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Valencia vs Breogan Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 105-88
31-25 20-16 33-32 21-15
Position#1
Record18-6
FormWWLWW
Points / game94.6
Allowed / game81.5
Valencia 🏆
Spain
vs
Breogan
Spain
Position#11
Record10-14
FormLLLWW
Points / game89.4
Allowed / game92.5
SpainACBRound 25· Roig Arena
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Valencia v Breogan
22 Nov 2026
VAL v BRE
upcoming
05 Apr 2026
VAL105
BRE88
30 May 2025
VAL108
BRE61
14 Jan 2024
VAL88
BRE80
24 May 2023
VAL77
BRE80
19 Dec 2021
VAL97
BRE98
04 May 2019
VAL83
BRE82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Breogan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
W
91-87
91
87
+4
87avg 86
H05/03
Euroleague
Murcia
#4
W
110-84
110
84
+26
113avg 86
H08/03
ACB
Real Madrid
#2
L
79-96
79
96
-17
69avg 86
A12/03
Euroleague
Tenerife
#8
L
71-89
71
89
-18
66avg 86
A14/03
ACB
Barcelona
#8
L
62-66
62
66
-4
57avg 86
H19/03
Euroleague
Granada
#18
W
107-91
107
91
+16
83avg 86
H22/03
ACB
Olympiacos
#1
W
85-84
85
84
+1
90avg 86
H24/03
Euroleague
Partizan
#15
L
104-110 OT
104
110
-6
109avg 86
A27/03
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#13
W
79-74
79
74
+5
72avg 86
A29/03
ACB
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
94-81
94
81
+13
96avg 86
A03/04
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-13
25-26
21-25
20-23
30-19
25-20
35-23
20-22
19-20
24-31
22-24
14-21
20-25
8-23
20-16
23-25
15-18
18-17
19-18
10-13
23-16
32-23
19-21
33-31
25-23
17-27
25-19
18-15
27-17
14-24
25-18
18-25
15-22
23-16
30-16
11-20
22-20
22-23
27-20
23-18
174.4Avg total
88.2Scored
86.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)94.681.5176.1+13.175%
Season at home (12)98.279.0177.2+19.292%
Season away (12)90.984.0174.9+6.958%
Last 10 (10)88.286.2174.4+2.060%
Last 5 (5)93.888.0181.8+5.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)87.288.0175.2-0.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)94.582.5177.1+12.068%
This opponent (Breogan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BreoganSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreogan
Date
Competition
Manresa
#10
L
99-104
99
104
-5
113avg 76
A10/01
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
W
104-101
104
101
+3
no box
A17/01
ACB
Real Madrid
#2
L
85-103
85
103
-18
74avg 76
H24/01
ACB
Granada
#18
W
83-64
83
64
+19
81avg 76
A31/01
ACB
Murcia
#4
L
95-106
95
106
-11
98avg 76
H07/02
ACB
Tenerife
#8
L
81-90
81
90
-9
68avg 76
A14/02
ACB
Barcelona
#5
L
78-109
78
109
-31
44avg 76
H08/03
ACB
Bilbao
#7
L
90-100
90
100
-10
79avg 76
A14/03
ACB
Gran Canaria
#15
W
83-75
83
75
+8
71avg 76
A22/03
ACB
Manresa
#10
W
91-78
91
78
+13
84avg 76
H28/03
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-28
15-34
30-20
31-22
25-25
19-31
34-24
26-21
19-19
24-24
22-27
20-33
17-19
17-17
26-10
23-18
24-29
22-27
27-27
22-23
18-23
27-22
16-23
20-22
13-27
18-30
11-26
36-26
25-23
17-26
27-22
21-29
30-24
13-20
26-13
14-18
15-26
24-17
23-20
29-15
181.9Avg total
88.9Scored
93.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)89.492.5181.9-3.042%
Season at home (12)92.895.4188.2-2.642%
Season away (12)86.089.5175.5-3.542%
Last 10 (10)88.993.0181.9-4.140%
Last 5 (5)84.690.4175.0-5.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)82.895.7178.5-12.815%
vs Similar (13)91.592.4183.9-0.846%
vs Weaker (4)83.577.2160.8+6.275%
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: -3.4-3.4Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: -5.2-5.2Q3Q3: +4.3+4.3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: +1.5+1.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: -3.4-3.4Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: -5.2-5.2Q3Q3: +4.3+4.3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: +1.5+1.5
ValenciaBreogan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H05/03
Euroleague
Murcia
#4
W
55-39
55
39
+16
H08/03
ACB
Real Madrid
#2
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A12/03
Euroleague
Tenerife
#8
L
28-48
28
48
-20
A14/03
ACB
Barcelona
#8
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H19/03
Euroleague
Granada
#18
W
55-39
55
39
+16
H22/03
ACB
Olympiacos
#1
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H24/03
Euroleague
Partizan
#15
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A27/03
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#13
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A29/03
ACB
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A03/04
Euroleague
85.2Avg total
42.9Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.342.387.6+2.950%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.841.187.9+5.764%-
Last 30 away (16)43.943.487.4+0.538%-
Last 10 (10)42.942.385.2+0.640%-
Last 5 (5)44.042.286.2+1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)41.844.986.6-3.125%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)46.541.488.0+5.159%-
This opponent (Breogan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BreoganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Manresa
#10
L
38-62
38
62
-24
A10/01
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
L
44-56
44
56
-12
A17/01
ACB
Real Madrid
#2
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H24/01
ACB
Granada
#18
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A31/01
ACB
Murcia
#4
L
46-56
46
56
-10
H07/02
ACB
Tenerife
#8
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A14/02
ACB
Barcelona
#5
L
31-57
31
57
-26
H08/03
ACB
Bilbao
#7
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A14/03
ACB
Gran Canaria
#15
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A22/03
ACB
Manresa
#10
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H28/03
ACB
89.6Avg total
40.5Scored
49.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.246.387.5-5.117%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.246.288.4-4.020%-
Last 30 away (15)40.246.486.6-6.213%-
Last 10 (10)40.549.189.6-8.60%-
Last 5 (5)40.047.687.6-7.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)39.845.084.8-5.215%-
vs Similar (13)43.249.592.7-6.415%-
vs Weaker (4)39.540.079.5-0.525%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 69.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws6.3 pts a game · 9% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
42%
39%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers22.116.5
74.7%
50.0%33.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.710.2
34.3%
42.2%30.6
🏀 Free throws9.06.3
70.0%
74.7%6.3
They take 51.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 57% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Breogantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Breogan: 85.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
42%
39%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.621.4
56.9%
50.0%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.19.7
37.2%
42.2%29.1
🏀 Free throws16.813.7
81.5%
74.7%13.7
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valencia
WWLWWLLLWW
Breogan
WWLLLLWLWL
#1
League position
#11
+4.5
Net rating
-4.5
64.4
Offensive rating
101.2
59.9
Defensive rating
105.6
61.4%
Effective FG%
56.4%
56.0%
Opp. effective FG%
59.1%
18.9%
Turnover %
17.5%
0.17
Free-throw rate
0.26
34.3%
3-point %
37.2%
81.3%
Assist %
55.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence64.4 · 101.2Defence59.9 · 105.6Shooting61.4% · 56.4%3-point %34.3% · 37.2%Ball care18.9% · 17.5%Off. rebounds- · 35.7%Free throws0.17 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Valencia   ■ Breogan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Valencia wins
3
Breogan wins
DateGameScore
12/10/25Breogan v Valencia90-113
30/05/25Valencia v Breogan108-61
13/10/24Breogan v Valencia75-87
14/01/24Valencia v Breogan88-80
15/10/23Breogan v Valencia59-61
24/05/23Valencia v Breogan77-80
06/11/22Breogan v Valencia83-88
13/02/22Breogan v Valencia99-82
19/12/21Valencia v Breogan97-98
04/05/19Valencia v Breogan83-82
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/04/26AVirtus Bologna94-81
29/03/26ASan Pablo Burgos79-74
27/03/26APartizan104-110 OT
24/03/26HOlympiacos85-84
22/03/26HGranada107-91
19/03/26HBarcelona62-66
14/03/26ATenerife71-89
12/03/26AReal Madrid79-96
08/03/26HMurcia110-84
05/03/26HZalgiris Kaunas91-87
Breoganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/03/26HManresa91-78
22/03/26AGran Canaria83-75
14/03/26ABilbao90-100
08/03/26HBarcelona78-109
14/02/26ATenerife81-90
07/02/26HMurcia95-106
31/01/26AGranada83-64
24/01/26HReal Madrid85-103
17/01/26AMoraBanc Andorra104-101
10/01/26AManresa99-104

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia
ACB 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW75%
HomeLWWWW92%
AwayWLWLW58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %75%92%58%
Points / game94.698.290.9
Allowed / game81.579.084.0
Point differential+13.1+19.2+6.9
Avg total176.1177.2174.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%83%42%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Breogan
ACB 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW42%
HomeWLLLW42%
AwayWWLLW42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %42%42%42%
Points / game89.492.886.0
Allowed / game92.595.489.5
Point differential-3.0-2.6-3.5
Avg total181.9188.2175.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid2523292%92.882.7+10.0
2 Valencia2418675%94.681.5+13.1
3 Murcia2518772%89.382.8+6.6
4 Baskonia2518772%93.687.2+6.4
5 Barcelona2416867%88.681.2+7.4
6 Joventut Badalona2516964%84.681.0+3.6
7 Tenerife25151060%88.483.7+4.7
8 Unicaja25151060%88.286.0+2.2
9 Bilbao26151158%85.886.3-0.6
10 Basquet Girona25121348%86.889.6-2.7
11 Breogan24101442%89.492.5-3.0
12 Forca Lleida2591636%83.188.8-5.8
13 Manresa2591636%84.391.7-7.4
14 San Pablo Burgos2571828%89.292.8-3.6
15 Gran Canaria2571828%80.085.4-5.4
16 Basket Zaragoza2571828%87.394.0-6.8
17 MoraBanc Andorra2561924%85.493.2-7.8
18 Granada2532212%81.391.4-10.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valencia31203321105
Breogan2516321588
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