Boca Juniors vs Ferro Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 27 Apr 2016

Tip-off: 23:00

Final 84-61

14-13 29-7 22-18 19-23

Position#18

Record23-31

FormLWLWL

Points / game78.5

Allowed / game80.9

Boca Juniors 🏆

Ferro

Position#15

Record25-29

FormLLLWW

Points / game77.2

Allowed / game78.7

Liga A

Other2015-16

Meetings · Boca Juniors v Ferro

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boca Juniors winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Ferro winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boca Juniors Argentina

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ferro

#15

71-64

A16/03

Liga A

La Union

90-88

H18/03

Liga A

Quimsa

59-87

-28

H24/03

Liga A

Gimnasia

61-88

-27

A02/04

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#12

82-93

-11

A05/04

Liga A

Argentino

#16

78-82

-4

A10/04

Liga A

Lanus

#13

91-81

+10

H16/04

Liga A

San Lorenzo

76-78

-2

A19/04

Liga A

Argentino

#16

78-74

H23/04

Liga A

Lanus

#13

58-73

-15

A24/04

Liga A

24-17

12-10

16-22

19-15

28-14

19-12

18-21

25-41

9-16

10-21

19-26

21-24

14-30

11-15

17-31

19-12

18-30

15-19

27-17

22-27

15-25

19-21

26-22

18-14

21-29

21-11

29-30

20-11

25-25

19-14

16-20

16-19

25-15

17-18

19-23

17-18

2-19

22-14

16-19

18-21

155.2Avg total

74.4Scored

80.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (54)	78.5	80.9	159.3	-2.4	43%
Season at home (26)	84.0	79.5	163.5	+4.5	62%
Season away (28)	73.4	82.1	155.5	-8.8	25%
Last 10 (10)	74.4	80.8	155.2	-6.4	40%
Last 5 (5)	76.2	77.6	153.8	-1.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	73.2	86.2	159.5	-13.0	25%
vs Similar ◀ (26)	76.8	79.5	156.3	-2.7	42%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Ferro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Ferro

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Boca Juniors

#18

64-71

-7

H16/03

Liga A

Penarol

75-70

A19/03

Liga A

Quilmes

#17

96-84

+12

A20/03

Liga A

Quilmes

#17

80-78 OT

H25/03

Liga A

Quimsa

75-57

+18

H27/03

Liga A

Weber Bahia

81-84

-3

A02/04

Liga A

Estudiantes

#11

68-75

-7

H10/04

Liga A

Atenas

#14

84-90

-6

H13/04

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#12

83-78

A19/04

Liga A

San Lorenzo

82-55

+27

H22/04

Liga A

17-24

10-12

22-16

15-19

15-18

20-20

20-17

20-15

23-15

19-31

23-16

31-22

15-17

20-6

13-20

19-24

12-15

24-8

22-17

17-17

17-15

22-14

14-28

28-27

17-21

15-21

24-19

12-14

19-31

18-12

21-23

26-24

21-21

24-13

17-25

21-19

19-18

24-12

18-10

21-15

153.0Avg total

78.8Scored

74.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (54)	77.2	78.7	155.9	-1.4	46%
Season at home (27)	76.3	75.3	151.5	+1.0	52%
Season away (27)	78.2	82.1	160.3	-3.9	41%
Last 10 (10)	78.8	74.2	153.0	+4.6	60%
Last 5 (5)	79.6	76.4	156.0	+3.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	76.2	67.4	143.6	+8.8	80%
vs Similar ◀ (25)	79.4	80.4	159.9	-1.0	48%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Boca JuniorsFerro

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	20.4	39.2	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.5	19.3	39.8	+1.2	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	17.6	21.2	38.8	-3.6	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	22.0	40.1	-3.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	22.6	40.2	-5.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	15.5	24.0	39.5	-8.5	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (26)	19.3	19.8	39.2	-0.5	46%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.0	20.3	38.4	-2.3	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	17.4	19.7	37.1	-2.3	25%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.8	21.1	39.9	-2.3	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.5	19.5	37.0	-2.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	21.2	39.8	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	16.4	17.2	33.6	-0.8	60%	-
vs Similar ◀ (25)	18.4	21.0	39.3	-2.6	28%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.4	17.6	34.0	-1.2	37%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	17.0	16.2	33.2	+0.8	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	15.9	18.7	34.6	-2.8	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.5	15.5	32.0	+1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	15.6	35.2	+4.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	14.5	18.2	32.8	-3.8	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (26)	16.7	17.5	34.2	-0.8	38%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.0	17.2	35.2	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.1	15.9	34.1	+2.2	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.9	18.6	36.4	-0.7	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	14.9	34.5	+4.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	14.4	35.0	+6.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	19.0	15.0	34.0	+4.0	60%	-
vs Similar ◀ (25)	17.8	17.6	35.4	+0.2	48%	-
vs Weaker	no games

Boca JuniorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ferro

#15

36-27

A16/03

Liga A

La Union

47-26

+21

H18/03

Liga A

Quimsa

19-37

-18

H24/03

Liga A

Gimnasia

25-45

-20

A02/04

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#12

33-49

-16

A05/04

Liga A

Argentino

#16

34-46

-12

A10/04

Liga A

Lanus

#13

42-40

H16/04

Liga A

San Lorenzo

44-39

A19/04

Liga A

Argentino

#16

42-33

H23/04

Liga A

Lanus

#13

24-33

-9

A24/04

Liga A

72.1Avg total

34.6Scored

37.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.2	38.0	73.2	-2.8	37%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	37.5	35.5	72.9	+2.0	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	33.5	39.9	73.5	-6.4	24%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.6	37.5	72.1	-2.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.2	38.2	75.4	-1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	30.0	42.2	72.2	-12.2	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (26)	36.0	37.3	73.4	-1.3	38%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Ferro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

FerroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Boca Juniors

#18

27-36

-9

H16/03

Liga A

Penarol

35-38

-3

A19/03

Liga A

Quilmes

#17

42-46

-4

A20/03

Liga A

Quilmes

#17

35-23

+12

H25/03

Liga A

Quimsa

36-23

+13

H27/03

Liga A

Weber Bahia

39-29

+10

A02/04

Liga A

Estudiantes

#11

32-42

-10

H10/04

Liga A

Atenas

#14

37-43

-6

H13/04

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#12

45-34

+11

A19/04

Liga A

San Lorenzo

43-30

+13

H22/04

Liga A

71.5Avg total

37.1Scored

34.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.0	37.5	73.5	-1.5	30%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	35.5	35.6	71.1	-0.1	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	36.6	39.6	76.3	-3.0	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.1	34.4	71.5	+2.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.2	35.6	74.8	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	35.4	32.2	67.6	+3.2	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (25)	36.2	38.6	74.7	-2.4	28%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	21.2	42.3	-0.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	22.2	21.2	43.5	+1.0	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.2	21.1	41.4	-0.9	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	23.1	43.4	-2.8	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	22.8	44.0	-1.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	20.5	22.8	43.2	-2.2	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (26)	21.2	20.9	42.1	+0.3	54%	-
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	19.2	39.5	+1.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.6	17.4	37.0	+2.2	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.1	21.3	42.4	-0.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	19.1	38.5	+0.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	21.0	39.8	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	20.2	16.2	36.4	+4.0	60%	-
vs Similar ◀ (25)	20.3	19.8	40.1	+0.5	56%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	20.9	40.4	-1.4	37%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.2	20.8	40.9	-0.6	38%	-
Last 30 away (17)	19.0	20.9	39.9	-1.9	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	20.2	39.7	-0.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	16.6	34.4	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	18.8	18.5	37.2	+0.2	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (26)	19.6	21.2	40.8	-1.6	38%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	20.8	42.7	+1.1	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.9	21.1	42.0	-0.2	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	23.1	20.4	43.5	+2.6	79%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	19.6	40.6	+1.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	19.8	41.4	+1.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	20.6	19.0	39.6	+1.6	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (25)	22.2	21.2	43.3	+1.0	64%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.6	42.0	82.6	-1.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	42.4	42.0	84.4	+0.4	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	39.2	42.1	81.3	-2.8	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.8	43.3	83.1	-3.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.0	39.4	78.4	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	39.2	41.2	80.5	-2.0	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (26)	40.8	42.2	83.0	-1.3	46%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.2	40.0	82.2	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.5	38.5	79.0	+2.0	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	44.1	41.7	85.9	+2.4	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.4	38.7	79.1	+1.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.4	40.8	81.2	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	40.8	35.2	76.0	+5.6	80%	-
vs Similar ◀ (25)	42.5	41.0	83.4	+1.5	56%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Boca Juniors wins

Ferro wins

Date	Game	Score
16/03/16	Ferro v Boca Juniors	64-71
21/11/15	Ferro v Boca Juniors	65-79
08/10/15	Boca Juniors v Ferro	70-72

Boca Juniorslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
24/04/16	A	Lanus	58-73
23/04/16	H	Argentino	78-74
19/04/16	A	San Lorenzo	76-78
16/04/16	H	Lanus	91-81
10/04/16	A	Argentino	78-82
05/04/16	A	Obras Sanitarias	82-93
02/04/16	A	Gimnasia	61-88
24/03/16	H	Quimsa	59-87
18/03/16	H	La Union	90-88
16/03/16	A	Ferro	71-64

Ferrolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
22/04/16	H	San Lorenzo	82-55
19/04/16	A	Obras Sanitarias	83-78
13/04/16	H	Atenas	84-90
10/04/16	H	Estudiantes	68-75
02/04/16	A	Weber Bahia	81-84
27/03/16	H	Quimsa	75-57
25/03/16	H	Quilmes	80-78 OT
20/03/16	A	Quilmes	96-84
19/03/16	A	Penarol	75-70
16/03/16	H	Boca Juniors	64-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boca Juniors

Liga A 2015-16

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWL	43%
Home	WWLWW	62%
Away	LLLLL	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	54	26	28
Win %	43%	62%	25%
Points / game	78.5	84.0	73.4
Allowed / game	80.9	79.5	82.1
Point differential	-2.4	+4.5	-8.8
Avg total	159.3	163.5	155.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	17%	31%	4%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	43% (21)	45% (11)	40% (10)
Overtime %	13%	19%	7%

Ferro

Liga A 2015-16

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWW	46%
Home	WWLLW	52%
Away	LWWLW	41%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	54	27	27
Win %	46%	52%	41%
Points / game	77.2	76.3	78.2
Allowed / game	78.7	75.3	82.1
Point differential	-1.4	+1.0	-3.9
Avg total	155.9	151.5	160.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	20%	33%	7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	55% (20)	62% (8)	50% (12)
Overtime %	6%	7%	4%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Olimpico	54	35	19	65%	82.0	77.8	+4.2
2	Gimnasia	54	33	21	61%	82.8	76.4	+6.4
3	Penarol	54	31	23	57%	83.6	82.7	+0.9
4	La Union	54	30	24	56%	80.7	78.1	+2.6
5	Quimsa	53	29	24	55%	80.6	76.8	+3.8
6	San Lorenzo	53	29	24	55%	83.4	79.8	+3.5
7	Libertad	55	30	25	55%	81.4	80.2	+1.2
8	Weber Bahia	54	29	25	54%	75.9	78.4	-2.5
9	Obras Sanitarias	55	28	27	51%	83.4	84.0	-0.6
10	San Martin	54	27	27	50%	85.4	84.2	+1.3
11	Estudiantes	54	26	28	48%	74.5	79.3	-4.8
12	Regatas	53	25	28	47%	79.3	79.3	-0.0
13	Ferro	54	25	29	46%	77.2	78.7	-1.4
14	Atenas	54	25	29	46%	77.1	78.7	-1.7
15	Lanus	52	23	29	44%	80.8	81.7	-0.8
16	Quilmes	55	24	31	44%	81.4	82.5	-1.1
17	Instituto de Cordoba	53	23	30	43%	76.6	78.1	-1.5
18	Argentino	53	23	30	43%	77.5	80.1	-2.7
19	Boca Juniors	54	23	31	43%	78.5	80.9	-2.4
20	Sionista	52	19	33	37%	76.5	81.2	-4.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Boca Juniors	14	29	22	19	84
Ferro	13	7	18	23	61

← all games of the day

Boca Juniors vs Ferro Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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