PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Brave Thunders vs Alvark Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 09:05
Final 82-94
19-17 24-26 21-30 18-21
Position#22
Record2-3
FormLLLWW
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game87.4
vs
Alvark 🏆
Japan
Position#4
Record4-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game96.4
Allowed / game86.8
JapanB League· Kawasaki Todoroki Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Brave Thunders v Alvark
10 Oct 2026
BRAV82
ALVA94
14 Dec 2025
BRAV67
ALVA93
13 Dec 2025
BRAV82
ALVA92
01 Dec 2024
BRAV62
ALVA80
30 Nov 2024
BRAV66
ALVA88
01 May 2022
BRAV85
ALVA53
30 Apr 2022
BRAV76
ALVA68
28 Apr 2021
BRAV92
ALVA72
01 Feb 2020
BRAV68
ALVA72
31 Jan 2020
BRAV86
ALVA76
11 Nov 2018
BRAV70
ALVA87
10 Nov 2018
BRAV79
ALVA66
31 Mar 2018
BRAV89
ALVA73
30 Mar 2018
BRAV71
ALVA80
20 Dec 2017
BRAV77
ALVA67
20 May 2017
BRAV77
ALVA78
19 May 2017
BRAV84
ALVA76
24 Dec 2016
BRAV92
ALVA106
23 Dec 2016
BRAV93
ALVA81
02 May 2015
BRAV75
ALVA85
25 Jan 2015
BRAV84
ALVA80
24 Jan 2015
BRAV84
ALVA72
11 May 2014
BRAV86
ALVA71
10 May 2014
BRAV78
ALVA61
26 Apr 2014
BRAV59
ALVA95
25 Apr 2014
BRAV80
ALVA74
06 Oct 2013
BRAV96
ALVA84
05 Oct 2013
BRAV87
ALVA90
11 Dec 2011
BRAV65
ALVA85
10 Dec 2011
BRAV71
ALVA75
27 Feb 2011
BRAV49
ALVA77
26 Feb 2011
BRAV58
ALVA70
02 Oct 2010
BRAV58
ALVA83
01 Oct 2010
BRAV69
ALVA65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brave Thunders winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alvark winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Brave ThundersJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunders
Date
Competition
Ryukyu
#3
L
71-80
71
80
-9
64avg 70
H22/04
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#19
L
84-90
84
90
-6
80avg 70
A25/04
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#19
L
79-89
79
89
-10
74avg 70
A26/04
B League
Yokohama
#15
W
74-71
74
71
+3
73avg 70
A02/05
B League
Yokohama
#15
W
88-84
88
84
+4
88avg 70
A03/05
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#2
L
63-93
63
93
-30
59avg 70
H26/09
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#2
L
78-90
78
90
-12
74avg 70
H27/09
B League
Altiri Chiba
#21
L
90-99
90
99
-9
85avg 70
A03/10
B League
Altiri Chiba
#21
W
82-74
82
74
+8
79avg 70
A04/10
B League
Akita
#24
W
87-81
87
81
+6
80avg 70
A08/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-20
17-16
16-22
24-22
25-27
22-22
21-16
16-25
19-19
19-27
14-28
27-15
24-18
12-21
18-11
20-21
22-21
23-19
24-24
19-20
14-16
17-30
14-25
18-22
19-19
23-27
16-24
20-20
22-23
30-20
21-26
17-30
18-15
23-14
27-25
14-20
26-16
14-27
27-22
20-16
164.7Avg total
79.6Scored
85.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)80.087.4167.4-7.440%
Season at home (2)70.591.5162.0-21.00%
Season away (3)86.384.7171.0+1.767%
Last 10 (10)79.685.1164.7-5.540%
Last 5 (5)80.087.4167.4-7.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)73.886.9160.7-13.115%
vs Similar (10)81.880.6162.4+1.260%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Alvark) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlvarkJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlvark
Date
Competition
Shiga
#18
W
87-77
87
77
+10
89avg 80
H26/04
B League
Hokkaido
#9
W
111-104
111
104
+7
112avg 80
A02/05
B League
Hokkaido
#9
L
96-97
96
97
-1
99avg 80
A03/05
B League
Nagasaki
#1
L
78-93
78
93
-15
70avg 80
A07/05
B League
Nagasaki
#1
L
56-96
56
96
-40
40avg 80
A08/05
B League
Ryukyu
#13
W
84-73
84
73
+11
no box
H22/09
B League
Ryukyu
#13
L
74-85
74
85
-11
62avg 80
H23/09
B League
Chiba
#15
W
138-131 OT
138
131
+7
132avg 80
A02/10
B League
Chiba
#15
W
96-71
96
71
+25
86avg 80
A04/10
B League
Saga
#25
W
90-74
90
74
+16
92avg 80
H08/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-17
21-22
19-17
19-21
23-30
32-29
20-19
36-26
17-23
26-34
28-18
25-22
20-22
22-14
15-30
21-27
15-23
12-22
17-25
12-26
23-30
27-21
22-12
12-10
25-23
16-28
17-16
16-18
26-26
21-29
24-18
26-24
22-18
25-21
27-14
22-18
29-15
15-19
22-22
24-18
181.1Avg total
91.0Scored
90.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)96.486.8183.2+9.680%
Season at home (3)82.777.3160.0+5.367%
Season away (2)117.0101.0218.0+16.0100%
Last 10 (10)91.090.1181.1+0.960%
Last 5 (5)96.486.8183.2+9.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)73.487.0160.4-13.629%
vs Similar (7)89.190.6179.7-1.429%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)86.976.1162.9+10.888%
This opponent (Brave Thunders) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: +0.3+0.3
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: +0.3+0.3
Brave ThundersAlvark
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Brave ThundersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ryukyu
#3
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H22/04
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#19
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A25/04
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#19
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A26/04
B League
Yokohama
#15
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A02/05
B League
Yokohama
#15
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A03/05
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#2
L
31-46
31
46
-15
H26/09
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#2
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H27/09
B League
Altiri Chiba
#21
W
52-43
52
43
+9
A03/10
B League
Altiri Chiba
#21
W
41-29
41
29
+12
A04/10
B League
Akita
#24
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A08/10
B League
82.0Avg total
40.3Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.541.679.2-4.123%-
Last 30 at home (12)32.839.271.9-6.417%-
Last 30 away (18)40.743.384.0-2.628%-
Last 10 (10)40.341.782.0-1.430%-
Last 5 (5)41.241.482.6-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)36.243.679.8-7.410%-
vs Similar (10)40.137.777.8+2.450%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Alvark) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlvarkLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shiga
#18
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H26/04
B League
Hokkaido
#9
L
55-59
55
59
-4
A02/05
B League
Hokkaido
#9
L
43-57
43
57
-14
A03/05
B League
Nagasaki
#1
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A07/05
B League
Nagasaki
#1
L
27-45
27
45
-18
A08/05
B League
Ryukyu
#13
L
50-51
50
51
-1
H22/09
B League
Ryukyu
#13
L
41-51
41
51
-10
H23/09
B League
Chiba
#15
L
47-55
47
55
-8
A02/10
B League
Chiba
#15
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A04/10
B League
Saga
#25
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H08/10
B League
91.1Avg total
44.5Scored
46.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.241.684.8+1.653%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.439.283.6+5.260%-
Last 30 away (15)41.944.085.9-2.147%-
Last 10 (10)44.546.691.1-2.140%-
Last 5 (5)45.846.091.8-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)40.444.685.0-4.157%-
vs Similar (7)45.645.791.3-0.143%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)43.338.581.8+4.856%-
This opponent (Brave Thunders) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Brave Thunderstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brave Thunders: 79.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.020.9
53.6%
53.6%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.08.4
32.3%
32.9%25.2
🏀 Free throws16.812.7
75.6%
73.8%12.7
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alvarktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alvark: 92.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.224.2
58.7%
53.6%48.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.29.8
33.6%
32.9%29.4
🏀 Free throws20.414.7
72.1%
73.8%14.7
They take 70.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brave Thunders
WWLLLWWLLL
Alvark
WWWLWLLLWW
#22
League position
#4
-6.1
Net rating
+2.7
92.8
Offensive rating
101.3
98.8
Defensive rating
98.6
51.5%
Effective FG%
55.3%
52.6%
Opp. effective FG%
51.8%
16.0%
Turnover %
12.5%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.29
32.3%
3-point %
33.6%
72.4%
Assist %
71.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence92.8 · 101.3Defence98.8 · 98.6Shooting51.5% · 55.3%3-point %32.3% · 33.6%Ball care16.0% · 12.5%Free throws0.26 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Brave Thunders   ■ Alvark
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Brave Thunders wins
10
Alvark wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/10/26AAkita87-81
04/10/26AAltiri Chiba82-74
03/10/26AAltiri Chiba90-99
27/09/26HDiamond Dolphins78-90
26/09/26HDiamond Dolphins63-93
03/05/26AYokohama88-84
02/05/26AYokohama74-71
26/04/26AKoshigaya Alphas79-89
25/04/26AKoshigaya Alphas84-90
22/04/26HRyukyu71-80
Alvarklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/10/26HSaga90-74
04/10/26AChiba96-71
02/10/26AChiba138-131 OT
23/09/26HRyukyu74-85
22/09/26HRyukyu84-73
08/05/26ANagasaki56-96
07/05/26ANagasaki78-93
03/05/26AHokkaido96-97
02/05/26AHokkaido111-104
26/04/26HShiga87-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brave Thunders
B League 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW40%
HomeLL0%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %40%0%67%
Points / game80.070.586.3
Allowed / game87.491.584.7
Point differential-7.4-21.0+1.7
Avg total167.4162.0171.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Alvark
B League 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW80%
HomeWLW67%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %80%67%100%
Points / game96.482.7117.0
Allowed / game86.877.3101.0
Point differential+9.6+5.3+16.0
Avg total183.2160.0218.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%67%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %20%0%50%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Diamond Dolphins440100%89.573.5+16.0
2 Hiroshima D.660100%94.880.7+14.2
3 NeoPhoenix550100%88.877.6+11.2
4 Gunma65183%76.769.3+7.3
5 Kyoto65183%83.577.7+5.8
6 Alvark54180%96.486.8+9.6
7 Tokyo Sunrockers64267%90.882.7+8.2
8 SeaHorses Mikawa53260%88.480.4+8.0
9 Utsunomiya Brex53260%83.077.0+6.0
10 Shimane53260%84.480.0+4.4
11 Sendai63350%89.083.7+5.3
12 Levanga Hokkaido63350%96.295.5+0.7
13 Yokohama63350%76.776.2+0.5
14 Toyama63350%84.586.8-2.3
15 Ryukyu52340%77.883.8-6.0
16 Brave Thunders52340%80.087.4-7.4
17 Shiga62433%91.790.2+1.5
18 Shinshu62433%83.884.3-0.5
19 Altiri Chiba62433%79.585.0-5.5
20 Kobe62433%78.284.3-6.2
21 Chiba62433%95.5103.0-7.5
22 Nagasaki62433%71.279.7-8.5
23 Akita51420%70.083.4-13.4
24 Osaka61517%69.782.2-12.5
25 Saga61517%76.091.0-15.0
26 Ibaraki Robots6060%78.384.8-6.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 26 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brave Thunders1924211882
Alvark1726302194
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.