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Maia vs Sampaense Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 83-75
23-15 14-16 28-15 18-29
Position#8
Record3-3
FormLWLWW
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game82.2
Maia 🏆
Portugal
vs
Position#11
Record2-4
FormLWLWL
Points / game72.2
Allowed / game81.8
PortugalProligaRound 7· Pavilhão Mun. Nortecoope
Other2024-25
Meetings · Maia v Sampaense
24 Apr 2027
MAIA v SAMP
upcoming
13 Dec 2025
MAIA79
SAMP68
01 Feb 2025
MAIA73
SAMP79
16 Nov 2024
MAIA83
SAMP75
04 Feb 2024
MAIA91
SAMP68
18 Dec 2022
MAIA74
SAMP69
16 Dec 2021
MAIA85
SAMP62
21 Apr 2017
MAIA81
SAMP91
12 Nov 2016
MAIA79
SAMP68
24 Jan 2015
MAIA82
SAMP84
06 Apr 2014
MAIA72
SAMP81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Maia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sampaense winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MaiaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMaia
Date
Competition
Santo Andre
#10
W
84-79
84
79
+5
80avg 65
H29/03
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#4
L
44-88
44
88
-44
29avg 65
A13/04
Proliga
CA Queluz
#1
L
79-85
79
85
-6
69avg 65
H20/04
Proliga
CA Queluz
#1
L
84-101
84
101
-17
72avg 65
A27/04
Proliga
Illiabum
#5
L
65-78
65
78
-13
54avg 65
H05/10
Proliga
Braga
#1
L
75-94
75
94
-19
58avg 65
A12/10
Proliga
Ginasio
#14
W
86-79
86
79
+7
83avg 65
H19/10
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#2
L
77-82
77
82
-5
61avg 65
A26/10
Proliga
Sangalhos
#10
W
86-83
86
83
+3
76avg 65
H01/11
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
W
82-77
82
77
+5
75avg 65
A09/11
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-24
17-16
28-19
22-20
11-21
10-17
14-23
9-27
24-31
18-18
17-15
20-21
20-30
20-25
19-23
25-23
16-19
13-24
17-19
19-16
21-28
13-20
24-19
17-27
22-18
28-27
18-17
18-17
21-20
14-21
23-13
19-28
19-21
23-23
21-17
23-22
11-20
23-18
22-18
26-21
160.8Avg total
76.2Scored
84.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)78.582.2160.7-3.750%
Season at home (3)79.080.0159.0-1.067%
Season away (3)78.084.3162.3-6.333%
Last 10 (10)76.284.6160.8-8.440%
Last 5 (5)81.283.0164.2-1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)71.984.5156.4-12.523%
vs Similar ◀ (12)79.577.2156.8+2.275%
vs Weaker (4)84.272.8157.0+11.5100%
This opponent (Sampaense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SampaensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSampaense
Date
Competition
Barreirense
#7
W
64-56
64
56
+8
60avg 63
A17/03
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#13
L
69-71
69
71
-2
60avg 63
H23/03
Proliga
Imortal B
#12
L
83-92 OT
83
92
-9
74avg 63
H30/03
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#15
W
77-68
77
68
+9
73avg 63
H14/04
Proliga
Braga
#1
L
65-81
65
81
-16
60avg 63
H05/10
Proliga
Ginasio
#14
L
72-78
72
78
-6
66avg 63
A12/10
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#2
W
80-78
80
78
+2
72avg 63
H19/10
Proliga
Sangalhos
#10
L
85-91
85
91
-6
68avg 63
A26/10
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
W
75-69
75
69
+6
68avg 63
H01/11
Proliga
Illiabum
#5
L
56-94
56
94
-38
44avg 63
H09/11
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-11
9-25
19-8
21-12
21-17
16-10
13-20
19-24
27-25
21-16
17-15
13-22
26-21
12-21
18-12
21-14
20-16
14-17
15-24
16-24
18-15
14-18
30-26
10-19
23-12
19-19
18-27
20-20
16-31
16-22
24-19
29-19
28-18
14-19
13-15
20-17
9-12
18-25
21-38
8-19
150.4Avg total
72.6Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)72.281.8154.0-9.733%
Season at home (4)69.080.5149.5-11.550%
Season away (2)78.584.5163.0-6.00%
Last 10 (10)72.677.8150.4-5.240%
Last 5 (5)73.682.0155.6-8.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)71.184.0155.2-12.910%
vs Similar ◀ (8)84.078.4162.4+5.662%
vs Weaker (1)75.069.0144.0+6.0100%
This opponent (Maia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -5.0-5.0Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: -3.9-3.9Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: -1.3-1.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -5.0-5.0Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: -3.9-3.9Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: -1.3-1.3
MaiaSampaense
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MaiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Santo Andre
#10
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H29/03
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#4
L
21-38
21
38
-17
A13/04
Proliga
CA Queluz
#1
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H20/04
Proliga
CA Queluz
#1
L
40-55
40
55
-15
A27/04
Proliga
Illiabum
#5
L
29-43
29
43
-14
H05/10
Proliga
Braga
#1
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A12/10
Proliga
Ginasio
#14
W
50-45
50
45
+5
H19/10
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#2
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A26/10
Proliga
Sangalhos
#10
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H01/11
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A09/11
Proliga
80.2Avg total
36.1Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.540.878.3-3.427%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.240.478.6-2.136%-
Last 30 away (16)36.841.278.1-4.419%-
Last 10 (10)36.144.180.2-8.010%-
Last 5 (5)39.043.282.2-4.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)36.541.878.2-5.323%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)38.441.279.6-2.825%-
vs Weaker (4)38.838.076.8+0.850%-
This opponent (Sampaense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SampaenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barreirense
#7
L
24-36
24
36
-12
A17/03
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#13
W
37-27
37
27
+10
H23/03
Proliga
Imortal B
#12
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H30/03
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#15
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H14/04
Proliga
Braga
#1
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H05/10
Proliga
Ginasio
#14
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A12/10
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#2
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H19/10
Proliga
Sangalhos
#10
L
32-53
32
53
-21
A26/10
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H01/11
Proliga
Illiabum
#5
L
27-37
27
37
-10
H09/11
Proliga
72.6Avg total
35.6Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.440.878.3-3.433%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.339.878.1-1.544%-
Last 30 away (14)36.442.078.4-5.621%-
Last 10 (10)35.637.072.6-1.450%-
Last 5 (5)35.038.273.2-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)36.639.876.4-3.238%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)39.144.083.1-4.912%-
vs Weaker (1)42.037.079.0+5.0100%-
This opponent (Maia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Maiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Maia: 75.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.9 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.6 points a game
51%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.120.8
50.6%
49.9%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.46.3
24.8%
30.1%18.9
🏀 Free throws19.814.7
74.2%
68.4%14.7
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sampaensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sampaense: 72.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.6 points a game
51%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.218.4
53.8%
49.9%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.47.4
33.0%
30.1%22.2
🏀 Free throws18.913.0
68.8%
68.4%13.0
They take 56.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Maia
WWLWLLLLLW
Sampaense
LWLWLLWLLW
#8
League position
#11
-11.5
Net rating
-6.7
98.6
Offensive rating
102.2
110.1
Defensive rating
108.9
45.5%
Effective FG%
52.1%
51.7%
Opp. effective FG%
54.1%
19.0%
Turnover %
16.6%
33.1%
Off. rebound %
20.9%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.33
24.8%
3-point %
33.0%
51.3%
Assist %
54.3%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence98.6 · 102.2Defence110.1 · 108.9Shooting45.5% · 52.1%3-point %24.8% · 33.0%Ball care19.0% · 16.6%Off. rebounds33.1% · 20.9%Free throws0.30 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Maia   ■ Sampaense
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Maia wins
5
Sampaense wins
DateGameScore
04/02/24Maia v Sampaense91-68
02/12/23Sampaense v Maia77-89
18/12/22Maia v Sampaense74-69
22/10/22Sampaense v Maia91-81
16/12/21Maia v Sampaense85-62
09/10/21Sampaense v Maia93-77
21/04/17Maia v Sampaense81-91
12/03/17Sampaense v Maia95-88
29/01/17Sampaense v Maia89-74
12/11/16Maia v Sampaense79-68
Maialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/24AGalitos Aveiro82-77
01/11/24HSangalhos86-83
26/10/24AVasco Da Gama77-82
19/10/24HGinasio86-79
12/10/24ABraga75-94
05/10/24HIlliabum65-78
27/04/24ACA Queluz84-101
20/04/24HCA Queluz79-85
13/04/24ACAB Madeira44-88
29/03/24HSanto Andre84-79
Sampaenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/24HIlliabum56-94
01/11/24HGalitos Aveiro75-69
26/10/24ASangalhos85-91
19/10/24HVasco Da Gama80-78
12/10/24AGinasio72-78
05/10/24HBraga65-81
14/04/24HGinasio Olhanense77-68
30/03/24HImortal B83-92 OT
23/03/24HBenfica Lisboa B69-71
17/03/24ABarreirense64-56

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Maia
Proliga 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW50%
HomeLWW67%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game78.579.078.0
Allowed / game82.280.084.3
Point differential-3.7-1.0-6.3
Avg total160.7159.0162.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sampaense
Proliga 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL33%
HomeLWWL50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game72.269.078.5
Allowed / game81.880.584.5
Point differential-9.7-11.5-6.0
Avg total154.0149.5163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Illiabum65183%77.562.7+14.8
2 Braga65183%81.269.7+11.5
3 Imortal B54180%72.868.4+4.4
4 CAB Madeira64267%71.560.5+11.0
5 Vasco Da Gama64267%82.878.2+4.7
6 Santo Andre64267%64.261.0+3.2
7 Portimonense63350%73.272.8+0.3
8 Barreirense63350%64.066.7-2.7
9 Maia63350%78.582.2-3.7
10 Ginasio73443%78.082.6-4.6
11 Benfica Lisboa B62433%65.067.0-2.0
12 Lusitania62433%62.269.8-7.7
13 Sampaense62433%72.281.8-9.7
14 Sangalhos72529%71.177.6-6.4
15 CB Queluz51420%66.073.0-7.0
16 Galitos Aveiro61517%66.571.3-4.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Maia2314281883
Sampaense1516152975
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