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Breogan vs Bursaspor Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 18 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 68-48
23-17 12-5 10-15 23-11
Position#29
Record-
FormLWLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Breogan 🏆
vs
Position#24
Record-
FormLLLWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
EuropeChampions LeagueRound 1· Pazo dos Deportes
European cup2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Breogan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bursaspor winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BreoganLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreogan
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#2
L
76-97
76
97
-21
64avg 65
A30/04
ACB
Murcia
#9
L
60-65
60
65
-5
44avg 65
H07/05
ACB
Bilbao
#12
L
66-83
66
83
-17
57avg 65
A10/05
ACB
Manresa
#14
L
81-82
81
82
-1
64avg 65
H14/05
ACB
Valencia
#8
W
80-77
80
77
+3
68avg 65
A24/05
ACB
Baskonia
#8
L
79-88
79
88
-9
67avg 65
H24/09
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
69-63
69
63
+6
57avg 65
A29/09
ACB
Manresa
#9
L
85-89 OT
85
89
-4
no box
H01/10
ACB
Tenerife
#5
L
81-88 OT
81
88
-7
no box
A07/10
ACB
Valencia
#4
L
59-61
59
61
-2
44avg 65
H15/10
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-22
19-23
13-22
26-30
15-16
12-18
8-20
25-11
15-17
21-22
12-27
18-17
19-22
23-14
19-23
20-23
18-20
18-14
20-19
24-24
19-23
18-26
20-18
22-21
17-17
19-23
13-17
20-6
18-28
25-21
21-10
13-18
24-18
3-11
15-14
32-31
15-11
6-13
20-16
18-21
152.9Avg total
73.6Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)73.679.3152.9-5.720%
Last 5 (5)74.677.8152.4-3.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)71.984.3156.2-12.47%
vs Similar (14)79.178.2157.4+0.957%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)95.570.0165.5+25.5100%
This opponent (Bursaspor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BursasporLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBursaspor
Date
Competition
Manisa
#11
W
87-82
87
82
+5
no box
A22/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#4
W
106-99
106
99
+7
no box
H30/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#14
L
87-93
87
93
-6
no box
A07/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tofas
#6
L
77-92
77
92
-15
no box
H12/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#3
L
82-84
82
84
-2
no box
A22/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#4
L
83-91 OT
83
91
-8
no box
A26/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#4
L
76-92
76
92
-16
no box
H30/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#9
L
68-72
68
72
-4
57avg 74
A30/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#13
W
68-64
68
64
+4
60avg 74
H07/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#3
W
82-76 OT
82
76
+6
no box
H14/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-16
21-24
28-23
15-19
21-29
28-19
24-27
33-24
21-24
21-23
24-24
21-22
20-19
23-24
20-24
14-25
21-22
21-23
20-19
20-20
9-19
22-22
21-18
28-21
10-27
26-26
27-20
13-19
19-22
13-15
15-16
21-19
16-16
19-8
16-24
17-16
18-19
22-23
12-15
18-13
166.1Avg total
81.6Scored
84.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)81.684.5166.1-2.940%
Last 5 (5)75.479.0154.4-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)76.884.4161.1-7.612%
vs Similar (16)82.986.9169.9-4.031%
vs Weaker (6)86.078.7164.7+7.383%
This opponent (Breogan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +0.2+0.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +0.2+0.2
BreoganBursaspor
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BreoganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#2
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A30/04
ACB
Murcia
#9
L
27-34
27
34
-7
H07/05
ACB
Bilbao
#12
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A10/05
ACB
Manresa
#14
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H14/05
ACB
Valencia
#8
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A24/05
ACB
Baskonia
#8
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H24/09
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A29/09
ACB
Manresa
#9
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H01/10
ACB
Tenerife
#5
L
27-29
27
29
-2
A07/10
ACB
Valencia
#4
L
21-24
21
24
-3
H15/10
ACB
72.1Avg total
34.2Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.839.074.8-3.327%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.138.575.6-1.333%-
Last 30 away (15)34.439.674.0-5.220%-
Last 10 (10)34.237.972.1-3.720%-
Last 5 (5)32.838.271.0-5.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)32.440.673.0-8.17%-
vs Similar (14)37.338.675.9-1.343%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)48.531.580.0+17.050%-
This opponent (Bursaspor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BursasporLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Manisa
#11
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A22/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#4
W
49-48
49
48
+1
H30/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#14
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A07/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tofas
#6
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H12/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#3
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A22/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#4
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A26/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#4
L
36-53
36
53
-17
H30/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#9
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A30/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#13
W
35-24
35
24
+11
H07/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#3
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H14/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
81.4Avg total
39.4Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.042.082.0-1.943%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.042.084.0+0.047%-
Last 30 away (15)38.141.980.0-3.940%-
Last 10 (10)39.442.081.4-2.630%-
Last 5 (5)34.839.474.2-4.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)37.243.981.1-6.612%-
vs Similar (16)41.142.183.2-1.056%-
vs Weaker (6)40.839.079.8+1.850%-
This opponent (Breogan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Breogantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Breogan: 70.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.3 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.519.9
45.7%
51.4%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.96.1
27.9%
34.9%18.3
🏀 Free throws18.912.0
63.5%
74.5%12.0
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bursasportheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bursaspor: 79.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.620.1
56.5%
51.4%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.28.4
30.9%
34.9%25.2
🏀 Free throws19.013.7
72.1%
74.5%13.7
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Breogan
LLLWLWLLLL
Bursaspor
WWLLLLLLWW
#29
League position
#24
-11.2
Net rating
-2.2
98.4
Offensive rating
108.1
109.7
Defensive rating
110.3
44.4%
Effective FG%
52.1%
54.7%
Opp. effective FG%
54.2%
15.7%
Turnover %
18.7%
33.9%
Off. rebound %
31.8%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.30
27.9%
3-point %
30.9%
48.1%
Assist %
53.3%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence98.4 · 108.1Defence109.7 · 110.3Shooting44.4% · 52.1%3-point %27.9% · 30.9%Ball care15.7% · 18.7%Off. rebounds33.9% · 31.8%Free throws0.29 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)20% · 40%
■ Breogan   ■ Bursaspor
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Breogan wins
0
Bursaspor wins
No previous meetings.
Breoganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/10/23HValencia59-61
07/10/23ATenerife81-88 OT
01/10/23HManresa85-89 OT
29/09/23AMoraBanc Andorra69-63
24/09/23HBaskonia79-88
24/05/23AValencia80-77
14/05/23HManresa81-82
10/05/23ABilbao66-83
07/05/23HMurcia60-65
30/04/23ABaskonia76-97
Bursasporlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/23HBesiktas82-76 OT
07/10/23HDarussafaka68-64
30/09/23ATurk Telekom68-72
30/05/23HKarsiyaka76-92
26/05/23AKarsiyaka83-91 OT
22/05/23AFenerbahce82-84
12/05/23HTofas77-92
07/05/23ABesiktas87-93
30/04/23HKarsiyaka106-99
22/04/23AManisa87-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Breogan
Champions League 2023
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Bursaspor
Champions League 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Promitheas110100%115.066.0+49.0
2 Benfica330100%97.364.7+32.7
3 Le Mans110100%96.068.0+28.0
4 Tenerife110100%95.075.0+20.0
5 Karsiyaka110100%94.077.0+17.0
6 PAOK110100%88.077.0+11.0
7 Darussafaka110100%84.075.0+9.0
8 Unicaja110100%87.078.0+9.0
9 Szczecin110100%93.085.0+8.0
10 AEK Athens110100%84.079.0+5.0
11 Dijon110100%87.083.0+4.0
12 Strasbourg440100%82.278.2+4.0
13 Tofas110100%104.0102.0+2.0
14 Cholet43175%81.881.0+0.8
15 Obradoiro CAB32167%80.768.0+12.7
16 Brindisi32167%74.772.3+2.3
17 Norrkoping32167%77.776.3+1.3
18 Nes Ziona21150%83.067.5+15.5
19 Bakken Bears21150%85.578.5+7.0
20 Legia21150%68.066.5+1.5
21 Den Bosch21150%79.581.0-1.5
22 Fribourg Olympic21150%58.060.5-2.5
23 Varese21150%80.583.5-3.0
24 AEK Larnaca21150%66.576.5-10.0
25 FMP Beograd1010%71.073.0-2.0
26 Igokea1010%102.0104.0-2.0
27 Oldenburg1010%83.085.0-2.0
28 CSM Oradea1010%74.077.0-3.0
29 Antwerp Giants1010%72.076.0-4.0
30 BC Kalev/Cramo1010%78.082.0-4.0
31 Rytas1010%83.087.0-4.0
32 Jonava1010%78.083.0-5.0
33 Ludwigsburg1010%79.084.0-5.0
34 Caledonia Gladiators1010%51.057.0-6.0
35 Levice1010%66.074.0-8.0
36 Sassari1010%85.093.0-8.0
37 Szombathely1010%78.087.0-9.0
38 VEF Riga1010%75.084.0-9.0
39 Galatasaray1010%77.088.0-11.0
40 Gottingen1010%84.096.0-12.0
41 Oostende1010%77.094.0-17.0
42 Peja1010%79.0103.0-24.0
43 Peristeri1010%68.096.0-28.0
44 Mornar Bar1010%56.090.0-34.0
45 Karhu Basket1010%56.092.0-36.0
46 Opava1010%66.0115.0-49.0
47 TSU1010%62.0122.0-60.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 47 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Breogan2312102368
Bursaspor175151148
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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