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Breogan vs Real Betis Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 114-115 (OT)
22-22 25-20 22-27 23-23 22-23
Position#10
Record10-10
FormLLWWL
Points / game76.9
Allowed / game78.0
vs
Position#17
Record4-16
FormLLLWL
Points / game75.3
Allowed / game84.2
SpainACBRound 21
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Breogan v Real Betis
04 Mar 2023
BRE114
RBE115
03 Oct 2021
BRE97
RBE65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Breogan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Betis winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BreoganSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreogan
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#1
L
74-78
74
78
-4
61avg 70
H11/12
ACB
Real Betis
#17
W
89-84
89
84
+5
80avg 70
A17/12
ACB
Baskonia
#2
L
77-86
77
86
-9
65avg 70
H27/12
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#13
W
90-88 OT
90
88
+2
no box
A04/01
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#11
W
64-59
64
59
+5
57avg 70
H07/01
ACB
Unicaja
#4
L
66-100
66
100
-34
51avg 70
A14/01
ACB
Real Madrid
#3
L
73-91
73
91
-18
63avg 70
A22/01
ACB
Granada
#16
W
99-67
99
67
+32
96avg 70
H28/01
ACB
Basquet Girona
#15
W
92-70
92
70
+22
86avg 70
H05/02
ACB
Barcelona
#1
L
54-82
54
82
-28
36avg 70
A12/02
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-23
15-20
21-18
13-17
25-22
14-15
25-23
25-24
13-25
19-16
30-23
15-22
25-20
18-23
22-19
14-17
14-9
18-14
17-17
15-19
15-27
12-26
21-21
18-26
11-24
26-22
9-28
27-17
29-12
30-12
24-18
16-25
20-20
13-19
31-20
28-11
12-20
12-15
13-23
17-24
158.3Avg total
77.8Scored
80.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)76.978.0154.9-1.150%
Season at home (10)76.774.5151.2+2.250%
Season away (10)77.181.6158.7-4.550%
Last 10 (10)77.880.5158.3-2.750%
Last 5 (5)76.882.0158.8-5.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)66.184.3150.4-18.20%
vs Similar ◀ (14)84.879.4164.1+5.479%
vs Weaker (5)86.879.6166.4+7.260%
This opponent (Real Betis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real BetisSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBetis
Date
Competition
Murcia
#9
L
72-76
72
76
-4
64avg 67
A10/12
ACB
Breogan
#10
L
84-89
84
89
-5
80avg 67
H17/12
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
81-93
81
93
-12
72avg 67
A29/12
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
W
88-82
88
82
+6
83avg 67
H03/01
ACB
Barcelona
#1
L
70-104
70
104
-34
61avg 67
A07/01
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#11
L
71-73
71
73
-2
61avg 67
H15/01
ACB
Tenerife
#5
L
64-88
64
88
-24
48avg 67
A21/01
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#13
L
82-89 OT
82
89
-7
no box
A29/01
ACB
Murcia
#9
W
84-71
84
71
+13
78avg 67
H04/02
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
67-71
67
71
-4
56avg 67
H11/02
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-20
8-24
23-15
23-17
22-25
15-14
23-25
24-25
16-26
18-26
25-20
22-21
26-24
24-23
16-15
22-20
21-29
15-25
16-22
18-28
17-20
16-16
21-19
17-18
11-18
19-23
16-28
18-19
18-24
12-18
28-15
18-19
20-14
22-15
23-21
19-21
15-19
17-12
21-22
14-18
159.9Avg total
76.3Scored
83.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)75.384.2159.6-8.920%
Season at home (10)75.278.7153.9-3.530%
Season away (10)75.589.7165.2-14.210%
Last 10 (10)76.383.6159.9-7.320%
Last 5 (5)73.678.4152.0-4.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)77.887.2165.0-9.429%
vs Similar ◀ (14)79.879.6159.4+0.250%
vs Weaker (1)77.083.0160.0-6.00%
This opponent (Breogan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: -1.1-1.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: -1.1-1.1
BreoganReal Betis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BreoganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#1
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H11/12
ACB
Real Betis
#17
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A17/12
ACB
Baskonia
#2
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H27/12
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#13
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A04/01
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#11
W
32-23
32
23
+9
H07/01
ACB
Unicaja
#4
L
27-53
27
53
-26
A14/01
ACB
Real Madrid
#3
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A22/01
ACB
Granada
#16
W
59-24
59
24
+35
H28/01
ACB
Basquet Girona
#15
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H05/02
ACB
Barcelona
#1
L
24-35
24
35
-11
A12/02
ACB
75.0Avg total
36.6Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.738.876.6-1.147%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.937.377.2+2.753%-
Last 30 away (15)35.540.475.9-4.940%-
Last 10 (10)36.638.475.0-1.830%-
Last 5 (5)36.039.475.4-3.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)33.342.675.9-9.320%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)39.937.677.6+2.357%-
vs Weaker (5)41.236.077.2+5.260%-
This opponent (Real Betis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real BetisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murcia
#9
L
26-44
26
44
-18
A10/12
ACB
Breogan
#10
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H17/12
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
34-52
34
52
-18
A29/12
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H03/01
ACB
Barcelona
#1
L
36-54
36
54
-18
A07/01
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#11
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H15/01
ACB
Tenerife
#5
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A21/01
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#13
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A29/01
ACB
Murcia
#9
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H04/02
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H11/02
ACB
76.5Avg total
35.0Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.539.776.2-3.337%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.237.574.8-0.250%-
Last 30 away (14)35.642.377.9-6.721%-
Last 10 (10)35.041.576.5-6.530%-
Last 5 (5)33.435.869.2-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)36.841.978.6-5.143%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)36.037.473.4-1.436%-
vs Weaker (1)40.040.080.0+0.00%-
This opponent (Breogan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Breogantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Breogan: 75.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.320.7
51.4%
52.1%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.87.9
33.2%
34.5%23.7
🏀 Free throws15.910.6
66.7%
73.9%10.6
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Betistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Betis: 73.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.016.8
50.9%
52.1%33.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.88.7
31.3%
34.5%26.1
🏀 Free throws18.113.3
73.5%
73.9%13.3
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Mar 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Breogan
LWWLLWWLWL
Real Betis
LWLLLLWLLL
#10
League position
#17
-2.7
Net rating
-10.8
103.2
Offensive rating
101.4
105.9
Defensive rating
112.3
50.8%
Effective FG%
49.1%
54.2%
Opp. effective FG%
53.5%
15.2%
Turnover %
18.4%
26.0%
Off. rebound %
28.4%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.30
33.2%
3-point %
31.3%
55.9%
Assist %
53.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence103.2 · 101.4Defence105.9 · 112.3Shooting50.8% · 49.1%3-point %33.2% · 31.3%Ball care15.2% · 18.4%Off. rebounds26.0% · 28.4%Free throws0.25 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ Breogan   ■ Real Betis
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Breogan wins
1
Real Betis wins
DateGameScore
17/12/22Real Betis v Breogan84-89
05/02/22Real Betis v Breogan84-81
03/10/21Breogan v Real Betis97-65
Breoganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/02/23ABarcelona54-82
05/02/23HBasquet Girona92-70
28/01/23HGranada99-67
22/01/23AReal Madrid73-91
14/01/23AUnicaja66-100
07/01/23HObradoiro CAB64-59
04/01/23ABasket Zaragoza90-88 OT
27/12/22HBaskonia77-86
17/12/22AReal Betis89-84
11/12/22HBarcelona74-78
Real Betislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/23HJoventut Badalona67-71
04/02/23HMurcia84-71
29/01/23ABasket Zaragoza82-89 OT
21/01/23ATenerife64-88
15/01/23HObradoiro CAB71-73
07/01/23ABarcelona70-104
03/01/23HGran Canaria88-82
29/12/22AJoventut Badalona81-93
17/12/22HBreogan84-89
10/12/22AMurcia72-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Breogan
ACB 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL50%
HomeLLWWW50%
AwayWWLLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game76.976.777.1
Allowed / game78.074.581.6
Point differential-1.1+2.2-4.5
Avg total154.9151.2158.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%30%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)33% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %5%0%10%
Real Betis
ACB 2022-23
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL20%
HomeLWLWL30%
AwayLLLLL10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %20%30%10%
Points / game75.375.275.5
Allowed / game84.278.789.7
Point differential-8.8-3.5-14.2
Avg total159.6153.9165.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%10%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won14% (7)20% (5)0% (2)
Overtime %15%0%30%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid2017385%88.075.5+12.4
2 Barcelona2017385%83.872.3+11.4
3 Baskonia2016480%90.382.2+8.1
4 Tenerife1914574%82.872.8+10.0
5 Unicaja2114767%86.877.3+9.5
6 Joventut Badalona2013765%81.277.1+4.0
7 Gran Canaria2012860%83.278.5+4.7
8 Valencia20101050%85.584.7+0.8
9 Breogan20101050%76.978.0-1.1
10 Obradoiro CAB20101050%79.381.8-2.5
11 Bilbao2091145%77.078.8-1.9
12 Murcia2081240%79.583.4-4.0
13 Basquet Girona2181338%76.180.4-4.3
14 Basket Zaragoza2061430%77.781.2-3.5
15 Granada2061430%77.287.8-10.7
16 Real Betis2041620%75.384.2-8.8
17 Manresa2041620%82.091.2-9.2
18 Fuenlabrada2131814%76.990.9-14.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Breogan2225222322114
Real Betis2220272323115
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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