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Brescia vs Brindisi Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 28 Mar 2021
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 68-74
17-17 14-25 21-18 16-14
Position#11
Record9-13
FormWWWLL
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game84.6
vs
Position#3
Record16-5
FormWWWWW
Points / game86.5
Allowed / game79.3
ItalyLega ARound 24
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Brescia v Brindisi
05 May 2024
BRE94
BRI75
30 Apr 2023
BRE75
BRI69
16 Jan 2022
BRE88
BRI67
28 Mar 2021
BRE68
BRI74
26 Jan 2020
BRE82
BRI86
17 Mar 2019
BRE97
BRI80
05 Mar 2018
BRE74
BRI60
11 Mar 2017
BRE81
BRI91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brescia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brindisi winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BresciaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrescia
Date
Competition
Sassari
#5
L
87-100
87
100
-13
87avg 72
A27/12
Lega A
Cremona
#9
L
85-89
85
89
-4
80avg 72
H03/01
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
L
88-98
88
98
-10
84avg 72
A10/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
90-89
90
89
+1
85avg 72
A23/01
Lega A
Treviso
#7
L
91-94
91
94
-3
89avg 72
H31/01
Lega A
Trieste
#6
W
81-78
81
78
+3
74avg 72
A07/02
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
98-83
98
83
+15
93avg 72
H10/02
Lega A
Reggiana
#13
W
89-79
89
79
+10
82avg 72
H28/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
92-99
92
99
-7
90avg 72
H14/03
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
67-91
67
91
-24
no box
A20/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-15
15-26
23-30
18-29
33-21
21-23
17-18
14-27
22-16
23-24
15-28
28-30
15-16
33-24
15-29
27-20
17-36
16-25
29-20
29-13
27-22
13-19
18-20
23-17
24-16
24-20
24-22
26-25
15-22
32-21
24-26
18-10
13-24
27-23
25-28
27-24
24-24
16-22
13-23
14-22
176.8Avg total
86.8Scored
90.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)81.884.6166.4-2.941%
Season at home (11)83.481.1164.5+2.345%
Season away (11)80.288.2168.4-8.036%
Last 10 (10)86.890.0176.8-3.240%
Last 5 (5)85.486.0171.4-0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)76.884.0160.8-7.221%
vs Similar (15)83.584.6168.1-1.153%
vs Weaker (1)64.070.0134.0-6.00%
This opponent (Brindisi) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrindisiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrindisi
Date
Competition
Treviso
#7
W
108-90
108
90
+18
112avg 80
A07/02
Lega A
Trieste
#7
W
93-81
93
81
+12
no box
H12/02
Italian Cup
Pesaro
#2
L
69-74
69
74
-5
no box
H13/02
Italian Cup
Trieste
#6
W
81-74
81
74
+7
78avg 80
H27/02
Lega A
Hapoel Holon
#9
L
85-87
85
87
-2
91avg 80
H03/03
Champions League
Fortitudo Bologna
#14
W
95-70
95
70
+25
93avg 80
A07/03
Lega A
Karsiyaka
#10
W
83-79
83
79
+4
73avg 80
H09/03
Champions League
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
91-85
91
85
+6
no box
H13/03
Lega A
Tofas
#18
W
77-75
77
75
+2
no box
H16/03
Champions League
Tofas
#18
W
91-72
91
72
+19
no box
A24/03
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-27
23-20
26-15
34-28
25-18
18-20
23-23
27-20
12-15
16-26
17-11
24-22
27-13
17-18
19-24
18-19
25-26
25-20
17-20
18-21
22-21
26-13
24-20
23-16
17-10
18-22
30-17
18-30
24-23
19-25
20-15
28-22
22-15
16-23
27-16
12-21
27-21
24-15
21-17
19-19
166.0Avg total
87.3Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)86.579.3165.8+7.276%
Season at home (11)84.877.2162.0+7.682%
Season away (10)88.381.6169.9+6.770%
Last 10 (10)87.378.7166.0+8.680%
Last 5 (5)87.476.2163.6+11.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)78.591.5170.0-13.00%
vs Similar (8)89.181.9171.0+7.288%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)85.979.2165.1+6.874%
This opponent (Brescia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q3: +4.6+4.6Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +0.3+0.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q3: +4.6+4.6Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +0.3+0.3
BresciaBrindisi
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari
#5
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A27/12
Lega A
Cremona
#9
W
54-44
54
44
+10
H03/01
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A10/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A23/01
Lega A
Treviso
#7
L
33-61
33
61
-28
H31/01
Lega A
Trieste
#6
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A07/02
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
48-36
48
36
+12
H10/02
Lega A
Reggiana
#13
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H28/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H14/03
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A20/03
Lega A
88.0Avg total
44.1Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.741.483.1+0.353%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.839.982.7+2.875%-
Last 30 away (14)40.543.183.6-2.629%-
Last 10 (10)44.143.988.0+0.260%-
Last 5 (5)43.042.685.6+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)39.241.280.4-2.043%-
vs Similar (15)44.142.186.2+1.960%-
vs Weaker (1)41.034.075.0+7.0100%-
This opponent (Brindisi) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrindisiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Treviso
#7
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A07/02
Lega A
Trieste
#7
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H12/02
Italian Cup
Pesaro
#2
L
28-41
28
41
-13
H13/02
Italian Cup
Trieste
#6
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H27/02
Lega A
Hapoel Holon
#9
W
50-46
50
46
+4
H03/03
Champions League
Fortitudo Bologna
#14
W
48-34
48
34
+14
A07/03
Lega A
Karsiyaka
#10
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H09/03
Champions League
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H13/03
Lega A
Tofas
#18
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H16/03
Champions League
Tofas
#18
W
51-36
51
36
+15
A24/03
Champions League
81.9Avg total
42.8Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.040.483.3+2.663%-
Last 30 at home (18)40.340.280.4+0.161%-
Last 30 away (12)47.040.787.7+6.367%-
Last 10 (10)42.839.181.9+3.770%-
Last 5 (5)43.037.680.6+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)40.045.085.0-5.00%-
vs Similar (8)44.940.885.6+4.162%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)42.539.882.3+2.668%-
This opponent (Brescia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 86.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.020.6
51.5%
51.2%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.19.8
40.7%
35.9%29.4
🏀 Free throws18.015.4
85.6%
75.8%15.4
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brindisitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brindisi: 85.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.221.9
58.9%
51.2%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.88.2
33.1%
35.9%24.6
🏀 Free throws23.517.2
73.2%
75.8%17.2
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Mar 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brescia
LLWWWLWLLL
Brindisi
WWWWWLWLWW
#11
League position
#3
-4.0
Net rating
+12.1
113.7
Offensive rating
114.8
117.7
Defensive rating
102.7
55.1%
Effective FG%
55.2%
57.6%
Opp. effective FG%
49.0%
16.9%
Turnover %
16.4%
29.0%
Off. rebound %
28.7%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.38
40.7%
3-point %
33.1%
65.8%
Assist %
60.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence113.7 · 114.8Defence117.7 · 102.7Shooting55.1% · 55.2%3-point %40.7% · 33.1%Ball care16.9% · 16.4%Off. rebounds29.0% · 28.7%Free throws0.28 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)40% · 80%
■ Brescia   ■ Brindisi
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Brescia wins
5
Brindisi wins
DateGameScore
22/11/20Brindisi v Brescia74-71
26/01/20Brescia v Brindisi82-86
05/10/19Brindisi v Brescia88-78
17/03/19Brescia v Brindisi97-80 OT
18/11/18Brindisi v Brescia72-65
05/03/18Brescia v Brindisi74-60
29/10/17Brindisi v Brescia69-78
11/03/17Brescia v Brindisi81-91
13/11/16Brindisi v Brescia83-91
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/03/21ATrento67-91
14/03/21HOlimpia Milano92-99
28/02/21HReggiana89-79
10/02/21HVarese98-83
07/02/21ATrieste81-78
31/01/21HTreviso91-94
23/01/21AVirtus Bologna90-89
10/01/21APesaro88-98
03/01/21HCremona85-89
27/12/20ASassari87-100
Brindisilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/03/21ATofas91-72
16/03/21HTofas77-75
13/03/21HVirtus Bologna91-85
09/03/21HKarsiyaka83-79
07/03/21AFortitudo Bologna95-70
03/03/21HHapoel Holon85-87
27/02/21HTrieste81-74
13/02/21HPesaro69-74
12/02/21HTrieste93-81
07/02/21ATreviso108-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brescia
Lega A 2020-21
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL41%
HomeLLWWL45%
AwayLLWWL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %41%45%36%
Points / game81.883.480.2
Allowed / game84.681.188.2
Point differential-2.9+2.3-8.0
Avg total166.4164.5168.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%36%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)25% (4)60% (5)
Overtime %9%0%18%
Brindisi
Lega A 2020-21
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW76%
HomeWLWWW82%
AwayWLLWW70%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %76%82%70%
Points / game86.584.888.3
Allowed / game79.377.281.6
Point differential+7.2+7.6+6.7
Avg total165.8162.0169.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%36%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano2219386%87.474.3+13.1
2 Brindisi2116576%86.579.3+7.2
3 Sassari2115671%90.985.3+5.6
4 Virtus Bologna2215768%84.777.2+7.5
5 Venezia2214864%80.877.0+3.7
6 Trieste22111150%80.679.5+1.1
7 Treviso22111150%84.088.0-4.0
8 Pesaro22101245%81.582.1-0.6
9 Brescia2291341%81.884.6-2.9
10 Trento2181338%77.379.1-1.8
11 Fortitudo Bologna2281436%77.782.0-4.3
12 Varese2281436%81.287.1-6.0
13 Cremona2381535%85.487.6-2.2
14 Cantu2381535%78.983.1-4.2
15 Reggiana2271532%74.881.1-6.3
16 Virtus Roma92722%74.987.7-12.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brescia1714211668
Brindisi1725181474
← all games of the day
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