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Brescia vs Brindisi Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 17 Mar 2019
Tip-off: 18:15
Final 97-80 (OT)
22-29 24-10 19-27 12-11 20-3
Position#12
Record9-12
FormWLLWL
Points / game78.3
Allowed / game80.1
Brescia 🏆
Italy
vs
Brindisi
Italy
Position#5
Record13-8
FormWWLLW
Points / game82.6
Allowed / game78.8
ItalyLega ARound 22
Domestic2018-19
Meetings · Brescia v Brindisi
05 May 2024
BRE94
BRI75
30 Apr 2023
BRE75
BRI69
16 Jan 2022
BRE88
BRI67
28 Mar 2021
BRE68
BRI74
26 Jan 2020
BRE82
BRI86
17 Mar 2019
BRE97
BRI80
05 Mar 2018
BRE74
BRI60
11 Mar 2017
BRE81
BRI91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brescia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brindisi winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BresciaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
75-87
75
87
-12
A25/12
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
71-95
71
95
-24
H30/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#11
L
80-88
80
88
-8
A06/01
Lega A
Venezia
#2
W
72-70
72
70
+2
H12/01
Lega A
Varese
#7
W
78-73
78
73
+5
H20/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
82-79
82
79
+3
A27/01
Lega A
Trieste
#10
L
77-85
77
85
-8
H03/02
Lega A
Avellino
#9
L
67-79
67
79
-12
A10/02
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
92-86
92
86
+6
A03/03
Lega A
Trento
#6
L
79-84
79
84
-5
H10/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-28
18-18
16-17
19-24
13-31
20-25
22-26
16-13
16-24
18-18
29-21
17-25
22-17
12-25
22-13
16-15
16-17
25-11
22-25
15-20
24-29
22-15
20-14
16-21
15-32
22-20
16-19
24-14
26-18
15-22
8-21
18-18
17-26
26-25
26-17
23-18
22-16
20-21
10-24
27-23
159.9Avg total
77.3Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)78.380.1158.4-1.843%
Season at home (10)78.278.3156.5-0.160%
Season away (11)78.581.7160.2-3.327%
Last 10 (10)77.382.6159.9-5.340%
Last 5 (5)79.482.6162.0-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)78.585.5164.0-6.933%
vs Similar ◀ (12)77.876.8154.6+0.942%
vs Weaker (3)82.080.0162.0+2.067%
This opponent (Brindisi) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrindisiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trento
#6
W
79-76
79
76
+3
A13/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
101-92
101
92
+9
H20/01
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
101-80
101
80
+21
A26/01
Lega A
Sassari
#4
W
103-98 OT
103
98
+5
A03/02
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
80-70
80
70
+10
H10/02
Lega A
Avellino
#7
W
95-92
95
92
+3
A15/02
Italian Cup
Sassari
#3
W
87-86
87
86
+1
A16/02
Italian Cup
Cremona
#1
L
74-83
74
83
-9
A17/02
Italian Cup
Cantu
#8
L
79-81
79
81
-2
A04/03
Lega A
Torino
#13
W
96-89 OT
96
89
+7
H10/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-27
18-21
15-11
21-17
26-16
19-23
30-25
26-28
31-19
29-22
12-23
29-16
18-20
29-23
19-25
25-23
18-12
28-19
22-20
12-19
28-12
19-28
22-40
26-12
32-28
22-18
20-14
13-26
18-23
19-22
14-17
23-21
21-22
23-22
17-22
18-15
15-24
29-14
24-21
14-23
174.2Avg total
89.5Scored
84.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)82.678.8161.4+3.962%
Season at home (11)81.977.3159.2+4.664%
Season away (10)83.480.4163.8+3.060%
Last 10 (10)89.584.7174.2+4.880%
Last 5 (5)86.286.2172.4+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)75.985.9161.7-10.014%
vs Similar ◀ (14)81.179.9161.0+1.357%
vs Weaker (8)83.575.2158.8+8.275%
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.5-4.5Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +0.7+0.7
BresciaBrindisi
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A25/12
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
33-56
33
56
-23
H30/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#11
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A06/01
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H12/01
Lega A
Varese
#7
W
41-28
41
28
+13
H20/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A27/01
Lega A
Trieste
#10
L
37-52
37
52
-15
H03/02
Lega A
Avellino
#9
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A10/02
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A03/03
Lega A
Trento
#6
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H10/03
Lega A
82.9Avg total
39.1Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.242.382.4-2.153%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.840.481.1+0.464%-
Last 30 away (16)39.643.983.6-4.344%-
Last 10 (10)39.143.882.9-4.740%-
Last 5 (5)41.844.886.6-3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)38.545.784.1-7.233%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)41.737.879.4+3.983%-
vs Weaker (3)42.743.386.0-0.733%-
This opponent (Brindisi) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrindisiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trento
#6
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A13/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H20/01
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
60-41
60
41
+19
A26/01
Lega A
Sassari
#4
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A03/02
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
46-31
46
31
+15
H10/02
Lega A
Avellino
#7
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A15/02
Italian Cup
Sassari
#3
W
54-46
54
46
+8
A16/02
Italian Cup
Cremona
#1
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A17/02
Italian Cup
Cantu
#8
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A04/03
Lega A
Torino
#13
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H10/03
Lega A
88.2Avg total
46.7Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.539.080.6+2.563%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.436.977.2+3.571%-
Last 30 away (16)42.640.983.5+1.656%-
Last 10 (10)46.741.588.2+5.270%-
Last 5 (5)45.242.687.8+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)37.439.777.1-2.343%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)42.741.083.7+1.757%-
vs Weaker (8)42.434.977.2+7.588%-
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 76.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.6 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.7 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.819.6
49.2%
51.0%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.96.2
29.7%
35.1%18.6
🏀 Free throws25.918.7
72.2%
72.3%18.7
They take 60.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brindisitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brindisi: 81.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.521.6
52.0%
51.0%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.78.5
33.1%
35.1%25.5
🏀 Free throws17.213.1
76.2%
72.3%13.1
They take 67.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Mar 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brescia
LWLLWWWLLL
Brindisi
WLLWWWWWWW
#12
League position
#5
-7.5
Net rating
+6.4
104.3
Offensive rating
106.2
111.8
Defensive rating
99.8
47.6%
Effective FG%
51.1%
51.7%
Opp. effective FG%
49.6%
18.9%
Turnover %
16.7%
33.4%
Off. rebound %
27.8%
0.43
Free-throw rate
0.26
29.7%
3-point %
33.1%
58.1%
Assist %
60.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence104.3 · 106.2Defence111.8 · 99.8Shooting47.6% · 51.1%3-point %29.7% · 33.1%Ball care18.9% · 16.7%Off. rebounds33.4% · 27.8%Free throws0.43 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)40% · 80%
■ Brescia   ■ Brindisi
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Brescia wins
2
Brindisi wins
DateGameScore
18/11/18Brindisi v Brescia72-65
05/03/18Brescia v Brindisi74-60
29/10/17Brindisi v Brescia69-78
11/03/17Brescia v Brindisi81-91
13/11/16Brindisi v Brescia83-91
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/19HTrento79-84
03/03/19APesaro92-86
10/02/19AAvellino67-79
03/02/19HTrieste77-85
27/01/19AReggiana82-79
20/01/19HVarese78-73
12/01/19HVenezia72-70
06/01/19AVirtus Bologna80-88
30/12/18HSassari71-95
25/12/18AOlimpia Milano75-87
Brindisilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/19HTorino96-89 OT
04/03/19ACantu79-81
17/02/19ACremona74-83
16/02/19ASassari87-86
15/02/19AAvellino95-92
10/02/19HPistoia80-70
03/02/19ASassari103-98 OT
26/01/19APesaro101-80
20/01/19HOlimpia Milano101-92
13/01/19ATrento79-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brescia
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL43%
HomeLWWLL60%
AwayLLWLW27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %43%60%27%
Points / game78.378.278.5
Allowed / game80.178.381.7
Point differential-1.8-0.1-3.3
Avg total158.4156.5160.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%10%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (12)67% (6)33% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Brindisi
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW62%
HomeLLWWW64%
AwayWWWWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %62%64%60%
Points / game82.681.983.4
Allowed / game78.877.380.4
Point differential+3.9+4.6+3.0
Avg total161.4159.2163.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%27%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %10%9%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano2218482%87.477.8+9.6
2 Venezia2216673%82.573.5+8.9
3 Cremona2214864%82.578.2+4.3
4 Avellino2214864%80.880.0+0.8
5 Brindisi2113862%82.678.8+3.9
6 Varese2213959%79.374.8+4.5
7 Trento22121055%79.380.8-1.5
8 Cantu22121055%84.686.5-1.9
9 Trieste22111150%87.084.0+3.0
10 Virtus Bologna22111150%81.281.6-0.4
11 Sassari22101245%84.682.6+2.0
12 Brescia2191243%78.380.1-1.8
13 Torino2261627%82.987.3-4.4
14 Pesaro2261627%81.093.0-12.1
15 Reggiana2251723%77.283.4-6.1
16 Pistoia2251723%75.183.8-8.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Brescia222419122097
Brindisi29102711380
← all games of the day
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