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Denver Nuggets vs Boston Celtics Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 11 Apr 2021
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 87-105
27-16 24-29 28-29 8-31
Position#6
Record36-19
FormWWWWW
Points / game115.8
Allowed / game109.5
vs
Position#16
Record27-28
FormWWLWW
Points / game111.8
Allowed / game110.8
USANBA· Ball Arena
NBA2020-21
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Boston Celtics
18 Nov 2026
DEN v BOS
upcoming
25 Feb 2026
DEN103
BOS84
07 Jan 2025
DEN106
BOS118
07 Mar 2024
DEN115
BOS109
01 Jan 2023
DEN123
BOS111
20 Mar 2022
DEN104
BOS124
11 Apr 2021
DEN87
BOS105
22 Nov 2019
DEN96
BOS92
05 Nov 2018
DEN115
BOS107
29 Jan 2018
DEN110
BOS111
10 Mar 2017
DEN119
BOS99
21 Feb 2016
DEN101
BOS121
23 Jan 2015
DEN99
BOS100
07 Jan 2014
DEN129
BOS98
19 Feb 2013
DEN97
BOS90
17 Mar 2012
DEN98
BOS91
24 Feb 2011
DEN89
BOS75
21 Feb 2010
DEN114
BOS105
23 Feb 2009
DEN76
BOS114
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Boston Celtics winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#28
W
110-99
110
99
+11
107avg 108
A23/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
L
111-135
111
135
-24
98avg 108
A24/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
113-108
113
108
+5
104avg 108
A27/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
126-102
126
102
+24
126avg 108
H29/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#2
W
104-95
104
95
+9
105avg 108
H31/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
101-94
101
94
+7
97avg 108
A02/04
NBA
Orlando Magic
#28
W
119-109
119
109
+10
118avg 108
H05/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#29
W
134-119
134
119
+15
137avg 108
H07/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
W
106-96
106
96
+10
101avg 108
H08/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
W
121-119
121
119
+2
128avg 108
H10/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-15
31-24
19-30
30-30
30-38
24-34
27-26
30-37
26-33
28-30
31-23
28-22
31-35
34-20
32-24
29-23
44-22
24-23
20-26
16-24
31-20
31-29
19-21
20-24
23-29
24-36
38-21
34-23
39-32
37-24
33-30
25-33
30-32
24-18
27-24
25-22
36-26
25-24
35-33
25-36
222.1Avg total
114.5Scored
107.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (55)115.8109.5225.3+6.365%
Season at home (29)117.4109.2226.7+8.269%
Season away (26)114.1109.8223.8+4.362%
Last 10 (10)114.5107.6222.1+6.990%
Last 5 (5)116.2107.4223.6+8.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (11)111.3107.0218.3+4.364%
vs Weaker (19)118.3109.5227.8+8.879%
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCeltics
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
119-121
119
121
-2
107avg 103
A24/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
W
122-114
122
114
+8
118avg 103
A26/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
111-94
111
94
+17
102avg 103
A28/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
L
109-115
109
115
-6
96avg 103
H29/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#9
L
108-113
108
113
-5
88avg 103
H31/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
W
118-102
118
102
+16
123avg 103
H02/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#21
W
116-86
116
86
+30
109avg 103
H04/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#2
L
96-106
96
106
-10
89avg 103
H06/04
NBA
New York Knicks
#11
W
101-99
101
99
+2
95avg 103
H07/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
W
145-136 OT
145
136
+9
147avg 103
H09/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-35
29-35
27-30
33-21
32-26
28-29
43-34
19-25
21-25
26-27
29-28
35-14
27-32
28-32
26-24
28-27
25-30
20-34
28-26
35-23
33-25
19-19
30-26
36-32
25-26
33-17
40-27
18-16
24-25
22-34
24-26
26-21
21-19
26-27
23-27
31-26
25-39
32-27
35-31
32-27
223.1Avg total
114.5Scored
108.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (55)111.8110.8222.6+1.049%
Season at home (28)112.1109.0221.1+3.161%
Season away (27)111.5112.6224.1-1.137%
Last 10 (10)114.5108.6223.1+5.960%
Last 5 (5)115.2105.8221.0+9.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)112.0115.2227.2-3.233%
vs Similar ◀ (16)113.3111.8225.1+1.550%
vs Weaker (8)116.0108.4224.4+7.662%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +6.1+6.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +6.1+6.1
Denver NuggetsBoston Celtics
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#28
W
61-39
61
39
+22
A23/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
L
54-72
54
72
-18
A24/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
L
54-63
54
63
-9
A27/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
65-55
65
55
+10
H29/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#2
W
68-45
68
45
+23
H31/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
62-49
62
49
+13
A02/04
NBA
Orlando Magic
#28
L
47-65
47
65
-18
H05/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#29
W
76-56
76
56
+20
H07/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
W
54-50
54
50
+4
H08/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
W
61-50
61
50
+11
H10/04
NBA
114.6Avg total
60.2Scored
54.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.054.9113.9+4.157%-
Last 30 at home (17)58.454.5112.8+3.959%-
Last 30 away (13)59.955.5115.4+4.554%-
Last 10 (10)60.254.4114.6+5.870%-
Last 5 (5)60.054.0114.0+6.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (11)60.556.0116.5+4.555%-
vs Weaker (19)58.254.3112.5+3.958%-
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
59-70
59
70
-11
A24/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
W
60-55
60
55
+5
A26/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
L
47-52
47
52
-5
A28/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
L
55-64
55
64
-9
H29/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#9
L
45-64
45
64
-19
H31/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H02/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#21
W
58-43
58
43
+15
H04/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#2
L
46-59
46
59
-13
H06/04
NBA
New York Knicks
#11
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H07/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
L
57-66
57
66
-9
H09/04
NBA
108.9Avg total
52.6Scored
56.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.456.3111.8-0.947%-
Last 30 at home (19)55.955.7111.6+0.247%-
Last 30 away (11)54.657.5112.1-2.845%-
Last 10 (10)52.656.3108.9-3.740%-
Last 5 (5)52.051.6103.6+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)55.859.8115.7-4.017%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)57.256.5113.7+0.762%-
vs Weaker (8)51.653.4105.0-1.838%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 114.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers64.4 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.232.2
55.3%
52.8%64.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.612.1
39.5%
36.6%36.3
🏀 Free throws17.213.8
80.2%
77.7%13.8
They take 88.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Boston Celticstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boston Celtics: 114.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers49.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.725.2
55.1%
52.8%50.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.316.4
37.9%
36.6%49.2
🏀 Free throws17.714.9
84.2%
77.7%14.9
They take 89.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 43.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Apr 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WWWWWWWWLW
Boston Celtics
WWLWWLLWWL
#6
League position
#16
+7.1
Net rating
+5.9
118.2
Offensive rating
113.6
111.1
Defensive rating
107.7
56.7%
Effective FG%
56.0%
53.7%
Opp. effective FG%
54.0%
13.5%
Turnover %
13.6%
30.0%
Off. rebound %
22.8%
0.19
Free-throw rate
0.20
39.5%
3-point %
37.9%
64.3%
Assist %
60.3%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence118.2 · 113.6Defence111.1 · 107.7Shooting56.7% · 56.0%3-point %39.5% · 37.9%Ball care13.5% · 13.6%Off. rebounds30.0% · 22.8%Free throws0.19 · 0.20Form (last 10/10)90% · 60%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Boston Celtics
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Denver Nuggets wins
5
Boston Celtics wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/04/21HSan Antonio Spurs121-119
08/04/21HSan Antonio Spurs106-96
07/04/21HDetroit Pistons134-119
05/04/21HOrlando Magic119-109
02/04/21ALos Angeles Clippers101-94
31/03/21HPhiladelphia 76ers104-95
29/03/21HAtlanta Hawks126-102
27/03/21ANew Orleans Pelicans113-108
24/03/21AToronto Raptors111-135
23/03/21AOrlando Magic110-99
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/04/21HMinnesota Timberwolves145-136 OT
07/04/21HNew York Knicks101-99
06/04/21HPhiladelphia 76ers96-106
04/04/21HCharlotte Hornets116-86
02/04/21HHouston Rockets118-102
31/03/21HDallas Mavericks108-113
29/03/21HNew Orleans Pelicans109-115
28/03/21AOklahoma City Thunder111-94
26/03/21AMilwaukee Bucks122-114
24/03/21AMilwaukee Bucks119-121

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW65%
HomeWWWWW69%
AwayWWLWW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games552926
Win %65%69%62%
Points / game115.8117.4114.1
Allowed / game109.5109.2109.8
Point differential+6.3+8.2+4.3
Avg total225.3226.7223.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%48%35%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (16)44% (9)57% (7)
Overtime %9%10%8%
Boston Celtics
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW49%
HomeWWLWW61%
AwayLLLWW37%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games552827
Win %49%61%37%
Points / game111.8112.1111.5
Allowed / game110.8109.0112.6
Point differential+1.0+3.1-1.1
Avg total222.6221.1224.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%32%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (18)67% (6)42% (12)
Overtime %5%4%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah Jazz56431377%117.2107.0+10.1
2 Philadelphia 76ers55381769%113.6108.4+5.2
3 Brooklyn Nets55381769%118.6113.9+4.7
4 Phoenix Suns56371966%114.0108.3+5.8
5 Denver Nuggets55361965%115.8109.5+6.3
6 Los Angeles Lakers57372065%110.3105.5+4.8
7 Los Angeles Clippers57362163%113.9108.3+5.6
8 Milwaukee Bucks55322358%118.4113.9+4.5
9 Dallas Mavericks54312357%112.1109.7+2.5
10 Portland Trail Blazers56322457%114.4115.4-1.0
11 Memphis Grizzlies54292554%113.3111.3+2.0
12 Atlanta Hawks58312753%113.3111.7+1.6
13 Miami Heat54282652%106.5107.4-0.9
14 New York Knicks57292851%105.0103.5+1.5
15 Charlotte Hornets56282850%111.0111.9-0.9
16 Boston Celtics55272849%111.8110.8+1.0
17 Golden State Warriors56272948%112.1113.6-1.5
18 New Orleans Pelicans54252946%114.8114.6+0.2
19 Chicago Bulls55253045%112.4113.0-0.6
20 San Antonio Spurs53242945%110.0112.5-2.5
21 Indiana Pacers54243044%112.7113.4-0.7
22 Sacramento Kings57243342%114.1118.4-4.4
23 Toronto Raptors56233341%112.2111.6+0.6
24 Cleveland Cavaliers56213538%103.6111.0-7.4
25 Oklahoma City Thunder56213538%105.6113.8-8.2
26 Washington Wizards55203536%112.6117.9-5.3
27 Orlando Magic56193734%105.3112.1-6.8
28 Detroit Pistons57183932%106.6109.8-3.2
29 Houston Rockets57174030%108.2113.5-5.3
30 Minnesota Timberwolves56144225%110.4117.8-7.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets272428887
Boston Celtics16292931105
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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