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Bonn vs Bursaspor Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 21 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 82-92
24-19 18-25 26-29 14-19
Position#9
Record2-1
FormLLWWW
Points / game83.7
Allowed / game73.0
vs
Position#24
Record0-2
FormLWLWW
Points / game60.5
Allowed / game79.5
EuropeChampions LeagueRound 4· Telekom Dome
European cup2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bonn winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bursaspor winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BonnLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBonn
Date
Competition
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
100-73
100
73
+27
101avg 82
H09/10
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#14
W
80-79
80
79
+1
69avg 82
A14/10
German Cup
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
91-86
91
86
+5
86avg 82
A21/10
BBL
Bursaspor
#24
W
91-73
91
73
+18
88avg 82
A25/10
Champions League
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
90-68
90
68
+22
85avg 82
H29/10
BBL
Hapoel Holon
#10
L
74-75
74
75
-1
65avg 82
H01/11
Champions League
Ulm
#5
L
87-105
87
105
-18
79avg 82
A05/11
BBL
Breogan
#29
W
86-71
86
71
+15
78avg 82
H08/11
Champions League
Bayern
#1
W
88-83 OT
88
83
+5
no box
H12/11
BBL
Gottingen
#14
W
101-77
101
77
+24
99avg 82
A19/11
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-20
20-14
29-19
26-20
13-22
21-24
21-16
25-17
22-11
23-26
30-26
16-23
24-14
25-20
19-12
23-27
18-25
29-14
20-11
23-18
14-14
14-24
22-18
24-19
22-31
18-27
26-21
21-26
19-9
28-16
16-22
23-24
20-20
12-23
26-14
17-18
17-18
33-17
28-23
23-19
167.8Avg total
88.8Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)83.773.0156.7+10.767%
Season at home (2)80.073.0153.0+7.050%
Season away (1)91.073.0164.0+18.0100%
Last 10 (10)88.879.0167.8+9.880%
Last 5 (5)87.282.2169.4+5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)88.083.0171.0+5.0100%
vs Similar (6)81.081.3162.3-0.350%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)89.473.2162.6+16.277%
This opponent (Bursaspor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BursasporLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBursaspor
Date
Competition
Turk Telekom
#9
L
68-72
68
72
-4
57avg 72
A30/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#13
W
68-64
68
64
+4
60avg 72
H07/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#3
W
82-76 OT
82
76
+6
no box
H14/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Breogan
#29
L
48-68
48
68
-20
33avg 72
A18/10
Champions League
Buyukcekmece
#10
L
70-75
70
75
-5
64avg 72
A22/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bonn
#9
L
73-91
73
91
-18
65avg 72
H25/10
Champions League
Çağdaş Bodrum Spor
#15
W
83-69
83
69
+14
85avg 72
H29/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#4
L
75-95
75
95
-20
62avg 72
A05/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#12
W
104-91
104
91
+13
98avg 72
H12/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#5
W
82-80
82
80
+2
76avg 72
A17/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-22
13-15
15-16
21-19
16-16
19-8
16-24
17-16
18-19
22-23
12-15
18-13
17-23
5-12
15-10
11-23
23-21
14-22
16-13
17-19
14-24
20-25
12-19
27-23
20-20
20-19
11-12
32-18
18-31
19-22
23-22
15-20
27-24
26-24
28-22
23-21
11-11
19-24
26-17
26-28
153.4Avg total
75.3Scored
78.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)60.579.5140.0-19.00%
Season at home (1)73.091.0164.0-18.00%
Season away (1)48.068.0116.0-20.00%
Last 10 (10)75.378.1153.4-2.850%
Last 5 (5)83.485.2168.6-1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)69.981.1151.0-11.314%
vs Similar (18)83.285.8169.0-2.739%
vs Weaker (5)83.877.2161.0+6.680%
This opponent (Bonn) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +5.5+5.5Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +0.7+0.7
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +5.5+5.5Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +0.7+0.7
BonnBursaspor
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BonnLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H09/10
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#14
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A14/10
German Cup
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A21/10
BBL
Bursaspor
#24
W
49-34
49
34
+15
A25/10
Champions League
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H29/10
BBL
Hapoel Holon
#10
L
28-38
28
38
-10
H01/11
Champions League
Ulm
#5
L
40-58
40
58
-18
A05/11
BBL
Breogan
#29
W
47-25
47
25
+22
H08/11
Champions League
Bayern
#1
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H12/11
BBL
Gottingen
#14
W
50-35
50
35
+15
A19/11
BBL
80.6Avg total
41.7Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.336.578.8+5.767%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.534.374.9+6.273%-
Last 30 away (15)44.038.782.7+5.360%-
Last 10 (10)41.738.980.6+2.860%-
Last 5 (5)39.439.879.2-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)32.043.075.0-11.00%-
vs Similar (6)40.738.779.3+2.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)43.535.278.8+8.377%-
This opponent (Bursaspor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BursasporLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Turk Telekom
#9
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A30/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#13
W
35-24
35
24
+11
H07/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#3
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H14/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Breogan
#29
L
22-35
22
35
-13
A18/10
Champions League
Buyukcekmece
#10
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A22/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bonn
#9
L
34-49
34
49
-15
H25/10
Champions League
Çağdaş Bodrum Spor
#15
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H29/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#4
L
37-53
37
53
-16
A05/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#12
W
53-48
53
48
+5
H12/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#5
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A17/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
76.5Avg total
36.0Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.941.480.3-2.643%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.441.182.6+0.357%-
Last 30 away (16)36.641.778.3-5.131%-
Last 10 (10)36.040.576.5-4.530%-
Last 5 (5)38.844.883.6-6.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)34.142.376.4-8.114%-
vs Similar (18)40.442.082.4-1.650%-
vs Weaker (5)39.838.278.0+1.660%-
This opponent (Bonn) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bonntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bonn: 86.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.721.4
58.3%
51.4%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.59.9
36.0%
34.9%29.7
🏀 Free throws18.314.1
77.0%
74.5%14.1
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bursasportheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bursaspor: 72.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.120.2
53.0%
51.4%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.66.7
29.6%
34.9%20.1
🏀 Free throws16.212.2
75.3%
74.5%12.2
They take 60.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bonn
WWWLLWWWWW
Bursaspor
WWLWLLLWWL
#9
League position
#24
+10.4
Net rating
-5.9
116.8
Offensive rating
101.8
106.4
Defensive rating
107.7
56.5%
Effective FG%
49.8%
54.1%
Opp. effective FG%
51.0%
18.7%
Turnover %
17.9%
36.2%
Off. rebound %
27.3%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.27
36.0%
3-point %
29.6%
58.8%
Assist %
60.2%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence116.8 · 101.8Defence106.4 · 107.7Shooting56.5% · 49.8%3-point %36.0% · 29.6%Ball care18.7% · 17.9%Off. rebounds36.2% · 27.3%Free throws0.29 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Bonn   ■ Bursaspor
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Bonn wins
0
Bursaspor wins
DateGameScore
25/10/23Bursaspor v Bonn73-91
Bonnlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/11/23AGottingen101-77
12/11/23HBayern88-83 OT
08/11/23HBreogan86-71
05/11/23AUlm87-105
01/11/23HHapoel Holon74-75
29/10/23HCrailsheim Merlins90-68
25/10/23ABursaspor91-73
21/10/23ALudwigsburg91-86
14/10/23ALudwigsburg80-79
09/10/23HSyntainics MBC100-73
Bursasporlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/11/23AGalatasaray82-80
12/11/23HBahcesehir Kol.104-91
05/11/23AKarsiyaka75-95
29/10/23HÇağdaş Bodrum Spor83-69
25/10/23HBonn73-91
22/10/23ABuyukcekmece70-75
18/10/23ABreogan48-68
14/10/23HBesiktas82-76 OT
07/10/23HDarussafaka68-64
30/09/23ATurk Telekom68-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bonn
Champions League 2023
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeLW50%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%50%100%
Points / game83.780.091.0
Allowed / game73.073.073.0
Point differential+10.7+7.0+18.0
Avg total156.7153.0164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%50%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bursaspor
Champions League 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game60.573.048.0
Allowed / game79.591.068.0
Point differential-19.0-18.0-20.0
Avg total140.0164.0116.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Dijon330100%93.076.7+16.3
2 Unicaja330100%83.772.0+11.7
3 Strasbourg660100%81.774.3+7.3
4 Tortona330100%85.779.3+6.3
5 AEK Athens330100%84.378.3+6.0
6 Hapoel Holon220100%79.576.5+3.0
7 Cholet75271%79.378.1+1.1
8 Murcia32167%87.071.3+15.7
9 Promitheas32167%91.076.7+14.3
10 Benfica64267%88.374.7+13.7
11 Obradoiro CAB32167%80.768.0+12.7
12 Tenerife32167%85.072.7+12.3
13 Bonn32167%83.773.0+10.7
14 Hapoel Jerusalem32167%86.780.3+6.3
15 Brindisi32167%74.772.3+2.3
16 Karsiyaka32167%81.380.0+1.3
17 Norrkoping32167%77.776.3+1.3
18 Darussafaka32167%84.083.3+0.7
19 PAOK32167%79.782.7-3.0
20 Nes Ziona21150%83.067.5+15.5
21 Bakken Bears21150%85.578.5+7.0
22 Legia21150%68.066.5+1.5
23 Den Bosch21150%79.581.0-1.5
24 Fribourg Olympic21150%58.060.5-2.5
25 Varese21150%80.583.5-3.0
26 Peristeri42250%77.283.5-6.2
27 AEK Larnaca21150%66.576.5-10.0
28 Rytas31233%86.076.0+10.0
29 Galatasaray31233%90.388.3+2.0
30 Le Mans31233%77.777.3+0.3
31 Breogan31233%72.772.7+0.0
32 Sassari31233%84.385.0-0.7
33 Szczecin31233%82.784.3-1.7
34 Ludwigsburg31233%80.083.7-3.7
35 Oostende31233%77.786.0-8.3
36 Tofas31233%91.0101.7-10.7
37 Szombathely41325%79.081.8-2.8
38 VEF Riga41325%68.274.2-6.0
39 FMP Beograd1010%71.073.0-2.0
40 CSM Oradea1010%74.077.0-3.0
41 Oldenburg3030%83.086.0-3.0
42 Antwerp Giants1010%72.076.0-4.0
43 BC Kalev/Cramo1010%78.082.0-4.0
44 Jonava1010%78.083.0-5.0
45 Caledonia Gladiators1010%51.057.0-6.0
46 Levice1010%66.074.0-8.0
47 Igokea3030%77.789.0-11.3
48 Gottingen1010%84.096.0-12.0
49 Bursaspor2020%60.579.5-19.0
50 Peja1010%79.0103.0-24.0
51 Mornar Bar1010%56.090.0-34.0
52 Karhu Basket1010%56.092.0-36.0
53 Opava3030%65.3106.0-40.7
54 TSU1010%62.0122.0-60.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 54 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bonn2418261482
Bursaspor1925291992
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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