PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Boston Celtics vs San Antonio Spurs Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 30 Apr 2021
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 143-140 (OT)
16-39 32-38 42-26 38-25 15-12
Position#16
Record33-32
FormWLLLW
Points / game111.5
Allowed / game110.4
vs
Position#22
Record31-33
FormLWWWL
Points / game110.4
Allowed / game111.7
USANBA· TD Garden
NBA2020-21
Meetings · Boston Celtics v San Antonio Spurs
24 Mar 2027
BOS v SAS
upcoming
10 Jan 2026
BOS95
SAS100
12 Feb 2025
BOS116
SAS103
17 Jan 2024
BOS117
SAS98
26 Mar 2023
BOS137
SAS93
05 Jan 2022
BOS97
SAS99
30 Apr 2021
BOS143
SAS140
08 Jan 2020
BOS114
SAS129
24 Mar 2019
BOS96
SAS115
30 Oct 2017
BOS108
SAS94
25 Nov 2016
BOS103
SAS109
01 Nov 2015
BOS87
SAS95
30 Nov 2014
BOS89
SAS111
12 Feb 2014
BOS92
SAS104
21 Nov 2012
BOS100
SAS112
04 Apr 2012
BOS86
SAS87
05 Jan 2011
BOS105
SAS103
28 Mar 2010
BOS73
SAS94
08 Feb 2009
BOS99
SAS105
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boston Celtics winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
San Antonio Spurs winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCeltics
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
105-87
105
87
+18
98avg 103
A11/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
116-115
116
115
+1
111avg 103
A14/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
W
121-113
121
113
+8
127avg 103
A16/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#13
W
119-114
119
114
+5
104avg 103
H18/04
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
96-102
96
102
-6
90avg 103
H19/04
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
W
99-86
99
86
+13
95avg 103
H22/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#4
L
104-109
104
109
-5
93avg 103
A23/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#21
L
104-125
104
125
-21
88avg 103
A25/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
L
115-119
115
119
-4
96avg 103
H27/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#21
W
120-111
120
111
+9
116avg 103
H28/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-27
29-24
29-28
31-8
30-38
27-22
35-27
24-28
31-23
30-25
30-31
30-34
24-33
36-33
29-23
30-25
30-24
18-18
18-32
30-28
26-21
27-16
24-28
22-21
25-21
26-39
22-28
31-21
23-33
29-30
36-37
16-25
24-29
25-26
29-23
37-41
39-19
19-28
30-33
32-31
218.0Avg total
109.9Scored
108.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (65)111.5110.4221.9+1.251%
Season at home (33)111.8108.6220.4+3.261%
Season away (32)111.2112.2223.4-0.941%
Last 10 (10)109.9108.1218.0+1.860%
Last 5 (5)108.4110.0218.4-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)109.4110.8220.1-1.438%
vs Similar ◀ (14)113.1110.5223.6+2.664%
vs Weaker (8)117.6109.8227.4+7.962%
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Antonio SpursUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSpurs
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#28
W
120-97
120
97
+23
117avg 103
A13/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
L
112-117
112
117
-5
100avg 103
A14/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
106-107
106
107
-1
103avg 103
H17/04
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
W
111-85
111
85
+26
105avg 103
A18/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
109-94
109
94
+15
110avg 103
A20/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#15
L
87-107
87
107
-20
77avg 103
H22/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#29
W
106-91
106
91
+15
104avg 103
H23/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
110-108
110
108
+2
102avg 103
A25/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#18
W
146-143 OT
146
143
+3
135avg 103
A26/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#15
L
111-116
111
116
-5
102avg 103
A29/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-16
32-21
29-24
31-36
32-30
25-28
25-27
30-32
31-28
26-20
28-35
21-24
28-19
36-26
23-23
24-17
36-21
19-23
27-22
27-28
27-27
26-24
19-26
15-30
26-25
31-22
25-23
24-21
31-24
30-28
24-32
25-24
38-34
27-28
30-33
38-38
20-31
34-24
20-27
37-34
218.3Avg total
111.8Scored
106.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (64)110.4111.7222.1-1.248%
Season at home (33)109.0112.4221.4-3.439%
Season away (31)111.9110.9222.8+1.158%
Last 10 (10)111.8106.5218.3+5.360%
Last 5 (5)112.0113.0225.0-1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)105.2114.4219.7-9.222%
vs Similar ◀ (16)113.5112.2225.8+1.250%
vs Weaker (5)108.6103.2211.8+5.460%
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +4.2+4.2Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +4.2+4.2Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -1.2-1.2
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +4.2+4.2Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +4.2+4.2Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -1.2-1.2
Boston CelticsSan Antonio Spurs
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
45-51
45
51
-6
A11/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
57-60
57
60
-3
A14/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
W
61-48
61
48
+13
A16/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#13
L
60-66
60
66
-6
H18/04
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H19/04
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
W
53-37
53
37
+16
H22/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#4
L
51-60
51
60
-9
A23/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#21
L
52-63
52
63
-11
A25/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
L
49-55
49
55
-6
H27/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#21
W
58-47
58
47
+11
H28/04
NBA
106.3Avg total
53.4Scored
52.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.255.4109.6-1.240%-
Last 30 at home (18)53.954.3108.2-0.444%-
Last 30 away (12)54.757.1111.8-2.433%-
Last 10 (10)53.452.9106.3+0.540%-
Last 5 (5)52.652.4105.0+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)54.957.0111.9-2.125%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)55.555.6111.1-0.150%-
vs Weaker (8)51.253.5104.8-2.238%-
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Antonio SpursLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#28
W
60-37
60
37
+23
A13/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
L
57-58
57
58
-1
A14/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
57-48
57
48
+9
H17/04
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
W
64-45
64
45
+19
A18/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
55-44
55
44
+11
A20/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#15
W
53-51
53
51
+2
H22/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#29
W
57-47
57
47
+10
H23/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
61-52
61
52
+9
A25/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#18
W
65-62
65
62
+3
A26/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#15
L
54-55
54
55
-1
A29/04
NBA
108.2Avg total
58.3Scored
49.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.352.9108.2+2.453%-
Last 30 at home (14)55.453.1108.6+2.357%-
Last 30 away (16)55.152.7107.8+2.450%-
Last 10 (10)58.349.9108.2+8.480%-
Last 5 (5)58.053.4111.4+4.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)53.855.7109.4-1.933%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)56.653.8110.4+2.856%-
vs Weaker (5)53.845.098.8+8.880%-
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Boston Celticstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boston Celtics: 109.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.826.9
54.0%
52.8%53.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.313.0
33.9%
36.6%39.0
🏀 Free throws20.817.1
82.2%
77.7%17.1
They take 88.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
San Antonio Spurstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

San Antonio Spurs: 111.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.031.3
52.2%
52.8%62.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.310.0
35.3%
36.6%30.0
🏀 Free throws24.019.2
80.0%
77.7%19.2
They take 88.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Apr 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Boston Celtics
WLLLWLWWWW
San Antonio Spurs
LWWWLWWLLW
#16
League position
#22
+1.8
Net rating
+5.3
108.8
Offensive rating
111.6
107.1
Defensive rating
106.4
52.7%
Effective FG%
52.4%
52.4%
Opp. effective FG%
50.3%
14.2%
Turnover %
11.2%
24.5%
Off. rebound %
21.9%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.27
33.9%
3-point %
35.3%
57.1%
Assist %
63.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence108.8 · 111.6Defence107.1 · 106.4Shooting52.7% · 52.4%3-point %33.9% · 35.3%Ball care14.2% · 11.2%Off. rebounds24.5% · 21.9%Free throws0.24 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Boston Celtics   ■ San Antonio Spurs
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
28/04/21HCharlotte Hornets120-111
27/04/21HOklahoma City Thunder115-119
25/04/21ACharlotte Hornets104-125
23/04/21ABrooklyn Nets104-109
22/04/21HPhoenix Suns99-86
19/04/21HChicago Bulls96-102
18/04/21HGolden State Warriors119-114
16/04/21ALos Angeles Lakers121-113
14/04/21APortland Trail Blazers116-115
11/04/21ADenver Nuggets105-87
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/04/21AMiami Heat111-116
26/04/21AWashington Wizards146-143 OT
25/04/21ANew Orleans Pelicans110-108
23/04/21HDetroit Pistons106-91
22/04/21HMiami Heat87-107
20/04/21AIndiana Pacers109-94
18/04/21APhoenix Suns111-85
17/04/21HPortland Trail Blazers106-107
14/04/21AToronto Raptors112-117
13/04/21AOrlando Magic120-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boston Celtics
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW51%
HomeWLWLW61%
AwayWWWLL41%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games653332
Win %51%61%41%
Points / game111.5111.8111.2
Allowed / game110.4108.6112.2
Point differential+1.2+3.2-0.9
Avg total221.9220.4223.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%30%16%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (22)62% (8)43% (14)
Overtime %5%3%6%
San Antonio Spurs
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL48%
HomeLLLLW39%
AwayWWWWL58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games643331
Win %48%39%58%
Points / game110.4109.0111.9
Allowed / game111.7112.4110.9
Point differential-1.2-3.4+1.1
Avg total222.1221.4222.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%24%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (22)45% (11)55% (11)
Overtime %8%9%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah Jazz65481774%116.9106.9+10.0
2 Brooklyn Nets65452069%118.8113.7+5.1
3 Philadelphia 76ers65442168%113.6108.2+5.4
4 Denver Nuggets66442267%115.8109.7+6.0
5 Phoenix Suns66442267%113.7108.7+5.0
6 Los Angeles Clippers67432464%113.7108.5+5.2
7 Los Angeles Lakers66402661%109.7106.1+3.6
8 Milwaukee Bucks65382758%119.0113.7+5.4
9 Dallas Mavericks65372857%112.3109.9+2.4
10 New York Knicks67382957%106.6103.8+2.8
11 Portland Trail Blazers66353153%114.4115.0-0.6
12 Atlanta Hawks68363253%112.6111.9+0.7
13 Memphis Grizzlies65343152%114.0112.6+1.3
14 Miami Heat65343152%106.4107.3-0.8
15 Boston Celtics65333251%111.5110.4+1.2
16 Golden State Warriors66333350%112.8113.4-0.5
17 San Antonio Spurs64313348%110.4111.7-1.2
18 Charlotte Hornets66313547%110.0111.5-1.5
19 New Orleans Pelicans65303546%115.1114.2+0.9
20 Indiana Pacers65293645%113.6114.7-1.2
21 Washington Wizards65293645%114.2117.3-3.1
22 Chicago Bulls66293744%111.2112.2-1.0
23 Toronto Raptors66283842%111.6111.2+0.4
24 Sacramento Kings66273941%114.2119.0-4.8
25 Cleveland Cavaliers66234335%103.7110.8-7.0
26 Oklahoma City Thunder66224433%105.5114.6-9.0
27 Orlando Magic66214532%105.0112.9-7.9
28 Detroit Pistons67214631%106.5110.0-3.5
29 Minnesota Timberwolves67214631%111.0117.5-6.6
30 Houston Rockets67194828%108.6114.6-6.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Boston Celtics1632423815143
San Antonio Spurs3938262512140
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.