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Braga vs Maia Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 12 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 20:30
Final 94-75
28-21 20-13 19-24 27-17
Position#1
Record1-0
FormLLWLW
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game65.0
Braga 🏆
Portugal
vs
Maia
Portugal
Position#8
Record0-1
FormWLLLL
Points / game65.0
Allowed / game78.0
PortugalProligaRound 2· Sports Pavilion Lamacaes
Other2024-25
Meetings · Braga v Maia
12 Oct 2024
BRAG94
MAIA75
16 Dec 2023
BRAG81
MAIA86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Braga winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Maia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BragaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBraga
Date
Competition
CAB Madeira
#4
L
79-87
79
87
-8
63avg 68
A18/02
Proliga
CA Queluz
#1
W
92-75
92
75
+17
91avg 68
H25/02
Proliga
Galitos Barreiro
#2
L
81-97
81
97
-16
66avg 68
A02/03
Proliga
Santo Andre
#10
L
57-72
57
72
-15
44avg 68
H09/03
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#4
L
80-82
80
82
-2
71avg 68
H17/03
Proliga
CA Queluz
#1
L
54-81
54
81
-27
38avg 68
A24/03
Proliga
Galitos Barreiro
#2
L
74-86
74
86
-12
63avg 68
H30/03
Proliga
Santo Andre
#10
W
74-64
74
64
+10
65avg 68
A13/04
Proliga
Illiabum
#9
L
72-76
72
76
-4
56avg 68
H14/04
Proliga
Sampaense
#11
W
81-65
81
65
+16
72avg 68
A05/10
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-25
22-24
17-16
22-22
30-19
17-24
27-15
18-17
22-28
22-21
15-23
22-25
16-13
11-15
22-20
8-24
14-13
25-36
15-10
26-23
12-20
10-15
16-24
16-22
14-14
19-20
22-26
19-26
22-18
11-17
22-12
19-17
25-16
11-17
18-20
18-23
16-20
17-14
24-15
24-16
152.9Avg total
74.4Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)81.065.0146.0+16.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)81.065.0146.0+16.0100%
Last 10 (10)74.478.5152.9-4.130%
Last 5 (5)71.074.4145.4-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)73.078.0151.0-5.050%
vs Similar (16)76.174.6150.6+1.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)82.972.4155.3+10.471%
This opponent (Maia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MaiaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMaia
Date
Competition
CA Queluz
#1
W
72-69
72
69
+3
57avg 64
A18/02
Proliga
Santo Andre
#10
W
89-82 OT
89
82
+7
no box
A02/03
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#4
W
80-73
80
73
+7
76avg 64
H10/03
Proliga
CA Queluz
#1
L
68-80
68
80
-12
53avg 64
H16/03
Proliga
Galitos Barreiro
#2
L
71-83
71
83
-12
55avg 64
A23/03
Proliga
Santo Andre
#10
W
84-79
84
79
+5
80avg 64
H29/03
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#4
L
44-88
44
88
-44
29avg 64
A13/04
Proliga
CA Queluz
#1
L
79-85
79
85
-6
69avg 64
H20/04
Proliga
CA Queluz
#1
L
84-101
84
101
-17
72avg 64
A27/04
Proliga
Illiabum
#5
L
65-78
65
78
-13
54avg 64
H05/10
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-24
21-14
27-16
11-15
22-29
20-16
14-18
26-19
18-19
16-14
22-20
24-20
21-16
19-16
12-28
16-20
23-23
15-17
18-25
15-18
17-24
17-16
28-19
22-20
11-21
10-17
14-23
9-27
24-31
18-18
17-15
20-21
20-30
20-25
19-23
25-23
16-19
13-24
17-19
19-16
155.4Avg total
73.6Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)65.078.0143.0-13.00%
Season at home (1)65.078.0143.0-13.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)73.681.8155.4-8.240%
Last 5 (5)71.286.2157.4-15.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)72.183.5155.6-11.433%
vs Similar (10)78.276.5154.7+1.770%
vs Weaker (7)90.383.9174.1+6.471%
This opponent (Braga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -5.1-5.1Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: -1.2-1.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -5.1-5.1Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: -1.2-1.2
BragaMaia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BragaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CAB Madeira
#4
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A18/02
Proliga
CA Queluz
#1
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H25/02
Proliga
Galitos Barreiro
#2
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A02/03
Proliga
Santo Andre
#10
L
27-28
27
28
-1
H09/03
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#4
L
39-49
39
49
-10
H17/03
Proliga
CA Queluz
#1
L
22-35
22
35
-13
A24/03
Proliga
Galitos Barreiro
#2
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H30/03
Proliga
Santo Andre
#10
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A13/04
Proliga
Illiabum
#9
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H14/04
Proliga
Sampaense
#11
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A05/10
Proliga
74.3Avg total
35.4Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (27)36.738.375.1-1.633%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.338.674.9-2.436%-
Last 30 away (13)37.238.075.2-0.831%-
Last 10 (10)35.438.974.3-3.520%-
Last 5 (5)31.434.265.6-2.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)34.539.073.5-4.550%-
vs Similar (16)37.437.374.7+0.125%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)38.436.975.3+1.657%-
This opponent (Maia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MaiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CA Queluz
#1
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A18/02
Proliga
Santo Andre
#10
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A02/03
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#4
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H10/03
Proliga
CA Queluz
#1
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H16/03
Proliga
Galitos Barreiro
#2
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A23/03
Proliga
Santo Andre
#10
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H29/03
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#4
L
21-38
21
38
-17
A13/04
Proliga
CA Queluz
#1
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H20/04
Proliga
CA Queluz
#1
L
40-55
40
55
-15
A27/04
Proliga
Illiabum
#5
L
29-43
29
43
-14
H05/10
Proliga
76.7Avg total
35.4Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.740.979.6-2.237%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.040.178.1-2.136%-
Last 30 away (16)39.341.680.9-2.338%-
Last 10 (10)35.441.376.7-5.920%-
Last 5 (5)33.245.078.2-11.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)36.841.177.8-4.325%-
vs Similar (10)36.940.577.4-3.620%-
vs Weaker (7)45.342.087.3+3.386%-
This opponent (Braga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bragatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Braga: 74.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.6 points a game
51%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.319.5
49.6%
49.9%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.08.2
28.3%
30.1%24.6
🏀 Free throws16.410.4
63.4%
68.4%10.4
They take 68.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Maiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Maia: 73.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.6 points a game
51%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.418.6
48.4%
49.9%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.47.4
28.0%
30.1%22.2
🏀 Free throws19.713.6
69.0%
68.4%13.6
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Braga
WLWLLLLLWL
Maia
LLLLWLLWWW
#1
League position
#8
-5.5
Net rating
-8.3
97.5
Offensive rating
94.9
103.1
Defensive rating
103.2
46.6%
Effective FG%
45.8%
50.5%
Opp. effective FG%
50.2%
17.9%
Turnover %
20.2%
29.9%
Off. rebound %
30.6%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.30
28.3%
3-point %
28.0%
58.1%
Assist %
47.7%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence97.5 · 94.9Defence103.1 · 103.2Shooting46.6% · 45.8%3-point %28.3% · 28.0%Ball care17.9% · 20.2%Off. rebounds29.9% · 30.6%Free throws0.24 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Braga   ■ Maia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Braga wins
2
Maia wins
DateGameScore
16/12/23Braga v Maia81-86
21/10/23Maia v Braga82-80
Bragalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/10/24ASampaense81-65
14/04/24HIlliabum72-76
13/04/24ASanto Andre74-64
30/03/24HGalitos Barreiro74-86
24/03/24ACA Queluz54-81
17/03/24HCAB Madeira80-82
09/03/24HSanto Andre57-72
02/03/24AGalitos Barreiro81-97
25/02/24HCA Queluz92-75
18/02/24ACAB Madeira79-87
Maialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/10/24HIlliabum65-78
27/04/24ACA Queluz84-101
20/04/24HCA Queluz79-85
13/04/24ACAB Madeira44-88
29/03/24HSanto Andre84-79
23/03/24AGalitos Barreiro71-83
16/03/24HCA Queluz68-80
10/03/24HCAB Madeira80-73
02/03/24ASanto Andre89-82 OT
18/02/24ACA Queluz72-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Braga
Proliga 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game81.0-81.0
Allowed / game65.0-65.0
Point differential+16.0-+16.0
Avg total146.0-146.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%-100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Maia
Proliga 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game65.065.0-
Allowed / game78.078.0-
Point differential-13.0-13.0-
Avg total143.0143.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Illiabum220100%76.057.5+18.5
2 Braga110100%81.065.0+16.0
3 Imortal B110100%81.069.0+12.0
4 Portimonense110100%60.053.0+7.0
5 Vasco Da Gama220100%76.069.0+7.0
6 Galitos Aveiro21150%68.565.0+3.5
7 CAB Madeira21150%60.058.5+1.5
8 Santo Andre21150%51.552.0-0.5
9 Barreirense21150%65.568.0-2.5
10 Ginasio21150%68.571.0-2.5
11 Lusitania21150%52.054.5-2.5
12 Benfica Lisboa B1010%59.060.0-1.0
13 CB Queluz1010%55.065.0-10.0
14 Sampaense2020%68.579.5-11.0
15 Maia1010%65.078.0-13.0
16 Sangalhos2020%60.577.5-17.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Braga2820192794
Maia2113241775
← all games of the day
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