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Breogan vs Barcelona Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 11 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 74-78
25-23 15-20 21-18 13-17
Position#10
Record5-5
FormWLLLW
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game75.6
Breogan
Spain
vs
Barcelona 🏆
Spain
Position#1
Record7-3
FormWWWLL
Points / game84.3
Allowed / game75.0
SpainACBRound 11
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Breogan v Barcelona
14 Mar 2027
BRE v BAR
upcoming
08 Mar 2026
BRE78
BAR109
10 Nov 2024
BRE77
BAR70
05 Nov 2023
BRE63
BAR79
11 Dec 2022
BRE74
BAR78
07 May 2022
BRE72
BAR74
07 Apr 2019
BRE75
BAR92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Breogan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Barcelona winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BreoganSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreogan
Date
Competition
Murcia
#9
W
84-70
84
70
+14
78avg 74
A29/09
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#18
W
78-70
78
70
+8
72avg 74
H02/10
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
66-85
66
85
-19
58avg 74
A08/10
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
L
53-71
53
71
-18
36avg 74
H16/10
ACB
Bilbao
#12
W
86-70
86
70
+16
84avg 74
H22/10
ACB
Manresa
#14
W
106-70
106
70
+36
111avg 74
A29/10
ACB
Valencia
#8
L
83-88
83
88
-5
76avg 74
H06/11
ACB
Granada
#16
L
70-80
70
80
-10
59avg 74
A20/11
ACB
Tenerife
#5
L
61-86
61
86
-25
44avg 74
H26/11
ACB
Basquet Girona
#15
W
73-66
73
66
+7
70avg 74
A04/12
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-17
17-17
18-17
27-19
22-17
8-16
16-21
32-16
27-20
21-22
5-21
13-22
10-18
8-21
20-16
15-16
23-11
21-24
22-20
20-15
16-18
24-9
25-21
41-22
24-18
17-30
27-17
15-23
19-26
14-18
23-18
14-18
14-26
16-18
12-20
19-22
14-21
22-13
16-21
21-11
151.6Avg total
76.0Scored
75.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)76.075.6151.6+0.450%
Season at home (5)72.277.0149.2-4.840%
Season away (5)79.874.2154.0+5.660%
Last 10 (10)76.075.6151.6+0.450%
Last 5 (5)78.678.0156.6+0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)63.481.2144.6-17.80%
vs Similar (18)84.984.4169.3+0.656%
vs Weaker (5)83.283.0166.2+0.240%
This opponent (Barcelona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BarcelonaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBarcelona
Date
Competition
Basquet Girona
#15
W
72-69
72
69
+3
no box
H06/11
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
W
86-79
86
79
+7
85avg 77
A10/11
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
86-96
86
96
-10
no box
A17/11
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
79-82
79
82
-3
74avg 77
A20/11
ACB
Partizan
#6
W
79-68
79
68
+11
74avg 77
H22/11
Euroleague
Baskonia
#8
W
96-84
96
84
+12
no box
H25/11
Euroleague
Granada
#16
W
100-82
100
82
+18
98avg 77
H27/11
ACB
Alba Berlin
#17
W
88-86
88
86
+2
81avg 77
A01/12
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#11
L
74-76
74
76
-2
64avg 77
A03/12
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
L
74-75
74
75
-1
71avg 77
H09/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-19
27-19
15-12
7-19
23-20
17-23
22-18
24-18
22-16
19-29
16-21
29-30
26-20
21-18
19-24
13-20
17-21
22-11
25-17
15-19
22-22
30-26
24-25
20-11
35-18
22-24
21-24
22-16
30-19
15-27
26-11
17-29
28-22
15-18
15-19
16-17
15-21
31-19
16-17
12-18
163.1Avg total
83.4Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)84.375.0159.3+9.370%
Season at home (4)82.072.5154.5+9.5100%
Season away (6)85.876.7162.5+9.250%
Last 10 (10)83.479.7163.1+3.760%
Last 5 (5)86.480.6167.0+5.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)83.089.0172.0-6.00%
vs Similar (15)77.477.0154.4+0.467%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)83.074.9157.9+8.162%
This opponent (Breogan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +4.3+4.3Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: -2.2-2.2
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +4.3+4.3Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: -2.2-2.2
BreoganBarcelona
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BreoganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murcia
#9
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A29/09
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#18
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H02/10
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A08/10
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
L
18-39
18
39
-21
H16/10
ACB
Bilbao
#12
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H22/10
ACB
Manresa
#14
W
40-27
40
27
+13
A29/10
ACB
Valencia
#8
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H06/11
ACB
Granada
#16
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A20/11
ACB
Tenerife
#5
L
30-44
30
44
-14
H26/11
ACB
Basquet Girona
#15
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A04/12
ACB
73.9Avg total
35.9Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.440.078.4-1.643%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.439.979.3-0.546%-
Last 30 away (17)37.640.077.6-2.441%-
Last 10 (10)35.938.073.9-2.150%-
Last 5 (5)36.039.475.4-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)34.641.676.2-7.040%-
vs Similar (18)40.440.080.4+0.444%-
vs Weaker (5)37.439.677.0-2.240%-
This opponent (Barcelona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BarcelonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basquet Girona
#15
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H06/11
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A10/11
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A17/11
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A20/11
ACB
Partizan
#6
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H22/11
Euroleague
Baskonia
#8
W
52-48
52
48
+4
H25/11
Euroleague
Granada
#16
W
57-42
57
42
+15
H27/11
ACB
Alba Berlin
#17
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A01/12
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#11
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A03/12
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H09/12
Euroleague
87.2Avg total
46.0Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.037.777.7+2.357%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.138.078.1+2.164%-
Last 30 away (16)39.937.477.2+2.550%-
Last 10 (10)46.041.287.2+4.870%-
Last 5 (5)48.643.291.8+5.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)37.029.066.0+8.0100%-
vs Similar (15)36.337.974.3-1.640%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)44.537.481.9+7.277%-
This opponent (Breogan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Breogantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Breogan: 75.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.019.5
52.7%
52.1%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.47.5
29.5%
34.5%22.5
🏀 Free throws18.313.5
73.8%
73.9%13.5
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Barcelonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Barcelona: 82.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.919.4
57.2%
52.1%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.510.0
36.4%
34.5%30.0
🏀 Free throws16.613.8
83.1%
73.9%13.8
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Dec 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Breogan
WLLLWWLLWW
Barcelona
LLWWWWLLWW
#10
League position
#1
+0.6
Net rating
+5.5
103.6
Offensive rating
117.4
103.0
Defensive rating
111.8
49.3%
Effective FG%
56.0%
49.1%
Opp. effective FG%
51.8%
19.1%
Turnover %
18.6%
34.1%
Off. rebound %
36.4%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.27
29.5%
3-point %
36.4%
55.9%
Assist %
61.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence103.6 · 117.4Defence103.0 · 111.8Shooting49.3% · 56.0%3-point %29.5% · 36.4%Ball care19.1% · 18.6%Off. rebounds34.1% · 36.4%Free throws0.29 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Breogan   ■ Barcelona
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Breogan wins
4
Barcelona wins
DateGameScore
07/05/22Breogan v Barcelona72-74
25/09/21Barcelona v Breogan78-69
07/04/19Breogan v Barcelona75-92
13/01/19Barcelona v Breogan94-80
Breoganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/12/22ABasquet Girona73-66
26/11/22HTenerife61-86
20/11/22AGranada70-80
06/11/22HValencia83-88
29/10/22AManresa106-70
22/10/22HBilbao86-70
16/10/22HGran Canaria53-71
08/10/22AJoventut Badalona66-85
02/10/22HFuenlabrada78-70
29/09/22AMurcia84-70
Barcelonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/22HLyon-Villeurbanne74-75
03/12/22AObradoiro CAB74-76
01/12/22AAlba Berlin88-86
27/11/22HGranada100-82
25/11/22HBaskonia96-84
22/11/22HPartizan79-68
20/11/22AJoventut Badalona79-82
17/11/22AAnadolu Efes86-96
10/11/22AMaccabi Tel Aviv86-79
06/11/22HBasquet Girona72-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Breogan
ACB 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW50%
HomeWLWLL40%
AwayWLWLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %50%40%60%
Points / game76.072.279.8
Allowed / game75.677.074.2
Point differential+0.4-4.8+5.6
Avg total151.6149.2154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%20%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Barcelona
ACB 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL70%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %70%100%50%
Points / game84.382.085.8
Allowed / game75.072.576.7
Point differential+9.3+9.5+9.2
Avg total159.3154.5162.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)100% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tenerife119282%82.469.6+12.7
2 Real Madrid119282%88.175.5+12.5
3 Unicaja118373%87.274.5+12.7
4 Barcelona107370%84.375.0+9.3
5 Gran Canaria107370%80.873.3+7.5
6 Baskonia107370%90.683.5+7.1
7 Joventut Badalona117464%82.879.8+3.0
8 Bilbao106460%77.777.1+0.6
9 Breogan105550%76.075.6+0.4
10 Valencia115645%82.383.5-1.3
11 Granada115645%79.784.5-4.8
12 Murcia115645%78.883.7-4.9
13 Obradoiro CAB104640%80.283.7-3.5
14 Basket Zaragoza113827%77.382.2-4.9
15 Fuenlabrada113827%78.490.6-12.3
16 Real Betis112918%74.284.0-9.8
17 Basquet Girona112918%72.583.1-10.6
18 Manresa112918%82.494.2-11.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Breogan2515211374
Barcelona2320181778
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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