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San Diego State vs UNLV Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 82-71
43-23 39-48
Position#10
Record19-5
FormWWLWW
Points / game74.3
Allowed / game65.5
vs
Position#123
Record16-8
FormWWWLW
Points / game76.1
Allowed / game68.5
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · San Diego State v UNLV
05 Dec 2026
SAN v UNLV
upcoming
06 Mar 2026
SAN 89
UNLV86
18 Jan 2025
SAN 68
UNLV76
06 Jan 2024
SAN 72
UNLV61
11 Feb 2023
SAN 82
UNLV71
24 Jan 2022
SAN 80
UNLV55
22 Feb 2020
SAN 63
UNLV66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

San Diego State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UNLV winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

San Diego StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wyoming
#334
W
80-75
80
75
+5
A07/01
NCAA
Nevada
#74
W
74-65
74
65
+9
H11/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#70
L
67-76
67
76
-9
H15/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#238
W
82-76 OT
82
76
+6
A19/01
NCAA
Air Force
#251
W
70-60
70
60
+10
A22/01
NCAA
Utah State
#41
W
85-75
85
75
+10
H26/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#121
W
72-51
72
51
+21
H29/01
NCAA
Nevada
#74
L
66-75
66
75
-9
A01/02
NCAA
Boise State
#57
W
72-52
72
52
+20
H04/02
NCAA
Utah State
#41
W
63-61
63
61
+2
A09/02
NCAA
1H
2H
43-42
37-33
44-27
30-38
28-38
39-38
28-34
37-31
39-24
31-36
42-27
43-48
33-14
39-37
30-28
36-47
43-21
29-31
44-28
19-33
139.7Avg total
73.1Scored
66.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)74.365.5139.9+8.879%
Season at home (15)76.162.8138.9+13.387%
Season away (9)71.370.1141.4+1.267%
Last 10 (10)73.166.6139.7+6.580%
Last 5 (5)71.662.8134.4+8.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (17)68.665.4134.0+3.365%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)76.864.1140.8+12.792%
This opponent (UNLV) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UNLVUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Mexico
#70
W
84-77
84
77
+7
A08/01
NCAA
Boise State
#57
L
66-84
66
84
-18
H12/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#238
L
81-82 OT
81
82
-1
H15/01
NCAA
Utah State
#41
L
71-75
71
75
-4
A18/01
NCAA
Fresno State
#295
L
63-76
63
76
-13
A21/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#334
W
86-72
86
72
+14
H25/01
NCAA
Nevada
#74
W
68-62
68
62
+6
H29/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#238
W
83-71
83
71
+12
A01/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#295
L
79-82
79
82
-3
H04/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#334
W
69-59
69
59
+10
A09/02
NCAA
1H
2H
38-43
46-34
–
–
34-35
36-35
37-46
34-29
33-37
30-39
41-31
45-41
35-33
33-29
39-30
44-41
43-37
36-45
25-24
44-35
149.0Avg total
75.0Scored
74.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)76.168.5144.6+7.767%
Season at home (15)76.366.7143.0+9.767%
Season away (9)75.871.4147.2+4.367%
Last 10 (10)75.074.0149.0+1.050%
Last 5 (5)77.069.2146.2+7.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)70.771.3142.0-0.733%
vs Similar (16)70.566.8137.2+3.862%
vs Weaker (11)80.467.6148.0+12.773%
This opponent (San Diego State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: +9.1+9.11st half: +1.0+1.02nd half2nd half: -3.2-3.22nd half: +2.2+2.2
-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: +9.1+9.11st half: +1.0+1.02nd half2nd half: -3.2-3.22nd half: +2.2+2.2
San Diego StateUNLV
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
San Diego StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wyoming
#334
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A07/01
NCAA
Nevada
#74
W
44-27
44
27
+17
H11/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#70
L
28-38
28
38
-10
H15/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#238
L
28-34
28
34
-6
A19/01
NCAA
Air Force
#251
W
39-24
39
24
+15
A22/01
NCAA
Utah State
#41
W
42-27
42
27
+15
H26/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#121
W
33-14
33
14
+19
H29/01
NCAA
Nevada
#74
W
30-28
30
28
+2
A01/02
NCAA
Boise State
#57
W
43-21
43
21
+22
H04/02
NCAA
Utah State
#41
W
44-28
44
28
+16
A09/02
NCAA
65.7Avg total
37.4Scored
28.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.928.564.4+7.473%-
Last 30 at home (18)35.826.562.3+9.378%-
Last 30 away (12)36.131.567.6+4.667%-
Last 10 (10)37.428.365.7+9.180%-
Last 5 (5)38.423.662.0+14.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (17)33.929.263.1+4.859%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)38.527.666.1+10.892%-
This opponent (UNLV) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UNLVLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Mexico
#70
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A08/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#238
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H15/01
NCAA
Utah State
#41
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A18/01
NCAA
Fresno State
#295
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A21/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#334
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H25/01
NCAA
Nevada
#74
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H29/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#238
W
39-30
39
30
+9
A01/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#295
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H04/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#334
W
25-24
25
24
+1
A09/02
NCAA
71.2Avg total
36.1Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)35.233.068.3+2.252%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.232.970.2+4.359%-
Last 30 away (12)32.433.265.6-0.842%-
Last 10 (9)36.135.171.2+1.056%-
Last 5 (5)36.631.067.6+5.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)34.041.075.0-7.00%-
vs Similar (15)33.732.666.3+1.153%-
vs Weaker (11)37.731.569.2+6.364%-
This opponent (San Diego State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
San Diego State wins
1
UNLV wins
DateGameScore
31/12/22UNLV v San Diego State67-76
25/01/22San Diego State v UNLV80-55
01/01/22UNLV v San Diego State55-62
04/03/21UNLV v San Diego State62-71
23/02/20San Diego State v UNLV63-66
26/01/20UNLV v San Diego State67-71
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/23AUtah State63-61
04/02/23HBoise State72-52
01/02/23ANevada66-75
29/01/23HSan Jose State72-51
26/01/23HUtah State85-75
22/01/23AAir Force70-60
19/01/23AColorado State82-76 OT
15/01/23HNew Mexico67-76
11/01/23HNevada74-65
07/01/23AWyoming80-75
UNLVlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/23AWyoming69-59
04/02/23HFresno State79-82
01/02/23AColorado State83-71
29/01/23HNevada68-62
25/01/23HWyoming86-72
21/01/23AFresno State63-76
18/01/23AUtah State71-75
15/01/23HColorado State81-82 OT
12/01/23HBoise State66-84
08/01/23ANew Mexico84-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

San Diego State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW79%
HomeWLWWW87%
AwayWWWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games24159
Win %79%87%67%
Points / game74.376.171.3
Allowed / game65.562.870.1
Point differential+8.8+13.3+1.2
Avg total139.9138.9141.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%60%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)67% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %8%7%11%
UNLV
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW67%
HomeLLWWL67%
AwayWLLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games24159
Win %67%67%67%
Points / game76.176.375.8
Allowed / game68.566.771.4
Point differential+7.7+9.7+4.3
Avg total144.6143.0147.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%47%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)0% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %8%7%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Diego State2419579%74.365.5+8.8
2 Nevada2620677%73.766.5+7.3
3 New Mexico2519676%81.672.4+9.2
4 Utah State2519676%79.671.0+8.6
5 Boise State2418675%71.661.2+10.4
6 UNLV2416867%76.168.5+7.7
7 Grand Canyon2315865%71.866.2+5.6
8 San Jose State24141058%68.166.3+1.8
9 Air Force26131350%67.366.5+0.8
10 Colorado State25111444%73.871.8+2.0
11 Fresno State2491538%62.165.4-3.2
12 Wyoming2371630%70.071.9-1.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
San Diego State433982
UNLV234871
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