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Breogan vs Obradoiro CAB Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 64-59
14-9 18-14 17-17 15-19
Position#10
Record7-7
FormWLWLW
Points / game77.9
Allowed / game78.0
Breogan 🏆
Spain
vs
Position#11
Record7-7
FormWWLWW
Points / game81.6
Allowed / game84.5
SpainACBRound 15
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Breogan v Obradoiro CAB
02 May 2027
BRE v OKA
upcoming
23 Dec 2023
BRE88
OKA90
07 Jan 2023
BRE64
OKA59
26 Mar 2022
BRE80
OKA78
27 Oct 2018
BRE69
OKA56
18 May 2011
BRE54
OKA77
12 Nov 2010
BRE68
OKA80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Breogan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Obradoiro CAB winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BreoganSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreogan
Date
Competition
Bilbao
#12
W
86-70
86
70
+16
84avg 73
H22/10
ACB
Manresa
#14
W
106-70
106
70
+36
111avg 73
A29/10
ACB
Valencia
#8
L
83-88
83
88
-5
76avg 73
H06/11
ACB
Granada
#16
L
70-80
70
80
-10
59avg 73
A20/11
ACB
Tenerife
#5
L
61-86
61
86
-25
44avg 73
H26/11
ACB
Basquet Girona
#15
W
73-66
73
66
+7
70avg 73
A04/12
ACB
Barcelona
#1
L
74-78
74
78
-4
61avg 73
H11/12
ACB
Real Betis
#17
W
89-84
89
84
+5
80avg 73
A17/12
ACB
Baskonia
#2
L
77-86
77
86
-9
65avg 73
H27/12
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#13
W
90-88 OT
90
88
+2
no box
A04/01
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-11
21-24
22-20
20-15
16-18
24-9
25-21
41-22
24-18
17-30
27-17
15-23
19-26
14-18
23-18
14-18
14-26
16-18
12-20
19-22
14-21
22-13
16-21
21-11
25-23
15-20
21-18
13-17
25-22
14-15
25-23
25-24
13-25
19-16
30-23
15-22
25-20
18-23
22-19
14-17
160.5Avg total
80.9Scored
79.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)77.978.0155.9-0.150%
Season at home (7)73.178.4151.6-5.329%
Season away (7)82.677.6160.1+5.071%
Last 10 (10)80.979.6160.5+1.350%
Last 5 (5)80.680.4161.0+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)66.981.4148.3-14.60%
vs Similar ◀ (18)84.883.8168.6+0.961%
vs Weaker (4)83.882.8166.5+1.050%
This opponent (Obradoiro CAB) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Obradoiro CABSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCAB
Date
Competition
Valencia
#8
L
98-103 OT
98
103
-5
no box
H23/10
ACB
Granada
#16
L
89-93
89
93
-4
no box
A29/10
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
L
58-85
58
85
-27
no box
H05/11
ACB
Unicaja
#4
L
86-87
86
87
-1
81avg 75
H19/11
ACB
Murcia
#9
W
84-80
84
80
+4
73avg 75
A27/11
ACB
Barcelona
#1
W
76-74
76
74
+2
63avg 75
H03/12
ACB
Bilbao
#12
W
80-77
80
77
+3
73avg 75
A11/12
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
74-91
74
91
-17
63avg 75
H17/12
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#18
W
82-79
82
79
+3
73avg 75
A30/12
ACB
Manresa
#14
W
104-99 OT
104
99
+5
no box
H04/01
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-27
14-21
18-18
25-18
24-24
26-22
18-23
21-24
17-23
12-14
16-21
13-27
20-20
25-24
22-19
19-24
21-16
27-19
15-18
21-27
22-28
18-15
19-15
17-16
19-20
19-9
22-24
20-24
7-27
17-20
22-22
28-22
18-8
21-25
22-21
21-25
21-19
21-30
28-23
21-19
169.9Avg total
83.1Scored
86.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)81.684.5166.1-2.950%
Season at home (8)82.684.4167.0-1.850%
Season away (6)80.284.7164.8-4.550%
Last 10 (10)83.186.8169.9-3.750%
Last 5 (5)83.284.0167.2-0.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)78.586.1164.5-7.627%
vs Similar ◀ (13)86.883.7170.5+3.262%
vs Weaker (2)85.586.0171.5-0.550%
This opponent (Breogan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -2.0-2.0
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -2.0-2.0
BreoganObradoiro CAB
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BreoganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bilbao
#12
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H22/10
ACB
Manresa
#14
W
40-27
40
27
+13
A29/10
ACB
Valencia
#8
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H06/11
ACB
Granada
#16
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A20/11
ACB
Tenerife
#5
L
30-44
30
44
-14
H26/11
ACB
Basquet Girona
#15
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A04/12
ACB
Barcelona
#1
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H11/12
ACB
Real Betis
#17
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A17/12
ACB
Baskonia
#2
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H27/12
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#13
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A04/01
ACB
77.4Avg total
37.8Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.539.578.0-1.147%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.840.078.8-1.243%-
Last 30 away (16)38.239.177.3-0.950%-
Last 10 (10)37.839.677.4-1.840%-
Last 5 (5)38.039.677.6-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)35.041.776.7-6.729%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)40.439.279.7+1.250%-
vs Weaker (4)36.839.075.8-2.250%-
This opponent (Obradoiro CAB) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Obradoiro CABLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valencia
#8
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H23/10
ACB
Granada
#16
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A29/10
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
L
29-37
29
37
-8
H05/11
ACB
Unicaja
#4
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H19/11
ACB
Murcia
#9
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A27/11
ACB
Barcelona
#1
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H03/12
ACB
Bilbao
#12
W
38-29
38
29
+9
A11/12
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
24-47
24
47
-23
H17/12
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#18
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A30/12
ACB
Manresa
#14
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H04/01
ACB
80.7Avg total
39.6Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.740.580.3-0.853%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.141.881.9-1.744%-
Last 30 away (14)39.339.178.4+0.264%-
Last 10 (10)39.641.180.7-1.550%-
Last 5 (5)36.640.276.8-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)36.741.878.5-5.133%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)42.539.281.7+3.269%-
vs Weaker (2)44.539.584.0+5.0100%-
This opponent (Breogan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Breogantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Breogan: 76.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.119.9
53.6%
52.1%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.78.0
31.1%
34.5%24.0
🏀 Free throws17.512.6
72.0%
73.9%12.6
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Obradoiro CABtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Obradoiro CAB: 77.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.4 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.816.2
47.9%
52.1%32.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.310.2
36.0%
34.5%30.6
🏀 Free throws19.214.7
76.6%
73.9%14.7
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Jan 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Breogan
WLWLWLLLWW
Obradoiro CAB
WWLWWWLLLL
#10
League position
#11
-0.7
Net rating
-3.8
105.7
Offensive rating
105.2
106.3
Defensive rating
108.9
50.8%
Effective FG%
50.7%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
52.4%
16.8%
Turnover %
19.2%
30.5%
Off. rebound %
29.3%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.31
31.1%
3-point %
36.0%
54.8%
Assist %
64.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence105.7 · 105.2Defence106.3 · 108.9Shooting50.8% · 50.7%3-point %31.1% · 36.0%Ball care16.8% · 19.2%Off. rebounds30.5% · 29.3%Free throws0.28 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Breogan   ■ Obradoiro CAB
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Breogan wins
7
Obradoiro CAB wins
Breoganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/23ABasket Zaragoza90-88 OT
27/12/22HBaskonia77-86
17/12/22AReal Betis89-84
11/12/22HBarcelona74-78
04/12/22ABasquet Girona73-66
26/11/22HTenerife61-86
20/11/22AGranada70-80
06/11/22HValencia83-88
29/10/22AManresa106-70
22/10/22HBilbao86-70
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/23HManresa104-99 OT
30/12/22AFuenlabrada82-79
17/12/22HJoventut Badalona74-91
11/12/22ABilbao80-77
03/12/22HBarcelona76-74
27/11/22AMurcia84-80
19/11/22HUnicaja86-87
05/11/22HGran Canaria58-85
29/10/22AGranada89-93
23/10/22HValencia98-103 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Breogan
ACB 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW50%
HomeWLLLL29%
AwayWLWWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %50%29%71%
Points / game77.973.182.6
Allowed / game78.078.477.6
Point differential-0.1-5.3+5.0
Avg total155.9151.6160.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%14%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %7%0%14%
Obradoiro CAB
ACB 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW50%
HomeLLWLW50%
AwayLLWWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game81.682.680.2
Allowed / game84.584.484.7
Point differential-2.9-1.8-4.5
Avg total166.1167.0164.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)60% (5)75% (4)
Overtime %14%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid1411379%86.676.1+10.5
2 Baskonia1411379%91.882.3+9.5
3 Barcelona1411379%82.273.2+9.0
4 Unicaja1410471%85.274.2+11.0
5 Tenerife1410471%81.171.2+9.9
6 Joventut Badalona149564%82.979.4+3.5
7 Gran Canaria148657%81.378.9+2.4
8 Valencia147750%85.484.4+1.1
9 Breogan147750%77.978.0-0.1
10 Bilbao147750%78.578.9-0.4
11 Murcia147750%79.882.3-2.5
12 Obradoiro CAB147750%81.684.5-2.9
13 Granada145936%79.188.1-8.9
14 Basquet Girona1441029%73.880.8-7.0
15 Basket Zaragoza1431121%76.481.4-5.0
16 Real Betis1431121%76.484.9-8.5
17 Manresa1431121%83.193.2-10.1
18 Fuenlabrada1431121%79.690.9-11.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Breogan1418171564
Obradoiro CAB914171959
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