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Real Madrid vs Breogan Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 22 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 91-73
24-11 22-26 28-9 17-27
Position#3
Record13-3
FormWWWWL
Points / game87.4
Allowed / game75.8
vs
Position#10
Record8-8
FormWLWWL
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game78.2
SpainACBRound 17
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Real Madrid v Breogan
18 Apr 2027
MAD v BRE
upcoming
10 May 2026
MAD97
BRE101
15 Dec 2024
MAD106
BRE69
03 Dec 2023
MAD91
BRE58
22 Jan 2023
MAD91
BRE73
17 Apr 2022
MAD90
BRE65
17 Feb 2022
MAD73
BRE67
27 Apr 2019
MAD94
BRE89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Breogan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
W
92-73
92
73
+19
85avg 78
H22/12
Euroleague
Bilbao
#12
W
85-80
85
80
+5
no box
A27/12
ACB
Baskonia
#8
L
86-92
86
92
-6
81avg 78
A29/12
Euroleague
Barcelona
#1
L
78-87
78
87
-9
69avg 78
H02/01
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
W
98-65
98
65
+33
107avg 78
H06/01
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#7
W
105-85
105
85
+20
109avg 78
H08/01
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#11
W
79-59
79
59
+20
78avg 78
A10/01
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#17
W
84-77
84
77
+7
80avg 78
A12/01
Euroleague
Granada
#16
W
82-62
82
62
+20
76avg 78
A15/01
ACB
Olympiacos
#1
L
60-73
60
73
-13
53avg 78
A20/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-22
20-12
25-25
22-14
21-16
21-26
17-16
26-22
28-24
15-35
26-14
17-19
26-28
18-14
13-20
21-25
22-7
29-27
27-15
20-16
25-23
25-13
26-24
29-25
25-16
13-18
19-17
22-8
25-12
21-23
20-24
18-18
19-14
13-10
25-22
25-16
15-19
13-17
16-18
16-19
160.2Avg total
84.9Scored
75.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)87.475.8163.2+11.781%
Season at home (8)92.275.9168.1+16.488%
Season away (8)82.675.6158.2+7.075%
Last 10 (10)84.975.3160.2+9.670%
Last 5 (5)82.071.2153.2+10.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)85.581.4166.9+4.150%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)85.273.8159.0+11.580%
This opponent (Breogan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BreoganSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreogan
Date
Competition
Valencia
#8
L
83-88
83
88
-5
76avg 71
H06/11
ACB
Granada
#16
L
70-80
70
80
-10
59avg 71
A20/11
ACB
Tenerife
#5
L
61-86
61
86
-25
44avg 71
H26/11
ACB
Basquet Girona
#15
W
73-66
73
66
+7
70avg 71
A04/12
ACB
Barcelona
#1
L
74-78
74
78
-4
61avg 71
H11/12
ACB
Real Betis
#17
W
89-84
89
84
+5
80avg 71
A17/12
ACB
Baskonia
#2
L
77-86
77
86
-9
65avg 71
H27/12
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#13
W
90-88 OT
90
88
+2
no box
A04/01
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#11
W
64-59
64
59
+5
57avg 71
H07/01
ACB
Unicaja
#4
L
66-100
66
100
-34
51avg 71
A14/01
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-18
17-30
27-17
15-23
19-26
14-18
23-18
14-18
14-26
16-18
12-20
19-22
14-21
22-13
16-21
21-11
25-23
15-20
21-18
13-17
25-22
14-15
25-23
25-24
13-25
19-16
30-23
15-22
25-20
18-23
22-19
14-17
14-9
18-14
17-17
15-19
15-27
12-26
21-21
18-26
156.2Avg total
74.7Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)76.278.2154.4-1.950%
Season at home (8)72.076.0148.0-4.038%
Season away (8)80.580.4160.9+0.162%
Last 10 (10)74.781.5156.2-6.840%
Last 5 (5)77.283.4160.6-6.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)66.883.8150.5-17.00%
vs Similar (17)83.481.9165.3+1.465%
vs Weaker (4)83.882.8166.5+1.050%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +5.0+5.0Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: -3.0-3.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +5.0+5.0Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: -3.0-3.0
Real MadridBreogan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H22/12
Euroleague
Bilbao
#12
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A27/12
ACB
Baskonia
#8
L
43-59
43
59
-16
A29/12
Euroleague
Barcelona
#1
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H02/01
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
W
51-34
51
34
+17
H06/01
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#7
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H08/01
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#11
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A10/01
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#17
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A12/01
Euroleague
Granada
#16
W
32-24
32
24
+8
A15/01
ACB
Olympiacos
#1
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A20/01
Euroleague
79.5Avg total
41.9Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.036.979.9+6.177%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.936.383.1+10.6100%-
Last 30 away (15)39.137.576.6+1.553%-
Last 10 (10)41.937.679.5+4.370%-
Last 5 (5)38.833.071.8+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)42.940.483.3+2.570%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)43.035.178.2+7.980%-
This opponent (Breogan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BreoganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valencia
#8
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H06/11
ACB
Granada
#16
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A20/11
ACB
Tenerife
#5
L
30-44
30
44
-14
H26/11
ACB
Basquet Girona
#15
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A04/12
ACB
Barcelona
#1
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H11/12
ACB
Real Betis
#17
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A17/12
ACB
Baskonia
#2
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H27/12
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#13
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A04/01
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#11
W
32-23
32
23
+9
H07/01
ACB
Unicaja
#4
L
27-53
27
53
-26
A14/01
ACB
76.3Avg total
35.3Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.539.476.9-1.947%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.338.977.2-0.547%-
Last 30 away (15)36.639.976.5-3.347%-
Last 10 (10)35.341.076.3-5.730%-
Last 5 (5)34.639.474.0-4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)34.043.177.1-9.125%-
vs Similar (17)39.538.277.6+1.353%-
vs Weaker (4)36.839.075.8-2.250%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 83.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.621.0
54.4%
52.1%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.78.8
34.2%
34.5%26.4
🏀 Free throws20.815.3
73.6%
73.9%15.3
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Breogantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Breogan: 75.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.619.5
51.9%
52.1%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.88.0
33.6%
34.5%24.0
🏀 Free throws18.212.3
67.6%
73.9%12.3
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Jan 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
LWWWWWLLWW
Breogan
LWWLWLWLLL
#3
League position
#10
+12.4
Net rating
-5.0
115.1
Offensive rating
103.7
102.7
Defensive rating
108.6
53.2%
Effective FG%
51.3%
49.5%
Opp. effective FG%
54.6%
17.5%
Turnover %
16.7%
36.2%
Off. rebound %
27.4%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.30
34.2%
3-point %
33.6%
65.1%
Assist %
55.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence115.1 · 103.7Defence102.7 · 108.6Shooting53.2% · 51.3%3-point %34.2% · 33.6%Ball care17.5% · 16.7%Off. rebounds36.2% · 27.4%Free throws0.32 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Breogan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Real Madrid wins
1
Breogan wins
DateGameScore
17/04/22Real Madrid v Breogan90-65
17/02/22Real Madrid v Breogan73-67
17/10/21Breogan v Real Madrid71-79
27/04/19Real Madrid v Breogan94-89
16/12/18Breogan v Real Madrid84-71
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/23AOlympiacos60-73
15/01/23AGranada82-62
12/01/23AAlba Berlin84-77
10/01/23ACrvena zvezda79-59
08/01/23HGran Canaria105-85
06/01/23HMaccabi Tel Aviv98-65
02/01/23HBarcelona78-87
29/12/22ABaskonia86-92
27/12/22ABilbao85-80
22/12/22HLyon-Villeurbanne92-73
Breoganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/23AUnicaja66-100
07/01/23HObradoiro CAB64-59
04/01/23ABasket Zaragoza90-88 OT
27/12/22HBaskonia77-86
17/12/22AReal Betis89-84
11/12/22HBarcelona74-78
04/12/22ABasquet Girona73-66
26/11/22HTenerife61-86
20/11/22AGranada70-80
06/11/22HValencia83-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
ACB 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW81%
HomeWWWLW88%
AwayLWWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %81%88%75%
Points / game87.492.282.6
Allowed / game75.875.975.6
Point differential+11.7+16.4+7.0
Avg total163.2168.1158.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%88%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)-67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Breogan
ACB 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL50%
HomeLLLLW38%
AwayLWWWL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %50%38%62%
Points / game76.272.080.5
Allowed / game78.276.080.4
Point differential-1.9-4.0+0.1
Avg total154.4148.0160.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%12%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)33% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %6%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Barcelona1714382%84.173.2+10.8
2 Real Madrid1613381%87.475.8+11.7
3 Tenerife1713476%82.472.2+10.2
4 Baskonia1713476%90.682.6+7.9
5 Unicaja1712571%86.875.9+10.9
6 Joventut Badalona1610662%83.479.2+4.1
7 Gran Canaria169756%83.379.7+3.6
8 Valencia179853%86.284.4+1.9
9 Obradoiro CAB179853%80.382.6-2.3
10 Breogan168850%76.278.2-1.9
11 Bilbao178947%78.579.8-1.3
12 Murcia178947%79.982.9-3.0
13 Basquet Girona1771041%76.079.0-3.0
14 Granada1751229%77.688.1-10.4
15 Basket Zaragoza1741324%76.581.2-4.6
16 Manresa1731418%83.292.8-9.6
17 Real Betis1731418%74.985.5-10.5
18 Fuenlabrada1731418%78.191.4-13.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid2422281791
Breogan112692773
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