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Boca Juniors vs Ferro Prediction & Stats

Date: Mon 21 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 21:00
Scheduled
Position#6
Record5-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game89.5
Allowed / game83.2
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.8/10
Around normal
5.0/10
Around normal
Position#16
Record2-6
FormLWLLL
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game85.6
ArgentinaLiga A· Estadio Luis Conde
Other2026-27
Meetings · Boca Juniors v Ferro
21 Dec 2026
BOCA v FERR
upcoming
11 Apr 2026
BOCA81
FERR90
16 Jun 2025
BOCA86
FERR70
08 Jun 2025
BOCA69
FERR71
06 Jun 2025
BOCA85
FERR71
27 Feb 2025
BOCA80
FERR77
07 Oct 2023
BOCA77
FERR66
01 Feb 2023
BOCA68
FERR69
18 Mar 2022
BOCA95
FERR59
27 Sep 2021
BOCA97
FERR69
09 Mar 2021
BOCA64
FERR67
16 Dec 2019
BOCA68
FERR69
28 Jan 2019
BOCA76
FERR65
01 Oct 2018
BOCA64
FERR81
18 Feb 2018
BOCA77
FERR71
21 Sep 2017
BOCA76
FERR83
19 Dec 2016
BOCA67
FERR75
13 Oct 2016
BOCA77
FERR83
27 Apr 2016
BOCA84
FERR61
08 Oct 2015
BOCA70
FERR72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boca Juniors win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Ferro win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boca JuniorsArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJuniors
Date
Competition
Quimsa
#3
W
99-92
99
92
+7
92avg 78
H30/05
Liga A
Quimsa
#3
L
83-94
83
94
-11
76avg 78
H31/05
Liga A
Obera TC
#10
W
96-73
96
73
+23
91avg 78
H08/10
Liga A
Quimsa
#1
L
96-105
96
105
-9
95avg 78
A11/10
Liga A
Olimpico
#8
L
80-93
80
93
-13
73avg 78
A13/10
Liga A
Argentino
#9
L
82-84
82
84
-2
71avg 78
A22/10
Liga A
Racing de Chivilcoy
#13
W
80-72
80
72
+8
75avg 78
A24/10
Liga A
Regatas
#15
W
95-83
95
83
+12
90avg 78
H28/10
Liga A
San Martin
#18
W
90-63
90
63
+27
no box
H07/11
Liga A
La Union
#14
W
97-93
97
93
+4
no box
H09/11
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-17
21-21
22-29
26-25
22-25
20-27
22-20
19-22
26-21
30-11
21-21
19-20
33-23
21-26
21-31
21-25
17-35
17-20
29-19
17-19
24-25
19-21
17-12
22-26
21-15
23-28
21-12
15-17
32-14
23-20
21-25
19-24
14-13
28-17
21-14
27-19
27-24
23-17
30-26
17-26
175.0Avg total
89.8Scored
85.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)89.583.2172.8+6.262%
Season at home (4)94.578.0172.5+16.5100%
Season away (4)84.588.5173.0-4.025%
Last 10 (10)89.885.2175.0+4.660%
Last 5 (5)88.879.0167.8+9.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (15)85.183.2168.3+1.960%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)86.378.4164.7+7.987%
This opponent (Ferro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FerroArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFerro
Date
Competition
Gimnasia
#1
W
81-73
81
73
+8
73avg 72
H30/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
L
54-88
54
88
-34
46avg 72
A03/06
Liga A
Argentino
#9
L
68-79
68
79
-11
53avg 72
A01/10
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#7
W
97-92
97
92
+5
88avg 72
A09/10
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#4
L
94-97 OT
94
97
-3
83avg 72
A10/10
Liga A
Atenas
#5
L
86-91
86
91
-5
79avg 72
A13/10
Liga A
Platense
#11
W
86-81
86
81
+5
81avg 72
H21/10
Liga A
Gimnasia
#3
L
61-73
61
73
-12
49avg 72
A29/10
Liga A
San Martin
#18
L
84-87
84
87
-3
no box
H11/11
Liga A
Penarol
#2
L
76-85
76
85
-9
no box
H13/11
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-19
26-17
26-20
19-17
19-21
14-30
13-20
8-17
17-21
20-23
22-14
9-21
33-28
14-23
27-23
23-18
17-12
22-20
12-22
22-19
20-16
28-24
18-24
20-27
30-20
20-17
19-14
17-30
14-23
19-22
15-11
13-17
20-18
26-12
19-21
19-36
20-22
19-13
18-15
19-35
163.3Avg total
78.7Scored
84.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)81.585.6167.1-4.125%
Season at home (3)82.084.3166.3-2.333%
Season away (5)81.286.4167.6-5.220%
Last 10 (10)78.784.6163.3-5.930%
Last 5 (5)78.683.4162.0-4.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)82.887.6170.4-4.820%
vs Similar (24)78.280.0158.3-1.846%
vs Weaker (1)100.074.0174.0+26.0100%
This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -6.8-6.8
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -6.8-6.8
Boca JuniorsFerro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Boca JuniorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Quimsa
#3
W
51-38
51
38
+13
H30/05
Liga A
Quimsa
#3
L
42-52
42
52
-10
H31/05
Liga A
Obera TC
#10
W
56-32
56
32
+24
H08/10
Liga A
Quimsa
#1
W
54-49
54
49
+5
A11/10
Liga A
Olimpico
#8
L
34-55
34
55
-21
A13/10
Liga A
Argentino
#9
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A22/10
Liga A
Racing de Chivilcoy
#13
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A24/10
Liga A
Regatas
#15
W
55-34
55
34
+21
H28/10
Liga A
San Martin
#18
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H07/11
Liga A
La Union
#14
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H09/11
Liga A
89.1Avg total
47.1Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.040.584.5+3.563%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.238.984.1+6.471%-
Last 30 away (13)42.442.685.0-0.254%-
Last 10 (10)47.142.089.1+5.170%-
Last 5 (5)46.838.885.6+8.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (15)43.641.184.7+2.560%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)44.439.984.3+4.567%-
This opponent (Ferro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FerroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gimnasia
#1
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H30/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
L
33-51
33
51
-18
A03/06
Liga A
Argentino
#9
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A01/10
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#7
L
47-51
47
51
-4
A09/10
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#4
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A10/10
Liga A
Atenas
#5
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A13/10
Liga A
Platense
#11
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H21/10
Liga A
Gimnasia
#3
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A29/10
Liga A
San Martin
#18
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H11/11
Liga A
Penarol
#2
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H13/11
Liga A
80.9Avg total
40.8Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.240.382.6+1.957%-
Last 30 at home (11)45.337.082.3+8.382%-
Last 30 away (19)40.542.382.7-1.842%-
Last 10 (10)40.840.180.9+0.750%-
Last 5 (5)43.237.480.6+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)41.240.681.8+0.660%-
vs Similar (24)41.840.582.2+1.354%-
vs Weaker (1)59.036.095.0+23.0100%-
This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Boca Juniorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boca Juniors: 86.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.318.9
56.8%
54.4%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.211.1
34.5%
32.6%33.3
🏀 Free throws20.115.4
76.6%
72.7%15.4
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ferrotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ferro: 77.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.918.9
55.8%
54.4%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.47.5
25.5%
32.6%22.5
🏀 Free throws22.717.2
75.8%
72.7%17.2
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Boca Juniors
WWWWLLLWLW
Ferro
LLLWLLWLLW
#6
League position
#16
-1.3
Net rating
-4.4
115.8
Offensive rating
107.2
117.2
Defensive rating
111.6
54.3%
Effective FG%
47.6%
55.2%
Opp. effective FG%
52.9%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.36
34.5%
3-point %
25.5%
53.3%
Assist %
51.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence115.8 · 107.2Defence117.2 · 111.6Shooting54.3% · 47.6%3-point %34.5% · 25.5%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.31 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Boca Juniors   ■ Ferro
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Boca Juniors wins
4
Ferro wins
DateGameScore
11/04/26Boca Juniors v Ferro81-90
29/12/25Ferro v Boca Juniors100-84
17/06/25Boca Juniors v Ferro86-70
13/06/25Ferro v Boca Juniors72-74
12/06/25Ferro v Boca Juniors76-73
08/06/25Boca Juniors v Ferro69-71
06/06/25Boca Juniors v Ferro85-71
28/02/25Boca Juniors v Ferro80-77
04/12/24Ferro v Boca Juniors82-97
04/04/24Ferro v Boca Juniors69-70
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/26HLa Union97-93
07/11/26HSan Martin90-63
28/10/26HRegatas95-83
24/10/26ARacing de Chivilcoy80-72
22/10/26AArgentino82-84
13/10/26AOlimpico80-93
11/10/26AQuimsa96-105
08/10/26HObera TC96-73
31/05/26HQuimsa83-94
30/05/26HQuimsa99-92
Ferrolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HPenarol76-85
11/11/26HSan Martin84-87
29/10/26AGimnasia61-73
21/10/26HPlatense86-81
13/10/26AAtenas86-91
10/10/26AInstituto de Cordoba94-97 OT
09/10/26AIndependiente de Oliva97-92
01/10/26AArgentino68-79
03/06/26AGimnasia54-88
30/05/26HGimnasia81-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boca Juniors
Liga A 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW62%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %62%100%25%
Points / game89.594.584.5
Allowed / game83.278.088.5
Point differential+6.2+16.5-4.0
Avg total172.8172.5173.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ferro
Liga A 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL25%
HomeWLL33%
AwayLWLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %25%33%20%
Points / game81.582.081.2
Allowed / game85.684.386.4
Point differential-4.1-2.3-5.2
Avg total167.1166.3167.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %12%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Quimsa87188%85.275.8+9.5
2 Penarol87188%82.174.8+7.4
3 Gimnasia129375%77.274.0+3.2
4 Instituto de Cordoba86275%77.976.5+1.4
5 Atenas75271%84.479.0+5.4
6 Boca Juniors85362%89.583.2+6.2
7 Independiente de Oliva42250%99.589.0+10.5
8 Olimpico84450%86.885.4+1.4
9 Argentino84450%77.979.5-1.6
10 Obera TC73443%80.083.1-3.1
11 Platense83538%76.978.6-1.8
12 Lanus114736%78.579.3-0.7
13 Racing de Chivilcoy93633%79.482.8-3.3
14 La Union62433%78.283.2-5.0
15 Regatas72529%73.375.7-2.4
16 Ferro82625%81.585.6-4.1
17 San Lorenzo82625%70.183.2-13.1
18 San Martin92722%81.687.4-5.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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