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Lusitania vs Maia Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 76-82
22-16 14-18 22-26 18-22
Position#10
Record-
FormLLLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Lusitania
Portugal
vs
Maia 🏆
Portugal
Position#8
Record-
FormLWWWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
PortugalTaca de Portugal· Pavilhão Municipal de Angra do Heroísmo
Other2024
Meetings · Lusitania v Maia
13 Feb 2027
LUSI v MAIA
upcoming
31 Oct 2025
LUSI69
MAIA65
25 Jan 2025
LUSI82
MAIA69
09 Dec 2023
LUSI76
MAIA82
03 Apr 2021
LUSI93
MAIA67
07 Dec 2019
LUSI87
MAIA90
22 Apr 2017
LUSI87
MAIA85
05 Nov 2016
LUSI89
MAIA86
09 Apr 2016
LUSI59
MAIA58
28 Nov 2015
LUSI75
MAIA63
17 Jan 2015
LUSI75
MAIA60
14 Dec 2013
LUSI67
MAIA53
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lusitania winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Maia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LusitaniaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLusitania
Date
Competition
Imortal
#8
L
66-80
66
80
-14
-2avg 56
H23/09
LPB
Galomar
#10
L
80-94
80
94
-14
71avg 56
A30/09
LPB
Ovarense
#5
L
82-85
82
85
-3
81avg 56
H07/10
LPB
Vitoria
#7
L
82-90
82
90
-8
62avg 56
A14/10
Taca da Liga
Sporting CP
#4
L
83-107
83
107
-24
75avg 56
A21/10
LPB
Vitoria
#7
L
70-75
70
75
-5
58avg 56
A28/10
LPB
CD Povoa
#6
L
73-100
73
100
-27
58avg 56
H04/11
LPB
FC Porto
#4
L
70-101
70
101
-31
59avg 56
H11/11
Taca da Liga
Portimonense
#11
L
64-67
64
67
-3
57avg 56
A18/11
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
51-94
51
94
-43
36avg 56
A02/12
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-20
16-14
15-27
18-19
17-28
14-23
24-23
25-20
22-18
21-18
12-28
27-21
20-22
22-21
15-28
25-19
23-23
20-27
24-25
16-32
18-17
24-20
12-15
16-23
27-22
20-29
14-23
12-26
21-29
17-30
15-28
17-14
19-19
16-16
15-9
14-23
20-21
16-27
7-22
8-24
161.4Avg total
72.1Scored
89.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)72.189.3161.4-17.20%
Last 5 (5)65.687.4153.0-21.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)74.288.4162.6-14.216%
vs Similar (5)78.675.6154.2+3.060%
vs Weakerno games
MaiaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMaia
Date
Competition
Barreirense
#10
L
107-109 OT
107
109
-2
no box
H01/04
Proliga
Belenenses
#13
W
117-107
117
107
+10
no box
A08/04
Proliga
Academica
#14
W
68-64
68
64
+4
56avg 67
A14/10
Proliga
Braga
#8
W
82-80
82
80
+2
67avg 67
H21/10
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#11
W
92-81
92
81
+11
88avg 67
A28/10
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#5
L
67-85
67
85
-18
47avg 67
A05/11
Proliga
Illiabum
#9
W
81-63
81
63
+18
75avg 67
A18/11
Proliga
Sangalhos
#6
W
75-71
75
71
+4
67avg 67
H25/11
Proliga
Sampaense
#16
W
89-77
89
77
+12
63avg 67
A02/12
Proliga
Academica
#14
W
75-69
75
69
+6
70avg 67
H07/12
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-26
22-21
18-16
25-33
28-28
33-30
33-32
23-17
15-21
18-11
24-19
11-13
17-14
19-25
16-20
30-21
24-22
26-18
20-24
22-17
13-22
19-24
14-18
21-21
22-11
15-20
21-15
23-17
23-16
17-28
16-14
19-13
19-22
15-23
28-17
27-15
23-12
13-19
16-13
23-25
165.9Avg total
85.3Scored
80.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)85.380.6165.9+4.780%
Last 5 (5)77.473.0150.4+4.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)75.477.4152.8-2.040%
vs Similar (12)76.977.7154.6-0.858%
vs Weaker (13)85.880.6166.5+5.269%

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: -3.9-3.9Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: -7.5-7.5Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: -4.3-4.3Q4: +3.2+3.2
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: -3.9-3.9Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: -7.5-7.5Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: -4.3-4.3Q4: +3.2+3.2
LusitaniaMaia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LusitaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Imortal
#8
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H23/09
LPB
Galomar
#10
L
31-51
31
51
-20
A30/09
LPB
Ovarense
#5
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H07/10
LPB
Vitoria
#7
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A14/10
Taca da Liga
Sporting CP
#4
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A21/10
LPB
Vitoria
#7
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A28/10
LPB
CD Povoa
#6
L
47-51
47
51
-4
H04/11
LPB
FC Porto
#4
L
38-59
38
59
-21
H11/11
Taca da Liga
Portimonense
#11
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A18/11
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A02/12
LPB
83.4Avg total
39.0Scored
44.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.042.380.2-4.333%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.742.382.1-2.647%-
Last 30 away (15)36.242.278.4-6.020%-
Last 10 (10)39.044.483.4-5.420%-
Last 5 (5)39.646.085.6-6.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)37.943.681.5-5.632%-
vs Similar (5)38.235.874.0+2.440%-
vs Weakerno games
MaiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barreirense
#10
W
53-47
53
47
+6
H01/04
Proliga
Belenenses
#13
W
61-58
61
58
+3
A08/04
Proliga
Academica
#14
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A14/10
Proliga
Braga
#8
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H21/10
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#11
W
50-40
50
40
+10
A28/10
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#5
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A05/11
Proliga
Illiabum
#9
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A18/11
Proliga
Sangalhos
#6
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H25/11
Proliga
Sampaense
#16
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A02/12
Proliga
Academica
#14
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H07/12
Proliga
82.5Avg total
41.2Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.439.078.4+0.457%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.737.076.7+2.757%-
Last 30 away (16)39.140.879.9-1.756%-
Last 10 (10)41.241.382.5-0.160%-
Last 5 (5)35.839.475.2-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)35.038.273.2-3.220%-
vs Similar (12)38.738.977.6-0.258%-
vs Weaker (13)41.839.581.2+2.369%-
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lusitaniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lusitania: 70.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.618.8
47.5%
53.3%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.37.0
30.0%
34.1%21.0
🏀 Free throws16.812.3
73.2%
69.5%12.3
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Maiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Maia: 77.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.5 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.620.8
49.8%
53.3%41.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.17.5
29.9%
34.1%22.5
🏀 Free throws20.113.6
67.7%
69.5%13.6
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/8 games with a box score before 09 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lusitania
LLLLLLLLLL
Maia
WWWWLWWWWL
#10
League position
#8
-23.2
Net rating
+5.4
89.3
Offensive rating
102.2
112.5
Defensive rating
96.7
46.6%
Effective FG%
47.9%
56.3%
Opp. effective FG%
47.8%
22.4%
Turnover %
19.7%
22.7%
Off. rebound %
36.1%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.30
30.0%
3-point %
29.9%
55.0%
Assist %
42.0%
0%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence89.3 · 102.2Defence112.5 · 96.7Shooting46.6% · 47.9%3-point %30.0% · 29.9%Ball care22.4% · 19.7%Off. rebounds22.7% · 36.1%Free throws0.27 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)0% · 80%
■ Lusitania   ■ Maia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Lusitania wins
2
Maia wins
DateGameScore
03/04/21Lusitania v Maia93-67
03/01/21Maia v Lusitania65-76
07/12/19Lusitania v Maia87-90
22/04/17Lusitania v Maia87-85
18/03/17Maia v Lusitania88-77
21/01/17Maia v Lusitania82-89
05/11/16Lusitania v Maia89-86
09/04/16Lusitania v Maia59-58
05/03/16Maia v Lusitania67-89
20/02/16Maia v Lusitania72-79
Lusitanialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/12/23ABenfica51-94
18/11/23APortimonense64-67
11/11/23HFC Porto70-101
04/11/23HCD Povoa73-100
28/10/23AVitoria70-75
21/10/23ASporting CP83-107
14/10/23AVitoria82-90
07/10/23HOvarense82-85
30/09/23AGalomar80-94
23/09/23HImortal66-80
Maialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/23HAcademica75-69
02/12/23ASampaense89-77
25/11/23HSangalhos75-71
18/11/23AIlliabum81-63
05/11/23AVasco Da Gama67-85
28/10/23AGalitos Aveiro92-81
21/10/23HBraga82-80
14/10/23AAcademica68-64
08/04/23ABelenenses117-107
01/04/23HBarreirense107-109 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lusitania
Taca de Portugal 2024
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Maia
Taca de Portugal 2024
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Benfica110100%71.047.0+24.0
2 Oliveirense1010%47.071.0-24.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lusitania2214221876
Maia1618262282
← all games of the day
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