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Ferro vs Penarol Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 19 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 88-102
17-25 23-22 26-30 22-25
Position#15
Record8-11
FormLWLLL
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game80.4
vs
Penarol 🏆
Argentina
Position#13
Record10-8
FormWLWWW
Points / game78.4
Allowed / game76.6
ArgentinaLiga ARound 35
Other2022-23
Meetings · Ferro v Penarol
13 Nov 2026
FERR v PENA
upcoming
26 Apr 2026
FERR80
PENA78
24 Apr 2026
FERR97
PENA91
28 Sep 2025
FERR97
PENA84
09 Oct 2024
FERR84
PENA82
13 Nov 2023
FERR80
PENA73
19 Jan 2023
FERR88
PENA102
02 Apr 2022
FERR90
PENA78
20 Jan 2021
FERR90
PENA98
16 Feb 2020
FERR80
PENA69
14 Dec 2018
FERR82
PENA77
30 Apr 2018
FERR77
PENA89
19 Apr 2017
FERR63
PENA80
05 Oct 2016
FERR78
PENA52
03 Mar 2016
FERR78
PENA90
15 Oct 2015
FERR97
PENA106
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ferro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Penarol winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FerroArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gimnasia
#3
L
65-92
65
92
-27
H22/11
Liga A
Penarol
#13
L
64-69
64
69
-5
A26/11
Liga A
Comunicaciones Mercedes
#17
W
81-68
81
68
+13
H28/11
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#18
W
80-48
80
48
+32
H01/12
Liga A
Union De Santa Fe
#19
W
80-78
80
78
+2
H08/12
Liga A
San Martin
#12
L
84-85 OT
84
85
-1
H18/12
Liga A
Obera TC
#5
W
97-77
97
77
+20
H20/12
Liga A
La Union
#9
L
69-102
69
102
-33
A10/01
Liga A
San Martin
#12
L
74-92
74
92
-18
A12/01
Liga A
Regatas
#10
L
61-71
61
71
-10
A14/01
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-17
10-27
21-23
23-25
21-22
16-21
12-15
15-11
23-13
23-22
19-21
16-12
22-15
17-11
23-13
18-9
17-13
21-30
18-14
24-21
20-25
21-18
20-10
19-27
18-21
21-20
31-21
27-15
15-22
17-29
15-29
22-22
19-19
16-16
12-27
27-30
16-21
13-14
9-12
23-24
153.7Avg total
75.5Scored
78.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)76.280.4156.5-4.242%
Season at home (9)81.273.6154.8+7.778%
Season away (10)71.686.5158.1-14.910%
Last 10 (10)75.578.2153.7-2.740%
Last 5 (5)77.085.4162.4-8.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)75.886.4162.2-10.636%
vs Similar ◀ (10)76.182.9159.0-6.830%
vs Weaker (6)76.765.3142.0+11.383%
This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PenarolArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Urunday
#12
W
88-83 OT
88
83
+5
H19/12
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#8
W
90-87 OT
90
87
+3
H22/12
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#2
L
72-78
72
78
-6
H04/01
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#7
L
76-79
76
79
-3
A09/01
Liga Uruguaya
Quimsa
#1
L
76-85
76
85
-9
H10/01
Liga A
Argentino
#16
W
92-82
92
82
+10
H13/01
Liga A
Flamengo
#2
L
47-103
47
103
-56
A13/01
Champions League Americas
Instituto de Cordoba
#7
W
89-80
89
80
+9
A14/01
Champions League Americas
San Lorenzo
#18
W
99-75
99
75
+24
A18/01
Liga A
Aguada
#5
W
83-74
83
74
+9
H19/01
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-21
10-16
16-22
21-16
23-11
17-27
21-18
19-24
22-17
25-22
16-25
9-14
20-19
23-20
21-22
12-18
21-24
13-19
20-20
22-22
28-18
21-23
24-19
19-22
10-29
22-19
6-29
9-26
21-22
18-13
20-20
30-25
20-16
22-19
31-18
26-22
17-21
26-14
19-17
21-22
163.8Avg total
81.2Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)78.476.6155.1+1.856%
Season at home (9)77.978.2156.1-0.356%
Season away (9)79.075.0154.0+4.056%
Last 10 (10)81.282.6163.8-1.460%
Last 5 (5)82.082.8164.8-0.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)72.183.9156.0-11.822%
vs Similar ◀ (15)77.877.7155.5+0.153%
vs Weaker (6)83.875.2159.0+8.7100%
This opponent (Ferro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: -2.3-2.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: -2.3-2.3
FerroPenarol
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FerroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gimnasia
#3
L
21-44
21
44
-23
H22/11
Liga A
Penarol
#13
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A26/11
Liga A
Comunicaciones Mercedes
#17
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H28/11
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#18
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H01/12
Liga A
Union De Santa Fe
#19
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H08/12
Liga A
San Martin
#12
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H18/12
Liga A
Obera TC
#5
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H20/12
Liga A
La Union
#9
L
32-51
32
51
-19
A10/01
Liga A
San Martin
#12
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A12/01
Liga A
Regatas
#10
L
29-35
29
35
-6
A14/01
Liga A
75.3Avg total
35.7Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.038.773.8-3.730%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.536.675.1+1.846%-
Last 30 away (17)32.440.472.8-7.918%-
Last 10 (10)35.739.675.3-3.920%-
Last 5 (5)35.241.076.2-5.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)34.241.475.6-7.27%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)35.939.875.7-3.930%-
vs Weaker (6)35.530.766.2+4.883%-
This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Urunday
#12
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H19/12
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#8
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H22/12
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#2
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H04/01
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#7
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A09/01
Liga Uruguaya
Quimsa
#1
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H10/01
Liga A
Argentino
#16
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H13/01
Liga A
Flamengo
#2
L
32-48
32
48
-16
A13/01
Champions League Americas
Instituto de Cordoba
#7
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A14/01
Champions League Americas
San Lorenzo
#18
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A18/01
Liga A
Aguada
#5
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H19/01
Liga Uruguaya
79.7Avg total
40.7Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.939.777.6-1.760%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.837.676.5+1.265%-
Last 30 away (13)36.842.379.1-5.554%-
Last 10 (10)40.739.079.7+1.780%-
Last 5 (5)41.038.879.8+2.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)36.341.277.6-4.944%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)38.538.677.1-0.173%-
vs Weaker (6)39.040.079.0-1.050%-
This opponent (Ferro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Ferro wins
4
Penarol wins
DateGameScore
26/11/22Penarol v Ferro69-64
03/04/22Ferro v Penarol90-78
02/12/21Penarol v Ferro80-89
10/10/21Penarol v Ferro97-101 OT
20/01/21Ferro v Penarol90-98 OT
09/01/21Penarol v Ferro111-101 OT
16/02/20Ferro v Penarol80-69
05/03/19Penarol v Ferro66-88
15/12/18Ferro v Penarol82-77
01/05/18Ferro v Penarol77-89
Ferrolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/23ARegatas61-71
12/01/23ASan Martin74-92
10/01/23ALa Union69-102
20/12/22HObera TC97-77
18/12/22HSan Martin84-85 OT
08/12/22HUnion De Santa Fe80-78
01/12/22HSan Lorenzo80-48
28/11/22HComunicaciones Mercedes81-68
26/11/22APenarol64-69
22/11/22HGimnasia65-92
Penarollast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/01/23HAguada83-74
18/01/23ASan Lorenzo99-75
14/01/23AInstituto de Cordoba89-80
13/01/23AFlamengo47-103
13/01/23HArgentino92-82
10/01/23HQuimsa76-85
09/01/23ANacional76-79
04/01/23HHebraica y Macabi72-78
22/12/22HUrupan90-87 OT
19/12/22HUrunday88-83 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ferro
Liga A 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL42%
HomeWWWLW78%
AwayLLLLL10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %42%78%10%
Points / game76.281.271.6
Allowed / game80.473.686.5
Point differential-4.2+7.7-14.9
Avg total156.5154.8158.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%44%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %5%11%0%
Penarol
Liga A 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW56%
HomeLWLLW56%
AwayLLWWW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %56%56%56%
Points / game78.477.979.0
Allowed / game76.678.275.0
Point differential+1.8-0.3+4.0
Avg total155.1156.1154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%11%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)75% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Gimnasia1815383%85.877.2+8.6
2 Obras Sanitarias1814478%83.677.0+6.6
3 Instituto de Cordoba1713476%81.575.4+6.1
4 Quimsa1712571%85.676.5+9.1
5 Obera TC2014670%75.372.7+2.6
6 San Martin139469%81.475.2+6.2
7 Olimpico1611569%83.976.3+7.6
8 Platense1912763%83.178.9+4.2
9 Penarol1810856%78.476.6+1.8
10 Boca Juniors179853%84.982.1+2.8
11 Regatas179853%77.478.1-0.7
12 Independiente de Oliva167944%77.977.9-0.1
13 Ferro1981142%76.280.4-4.2
14 La Union2291341%79.978.1+1.8
15 Riachuelo145936%81.187.5-6.4
16 Argentino1961332%72.279.9-7.7
17 Comunicaciones Mercedes1841422%75.884.7-8.9
18 San Lorenzo1841422%76.486.3-9.9
19 Union De Santa Fe1941521%76.079.9-3.9
20 Atenas171166%75.189.4-14.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ferro1723262288
Penarol25223025102
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