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San Antonio Spurs vs Boston Celtics Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 28 Jan 2021
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 110-106
25-30 36-17 21-37 28-22
Position#22
Record9-11
FormWWLLW
Points / game110.2
Allowed / game112.1
vs
Position#16
Record10-8
FormLLLWW
Points / game110.9
Allowed / game110.0
USANBA· AT&T Center
NBA2020-21
Meetings · San Antonio Spurs v Boston Celtics
29 Nov 2026
SAS v BOS
upcoming
10 Mar 2026
SAS125
BOS116
29 Mar 2025
SAS111
BOS121
31 Dec 2023
SAS101
BOS134
07 Jan 2023
SAS116
BOS121
26 Nov 2021
SAS96
BOS88
27 Jan 2021
SAS110
BOS106
09 Nov 2019
SAS115
BOS135
31 Dec 2018
SAS120
BOS111
08 Dec 2017
SAS105
BOS102
14 Dec 2016
SAS108
BOS101
05 Dec 2015
SAS108
BOS105
20 Mar 2015
SAS101
BOS89
20 Nov 2013
SAS104
BOS93
15 Dec 2012
SAS103
BOS88
31 Mar 2011
SAS97
BOS107
03 Dec 2009
SAS83
BOS90
20 Mar 2009
SAS77
BOS80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

San Antonio Spurs winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Boston Celtics winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

San Antonio SpursUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSpurs
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
W
118-109
118
109
+9
110avg 104
A08/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
W
125-122 OT
125
122
+3
109avg 104
A10/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
L
88-96
88
96
-8
71avg 104
A11/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
112-102
112
102
+10
102avg 104
A13/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
L
105-109
105
109
-4
94avg 104
H15/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
W
103-91
103
91
+12
89avg 104
H16/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
125-104
125
104
+21
128avg 104
A18/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#13
L
99-121
99
121
-22
78avg 104
A21/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#9
L
117-122
117
122
-5
108avg 104
H23/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#18
W
121-101
121
101
+20
114avg 104
H25/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-26
31-30
26-33
27-20
28-34
32-24
23-27
30-28
22-25
27-19
20-22
19-30
26-26
25-17
29-30
32-29
27-30
18-18
34-27
26-34
21-30
29-23
25-19
28-19
32-28
27-26
28-28
38-22
24-36
21-28
26-26
28-31
34-37
24-31
27-27
32-27
23-26
25-21
37-30
36-24
219.0Avg total
111.3Scored
107.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)110.2112.1222.3-1.845%
Season at home (9)110.2113.1223.3-2.933%
Season away (11)110.3111.3221.5-1.055%
Last 10 (10)111.3107.7219.0+3.660%
Last 5 (5)113.0107.8220.8+5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)113.3115.6228.9-2.343%
vs Similar ◀ (17)116.8114.2231.1+2.659%
vs Weaker (6)105.3110.5215.8-5.233%
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCeltics
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#29
W
122-120
122
120
+2
124avg 104
A03/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
126-114
126
114
+12
123avg 104
A05/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#15
W
107-105
107
105
+2
96avg 104
A07/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#18
W
116-107
116
107
+9
109avg 104
H09/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#28
W
124-97
124
97
+27
120avg 104
H16/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#11
L
75-105
75
105
-30
54avg 104
H17/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#2
L
109-117
109
117
-8
99avg 104
A21/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#2
L
110-122
110
122
-12
94avg 104
A23/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#26
W
141-103
141
103
+38
141avg 104
H25/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
119-103
119
103
+16
116avg 104
A26/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-33
30-24
30-31
31-32
23-32
38-14
39-35
26-33
34-26
19-19
27-35
27-25
33-28
33-19
30-34
20-26
34-28
26-20
28-24
36-25
17-28
18-20
15-27
25-30
25-32
36-26
31-28
17-31
33-25
19-24
28-42
30-31
38-21
35-30
41-27
27-25
33-25
27-25
31-26
28-27
224.2Avg total
114.9Scored
109.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)110.9110.0220.9+0.956%
Season at home (8)111.0109.5220.5+1.562%
Season away (10)110.8110.4221.2+0.450%
Last 10 (10)114.9109.3224.2+5.670%
Last 5 (5)110.8110.0220.8+0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)104.0117.3221.3-13.317%
vs Similar ◀ (20)109.5106.9216.4+2.655%
vs Weaker (4)120.0104.0224.0+16.075%
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: +6.0+6.0Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: -1.8-1.8
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: +6.0+6.0Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: -1.8-1.8
San Antonio SpursBoston Celtics
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
San Antonio SpursLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
W
65-56
65
56
+9
A08/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
W
60-58
60
58
+2
A10/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A11/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
51-43
51
43
+8
A13/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H15/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
L
50-53
50
53
-3
H16/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
59-54
59
54
+5
A18/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#13
L
45-64
45
64
-19
A21/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#9
L
58-68
58
68
-10
H23/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#18
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H25/01
NBA
106.5Avg total
53.0Scored
53.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.356.0112.2+0.347%-
Last 30 at home (14)56.658.3114.9-1.636%-
Last 30 away (16)55.953.9109.9+2.056%-
Last 10 (10)53.053.5106.5-0.560%-
Last 5 (5)52.057.2109.2-5.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)59.057.6116.6+1.443%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)57.155.5112.6+1.659%-
vs Weaker (6)50.755.5106.2-4.817%-
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#29
W
61-57
61
57
+4
A03/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
61-46
61
46
+15
A05/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#15
W
53-45
53
45
+8
A07/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#18
W
66-47
66
47
+19
H09/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#28
W
60-48
60
48
+12
H16/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#11
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H17/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#2
W
61-58
61
58
+3
A21/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#2
W
52-49
52
49
+3
A23/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#26
W
73-51
73
51
+22
H25/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
60-50
60
50
+10
A26/01
NBA
108.1Avg total
58.2Scored
49.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.350.6105.9+4.870%-
Last 30 at home (14)56.150.7106.9+5.464%-
Last 30 away (16)54.650.4105.1+4.275%-
Last 10 (10)58.249.9108.1+8.390%-
Last 5 (5)56.251.2107.4+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)53.254.8108.0-1.767%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)55.448.9104.2+6.570%-
vs Weaker (4)58.552.8111.2+5.875%-
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
San Antonio Spurstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

San Antonio Spurs: 111.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.131.1
49.3%
52.8%62.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.210.7
34.3%
36.6%32.1
🏀 Free throws20.917.0
81.3%
77.7%17.0
They take 94.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Boston Celticstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boston Celtics: 114.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.029.1
52.9%
52.8%58.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.713.1
38.9%
36.6%39.3
🏀 Free throws22.417.4
77.7%
77.7%17.4
They take 88.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Jan 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
San Antonio Spurs
WLLWWLWLWW
Boston Celtics
WWLLLWWWWW
#22
League position
#16
+3.5
Net rating
+5.5
109.1
Offensive rating
113.5
105.5
Defensive rating
108.0
50.0%
Effective FG%
55.0%
52.4%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
8.3%
Turnover %
14.2%
20.2%
Off. rebound %
26.1%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.25
34.3%
3-point %
38.9%
57.4%
Assist %
55.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence109.1 · 113.5Defence105.5 · 108.0Shooting50.0% · 55.0%3-point %34.3% · 38.9%Ball care8.3% · 14.2%Off. rebounds20.2% · 26.1%Free throws0.22 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ San Antonio Spurs   ■ Boston Celtics
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/21HWashington Wizards121-101
23/01/21HDallas Mavericks117-122
21/01/21AGolden State Warriors99-121
18/01/21APortland Trail Blazers125-104
16/01/21HHouston Rockets103-91
15/01/21HHouston Rockets105-109
13/01/21AOklahoma City Thunder112-102
11/01/21AMinnesota Timberwolves88-96
10/01/21AMinnesota Timberwolves125-122 OT
08/01/21ALos Angeles Lakers118-109
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/01/21AChicago Bulls119-103
25/01/21HCleveland Cavaliers141-103
23/01/21APhiladelphia 76ers110-122
21/01/21APhiladelphia 76ers109-117
17/01/21HNew York Knicks75-105
16/01/21HOrlando Magic124-97
09/01/21HWashington Wizards116-107
07/01/21AMiami Heat107-105
05/01/21AToronto Raptors126-114
03/01/21ADetroit Pistons122-120

📊 11. Overall Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW45%
HomeLLWLW33%
AwayWLWWL55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20911
Win %45%33%55%
Points / game110.2110.2110.3
Allowed / game112.1113.1111.3
Point differential-1.9-2.9-1.0
Avg total222.3223.3221.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%22%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)33% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %5%0%9%
Boston Celtics
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW56%
HomeWWWLW62%
AwayWWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18810
Win %56%62%50%
Points / game110.9111.0110.8
Allowed / game110.0109.5110.4
Point differential+0.9+1.5+0.4
Avg total220.9220.5221.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%38%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (1)60% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah Jazz2016480%113.7104.7+9.0
2 Los Angeles Lakers2318578%113.4104.1+9.3
3 Philadelphia 76ers2115671%113.1109.8+3.3
4 Brooklyn Nets2214864%119.4114.5+5.0
5 Denver Nuggets2113862%116.9109.3+7.6
6 Los Angeles Clippers2113862%111.5108.3+3.2
7 Memphis Grizzlies1710759%109.4107.5+1.9
8 Boston Celtics1810856%110.9110.0+0.9
9 Milwaukee Bucks2011955%118.2112.5+5.6
10 Golden State Warriors2011955%112.3113.7-1.4
11 Indiana Pacers21111052%112.6111.0+1.5
12 Houston Rockets20101050%111.2108.5+2.6
13 Atlanta Hawks22111150%113.0111.8+1.2
14 Dallas Mavericks20101050%111.5110.5+1.0
15 Portland Trail Blazers20101050%113.5116.9-3.4
16 Cleveland Cavaliers22111150%104.4108.7-4.3
17 New York Knicks23111248%101.3101.3-0.1
18 Chicago Bulls21101148%114.1115.8-1.7
19 San Antonio Spurs2091145%110.2112.1-1.9
20 Orlando Magic23101343%107.1111.7-4.6
21 Toronto Raptors2191243%110.2109.7+0.5
22 Sacramento Kings2191243%112.5119.3-6.8
23 Phoenix Suns1981142%109.6110.1-0.4
24 Oklahoma City Thunder1981142%106.9113.2-6.3
25 New Orleans Pelicans1771041%109.6110.4-0.8
26 Miami Heat1971237%106.1111.7-5.7
27 Charlotte Hornets2281436%108.5110.5-2.0
28 Detroit Pistons2261627%106.6109.5-2.9
29 Minnesota Timberwolves1951426%108.0117.1-9.1
30 Washington Wizards1641225%113.3117.1-3.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
San Antonio Spurs25362128110
Boston Celtics30173722106
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