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Breogan vs Rilski Sportist Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 14 Sep 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 126-80
25-16 32-22 37-18 32-24
Position#7
Record-
FormWWWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Breogan 🏆
vs
Position#54
Record-
FormLLLWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
EuropeChampions League· Pazo dos Deportes
European cup2026
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Breogan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rilski Sportist winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BreoganLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreogan
Date
Competition
Valencia
#1
L
88-105
88
105
-17
84avg 83
A05/04
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
L
97-99
97
99
-2
89avg 83
H11/04
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#13
W
99-94
99
94
+5
95avg 83
A19/04
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
93-86
93
86
+7
90avg 83
H26/04
ACB
Baskonia
#3
L
84-112
84
112
-28
74avg 83
A03/05
ACB
Real Madrid
#2
W
101-97
101
97
+4
95avg 83
A10/05
ACB
Forca Lleida
#14
W
114-87
114
87
+27
118avg 83
H13/05
ACB
Basquet Girona
#12
W
95-76
95
76
+19
92avg 83
H16/05
ACB
Unicaja
#9
L
83-101
83
101
-18
66avg 83
A23/05
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#17
L
94-95
94
95
-1
87avg 83
H29/05
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-31
16-20
32-33
15-21
20-19
28-26
29-21
20-33
21-21
29-22
20-26
29-25
22-19
16-19
29-20
26-28
24-27
16-25
22-28
22-32
15-18
28-28
28-21
30-30
35-26
28-12
25-24
26-25
16-9
29-22
25-22
25-23
15-29
23-22
23-26
22-24
26-24
21-20
23-23
24-28
190.0Avg total
94.8Scored
95.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)94.895.2190.0-0.450%
Last 5 (5)97.491.2188.6+6.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)89.598.7188.2-9.230%
vs Similar (16)92.692.5185.1+0.150%
vs Weaker (4)96.580.0176.5+16.575%
Rilski SportistLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSportist
Date
Competition
Spartak Pleven
#5
W
109-88
109
88
+21
112avg 84
H25/04
NBL
Beroe
#8
W
89-69
89
69
+20
85avg 84
H30/04
NBL
Beroe
#8
W
90-80
90
80
+10
85avg 84
A02/05
NBL
Lok. Plovdiv
#4
W
87-79
87
79
+8
76avg 84
H10/05
NBL
Lok. Plovdiv
#4
W
97-75
97
75
+22
98avg 84
H12/05
NBL
Lok. Plovdiv
#4
L
89-99
89
99
-10
85avg 84
A15/05
NBL
Lok. Plovdiv
#4
L
88-99
88
99
-11
84avg 84
A17/05
NBL
Lok. Plovdiv
#4
L
87-92
87
92
-5
85avg 84
H20/05
NBL
Cherno More
#3
W
108-99
108
99
+9
106avg 84
H23/05
NBL
Cherno More
#3
W
100-94
100
94
+6
95avg 84
A25/05
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-25
30-21
32-19
25-23
22-19
22-15
22-17
23-18
19-14
23-25
23-18
25-23
19-19
23-23
24-22
21-15
24-15
27-17
16-21
30-22
17-20
21-26
20-27
31-26
22-22
19-31
21-28
26-18
21-24
16-26
28-17
22-25
33-22
25-28
28-29
22-20
25-22
26-17
26-23
23-32
181.8Avg total
94.4Scored
87.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)94.487.4181.8+7.070%
Last 5 (5)94.496.6191.0-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)86.883.5170.3+3.367%
vs Weaker (24)93.981.9175.8+12.083%

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: +2.6+2.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: +2.6+2.6
BreoganRilski Sportist
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BreoganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valencia
#1
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A05/04
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H11/04
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#13
W
50-43
50
43
+7
A19/04
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H26/04
ACB
Baskonia
#3
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A03/05
ACB
Real Madrid
#2
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A10/05
ACB
Forca Lleida
#14
W
63-38
63
38
+25
H13/05
ACB
Basquet Girona
#12
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H16/05
ACB
Unicaja
#9
L
38-51
38
51
-13
A23/05
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#17
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H29/05
ACB
89.2Avg total
45.3Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.746.490.1-2.830%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.244.891.0+1.444%-
Last 30 away (14)40.848.389.1-7.514%-
Last 10 (10)45.343.989.2+1.450%-
Last 5 (5)47.242.089.2+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)41.347.488.7-6.110%-
vs Similar (16)43.947.891.7-3.931%-
vs Weaker (4)48.838.587.2+10.275%-
Rilski SportistLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Spartak Pleven
#5
W
52-46
52
46
+6
H25/04
NBL
Beroe
#8
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H30/04
NBL
Beroe
#8
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A02/05
NBL
Lok. Plovdiv
#4
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H10/05
NBL
Lok. Plovdiv
#4
W
51-32
51
32
+19
H12/05
NBL
Lok. Plovdiv
#4
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A15/05
NBL
Lok. Plovdiv
#4
L
41-53
41
53
-12
A17/05
NBL
Lok. Plovdiv
#4
L
37-50
37
50
-13
H20/05
NBL
Cherno More
#3
W
58-50
58
50
+8
H23/05
NBL
Cherno More
#3
W
51-39
51
39
+12
A25/05
NBL
88.7Avg total
45.6Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.041.487.4+4.773%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.941.888.7+5.173%-
Last 30 away (15)45.240.986.1+4.373%-
Last 10 (10)45.643.188.7+2.560%-
Last 5 (5)45.047.692.6-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)44.239.283.3+5.067%-
vs Weaker (24)46.541.988.4+4.675%-
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Breogantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Breogan: 94.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.9 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.8 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.121.0
55.1%
53.1%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.712.3
42.9%
35.3%36.9
🏀 Free throws20.715.7
75.8%
72.1%15.7
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rilski Sportisttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rilski Sportist: 94.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.8 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.124.6
61.3%
53.1%49.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.59.2
36.1%
35.3%27.6
🏀 Free throws23.817.4
73.1%
72.1%17.4
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Sep 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Breogan
LLWWWLWWLL
Rilski Sportist
WWLLLWWWWW
#7
League position
#54
-0.7
Net rating
+7.5
104.2
Offensive rating
109.0
104.8
Defensive rating
101.5
59.1%
Effective FG%
58.5%
56.8%
Opp. effective FG%
52.8%
14.8%
Turnover %
11.3%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.36
42.9%
3-point %
36.1%
59.2%
Assist %
67.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence104.2 · 109.0Defence104.8 · 101.5Shooting59.1% · 58.5%3-point %42.9% · 36.1%Ball care14.8% · 11.3%Free throws0.31 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Breogan   ■ Rilski Sportist
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Breogan wins
0
Rilski Sportist wins
No previous meetings.
Breoganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/05/26HBasket Zaragoza94-95
23/05/26AUnicaja83-101
16/05/26HBasquet Girona95-76
13/05/26HForca Lleida114-87
10/05/26AReal Madrid101-97
03/05/26ABaskonia84-112
26/04/26HJoventut Badalona93-86
19/04/26ASan Pablo Burgos99-94
11/04/26HMoraBanc Andorra97-99
05/04/26AValencia88-105
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/05/26ACherno More100-94
23/05/26HCherno More108-99
20/05/26HLok. Plovdiv87-92
17/05/26ALok. Plovdiv88-99
15/05/26ALok. Plovdiv89-99
12/05/26HLok. Plovdiv97-75
10/05/26HLok. Plovdiv87-79
02/05/26ABeroe90-80
30/04/26HBeroe89-69
25/04/26HSpartak Pleven109-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Breogan
Champions League 2026
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Rilski Sportist
Champions League 2026
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Dziki Warszawa110100%116.099.0+17.0
2 VEF Riga110100%105.088.0+17.0
3 Absheron Lions1010%88.0105.0-17.0
4 Opava1010%99.0116.0-17.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Breogan25323732126
Rilski Sportist1622182480
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