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Breogan vs Granada Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 99-67
29-12 30-12 24-18 16-25
Position#10
Record8-9
FormLWWLL
Points / game76.1
Allowed / game78.9
Breogan 🏆
Spain
vs
Position#16
Record5-12
FormLLLLL
Points / game77.6
Allowed / game88.1
SpainACBRound 18
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Breogan v Granada
01 Nov 2025
BRE95
GRA74
30 Nov 2024
BRE74
GRA92
07 Jan 2024
BRE85
GRA79
28 Jan 2023
BRE99
GRA67
17 Jun 2021
BRE81
GRA78
20 Mar 2021
BRE85
GRA78
07 Mar 2020
BRE86
GRA63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Breogan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Granada winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BreoganSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreogan
Date
Competition
Granada
#16
L
70-80
70
80
-10
59avg 71
A20/11
ACB
Tenerife
#5
L
61-86
61
86
-25
44avg 71
H26/11
ACB
Basquet Girona
#15
W
73-66
73
66
+7
70avg 71
A04/12
ACB
Barcelona
#1
L
74-78
74
78
-4
61avg 71
H11/12
ACB
Real Betis
#17
W
89-84
89
84
+5
80avg 71
A17/12
ACB
Baskonia
#2
L
77-86
77
86
-9
65avg 71
H27/12
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#13
W
90-88 OT
90
88
+2
no box
A04/01
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#11
W
64-59
64
59
+5
57avg 71
H07/01
ACB
Unicaja
#4
L
66-100
66
100
-34
51avg 71
A14/01
ACB
Real Madrid
#3
L
73-91
73
91
-18
63avg 71
A22/01
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-26
14-18
23-18
14-18
14-26
16-18
12-20
19-22
14-21
22-13
16-21
21-11
25-23
15-20
21-18
13-17
25-22
14-15
25-23
25-24
13-25
19-16
30-23
15-22
25-20
18-23
22-19
14-17
14-9
18-14
17-17
15-19
15-27
12-26
21-21
18-26
11-24
26-22
9-28
27-17
155.5Avg total
73.7Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)76.178.9155.0-2.947%
Season at home (8)72.076.0148.0-4.038%
Season away (9)79.781.6161.2-1.956%
Last 10 (10)73.781.8155.5-8.140%
Last 5 (5)74.084.8158.8-10.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)67.484.6152.0-17.10%
vs Similar (16)83.281.2164.4+2.069%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)83.882.8166.5+1.050%
This opponent (Granada) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GranadaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGranada
Date
Competition
Breogan
#10
W
80-70
80
70
+10
73avg 66
H20/11
ACB
Barcelona
#1
L
82-100
82
100
-18
74avg 66
A27/11
ACB
Real Betis
#17
L
66-76 OT
66
76
-10
no box
H04/12
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#13
L
57-73
57
73
-16
44avg 66
A10/12
ACB
Valencia
#8
L
81-110
81
110
-29
71avg 66
H18/12
ACB
Tenerife
#5
L
66-98
66
98
-32
48avg 66
A29/12
ACB
Baskonia
#2
L
84-95
84
95
-11
72avg 66
H03/01
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
72-90
72
90
-18
59avg 66
A07/01
ACB
Real Madrid
#3
L
62-82
62
82
-20
47avg 66
H15/01
ACB
Basquet Girona
#15
L
78-92
78
92
-14
66avg 66
H22/01
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-19
18-14
18-23
18-14
18-35
24-22
24-21
16-22
7-13
13-14
28-17
12-16
15-12
15-17
13-21
14-23
18-27
18-20
17-33
28-30
17-35
18-17
12-24
19-22
20-25
18-16
20-30
26-24
13-21
24-20
16-33
19-16
14-19
10-13
22-25
16-25
16-23
28-15
16-22
18-32
161.4Avg total
72.8Scored
88.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)77.688.1165.7-10.429%
Season at home (9)80.887.2168.0-6.433%
Season away (8)74.189.0163.1-14.925%
Last 10 (10)72.888.6161.4-15.810%
Last 5 (5)72.491.4163.8-19.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)78.189.3167.4-11.327%
vs Similar (3)67.366.3133.7+1.067%
vs Weaker (12)82.470.7153.1+11.867%
This opponent (Breogan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -4.8-4.8Q1: -6.5-6.5Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -6.3-6.3Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -3.8-3.8
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -4.8-4.8Q1: -6.5-6.5Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -6.3-6.3Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -3.8-3.8
BreoganGranada
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BreoganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Granada
#16
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A20/11
ACB
Tenerife
#5
L
30-44
30
44
-14
H26/11
ACB
Basquet Girona
#15
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A04/12
ACB
Barcelona
#1
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H11/12
ACB
Real Betis
#17
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A17/12
ACB
Baskonia
#2
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H27/12
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#13
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A04/01
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#11
W
32-23
32
23
+9
H07/01
ACB
Unicaja
#4
L
27-53
27
53
-26
A14/01
ACB
Real Madrid
#3
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A22/01
ACB
75.7Avg total
34.9Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.639.376.9-1.747%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.738.176.9+0.650%-
Last 30 away (16)36.640.376.9-3.744%-
Last 10 (10)34.940.875.7-5.930%-
Last 5 (5)34.241.275.4-7.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)34.343.477.8-9.122%-
vs Similar (16)39.937.577.4+2.456%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)36.839.075.8-2.250%-
This opponent (Granada) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GranadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Breogan
#10
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H20/11
ACB
Barcelona
#1
L
42-57
42
57
-15
A27/11
ACB
Real Betis
#17
L
20-27
20
27
-7
H04/12
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#13
W
30-29
30
29
+1
A10/12
ACB
Valencia
#8
L
36-47
36
47
-11
H18/12
ACB
Tenerife
#5
L
35-52
35
52
-17
A29/12
ACB
Baskonia
#2
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H03/01
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A07/01
ACB
Real Madrid
#3
L
24-32
24
32
-8
H15/01
ACB
Basquet Girona
#15
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H22/01
ACB
74.7Avg total
35.0Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.339.378.5+0.047%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.236.878.0+4.562%-
Last 30 away (14)37.042.179.1-5.129%-
Last 10 (10)35.039.774.7-4.730%-
Last 5 (5)35.640.876.4-5.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)39.643.182.7-3.540%-
vs Similar (3)27.328.756.0-1.333%-
vs Weaker (12)41.837.279.0+4.758%-
This opponent (Breogan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Breogantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Breogan: 72.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.619.3
50.0%
52.1%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.57.6
32.3%
34.5%22.8
🏀 Free throws16.410.6
64.6%
73.9%10.6
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Granadatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Granada: 72.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.820.1
50.5%
52.1%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.46.7
27.5%
34.5%20.1
🏀 Free throws16.911.7
69.2%
73.9%11.7
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Jan 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Breogan
LLWWLWLWLL
Granada
LLLLLLLLLW
#10
League position
#16
-12.4
Net rating
-23.3
99.0
Offensive rating
95.2
111.4
Defensive rating
118.5
49.4%
Effective FG%
47.0%
55.7%
Opp. effective FG%
55.5%
17.5%
Turnover %
21.1%
27.9%
Off. rebound %
33.3%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.26
32.3%
3-point %
27.5%
53.2%
Assist %
50.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence99.0 · 95.2Defence111.4 · 118.5Shooting49.4% · 47.0%3-point %32.3% · 27.5%Ball care17.5% · 21.1%Off. rebounds27.9% · 33.3%Free throws0.26 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)40% · 10%
■ Breogan   ■ Granada
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Breogan wins
3
Granada wins
DateGameScore
20/11/22Granada v Breogan80-70
20/06/21Granada v Breogan57-83
17/06/21Breogan v Granada81-78
12/06/21Granada v Breogan67-53
24/04/21Granada v Breogan97-80
20/03/21Breogan v Granada85-78
07/03/20Breogan v Granada86-63
03/11/19Granada v Breogan83-88
Breoganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/01/23AReal Madrid73-91
14/01/23AUnicaja66-100
07/01/23HObradoiro CAB64-59
04/01/23ABasket Zaragoza90-88 OT
27/12/22HBaskonia77-86
17/12/22AReal Betis89-84
11/12/22HBarcelona74-78
04/12/22ABasquet Girona73-66
26/11/22HTenerife61-86
20/11/22AGranada70-80
Granadalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/01/23HBasquet Girona78-92
15/01/23HReal Madrid62-82
07/01/23AJoventut Badalona72-90
03/01/23HBaskonia84-95
29/12/22ATenerife66-98
18/12/22HValencia81-110
10/12/22ABasket Zaragoza57-73
04/12/22HReal Betis66-76 OT
27/11/22ABarcelona82-100
20/11/22HBreogan80-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Breogan
ACB 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL47%
HomeLLLLW38%
AwayWWWLL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %47%38%56%
Points / game76.172.079.7
Allowed / game78.976.081.6
Point differential-2.9-4.0-1.9
Avg total155.0148.0161.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%12%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)33% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %6%0%11%
Granada
ACB 2022-23
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL29%
HomeLLLLL33%
AwayLLLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %29%33%25%
Points / game77.680.874.1
Allowed / game88.187.289.0
Point differential-10.4-6.4-14.9
Avg total165.7168.0163.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%22%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %6%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid1714382%87.675.6+12.1
2 Barcelona1714382%84.173.2+10.8
3 Tenerife1814478%83.171.9+11.2
4 Baskonia1713476%90.682.6+7.9
5 Unicaja1712571%86.875.9+10.9
6 Gran Canaria1710759%83.879.4+4.4
7 Joventut Badalona1710759%82.979.9+2.9
8 Valencia179853%86.284.4+1.9
9 Obradoiro CAB179853%80.382.6-2.3
10 Bilbao178947%78.579.8-1.3
11 Breogan178947%76.178.9-2.9
12 Murcia178947%79.982.9-3.0
13 Basquet Girona1771041%76.079.0-3.0
14 Granada1751229%77.688.1-10.4
15 Basket Zaragoza1741324%76.581.2-4.6
16 Manresa1731418%83.292.8-9.6
17 Real Betis1731418%74.985.5-10.5
18 Fuenlabrada1831517%77.491.6-14.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Breogan2930241699
Granada1212182567
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