other2025
Meetings · BK Ogre v Parnu
10 Mar 2027
BK O v PAR
upcoming
18 Oct 2025
BK O71
PAR60
17 Nov 2024
BK O76
PAR87
20 Dec 2023
BK O93
PAR72
12 Mar 2023
BK O81
PAR68
10 Apr 2022
BK O77
PAR84
16 Feb 2022
BK O74
PAR71
08 Apr 2021
BK O77
PAR68
29 Sep 2018
BK O99
PAR74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BK Ogre winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Parnu winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BK OgreLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOgre
Date
Competition
Tal Tech
#10
L
70-72
70
72
-2
58avg 75
A05/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#13
W
93-80
93
80
+13
86avg 75
H08/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#9
W
84-76
84
76
+8
86avg 75
A15/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#2
L
78-97
78
97
-19
73avg 75
H16/04
LBL
Ventspils
#2
L
85-97
85
97
-12
70avg 75
A19/04
LBL
Ventspils
#2
W
98-91
98
91
+7
93avg 75
H22/04
LBL
Ventspils
#2
L
80-91
80
91
-11
77avg 75
A25/04
LBL
Valmiera Glass Via
#1
L
65-86
65
86
-21
54avg 75
A30/09
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
L
92-94
92
94
-2
93avg 75
H04/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#14
W
97-71
97
71
+26
95avg 75
A10/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-19
20-22
14-20
23-11
29-23
24-16
16-19
24-22
18-20
24-19
12-16
30-21
14-25
14-17
18-23
32-32
21-34
34-20
23-26
7-17
21-21
30-21
29-25
18-24
21-25
21-25
26-27
12-14
18-23
10-21
23-23
14-19
17-26
36-20
22-19
17-29
31-26
20-12
24-15
22-18
169.7Avg total
84.2Scored
85.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)84.783.7168.3+1.033%
Season at home (1)92.094.0186.0-2.00%
Season away (2)81.078.5159.5+2.550%
Last 10 (10)84.285.5169.7-1.340%
Last 5 (5)86.486.6173.0-0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)78.687.4166.0-8.820%
vs Similar ◀ (8)83.477.1160.5+6.275%
vs Weaker (11)83.673.7157.4+9.964%
This opponent (Parnu) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParnuLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormParnu
Date
Competition
Valmiera Glass Via
#4
L
79-102
79
102
-23
64avg 71
A15/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#4
L
66-87
66
87
-21
53avg 71
A16/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rapla
#4
W
82-75
82
75
+7
74avg 71
H19/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rapla
#4
L
69-100
69
100
-31
54avg 71
A23/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rapla
#4
W
92-82
92
82
+10
86avg 71
H26/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rapla
#4
L
69-95
69
95
-26
55avg 71
A29/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Brno
#28
L
75-83
75
83
-8
51avg 71
A24/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Brno
#28
L
69-81
69
81
-12
61avg 71
H01/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Rigas Zelli
#4
L
76-83
76
83
-7
68avg 71
H08/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#13
W
97-73
97
73
+24
98avg 71
A11/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-27
20-25
25-18
17-32
14-23
19-22
21-22
12-20
16-25
24-20
18-14
24-16
23-23
16-21
12-20
18-36
13-19
33-23
24-21
22-19
17-23
16-25
19-26
17-21
8-16
16-25
26-20
25-22
19-19
19-20
13-23
18-19
20-30
24-18
18-19
14-16
21-19
25-14
26-20
25-20
163.5Avg total
77.4Scored
86.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)86.578.0164.5+8.550%
Season at home (1)76.083.0159.0-7.00%
Season away (1)97.073.0170.0+24.0100%
Last 10 (10)77.486.1163.5-8.730%
Last 5 (5)77.283.0160.2-5.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)77.591.4168.9-13.916%
vs Similar ◀ (4)78.877.2156.0+1.550%
vs Weaker (7)90.479.4169.9+11.086%
This opponent (BK Ogre) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -3.9-3.9Q1: -5.6-5.6Q2Q2: +4.0+4.0Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -2.9-2.9
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -3.9-3.9Q1: -5.6-5.6Q2Q2: +4.0+4.0Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -2.9-2.9
BK OgreParnu
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BK OgreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tal Tech
#10
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A05/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#13
W
53-39
53
39
+14
H08/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#9
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A15/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#2
L
28-42
28
42
-14
H16/04
LBL
Ventspils
#2
W
55-54
55
54
+1
A19/04
LBL
Ventspils
#2
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H22/04
LBL
Ventspils
#2
L
42-50
42
50
-8
A25/04
LBL
Valmiera Glass Via
#1
L
28-44
28
44
-16
A30/09
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
W
53-46
53
46
+7
H04/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#14
W
51-38
51
38
+13
A10/10
Latvia-Estonian League
87.1Avg total
43.6Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.239.482.6+3.963%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.140.683.6+2.557%-
Last 30 away (16)43.438.381.7+5.169%-
Last 10 (10)43.643.587.1+0.160%-
Last 5 (5)45.044.089.0+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)40.142.882.9-2.760%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)44.638.182.8+6.562%-
vs Weaker (11)43.237.881.0+5.464%-
This opponent (Parnu) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParnuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valmiera Glass Via
#4
L
37-52
37
52
-15
A15/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#4
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A16/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rapla
#4
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H19/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rapla
#4
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A23/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rapla
#4
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H26/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rapla
#4
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A29/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Brno
#28
L
24-41
24
41
-17
A24/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Brno
#28
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H01/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Rigas Zelli
#4
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H08/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#13
W
46-33
46
33
+13
A11/10
Latvia-Estonian League
81.7Avg total
38.0Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.743.782.5-5.023%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.643.281.9-4.621%-
Last 30 away (16)38.844.283.0-5.425%-
Last 10 (10)38.043.781.7-5.720%-
Last 5 (5)37.041.878.8-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)37.246.683.8-9.511%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)35.840.876.5-5.025%-
vs Weaker (7)44.737.682.3+7.157%-
This opponent (BK Ogre) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
BK Ogretheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BK Ogre: 83.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.4 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.020.1
54.3%
53.1%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.910.4
37.3%
32.4%31.2
🏀 Free throws18.812.5
66.5%
69.8%12.5
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Parnutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Parnu: 76.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.4 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.719.5
51.7%
53.1%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.38.0
29.3%
32.4%24.0
🏀 Free throws20.413.9
68.1%
69.8%13.9
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
BK Ogre
WLLLWLLWWL
Parnu
WLLLLWLWLL
#8
League position
#9
+8.6
Net rating
-11.3
112.7
Offensive rating
100.9
104.1
Defensive rating
112.2
55.0%
Effective FG%
48.5%
46.5%
Opp. effective FG%
54.7%
16.4%
Turnover %
17.9%
29.1%
Off. rebound %
29.6%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.31
37.3%
3-point %
29.3%
56.4%
Assist %
61.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence112.7 · 100.9Defence104.1 · 112.2Shooting55.0% · 48.5%3-point %37.3% · 29.3%Ball care16.4% · 17.9%Off. rebounds29.1% · 29.6%Free throws0.29 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ BK Ogre   ■ Parnu
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
BK Ogre wins
4
Parnu wins
DateGameScore
26/02/25Parnu v BK Ogre57-92
17/11/24BK Ogre v Parnu76-87
09/03/24Parnu v BK Ogre73-82
20/12/23BK Ogre v Parnu93-72
12/03/23BK Ogre v Parnu81-68
15/10/22Parnu v BK Ogre85-71
10/04/22BK Ogre v Parnu77-84
16/02/22BK Ogre v Parnu74-71
22/12/21Parnu v BK Ogre83-78
08/04/21BK Ogre v Parnu77-68
BK Ogrelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/10/25AKeila Coolbet97-71
04/10/25HVEF Riga92-94
30/09/25AValmiera Glass Via65-86
25/04/25AVentspils80-91
22/04/25HVentspils98-91
19/04/25AVentspils85-97
16/04/25HVentspils78-97
15/03/25ARapla84-76
08/03/25HViimsi93-80
05/03/25ATal Tech70-72
Parnulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/10/25ALatvijas Universitate97-73
08/10/25HRigas Zelli76-83
01/10/25HBrno69-81
24/09/25ABrno75-83
29/04/25ARapla69-95
26/04/25HRapla92-82
23/04/25ARapla69-100
19/04/25HRapla82-75
16/04/25ARapla66-87
15/03/25AValmiera Glass Via79-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BK Ogre
Latvia-Estonian League 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLW33%
HomeL0%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%0%50%
Points / game84.792.081.0
Allowed / game83.794.078.5
Point differential+1.0-2.0+2.5
Avg total168.3186.0159.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Parnu
Latvia-Estonian League 2025
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game86.576.097.0
Allowed / game78.083.073.0
Point differential+8.5-7.0+24.0
Avg total164.5159.0170.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 VEF Riga330100%104.779.3+25.3
2 Valmiera Glass Via330100%89.070.7+18.3
3 Tartu Ulikool440100%85.276.8+8.5
4 Rigas Zelli32167%88.079.3+8.7
5 Parnu21150%86.578.0+8.5
6 BC Kalev/Cramo42250%83.880.0+3.8
7 BK Liepaja42250%83.083.5-0.5
8 Tal Tech42250%79.885.0-5.2
9 BK Ogre31233%84.783.7+1.0
10 Ventspils31233%81.783.3-1.7
11 Viimsi31233%77.089.0-12.0
12 Keila Coolbet2020%79.594.0-14.5
13 Keila KK3030%78.7100.0-21.3
14 Latvijas Universitate3030%69.392.3-23.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
BK Ogre1817171971
Parnu142314960
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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