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BK Ogre vs Parnu Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 20 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 93-72
30-13 22-21 18-15 23-23
Position#7
Record8-6
FormLWWWL
Points / game80.7
Allowed / game77.8
BK Ogre 🏆
vs
Position#8
Record5-9
FormLLLLL
Points / game74.4
Allowed / game77.9
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Ogres
Other2023
Meetings · BK Ogre v Parnu
10 Mar 2027
BK O v PAR
upcoming
18 Oct 2025
BK O71
PAR60
17 Nov 2024
BK O76
PAR87
20 Dec 2023
BK O93
PAR72
12 Mar 2023
BK O81
PAR68
10 Apr 2022
BK O77
PAR84
16 Feb 2022
BK O74
PAR71
08 Apr 2021
BK O77
PAR68
29 Sep 2018
BK O99
PAR74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BK Ogre winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Parnu winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BK OgreLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOgre
Date
Competition
BK Liepaja
#11
W
86-62
86
62
+24
86avg 78
H14/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
L
71-80
71
80
-9
69avg 78
A18/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#5
L
65-80
65
80
-15
56avg 78
H21/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
W
94-73
94
73
+21
86avg 78
A27/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Prometey
#2
W
85-76
85
76
+9
88avg 78
A04/11
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
51-106
51
106
-55
30avg 78
A10/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#15
W
88-71
88
71
+17
91avg 78
H15/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Tallinna Kalev
#16
W
101-73
101
73
+28
99avg 78
H25/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#9
W
93-90
93
90
+3
88avg 78
A02/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#4
L
78-84
78
84
-6
79avg 78
A08/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-20
22-13
22-16
20-13
11-18
14-22
26-21
20-19
29-16
16-20
6-21
14-23
19-9
22-22
24-19
29-23
29-18
15-24
25-19
16-15
13-24
13-31
14-27
11-24
28-15
13-18
22-17
25-21
25-21
22-15
29-20
25-17
22-17
23-20
23-24
25-29
15-23
28-17
13-23
22-21
160.7Avg total
81.2Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)80.777.8158.5+2.957%
Season at home (6)81.576.2157.7+5.350%
Season away (8)80.179.0159.1+1.162%
Last 10 (10)81.279.5160.7+1.760%
Last 5 (5)82.284.8167.0-2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)70.482.1152.6-11.729%
vs Similar ◀ (12)80.285.7165.9-5.433%
vs Weaker (11)89.371.4160.6+17.982%
This opponent (Parnu) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParnuLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormParnu
Date
Competition
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
77-56
77
56
+21
79avg 66
A21/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#15
W
79-63
79
63
+16
81avg 66
H28/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
70-100
70
100
-30
59avg 66
H04/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#10
W
89-81 OT
89
81
+8
75avg 66
A11/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Prometey
#2
L
49-80
49
80
-31
35avg 66
H18/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#6
L
81-85
81
85
-4
69avg 66
A25/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#4
L
77-80
77
80
-3
74avg 66
H02/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
L
65-75
65
75
-10
57avg 66
A07/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#5
L
78-88
78
88
-10
64avg 66
A16/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#4
L
84-91
84
91
-7
75avg 66
A19/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-15
19-16
21-12
13-13
22-24
18-13
20-15
19-11
27-24
8-26
25-29
10-21
26-16
15-24
19-16
13-17
16-17
8-20
8-20
17-23
29-19
16-20
15-25
21-21
19-29
19-16
26-18
13-17
17-20
15-16
7-17
26-22
15-29
20-24
33-18
10-17
18-21
22-15
22-29
22-26
154.8Avg total
74.9Scored
79.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)74.477.9152.2-3.536%
Season at home (6)71.076.5147.5-5.533%
Season away (8)76.978.9155.8-2.038%
Last 10 (10)74.979.9154.8-5.030%
Last 5 (5)77.083.8160.8-6.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)70.684.1154.8-13.50%
vs Similar ◀ (18)76.776.3153.1+0.456%
vs Weaker (4)76.863.8140.5+13.075%
This opponent (BK Ogre) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: -2.4-2.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: -2.4-2.4
BK OgreParnu
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BK OgreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BK Liepaja
#11
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H14/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
L
25-40
25
40
-15
A18/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#5
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H21/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A27/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Prometey
#2
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A04/11
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
26-55
26
55
-29
A10/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#15
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H15/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Tallinna Kalev
#16
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H25/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#9
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A02/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#4
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A08/12
Latvia-Estonian League
78.4Avg total
40.1Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.940.382.2+1.657%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.740.983.6+1.957%-
Last 30 away (16)41.239.881.1+1.456%-
Last 10 (10)40.138.378.4+1.880%-
Last 5 (5)40.440.280.6+0.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)36.641.077.6-4.429%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)43.444.187.5-0.750%-
vs Weaker (11)43.735.779.5+8.082%-
This opponent (Parnu) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParnuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
43-31
43
31
+12
A21/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#15
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H28/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
35-50
35
50
-15
H04/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#10
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A11/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Prometey
#2
L
24-37
24
37
-13
H18/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#6
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A25/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#4
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H02/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A07/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#5
L
35-53
35
53
-18
A16/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#4
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A19/12
Latvia-Estonian League
77.7Avg total
37.3Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.137.874.9-0.750%-
Last 30 at home (13)35.940.276.2-4.338%-
Last 30 away (17)37.935.973.9+2.059%-
Last 10 (10)37.340.477.7-3.150%-
Last 5 (5)38.041.879.8-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)35.139.274.4-4.150%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)37.837.975.8-0.144%-
vs Weaker (4)37.534.271.8+3.275%-
This opponent (BK Ogre) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
BK Ogretheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BK Ogre: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.221.5
52.2%
50.5%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.87.7
35.3%
32.1%23.1
🏀 Free throws18.513.9
75.1%
70.5%13.9
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Parnutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Parnu: 74.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.9 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.921.1
50.4%
50.5%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.16.3
28.5%
32.1%18.9
🏀 Free throws19.813.0
65.7%
70.5%13.0
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
BK Ogre
LWWWLWWLLW
Parnu
LLLLLLWLWW
#7
League position
#8
+1.5
Net rating
-6.5
106.0
Offensive rating
96.6
104.5
Defensive rating
103.1
52.5%
Effective FG%
47.7%
51.3%
Opp. effective FG%
49.2%
20.7%
Turnover %
17.7%
31.1%
Off. rebound %
24.5%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.31
35.3%
3-point %
28.5%
62.7%
Assist %
65.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence106.0 · 96.6Defence104.5 · 103.1Shooting52.5% · 47.7%3-point %35.3% · 28.5%Ball care20.7% · 17.7%Off. rebounds31.1% · 24.5%Free throws0.29 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ BK Ogre   ■ Parnu
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
BK Ogre wins
3
Parnu wins
DateGameScore
12/03/23BK Ogre v Parnu81-68
15/10/22Parnu v BK Ogre85-71
10/04/22BK Ogre v Parnu77-84
16/02/22BK Ogre v Parnu74-71
22/12/21Parnu v BK Ogre83-78
08/04/21BK Ogre v Parnu77-68
18/01/19Parnu v BK Ogre79-86
29/09/18BK Ogre v Parnu99-74
BK Ogrelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/12/23AVentspils78-84
02/12/23ATal Tech93-90
25/11/23HTallinna Kalev101-73
15/11/23HViimsi88-71
10/11/23ABC Kalev/Cramo51-106
04/11/23APrometey85-76
27/10/23AValmiera Glass Via94-73
21/10/23HTartu Ulikool65-80
18/10/23AKeila KK71-80
14/10/23HBK Liepaja86-62
Parnulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/12/23AVentspils84-91
16/12/23ATartu Ulikool78-88
07/12/23ABK Liepaja65-75
02/12/23HVentspils77-80
25/11/23ARigas Zelli81-85
18/11/23HPrometey49-80
11/11/23ARapla89-81 OT
04/11/23HBC Kalev/Cramo70-100
28/10/23HViimsi79-63
21/10/23ALatvijas Universitate77-56

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BK Ogre
Latvia-Estonian League 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL57%
HomeLWLWW50%
AwayWWLWL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1468
Win %57%50%62%
Points / game80.781.580.1
Allowed / game77.876.279.0
Point differential+2.9+5.3+1.1
Avg total158.5157.7159.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%50%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %7%17%0%
Parnu
Latvia-Estonian League 2023
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL36%
HomeLWLLL33%
AwayWLLLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1468
Win %36%33%38%
Points / game74.471.076.9
Allowed / game77.976.578.9
Point differential-3.5-5.5-2.0
Avg total152.2147.5155.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%33%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %7%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Kalev/Cramo1312192%89.968.5+21.5
2 Prometey1211192%92.967.9+25.0
3 VEF Riga1511473%85.969.2+16.7
4 Ventspils1410471%90.684.1+6.5
5 Rigas Zelli1510567%79.670.2+9.4
6 Tartu Ulikool1510567%77.771.9+5.8
7 BK Ogre148657%80.777.8+2.9
8 BK Liepaja148657%81.480.5+0.9
9 Tal Tech148657%79.179.0+0.1
10 Keila KK1661038%79.684.7-5.1
11 Parnu145936%74.477.9-3.5
12 Rapla1651131%74.278.2-4.1
13 Viimsi1651131%68.885.4-16.6
14 Valmiera Glass Via1641225%75.085.5-10.5
15 Latvijas Universitate1731418%67.785.4-17.6
16 Tallinna Kalev1521313%68.586.9-18.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
BK Ogre3022182393
Parnu1321152372
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