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Brasilia vs Minas Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 10 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 23:15
Final 80-78
20-19 21-20 14-22 25-17
Position#5
Record4-2
FormWWLWL
Points / game84.7
Allowed / game68.8
vs
Position#3
Record7-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game86.3
Allowed / game76.1
BrazilNBB· Arena BRB Nilson Nelson
Other2025-26
Meetings · Brasilia v Minas
10 Nov 2025
BRAS80
MINA78
01 Apr 2025
BRAS63
MINA77
17 Jan 2024
BRAS68
MINA111
19 Nov 2022
BRAS74
MINA94
09 Dec 2021
BRAS77
MINA82
28 Jan 2021
BRAS75
MINA99
04 Apr 2020
BRAS v MINA
upcoming
10 Dec 2018
BRAS88
MINA77
07 Jan 2017
BRAS92
MINA79
09 Jan 2016
BRAS72
MINA59
30 Nov 2014
BRAS75
MINA77
07 Jan 2014
BRAS82
MINA54
07 Apr 2013
BRAS81
MINA86
06 Apr 2012
BRAS87
MINA57
14 Jan 2011
BRAS82
MINA76
31 May 2009
BRAS89
MINA79
30 May 2009
BRAS103
MINA76
29 Apr 2009
BRAS82
MINA77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brasilia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BrasiliaBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrasilia
Date
Competition
Sao Paulo
#13
L
62-66
62
66
-4
51avg 71
A24/04
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
L
54-69
54
69
-15
33avg 71
H28/04
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
W
86-81
86
81
+5
75avg 71
H30/04
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
L
77-78 OT
77
78
-1
64avg 71
A03/05
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
77-74
77
74
+3
73avg 71
H22/10
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
109-57
109
57
+52
110avg 71
H25/10
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
71-54
71
54
+17
66avg 71
H30/10
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
67-69
67
69
-2
56avg 71
H01/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
96-64
96
64
+32
104avg 71
A05/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
88-95 OT
88
95
-7
79avg 71
A07/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-17
16-16
16-16
15-17
13-24
9-17
12-9
20-19
19-22
20-21
20-16
27-22
19-14
18-12
11-16
14-20
19-24
26-14
16-18
16-18
31-21
22-14
27-12
29-10
20-13
20-18
14-14
17-9
18-26
14-9
16-18
19-16
26-16
24-23
24-19
22-6
25-22
16-13
16-19
22-25
149.4Avg total
78.7Scored
70.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)84.768.8153.5+15.867%
Season at home (4)81.063.5144.5+17.575%
Season away (2)92.079.5171.5+12.550%
Last 10 (10)78.770.7149.4+8.050%
Last 5 (5)86.267.8154.0+18.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)77.783.7161.3-6.033%
vs Similar ◀ (18)73.775.6149.3-1.933%
vs Weaker (8)87.873.6161.4+14.175%
This opponent (Minas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinasBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMinas
Date
Competition
Franca
#2
L
78-94
78
94
-16
67avg 75
H12/06
NBB
Franca
#2
L
73-83
73
83
-10
54avg 75
H14/06
NBB
Franca
#2
L
73-86
73
86
-13
52avg 75
A18/06
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
W
83-81
83
81
+2
80avg 75
H18/10
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
W
88-86 OT
88
86
+2
86avg 75
H20/10
NBB
Mogi
#8
W
79-71
79
71
+8
75avg 75
H23/10
NBB
Pato
#17
W
76-75
76
75
+1
72avg 75
A27/10
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
84-76
84
76
+8
82avg 75
A01/11
NBB
Franca
#1
W
86-70
86
70
+16
81avg 75
H04/11
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
108-74
108
74
+34
112avg 75
A08/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-30
19-17
13-29
29-18
17-24
16-14
16-20
24-25
21-23
21-22
27-20
4-21
23-20
21-22
12-20
27-19
20-21
16-16
17-13
22-25
12-17
24-15
22-18
21-21
27-17
8-22
20-14
21-22
23-14
15-23
30-17
16-22
21-17
18-20
22-18
25-15
27-19
26-20
30-18
25-17
162.4Avg total
82.8Scored
79.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)86.376.1162.4+10.1100%
Season at home (4)84.077.0161.0+7.0100%
Season away (3)89.375.0164.3+14.3100%
Last 10 (10)82.879.6162.4+3.270%
Last 5 (5)86.673.2159.8+13.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)86.070.0156.0+16.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (7)78.478.6157.0-0.157%
vs Weaker (22)82.070.6152.5+11.491%
This opponent (Brasilia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: +3.9+3.9Q4: +0.9+0.9
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: +3.9+3.9Q4: +0.9+0.9
BrasiliaMinas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BrasiliaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sao Paulo
#13
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A24/04
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
L
22-41
22
41
-19
H28/04
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H30/04
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
W
37-26
37
26
+11
A03/05
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H22/10
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
53-35
53
35
+18
H25/10
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H30/10
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H01/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
50-39
50
39
+11
A05/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A07/11
NBB
74.6Avg total
39.0Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.738.778.4+0.950%-
Last 30 at home (18)40.139.179.2+1.050%-
Last 30 away (12)39.038.277.2+0.850%-
Last 10 (10)39.035.674.6+3.460%-
Last 5 (5)43.235.078.2+8.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)37.044.381.3-7.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)37.639.076.6-1.433%-
vs Weaker (8)44.836.080.8+8.888%-
This opponent (Minas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Franca
#2
L
36-47
36
47
-11
H12/06
NBB
Franca
#2
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H14/06
NBB
Franca
#2
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A18/06
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H18/10
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H20/10
NBB
Mogi
#8
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H23/10
NBB
Pato
#17
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A27/10
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A01/11
NBB
Franca
#1
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H04/11
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
53-39
53
39
+14
A08/11
NBB
78.5Avg total
39.2Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.936.376.2+3.667%-
Last 30 at home (18)40.736.176.7+4.678%-
Last 30 away (12)38.836.875.5+2.050%-
Last 10 (10)39.239.378.5-0.150%-
Last 5 (5)40.236.877.0+3.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)39.037.076.0+2.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)39.440.479.9-1.043%-
vs Weaker (22)40.135.075.1+5.173%-
This opponent (Brasilia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Brasiliatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brasilia: 78.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.6 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.715.3
51.5%
52.2%30.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.310.7
29.5%
32.5%32.1
🏀 Free throws19.915.5
77.9%
72.8%15.5
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 55% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minas: 82.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.818.2
49.5%
52.2%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.89.6
34.5%
32.5%28.8
🏀 Free throws23.616.9
71.6%
72.8%16.9
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brasilia
LWLWWWLWLL
Minas
WWWWWWWLLL
#5
League position
#3
+11.3
Net rating
+4.5
103.6
Offensive rating
109.2
92.3
Defensive rating
104.7
47.5%
Effective FG%
50.5%
45.8%
Opp. effective FG%
47.1%
17.3%
Turnover %
16.1%
29.2%
Off. rebound %
30.2%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.37
29.5%
3-point %
34.5%
68.5%
Assist %
60.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence103.6 · 109.2Defence92.3 · 104.7Shooting47.5% · 50.5%3-point %29.5% · 34.5%Ball care17.3% · 16.1%Off. rebounds29.2% · 30.2%Free throws0.30 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Brasilia   ■ Minas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Brasilia wins
10
Minas wins
DateGameScore
01/04/25Brasilia v Minas63-77
28/01/25Minas v Brasilia61-58
12/10/24Minas v Brasilia74-66
17/01/24Brasilia v Minas68-111
20/12/23Minas v Brasilia91-71
17/02/23Minas v Brasilia110-79
19/11/22Brasilia v Minas74-94
11/03/22Minas v Brasilia95-82
09/12/21Brasilia v Minas77-82
28/01/21Brasilia v Minas75-99
Brasilialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/25AUniao Corinthians88-95 OT
05/11/25ACaxias do Sul96-64
01/11/25HPinheiros67-69
30/10/25HPaulistano71-54
25/10/25HRio Claro109-57
22/10/25HOsasco77-74
03/05/25ASao Paulo77-78 OT
30/04/25HSao Paulo86-81
28/04/25HSao Paulo54-69
24/04/25ASao Paulo62-66
Minaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/25ARio Claro108-74
04/11/25HFranca86-70
01/11/25ACruzeiro84-76
27/10/25APato76-75
23/10/25HMogi79-71
20/10/25HSao Jose88-86 OT
18/10/25HCorinthians Paulista83-81
18/06/25AFranca73-86
14/06/25HFranca73-83
12/06/25HFranca78-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brasilia
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL67%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %67%75%50%
Points / game84.781.092.0
Allowed / game68.863.579.5
Point differential+15.8+17.5+12.5
Avg total153.5144.5171.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %17%0%50%
Minas
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game86.384.089.3
Allowed / game76.177.075.0
Point differential+10.1+7.0+14.3
Avg total162.4161.0164.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%25%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %14%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo880100%91.671.9+19.8
2 Minas770100%86.376.1+10.1
3 Franca86275%85.472.2+13.1
4 Mogi75271%80.167.6+12.6
5 Corinthians Paulista75271%87.678.1+9.4
6 Pinheiros75271%79.773.6+6.1
7 Brasilia64267%84.768.8+15.8
8 Uniao Corinthians53260%76.878.6-1.8
9 Paulistano74357%75.974.0+1.9
10 Sao Jose63350%75.373.2+2.2
11 Unifacisa63350%77.080.3-3.3
12 Caxias do Sul63350%70.778.0-7.3
13 Bauru73443%71.073.1-2.1
14 Cearense62433%79.087.2-8.2
15 Cruzeiro72529%73.683.9-10.3
16 Botafogo82625%70.583.1-12.6
17 Pato71614%71.979.6-7.7
18 Rio Claro71614%78.493.7-15.3
19 Osasco71614%75.791.4-15.7
20 Vasco7070%68.178.3-10.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brasilia2021142580
Minas1920221778
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