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Braga vs CAB Madeira Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 19 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Scheduled
Position#6
Record4-3
FormWWWLL
Points / game88.1
Allowed / game81.1
Braga
Portugal
vs
Form · last 5 games
6.0/10
Above normal
4.1/10
Below normal
CAB Madeira
Portugal
Position#10
Record1-6
FormWLLLL
Points / game82.7
Allowed / game86.4
PortugalLPBRound 11· AMCO Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Braga v CAB Madeira
19 Dec 2026
BRAG v CAB
upcoming
25 Jan 2025
BRAG93
CAB 58
17 Mar 2024
BRAG80
CAB 82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Braga win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
CAB Madeira win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BragaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBraga
Date
Competition
Ovarense
#4
W
74-67
74
67
+7
66avg 77
A25/04
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
72-90
72
90
-18
62avg 77
A09/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
79-94
79
94
-15
68avg 77
H13/05
LPB
Ovarense
#3
L
83-96
83
96
-13
71avg 77
A03/10
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
105-71
105
71
+34
107avg 77
H11/10
LPB
Vitoria
#9
W
91-72
91
72
+19
98avg 77
H18/10
LPB
CD Povoa
#7
W
80-71
80
71
+9
75avg 77
A25/10
LPB
Sporting CP
#5
W
98-86
98
86
+12
102avg 77
H01/11
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
76-81
76
81
-5
no box
A08/11
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
L
84-91
84
91
-7
no box
H14/11
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-21
16-14
18-19
12-13
19-24
15-22
24-24
14-20
18-22
18-22
23-33
20-17
19-26
9-26
20-23
35-21
28-18
33-21
17-18
27-14
20-12
23-18
26-22
22-20
20-22
23-14
19-14
18-21
24-23
22-19
20-21
32-23
21-20
29-29
13-15
13-17
18-21
20-20
25-24
21-26
166.1Avg total
84.2Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)88.181.1169.3+7.057%
Season at home (4)94.580.0174.5+14.575%
Season away (3)79.782.7162.3-3.033%
Last 10 (10)84.281.9166.1+2.350%
Last 5 (5)85.880.2166.0+5.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)74.287.2161.3-13.017%
vs Similar (10)84.485.1169.5-0.740%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)91.476.0167.4+15.488%
This opponent (CAB Madeira) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CAB MadeiraPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadeira
Date
Competition
CD Povoa
#1
W
90-72
90
72
+18
81avg 75
H24/05
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
61-78
61
78
-17
52avg 75
A30/05
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
72-90
72
90
-18
66avg 75
A31/05
Proliga
Vitoria
#9
L
78-83
78
83
-5
72avg 75
H03/10
LPB
CD Povoa
#7
L
69-73
69
73
-4
54avg 75
A10/10
LPB
Sporting CP
#5
W
93-84
93
84
+9
90avg 75
H17/10
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
82-93
82
93
-11
76avg 75
A25/10
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
L
109-113 OT
109
113
-4
102avg 75
H31/10
LPB
CA Queluz
#8
L
86-90
86
90
-4
no box
A07/11
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
62-69
62
69
-7
no box
A14/11
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-15
28-20
18-19
23-18
26-26
11-22
17-17
7-13
13-30
18-18
27-21
14-21
18-14
24-17
21-25
15-27
20-21
12-18
20-19
17-15
23-22
26-20
25-20
19-22
15-26
20-22
21-18
26-27
20-21
25-24
25-24
20-21
18-20
18-23
30-20
20-27
18-11
13-29
14-12
17-17
164.7Avg total
80.2Scored
84.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)82.786.4169.1-3.714%
Season at home (3)93.393.3186.7+0.033%
Season away (4)74.881.2156.0-6.50%
Last 10 (10)80.284.5164.7-4.320%
Last 5 (5)86.489.8176.2-3.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)79.983.3163.2-3.433%
vs Similar (12)78.876.2155.0+2.558%
vs Weaker (9)84.077.9161.9+6.178%
This opponent (Braga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: -3.0-3.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: -3.0-3.0
BragaCAB Madeira
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BragaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ovarense
#4
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A25/04
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A09/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H13/05
LPB
Ovarense
#3
L
28-52
28
52
-24
A03/10
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
61-39
61
39
+22
H11/10
LPB
Vitoria
#9
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H18/10
LPB
CD Povoa
#7
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A25/10
LPB
Sporting CP
#5
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H01/11
LPB
FC Porto
#2
W
50-49
50
49
+1
A08/11
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H14/11
LPB
83.7Avg total
42.3Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.342.783.0-2.347%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.740.981.6-0.147%-
Last 30 away (15)39.944.584.4-4.547%-
Last 10 (10)42.341.483.7+0.960%-
Last 5 (5)44.039.683.6+4.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)36.946.183.0-9.217%-
vs Similar (10)41.644.085.6-2.460%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)43.935.979.8+8.075%-
This opponent (CAB Madeira) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CAB MadeiraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CD Povoa
#1
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H24/05
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A30/05
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
31-48
31
48
-17
A31/05
Proliga
Vitoria
#9
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H03/10
LPB
CD Povoa
#7
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A10/10
LPB
Sporting CP
#5
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H17/10
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
35-48
35
48
-13
A25/10
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H31/10
LPB
CA Queluz
#8
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A07/11
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A14/11
LPB
80.6Avg total
38.7Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.738.779.4+2.050%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.936.177.9+5.871%-
Last 30 away (16)39.741.080.7-1.331%-
Last 10 (10)38.741.980.6-3.230%-
Last 5 (5)39.243.682.8-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)40.942.183.0-1.233%-
vs Similar (12)37.736.874.5+0.842%-
vs Weaker (9)44.637.882.3+6.878%-
This opponent (Braga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bragatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Braga: 81.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.217.5
49.7%
51.1%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.19.8
34.9%
31.9%29.4
🏀 Free throws23.417.2
73.5%
71.1%17.2
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
CAB Madeiratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CAB Madeira: 80.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.616.8
51.5%
51.1%33.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.611.4
36.1%
31.9%34.2
🏀 Free throws17.412.8
73.6%
71.1%12.8
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Braga
LLWWWWLLLW
CAB Madeira
LLLLWLLLLW
#6
League position
#10
+5.9
Net rating
+0.5
92.2
Offensive rating
92.5
86.3
Defensive rating
92.1
50.9%
Effective FG%
52.8%
49.8%
Opp. effective FG%
49.0%
18.7%
Turnover %
16.5%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.27
34.9%
3-point %
36.1%
72.5%
Assist %
64.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence92.2 · 92.5Defence86.3 · 92.1Shooting50.9% · 52.8%3-point %34.9% · 36.1%Ball care18.7% · 16.5%Free throws0.37 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ Braga   ■ CAB Madeira
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Braga wins
3
CAB Madeira wins
DateGameScore
16/03/25CAB Madeira v Braga77-73
25/01/25Braga v CAB Madeira93-58
17/03/24Braga v CAB Madeira80-82
18/02/24CAB Madeira v Braga87-79
Bragalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HOliveirense84-91
08/11/26AFC Porto76-81
01/11/26HSporting CP98-86
25/10/26ACD Povoa80-71
18/10/26HVitoria91-72
11/10/26HPortimonense105-71
03/10/26AOvarense83-96
13/05/26HBenfica79-94
09/05/26ABenfica72-90
25/04/26AOvarense74-67
CAB Madeiralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ABenfica62-69
07/11/26ACA Queluz86-90
31/10/26HOliveirense109-113 OT
25/10/26AFC Porto82-93
17/10/26HSporting CP93-84
10/10/26ACD Povoa69-73
03/10/26HVitoria78-83
31/05/26ACD Povoa72-90
30/05/26ACD Povoa61-78
24/05/26HCD Povoa90-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Braga
LPB 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL57%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%75%33%
Points / game88.194.579.7
Allowed / game81.180.082.7
Point differential+7.0+14.5-3.0
Avg total169.3174.5162.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
CAB Madeira
LPB 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL14%
HomeLWL33%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %14%33%0%
Points / game82.793.374.8
Allowed / game86.493.381.2
Point differential-3.7+0.0-6.5
Avg total169.1186.7156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %14%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Benfica76186%88.373.6+14.7
2 FC Porto76186%91.681.6+10.0
3 Ovarense76186%84.476.9+7.6
4 Oliveirense64267%92.290.0+2.2
5 Sporting CP74357%83.674.6+9.0
6 Braga74357%88.181.1+7.0
7 CD Povoa74357%75.075.3-0.3
8 CA Queluz63350%87.891.7-3.8
9 Vitoria72529%68.783.9-15.1
10 CAB Madeira71614%82.786.4-3.7
11 Portimonense71614%78.789.0-10.3
12 Esgueira7070%80.397.7-17.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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