Braga hosts Oliveirense in the LPB on 14 November 2026, with the model favouring Braga at 66% to 34% for Oliveirense, projecting a 89-84 win for the home side. Braga finished the season 4-2, averaging 88.8 points and allowing 79.5, and sits 4th in the league; at home they are unbeaten 3-0 with 98.0 points per game and 76.3 allowed. Their last five games were 4-1, including a 98-86 home win over Sporting CP and a 80-71 away victory over CD Povoa, though they fell 76-81 to FC Porto away on 8 November. Oliveirense are 3-2 overall, 92.4 points for and 91.2 against, positioned 6th; on the road they are 2-1, scoring 90.3 and conceding 94.3. Their last five were 3-2, highlighted by a 113-109 away win over CAB Madeira and a 104-80 home win over Esgueira, but a 87-93 home loss to Ovarense on 7 November. The two teams have split their previous meetings, with Oliveirense winning the most recent 87-77 on 14 March 2026. The spread is set at -4.5 for Braga with a 52% chance to cover, the total at 170.5 with a 54% over probability, and a 5% chance of overtime. The projected total of 172.6 points suggests a high-scoring encounter.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (6) | 88.8 | 79.5 | 168.3 | +9.3 | 67% |
| Season at home (3) | 98.0 | 76.3 | 174.3 | +21.7 | 100% |
| Season away (3) | 79.7 | 82.7 | 162.3 | -3.0 | 33% |
| Last 10 (10) | 82.6 | 81.0 | 163.6 | +1.6 | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 90.0 | 76.2 | 166.2 | +13.8 | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (12) | 74.2 | 87.2 | 161.3 | -13.0 | 17% |
| vs Similar (11) | 82.0 | 83.4 | 165.4 | -1.4 | 36% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (7) | 92.4 | 73.9 | 166.3 | +18.6 | 100% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (5) | 92.4 | 91.2 | 183.6 | +1.2 | 60% |
| Season at home (2) | 95.5 | 86.5 | 182.0 | +9.0 | 50% |
| Season away (3) | 90.3 | 94.3 | 184.7 | -4.0 | 67% |
| Last 10 (10) | 83.6 | 86.3 | 169.9 | -2.7 | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 92.4 | 91.2 | 183.6 | +1.2 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (9) | 75.7 | 88.3 | 164.0 | -12.7 | 11% |
| vs Similar (8) | 83.4 | 82.1 | 165.5 | +1.2 | 62% |
| vs Weaker (13) | 91.0 | 81.7 | 172.7 | +9.3 | 77% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 85.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 39.8 | 42.8 | 82.6 | -2.9 | 47% | 50% |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 39.7 | 41.1 | 80.8 | -1.3 | 47% | 47% |
| Last 30 away (15) | 39.9 | 44.5 | 84.4 | -4.5 | 47% | 53% |
| Last 10 (10) | 42.5 | 41.9 | 84.4 | +0.6 | 60% | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 48.6 | 39.2 | 87.8 | +9.4 | 100% | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (12) | 36.9 | 46.1 | 83.0 | -9.2 | 17% | 58% |
| vs Similar (11) | 39.9 | 44.0 | 83.9 | -4.1 | 55% | 55% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (7) | 44.7 | 35.1 | 79.9 | +9.6 | 86% | 29% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 85.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 43.7 | 41.5 | 85.1 | +2.2 | 60% | 43% |
| Last 30 at home (14) | 48.9 | 41.7 | 90.6 | +7.2 | 86% | 57% |
| Last 30 away (16) | 39.1 | 41.2 | 80.3 | -2.2 | 38% | 31% |
| Last 10 (10) | 42.6 | 42.4 | 85.0 | +0.2 | 50% | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 48.4 | 42.2 | 90.6 | +6.2 | 60% | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (9) | 39.4 | 43.3 | 82.8 | -3.9 | 44% | 11% |
| vs Similar (8) | 43.6 | 42.2 | 85.9 | +1.4 | 62% | 50% |
| vs Weaker (13) | 46.6 | 39.7 | 86.3 | +6.9 | 69% | 62% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braga +5.5 | 80.6% | 1.30 | 1.30 | - | - | - | - | +9.8pp | Lost |
| Braga over 82.5 | 72.6% | 1.38 | 1.42 | 1.40 | 1.31 | - | - | +8.0pp | Won |
| Braga +15.5 | 95.4% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +6.1pp | Won |
| Oliveirense under 95.5 | 86.5% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | +6.0pp | Won |
| Oliveirense under 93.5 | 82.2% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | +6.0pp | Won |
| Braga over 71.5 | 95.3% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +5.9pp | Won |
| Oliveirense +24.5 | 95.2% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +5.8pp | Won |
| Braga +20.5 | 98.0% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +5.7pp | Won |
| Braga over 77.5 | 86.2% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | +5.7pp | Won |
| Braga under 94.5 | 71.7% | 1.37 | 1.40 | 1.34 | - | - | - | +5.6pp | Won |
| Under 181.5 | 71.1% | 1.40 | 1.40 | - | - | - | - | +5.6pp | Won |
| Braga under 96.5 | 77.9% | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | +5.5pp | Won |
| Oliveirense under 91.5 | 76.9% | 1.30 | 1.30 | - | - | - | - | +5.5pp | Won |
| Oliveirense under 89.5 | 70.9% | 1.38 | 1.41 | 1.35 | - | - | - | +5.5pp | Lost |
| Braga under 98.5 | 83.2% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | +5.4pp | Won |
| Oliveirense +12.5 | 75.3% | 1.31 | 1.31 | - | - | - | - | +5.4pp | Won |
| Over 145.5 | 95.0% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +5.3pp | Won |
| Braga over 79.5 | 81.5% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | +5.3pp | Won |
| Braga +10.5 | 90.3% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +5.2pp | Won |
| Over 155.5 | 84.7% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +5.2pp | Won |
| Braga over 73.5 | 93.0% | 1.06 | 1.06 | - | - | - | - | +5.1pp | Won |
| Oliveirense over 76.5 | 76.0% | 1.31 | 1.31 | - | - | - | - | +5.0pp | Won |
| Braga under 99.5 | 85.5% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | +5.0pp | Won |
| Braga over 75.5 | 90.0% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +5.0pp | Won |
| Braga over 70.5 | 96.1% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +5.0pp | Won |
| Oliveirense +11.5 | 72.5% | 1.36 | 1.36 | - | - | - | - | +5.0pp | Won |
| Oliveirense under 94.5 | 84.5% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +4.9pp | Won |
| Braga over 72.5 | 94.2% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +4.9pp | Won |
| Over 160.5 | 76.2% | 1.30 | 1.30 | - | - | - | - | +4.8pp | Won |
| Braga under 95.5 | 74.9% | 1.29 | 1.30 | 1.29 | - | - | - | +4.8pp | Won |
| Braga +4.5 | 78.0% | 1.26 | 1.27 | 1.25 | - | - | - | +4.6pp | Lost |
| Braga under 97.5 | 80.7% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | +4.5pp | Won |
| Under 183.5 | 75.0% | 1.32 | 1.32 | - | - | - | - | +4.5pp | Won |
| Under 188.5 | 83.2% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | +4.4pp | Won |
| Braga over 81.5 | 75.8% | 1.30 | 1.30 | - | - | - | - | +4.4pp | Won |
| Oliveirense +19.5 | 89.9% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +4.4pp | Won |
| Oliveirense over 66.5 | 95.4% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +4.3pp | Won |
| Oliveirense +14.5 | 80.5% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | +4.3pp | Won |
| Oliveirense over 67.5 | 94.4% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +4.2pp | Won |
| Over 150.5 | 90.8% | 1.08 | 1.08 | - | - | - | - | +4.2pp | Won |
| Oliveirense over 68.5 | 93.2% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +3.8pp | Won |
| Under 193.5 | 89.3% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +3.8pp | Won |
| Braga over 74.5 | 91.6% | 1.06 | 1.06 | - | - | - | - | +3.7pp | Won |
| Oliveirense over 69.5 | 91.8% | 1.06 | 1.06 | - | - | - | - | +3.5pp | Won |
| Overtime: no | 95.1% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +3.4pp | Won |
| Oliveirense under 90.5 | 74.0% | 1.29 | 1.30 | 1.27 | - | - | - | +3.3pp | Lost |
| Braga +2.5 | 72.5% | 1.32 | 1.32 | - | - | - | - | +3.1pp | Lost |
| Over 148.5 | 92.7% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +3.1pp | Won |
| Braga +3.5 | 75.1% | 1.27 | 1.27 | - | - | - | - | +2.9pp | Lost |
| Braga over 76.5 | 88.2% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +2.7pp | Won |
| Braga over 80.5 | 78.7% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | +2.6pp | Won |
| Braga over 78.5 | 83.9% | 1.14 | 1.14 | - | - | - | - | +2.5pp | Won |
| Oliveirense over 71.5 | 88.4% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | +2.3pp | Won |
| Oliveirense under 96.5 | 88.4% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | +2.3pp | Won |
| Oliveirense over 70.5 | 90.3% | 1.06 | 1.06 | - | - | - | - | +2.3pp | Won |
| Oliveirense under 92.5 | 79.6% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | +1.9pp | Won |
| Oliveirense over 73.5 | 84.2% | 1.13 | 1.13 | - | - | - | - | +1.9pp | Won |
| Under 195.5 | 91.2% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +1.9pp | Won |
| Over 163.5 | 70.2% | 1.34 | 1.40 | 1.29 | - | - | - | +1.5pp | Won |
| Oliveirense over 72.5 | 86.4% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +1.4pp | Won |
| Oliveirense over 75.5 | 78.9% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | +1.2pp | Won |
| Oliveirense over 74.5 | 81.7% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | +1.1pp | Won |
| Over 153.5 | 87.4% | 1.08 | 1.08 | - | - | - | - | +0.8pp | Won |
| Over 158.5 | 79.9% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +0.4pp | Won |
| Oliveirense over 77.5 | 72.8% | 1.27 | 1.27 | - | - | - | - | +0.0pp | Won |
| Under 190.5 | 85.9% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | -0.2pp | Won |
| Under 185.5 | 78.5% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | -0.3pp | Won |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 35.2 | 17.5 | 51.1% | 35.0 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 28.1 | 9.8 | 31.9% | 29.4 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 23.4 | 17.2 | 71.1% | 17.2 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 39.9 | 21.8 | 51.1% | 43.6 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 27.3 | 7.6 | 31.9% | 22.8 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 21.8 | 16.2 | 71.1% | 16.2 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 14/03/26 | Oliveirense v Braga | 87-77 |
| 09/11/25 | Braga v Oliveirense | 66-63 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11/26 | A | FC Porto | 76-81 |
| 01/11/26 | H | Sporting CP | 98-86 |
| 25/10/26 | A | CD Povoa | 80-71 |
| 18/10/26 | H | Vitoria | 91-72 |
| 11/10/26 | H | Portimonense | 105-71 |
| 03/10/26 | A | Ovarense | 83-96 |
| 13/05/26 | H | Benfica | 79-94 |
| 09/05/26 | A | Benfica | 72-90 |
| 25/04/26 | A | Ovarense | 74-67 |
| 18/04/26 | H | FC Porto | 68-82 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11/26 | H | Ovarense | 87-93 |
| 31/10/26 | A | CAB Madeira | 113-109 OT |
| 24/10/26 | H | Esgueira | 104-80 |
| 17/10/26 | A | Benfica | 67-92 |
| 03/10/26 | A | Portimonense | 91-82 |
| 28/05/26 | H | Benfica | 78-86 |
| 23/05/26 | A | Benfica | 61-86 |
| 21/05/26 | A | Benfica | 76-98 |
| 16/05/26 | A | Ovarense | 69-65 |
| 13/05/26 | H | Ovarense | 90-72 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWWWL | 67% |
| Home | WWW | 100% |
| Away | LWL | 33% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 6 | 3 | 3 |
| Win % | 67% | 100% | 33% |
| Points / game | 88.8 | 98.0 | 79.7 |
| Allowed / game | 79.5 | 76.3 | 82.7 |
| Point differential | +9.3 | +21.7 | -3.0 |
| Avg total | 168.3 | 174.3 | 162.3 |
| Over 170.5 | 50% | 67% | 33% |
| Win by 10+ | 50% | 100% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 0% (1) | - | 0% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLWWL | 60% |
| Home | WL | 50% |
| Away | WLW | 67% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| Win % | 60% | 50% | 67% |
| Points / game | 92.4 | 95.5 | 90.3 |
| Allowed / game | 91.2 | 86.5 | 94.3 |
| Point differential | +1.2 | +9.0 | -4.0 |
| Avg total | 183.6 | 182.0 | 184.7 |
| Over 170.5 | 80% | 100% | 67% |
| Win by 10+ | 20% | 50% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 100% (1) | - | 100% (1) |
| Overtime % | 20% | 0% | 33% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 86% | 91.6 | 81.6 | +10.0 | |
| 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 83% | 91.5 | 75.5 | +16.0 | |
| 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 83% | 83.7 | 76.2 | +7.5 | |
| 4 | Braga | 6 | 4 | 2 | 67% | 88.8 | 79.5 | +9.3 |
| 5 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 67% | 76.0 | 72.2 | +3.8 | |
| 6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 60% | 92.4 | 91.2 | +1.2 | |
| 7 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 60% | 89.2 | 92.2 | -3.0 | |
| 8 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 50% | 81.8 | 75.5 | +6.3 | |
| 9 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 29% | 68.7 | 83.9 | -15.1 | |
| 10 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 17% | 86.2 | 89.3 | -3.2 | |
| 11 | Portimonense | 6 | 0 | 6 | 0% | 75.7 | 87.8 | -12.2 |
| 12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 0% | 77.7 | 97.8 | -20.2 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braga | 18 | 20 | 25 | 21 | 84 |
| 21 | 20 | 24 | 26 | 91 |
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