Bayern vs Ulm Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 04 Apr 2018

Tip-off: 18:30

Final 100-95

29-18 19-25 24-24 28-28

Position#1

Record23-3

FormWLLLL

Points / game86.4

Allowed / game73.7

Bayern 🏆

Ulm

Position#10

Record14-12

FormLLWWL

Points / game81.5

Allowed / game80.0

BBLRound 18

Domestic2017-18

Meetings · Bayern v Ulm

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayern winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Ulm winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Bayern

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ludwigsburg

90-73

+17

A03/03

BBL

Unics Kazan

83-75

H06/03

Eurocup

Unics Kazan

73-80

-7

A09/03

Eurocup

Mitteldeutscher

#14

111-91

111

+20

H11/03

BBL

Unics Kazan

91-81

+10

H14/03

Eurocup

Basketball Braunschweig

#13

91-82

A17/03

BBL

Darussafaka

74-76

-2

A20/03

Eurocup

Darussafaka

83-87

-4

H23/03

Eurocup

Alba Berlin

72-91

-19

H25/03

BBL

Oldenburg

77-100

100

-23

A31/03

BBL

17-13

26-19

27-21

20-20

19-15

14-17

22-20

28-23

22-16

18-14

12-24

21-26

26-22

25-30

30-13

30-26

27-27

19-15

23-21

22-18

22-28

24-16

26-21

19-17

25-11

22-19

16-28

11-18

22-17

22-24

20-25

19-21

26-13

13-21

17-29

16-28

22-23

15-27

22-28

18-22

168.1Avg total

84.5Scored

83.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (26)	86.4	73.7	160.0	+12.7	88%
Season at home (12)	87.8	73.2	161.1	+14.6	83%
Season away (14)	85.1	74.0	159.1	+11.1	93%
Last 10 (10)	84.5	83.6	168.1	+0.9	50%
Last 5 (5)	79.4	87.2	166.6	-7.8	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	82.0	79.6	161.6	+2.4	40%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	88.4	80.0	168.4	+8.3	84%

This opponent (Ulm) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Ulm

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Gotha

#17

81-79

A21/01

BBL

Jena

#12

87-72

+15

H27/01

BBL

Gottingen

#15

94-84

+10

A03/02

BBL

Giessen

#11

90-95

-5

H10/02

BBL

Frankfurt

77-78

-1

H14/02

BBL

Ludwigsburg

54-89

-35

A28/02

BBL

Bamberg

67-90

-23

H11/03

BBL

Tubingen

#18

95-82

+13

H17/03

BBL

s.Oliver Wurzburg

91-74

+17

A24/03

BBL

Bonn

87-94 OT

-7

H01/04

BBL

20-23

23-20

10-20

28-16

15-19

23-20

36-15

13-18

34-22

19-25

19-15

22-22

21-29

17-26

29-18

23-22

14-16

17-25

19-16

27-21

9-27

12-26

14-19

19-17

23-20

8-24

15-31

21-15

22-24

29-19

25-19

19-20

23-18

20-15

28-20

20-21

16-24

25-18

21-23

21-18

166.0Avg total

82.3Scored

83.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (26)	81.5	80.0	161.5	+1.6	54%
Season at home (15)	81.7	78.8	160.5	+2.9	53%
Season away (11)	81.4	81.5	162.9	-0.2	55%
Last 10 (10)	82.3	83.7	166.0	-1.4	50%
Last 5 (5)	78.8	85.8	164.6	-7.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	79.4	89.2	168.6	-9.8	19%
vs Similar (6)	85.0	80.7	165.7	+4.3	50%
vs Weaker (8)	86.9	76.4	163.2	+10.5	100%

This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

BayernUlm

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.8	19.9	42.7	+2.9	63%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	25.0	20.5	45.5	+4.5	85%	-
Last 30 away (17)	21.1	19.5	40.6	+1.6	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.8	18.5	41.3	+4.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	18.4	41.8	+5.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	23.4	15.4	38.8	+8.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	22.7	20.8	43.5	+1.9	56%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	21.5	41.2	-1.7	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.8	20.7	41.5	+0.1	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.5	22.4	40.9	-3.9	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	22.2	41.9	-2.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	22.6	41.2	-4.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	18.6	22.3	40.9	-3.7	25%	-
vs Similar (6)	17.8	22.0	39.8	-4.2	17%	-
vs Weaker (8)	23.4	19.4	42.8	+4.0	62%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	18.8	39.2	+1.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.8	19.7	40.5	+1.1	38%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.1	18.2	38.2	+1.9	65%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	20.2	40.0	-0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	21.4	40.6	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	22.0	19.6	41.6	+2.4	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	20.0	18.7	38.7	+1.4	52%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	21.0	40.5	-1.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.4	20.8	40.2	-1.4	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.6	21.2	40.9	-1.6	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	21.8	41.1	-2.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	20.4	39.2	-1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	18.9	20.9	39.8	-2.1	50%	-
vs Similar (6)	19.3	22.3	41.7	-3.0	33%	-
vs Weaker (8)	20.9	20.1	41.0	+0.8	62%	-

BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ludwigsburg

43-32

+11

A03/03

BBL

Unics Kazan

33-32

H06/03

Eurocup

Unics Kazan

40-30

+10

A09/03

Eurocup

Mitteldeutscher

#14

51-52

-1

H11/03

BBL

Unics Kazan

46-42

H14/03

Eurocup

Basketball Braunschweig

#13

46-44

A17/03

BBL

Darussafaka

47-30

+17

A20/03

Eurocup

Darussafaka

44-41

H23/03

Eurocup

Alba Berlin

39-34

H25/03

BBL

Oldenburg

37-50

-13

A31/03

BBL

81.3Avg total

42.6Scored

38.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.2	38.7	81.9	+4.4	77%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	45.8	40.2	85.9	+5.6	92%	-
Last 30 away (17)	41.2	37.6	78.8	+3.5	65%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.6	38.7	81.3	+3.9	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.6	39.8	82.4	+2.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	45.4	35.0	80.4	+10.4	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	42.7	39.5	82.2	+3.2	72%	-

This opponent (Ulm) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Gotha

#17

43-43

A21/01

BBL

Jena

#12

38-39

-1

H27/01

BBL

Gottingen

#15

53-47

A03/02

BBL

Giessen

#11

38-55

-17

H10/02

BBL

Frankfurt

31-41

-10

H14/02

BBL

Ludwigsburg

21-53

-32

A28/02

BBL

Bamberg

31-44

-13

H11/03

BBL

Tubingen

#18

51-43

H17/03

BBL

s.Oliver Wurzburg

43-33

+10

A24/03

BBL

Bonn

41-42

-1

H01/04

BBL

83.0Avg total

39.0Scored

44.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.2	42.5	81.7	-3.2	30%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.2	41.5	81.7	-1.3	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.1	43.6	81.7	-5.4	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.0	44.0	83.0	-5.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.4	43.0	80.4	-5.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	37.5	43.2	80.8	-5.8	19%	-
vs Similar (6)	37.2	44.3	81.5	-7.2	17%	-
vs Weaker (8)	44.2	39.5	83.8	+4.8	62%	-

This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.5	20.1	42.6	+2.4	63%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	24.0	19.9	43.9	+4.1	69%	-
Last 30 away (17)	21.4	20.2	41.6	+1.2	59%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	23.0	44.5	-1.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	26.2	46.4	-6.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	20.2	24.0	44.2	-3.8	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	23.0	19.3	42.3	+3.7	68%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	20.4	42.0	+1.3	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.9	20.5	43.4	+2.4	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.2	20.2	40.4	+0.0	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	19.6	41.2	+2.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	22.4	43.0	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	20.6	23.2	43.8	-2.6	38%	-
vs Similar (6)	25.7	16.7	42.3	+9.0	83%	-
vs Weaker (8)	20.6	17.5	38.1	+3.1	88%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	21.1	42.7	+0.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	22.3	21.1	43.4	+1.2	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	21.1	21.2	42.2	-0.1	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	21.9	42.3	-1.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	21.2	37.8	-4.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	16.4	20.6	37.0	-4.2	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	22.6	21.2	43.9	+1.4	56%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	20.9	42.4	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.2	20.5	41.7	+0.7	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.9	21.3	43.1	+0.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	19.0	40.3	+2.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	18.2	38.2	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	21.0	22.1	43.1	-1.1	50%	-
vs Similar (6)	22.2	19.7	41.8	+2.5	67%	-
vs Weaker (8)	22.0	19.4	41.4	+2.6	38%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.1	41.2	85.4	+2.9	63%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	46.3	41.0	87.3	+5.3	77%	-
Last 30 away (17)	42.5	41.4	83.9	+1.1	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.9	44.9	86.8	-3.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.8	47.4	84.2	-10.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	36.6	44.6	81.2	-8.0	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	45.6	40.6	86.2	+5.1	68%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.1	41.2	84.4	+1.9	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	44.1	41.0	85.1	+3.1	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	42.1	41.5	83.6	+0.6	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.9	38.6	81.5	+4.3	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.6	40.6	81.2	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	41.6	45.2	86.9	-3.6	31%	-
vs Similar (6)	47.8	36.3	84.2	+11.5	100%	-
vs Weaker (8)	42.6	36.9	79.5	+5.8	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 87.2 points a game scored

🏀🏀57%

🏀🏀🏀21%

🏀22%

🏀🏀 2-pointers50.0 pts a game · 57% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 21% of the points

🏀 Free throws19.2 pts a game · 22% of the points

League average for comparison: 83.5 points a game

47%

35%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.0	25.0	61.0%	54.1%	50.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	20.0	6.0	30.0%	33.9%	18.0
🏀 Free throws	24.2	19.2	79.4%	73.5%	19.2

They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.2	20.0	58.4%	54.1%	40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.0	11.0	37.9%	33.9%	33.0
🏀 Free throws	16.8	12.2	73.1%	73.5%	12.2

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.2	20.0	58.4%	54.1%	40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.0	11.0	37.9%	33.9%	33.0
🏀 Free throws	16.8	12.2	73.1%	73.5%	12.2

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Bayern wins

Ulm wins

Date	Game	Score
30/12/17	Ulm v Bayern	75-89
08/04/17	Ulm v Bayern	68-83
01/02/17	Bayern v Ulm	101-98 OT
04/01/17	Ulm v Bayern	57-68
26/12/16	Bayern v Ulm	79-87
10/02/16	Ulm v Bayern	74-65
07/02/16	Ulm v Bayern	91-72
13/01/16	Bayern v Ulm	83-69
03/01/16	Bayern v Ulm	101-85
05/04/15	Ulm v Bayern	76-87

Bayernlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
31/03/18	A	Oldenburg	77-100
25/03/18	H	Alba Berlin	72-91
23/03/18	H	Darussafaka	83-87
20/03/18	A	Darussafaka	74-76
17/03/18	A	Basketball Braunschweig	91-82
14/03/18	H	Unics Kazan	91-81
11/03/18	H	Mitteldeutscher	111-91
09/03/18	A	Unics Kazan	73-80
06/03/18	H	Unics Kazan	83-75
03/03/18	A	Ludwigsburg	90-73

Ulmlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
01/04/18	H	Bonn	87-94 OT
24/03/18	A	s.Oliver Wurzburg	91-74
17/03/18	H	Tubingen	95-82
11/03/18	H	Bamberg	67-90
28/02/18	A	Ludwigsburg	54-89
14/02/18	H	Frankfurt	77-78
10/02/18	H	Giessen	90-95
03/02/18	A	Gottingen	94-84
27/01/18	H	Jena	87-72
21/01/18	A	Gotha	81-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayern

BBL 2017-18

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLL	88%
Home	WWWWL	83%
Away	WWWWL	93%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	26	12	14
Win %	88%	83%	93%
Points / game	86.4	87.8	85.1
Allowed / game	73.7	73.2	74.0
Point differential	+12.7	+14.6	+11.1
Avg total	160.0	161.1	159.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	54%	67%	43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	-	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Ulm

BBL 2017-18

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWL	54%
Home	LLLWL	53%
Away	LWWLW	55%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	26	15	11
Win %	54%	53%	55%
Points / game	81.5	81.7	81.4
Allowed / game	80.0	78.8	81.5
Point differential	+1.6	+2.9	-0.2
Avg total	161.5	160.5	162.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	38%	40%	36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	29% (7)	25% (4)	33% (3)
Overtime %	4%	7%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Bayern	26	23	3	88%	86.4	73.7	+12.7
2	Alba Berlin	27	23	4	85%	87.9	74.1	+13.8
3	Ludwigsburg	27	21	6	78%	87.4	74.9	+12.4
4	Oldenburg	27	18	9	67%	86.3	82.4	+3.9
5	Bonn	27	17	10	63%	83.0	79.4	+3.6
6	Bayreuth	26	16	10	62%	85.5	83.0	+2.5
7	Frankfurt	27	16	11	59%	78.3	76.7	+1.6
8	Bamberg	26	15	11	58%	81.2	77.2	+4.0
9	Ulm	26	14	12	54%	81.5	80.0	+1.6
10	Giessen	27	14	13	52%	86.7	87.2	-0.5
11	s.Oliver Wurzburg	27	13	14	48%	78.8	77.4	+1.4
12	Basketball Braunschweig	27	12	15	44%	77.0	81.4	-4.4
13	Jena	27	11	16	41%	79.2	83.4	-4.2
14	Mitteldeutscher	27	8	19	30%	80.3	87.9	-7.6
15	Bremerhaven	27	7	20	26%	77.3	84.0	-6.7
16	Gottingen	27	7	20	26%	77.4	87.1	-9.7
17	Gotha	27	5	22	19%	74.1	85.6	-11.4
18	Tubingen	27	1	26	4%	75.4	87.5	-12.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Bayern	29	19	24	28	100
Ulm	18	25	24	28	95

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Bayern vs Ulm Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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