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Brasilia vs Minas Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 01 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 63-77
25-20 13-29 9-11 16-17
Position#6
Record19-10
FormWWWLW
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game80.0
Brasilia
Brazil
vs
Minas 🏆
Brazil
Position#1
Record24-4
FormWLWWW
Points / game83.1
Allowed / game71.8
BrazilNBB· Arena BRB Nilson Nelson
Other2024-25
Meetings · Brasilia v Minas
10 Nov 2025
BRAS80
MINA78
01 Apr 2025
BRAS63
MINA77
17 Jan 2024
BRAS68
MINA111
19 Nov 2022
BRAS74
MINA94
09 Dec 2021
BRAS77
MINA82
28 Jan 2021
BRAS75
MINA99
04 Apr 2020
BRAS v MINA
upcoming
10 Dec 2018
BRAS88
MINA77
07 Jan 2017
BRAS92
MINA79
09 Jan 2016
BRAS72
MINA59
30 Nov 2014
BRAS75
MINA77
07 Jan 2014
BRAS82
MINA54
07 Apr 2013
BRAS81
MINA86
06 Apr 2012
BRAS87
MINA57
14 Jan 2011
BRAS82
MINA76
31 May 2009
BRAS89
MINA79
30 May 2009
BRAS103
MINA76
29 Apr 2009
BRAS82
MINA77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brasilia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BrasiliaBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrasilia
Date
Competition
Corinthians Paulista
#8
W
74-70
74
70
+4
64avg 73
H22/01
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#5
W
85-75
85
75
+10
83avg 73
H25/01
Super 8
Minas
#2
L
58-61
58
61
-3
47avg 73
A28/01
Super 8
Unifacisa
#11
L
67-80
67
80
-13
61avg 73
A05/02
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
84-62
84
62
+22
73avg 73
A07/02
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
83-77
83
77
+6
81avg 73
H12/02
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
W
95-71
95
71
+24
98avg 73
H14/02
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
W
72-70
72
70
+2
67avg 73
H26/02
NBB
Pato
#14
L
80-98
80
98
-18
44avg 73
A14/03
NBB
Botafogo
#18
W
94-71
94
71
+23
88avg 73
H17/03
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-15
18-14
21-13
26-28
24-18
21-21
20-16
20-20
10-17
18-18
15-7
15-19
20-20
20-11
11-26
16-23
26-21
14-9
29-15
15-17
21-20
20-14
12-21
30-22
25-16
24-22
27-20
19-13
19-21
21-22
18-14
14-13
15-25
24-22
19-28
22-23
24-14
22-18
24-22
24-17
152.7Avg total
79.2Scored
73.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)82.580.0162.4+2.566%
Season at home (14)83.678.1161.7+5.686%
Season away (15)81.481.7163.1-0.347%
Last 10 (10)79.273.5152.7+5.770%
Last 5 (5)84.877.4162.2+7.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)83.085.0168.0-2.033%
vs Similar (18)82.281.2163.4+0.961%
vs Weaker (8)82.073.6155.6+8.488%
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinasBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMinas
Date
Competition
Corinthians Paulista
#8
L
63-72
63
72
-9
47avg 77
H13/02
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
W
70-59
70
59
+11
71avg 77
H15/02
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
92-86
92
86
+6
84avg 77
A28/02
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
79-77
79
77
+2
69avg 77
A03/03
NBB
Instituto de Cordoba
#6
L
60-67
60
67
-7
47avg 77
A08/03
Champions League Americas
Instituto de Cordoba
#6
W
79-70
79
70
+9
70avg 77
H12/03
Champions League Americas
Instituto de Cordoba
#6
L
74-79
74
79
-5
66avg 77
H13/03
Champions League Americas
Flamengo
#3
W
94-70
94
70
+24
94avg 77
H19/03
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
88-70
88
70
+18
88avg 77
H26/03
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
W
92-81
92
81
+11
93avg 77
H29/03
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-15
19-30
15-13
16-14
19-13
13-21
18-12
20-13
16-21
23-18
27-21
26-26
22-29
16-13
25-14
16-21
17-17
16-20
19-14
8-16
28-23
11-16
20-14
20-17
21-32
19-10
10-23
24-14
27-23
20-15
22-21
25-11
28-17
22-18
18-17
20-18
24-23
22-17
27-20
19-21
152.2Avg total
79.1Scored
73.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)83.171.8155.0+11.386%
Season at home (15)84.169.6153.7+14.593%
Season away (13)82.074.4156.4+7.677%
Last 10 (10)79.173.1152.2+6.070%
Last 5 (5)85.474.0159.4+11.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)61.064.0125.0-3.00%
vs Similar (4)82.067.8149.8+14.2100%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)80.572.6153.1+8.079%
This opponent (Brasilia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +2.3+2.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +2.3+2.3
BrasiliaMinas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BrasiliaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Corinthians Paulista
#8
L
27-29
27
29
-2
H22/01
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#5
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H25/01
Super 8
Minas
#2
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A28/01
Super 8
Unifacisa
#11
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A05/02
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
40-30
40
30
+10
A07/02
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H12/02
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H14/02
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H26/02
NBB
Pato
#14
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A14/03
NBB
Botafogo
#18
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H17/03
NBB
75.3Avg total
39.5Scored
35.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.839.681.4+2.247%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.239.582.7+3.760%-
Last 30 away (15)40.439.780.1+0.733%-
Last 10 (10)39.535.875.3+3.760%-
Last 5 (5)43.038.881.8+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)38.741.380.0-2.733%-
vs Similar (18)41.140.781.8+0.339%-
vs Weaker (8)44.236.480.6+7.962%-
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Corinthians Paulista
#8
L
32-45
32
45
-13
H13/02
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H15/02
NBB
Cearense
#17
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A28/02
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A03/03
NBB
Instituto de Cordoba
#6
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A08/03
Champions League Americas
Instituto de Cordoba
#6
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H12/03
Champions League Americas
Instituto de Cordoba
#6
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H13/03
Champions League Americas
Flamengo
#3
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H19/03
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
50-35
50
35
+15
H26/03
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H29/03
NBB
78.7Avg total
39.6Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.036.876.7+3.257%-
Last 30 at home (18)41.037.278.2+3.861%-
Last 30 away (12)38.436.174.5+2.350%-
Last 10 (10)39.639.178.7+0.530%-
Last 5 (5)44.438.883.2+5.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)30.025.055.0+5.0100%-
vs Similar (4)42.233.275.5+9.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)40.237.878.0+2.450%-
This opponent (Brasilia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Brasiliatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brasilia: 78.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.2 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.716.1
50.8%
50.9%32.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.610.3
33.7%
33.0%30.9
🏀 Free throws19.515.3
78.5%
72.7%15.3
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minas: 78.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.418.1
49.7%
50.9%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.010.0
33.3%
33.0%30.0
🏀 Free throws17.712.3
69.5%
72.7%12.3
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brasilia
WLWWWWLLWW
Minas
WWWLWLWWWL
#6
League position
#1
+7.7
Net rating
+9.4
106.4
Offensive rating
108.4
98.6
Defensive rating
99.0
50.6%
Effective FG%
49.8%
45.6%
Opp. effective FG%
48.4%
14.9%
Turnover %
16.9%
21.6%
Off. rebound %
35.3%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.27
33.7%
3-point %
33.3%
65.5%
Assist %
63.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence106.4 · 108.4Defence98.6 · 99.0Shooting50.6% · 49.8%3-point %33.7% · 33.3%Ball care14.9% · 16.9%Off. rebounds21.6% · 35.3%Free throws0.31 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Brasilia   ■ Minas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Brasilia wins
10
Minas wins
DateGameScore
28/01/25Minas v Brasilia61-58
12/10/24Minas v Brasilia74-66
17/01/24Brasilia v Minas68-111
20/12/23Minas v Brasilia91-71
17/02/23Minas v Brasilia110-79
19/11/22Brasilia v Minas74-94
11/03/22Minas v Brasilia95-82
09/12/21Brasilia v Minas77-82
28/01/21Brasilia v Minas75-99
02/12/20Minas v Brasilia105-100 OT
Brasilialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/03/25HBotafogo94-71
14/03/25APato80-98
26/02/25HPinheiros72-70
14/02/25HUniao Corinthians95-71
12/02/25HCaxias do Sul83-77
07/02/25ACearense84-62
05/02/25AUnifacisa67-80
28/01/25AMinas58-61
25/01/25HUniao Corinthians85-75
22/01/25HCorinthians Paulista74-70
Minaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/03/25HUniao Corinthians92-81
26/03/25HCaxias do Sul88-70
19/03/25HFlamengo94-70
13/03/25HInstituto de Cordoba74-79
12/03/25HInstituto de Cordoba79-70
08/03/25AInstituto de Cordoba60-67
03/03/25AUnifacisa79-77
28/02/25ACearense92-86
15/02/25HPinheiros70-59
13/02/25HCorinthians Paulista63-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brasilia
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW66%
HomeWWWWW86%
AwayLLLWL47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %66%86%47%
Points / game82.583.681.4
Allowed / game80.078.181.7
Point differential+2.5+5.6-0.3
Avg total162.4161.7163.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%21%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (12)88% (8)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Minas
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW86%
HomeLWWWW93%
AwayLLWWW77%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281513
Win %86%93%77%
Points / game83.184.182.0
Allowed / game71.869.674.4
Point differential+11.3+14.5+7.6
Avg total155.0153.7156.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+64%73%54%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas2824486%83.171.8+11.3
2 Flamengo2922776%84.075.1+8.9
3 Franca2920969%84.876.9+7.9
4 Brasilia29191066%82.580.0+2.5
5 Uniao Corinthians28161257%79.379.3+0.0
6 Bauru30171357%78.278.6-0.4
7 Vasco29161355%77.276.0+1.2
8 Pinheiros30161453%76.675.5+1.1
9 Unifacisa30151550%75.575.2+0.3
10 Sao Jose30151550%78.378.4-0.0
11 Corinthians Paulista30141647%80.479.2+1.2
12 Paulistano29131645%78.877.1+1.7
13 Pato30121840%82.283.9-1.6
14 Sao Paulo30111937%75.579.1-3.6
15 Caxias do Sul30102033%73.780.7-7.1
16 Mogi3092130%73.881.4-7.7
17 Botafogo2982128%73.481.3-7.9
18 Cearense3082227%71.978.5-6.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brasilia251391663
Minas2029111777
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