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Boise State vs Utah State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 27 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 03:30
Final 82-65
37-31 45-34
Position#55
Record19-8
FormWWLWW
Points / game76.1
Allowed / game66.3
Boise State 🏆
USA
vs
Utah State
USA
Position#28
Record24-4
FormWWLWW
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game69.5
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Boise State v Utah State
27 Jan 2027
BOIS v UTAH
upcoming
10 Jan 2026
BOIS68
UTAH93
05 Jan 2026
BOIS v UTAH
upcoming
26 Feb 2025
BOIS82
UTAH65
27 Jan 2024
BOIS84
UTAH90
10 Mar 2023
BOIS62
UTAH72
07 Jan 2023
BOIS82
UTAH59
19 Feb 2022
BOIS68
UTAH57
19 Feb 2021
BOIS81
UTAH77
17 Feb 2021
BOIS79
UTAH70
18 Jan 2020
BOIS88
UTAH83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boise State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Utah State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boise StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wyoming
#306
W
96-55
96
55
+41
H15/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
L
65-84
65
84
-19
A18/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
L
72-75
72
75
-3
A23/01
NCAA
Nevada
#189
W
66-56
66
56
+10
H30/01
NCAA
Fresno State
#358
W
82-60
82
60
+22
H01/02
NCAA
UNLV
#165
W
71-62
71
62
+9
A05/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#251
W
79-52
79
52
+27
H08/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#65
L
47-64
47
64
-17
A16/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
W
86-78
86
78
+8
H20/02
NCAA
Nevada
#189
W
70-69
70
69
+1
A22/02
NCAA
1H
2H
50-21
46-34
21-48
44-36
29-38
43-37
28-24
38-32
44-26
38-34
33-29
38-33
37-25
42-27
18-28
29-36
42-39
44-39
34-32
36-37
138.9Avg total
73.4Scored
65.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)76.166.3142.4+9.870%
Season at home (16)80.962.3143.2+18.688%
Season away (11)69.272.1141.3-2.945%
Last 10 (10)73.465.5138.9+7.970%
Last 5 (5)70.665.0135.6+5.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (13)70.974.8145.8-3.938%
vs Weaker (16)76.960.3137.2+16.688%
This opponent (Utah State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utah StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevada
#189
W
90-69
90
69
+21
H23/01
NCAA
Air Force
#367
W
87-58
87
58
+29
A25/01
NCAA
UNLV
#165
W
76-71
76
71
+5
H30/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
L
63-82
63
82
-19
H02/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#306
W
71-67
71
67
+4
A05/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#358
W
89-81
89
81
+8
A08/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
W
93-85
93
85
+8
H12/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
L
79-82
79
82
-3
A16/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#251
W
105-57
105
57
+48
H20/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#65
W
79-71
79
71
+8
H23/02
NCAA
1H
2H
47-38
43-31
42-33
45-25
33-24
43-47
36-30
27-52
30-35
41-32
50-31
39-50
45-30
48-55
42-36
37-46
47-24
58-33
33-26
46-45
155.5Avg total
83.2Scored
72.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)82.569.5152.0+13.086%
Season at home (16)88.470.2158.7+18.288%
Season away (12)74.568.5143.0+6.083%
Last 10 (10)83.272.3155.5+10.980%
Last 5 (5)89.075.2164.2+13.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)70.090.5160.5-20.50%
vs Similar ◀ (9)76.273.6149.8+2.778%
vs Weaker (18)84.568.2152.7+16.394%
This opponent (Boise State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +2.6+2.61st half: +9.8+9.82nd half2nd half: +5.3+5.32nd half: +1.1+1.1
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +2.6+2.61st half: +9.8+9.82nd half2nd half: +5.3+5.32nd half: +1.1+1.1
Boise StateUtah State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Boise StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wyoming
#306
W
50-21
50
21
+29
H15/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
L
21-48
21
48
-27
A18/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A23/01
NCAA
Nevada
#189
W
28-24
28
24
+4
H30/01
NCAA
Fresno State
#358
W
44-26
44
26
+18
H01/02
NCAA
UNLV
#165
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A05/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#251
W
37-25
37
25
+12
H08/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#65
L
18-28
18
28
-10
A16/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H20/02
NCAA
Nevada
#189
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A22/02
NCAA
64.6Avg total
33.6Scored
31.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.430.464.8+4.067%-
Last 30 at home (18)37.428.666.0+8.878%-
Last 30 away (12)29.933.263.1-3.250%-
Last 10 (10)33.631.064.6+2.670%-
Last 5 (5)32.830.663.4+2.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (13)31.234.765.8-3.546%-
vs Weaker (16)36.127.163.1+9.081%-
This opponent (Utah State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utah StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevada
#189
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H23/01
NCAA
Air Force
#367
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A25/01
NCAA
UNLV
#165
W
33-24
33
24
+9
H30/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H02/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#306
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A05/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#358
W
50-31
50
31
+19
A08/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H12/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A16/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#251
W
47-24
47
24
+23
H20/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#65
W
33-26
33
26
+7
H23/02
NCAA
71.2Avg total
40.5Scored
30.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.232.371.5+6.967%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.630.773.4+11.988%-
Last 30 away (13)34.834.469.2+0.438%-
Last 10 (10)40.530.771.2+9.890%-
Last 5 (5)43.429.472.8+14.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)36.040.576.5-4.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)36.332.468.8+3.967%-
vs Weaker (18)39.631.771.3+7.967%-
This opponent (Boise State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Boise State wins
5
Utah State wins
DateGameScore
12/01/25Utah State v Boise State81-79
11/02/24Utah State v Boise State80-61
27/01/24Boise State v Utah State84-90 OT
11/03/23Boise State v Utah State62-72
05/03/23Utah State v Boise State86-73
07/01/23Boise State v Utah State82-59
19/02/22Boise State v Utah State68-57
21/01/22Utah State v Boise State59-62
20/02/21Boise State v Utah State81-77
18/02/21Boise State v Utah State79-70
Boise Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/25ANevada70-69
20/02/25HNew Mexico86-78
16/02/25ASan Diego State47-64
08/02/25HSan Jose State79-52
05/02/25AUNLV71-62
01/02/25HFresno State82-60
30/01/25HNevada66-56
23/01/25AColorado State72-75
18/01/25ANew Mexico65-84
15/01/25HWyoming96-55
Utah Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/02/25HSan Diego State79-71
20/02/25HSan Jose State105-57
16/02/25ANew Mexico79-82
12/02/25HColorado State93-85
08/02/25AFresno State89-81
05/02/25AWyoming71-67
02/02/25HNew Mexico63-82
30/01/25HUNLV76-71
25/01/25AAir Force87-58
23/01/25HNevada90-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boise State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW70%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayLLWLW45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271611
Win %70%88%45%
Points / game76.180.969.2
Allowed / game66.362.372.1
Point differential+9.8+18.6-2.9
Avg total142.4143.2141.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)50% (2)50% (6)
Overtime %4%6%0%
Utah State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW86%
HomeWLWWW88%
AwayLWWWL83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281612
Win %86%88%83%
Points / game82.588.474.5
Allowed / game69.570.268.5
Point differential+13.0+18.2+6.0
Avg total152.0158.7143.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%50%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won73% (11)75% (4)71% (7)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State2824486%82.569.5+13.0
2 New Mexico2822679%82.371.6+10.7
3 Grand Canyon2620677%78.168.3+9.8
4 San Diego State2619773%71.363.2+8.2
5 Boise State2719870%76.166.3+9.8
6 Colorado State2819968%74.367.8+6.5
7 Nevada28161257%73.567.5+6.0
8 UNLV28151354%69.668.4+1.2
9 San Jose State30131743%73.074.0-1.0
10 Wyoming29121741%67.671.6-4.0
11 Fresno State2852318%71.581.4-9.9
12 Air Force2842414%62.472.5-10.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Boise State374582
Utah State313465
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