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Pesaro vs Brescia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 03 Mar 2019
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 86-92
26-17 25-26 17-26 18-23
Position#15
Record6-13
FormWWLLL
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game93.2
Pesaro
Italy
vs
Brescia 🏆
Italy
Position#12
Record8-11
FormWWWLL
Points / game77.6
Allowed / game79.6
ItalyLega ARound 20
Domestic2018-19
Meetings · Pesaro v Brescia
03 Mar 2024
PES93
BRE83
18 Mar 2023
PES88
BRE79
27 Mar 2022
PES83
BRE88
10 Jan 2021
PES98
BRE88
22 Mar 2020
PES v BRE
upcoming
03 Mar 2019
PES86
BRE92
01 Oct 2017
PES70
BRE73
02 Oct 2016
PES76
BRE63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pesaro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brescia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Cremona
#3
L
106-122
106
122
-16
132avg 118
H16/12
Lega A
Trento
#6
L
65-77
65
77
-12
92avg 118
H23/12
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
73-114
73
114
-41
117avg 118
A26/12
Lega A
Varese
#7
L
78-98
78
98
-20
127avg 118
H30/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
L
66-108
66
108
-42
89avg 118
A06/01
Lega A
Torino
#13
W
102-98 OT
102
98
+4
no box
H13/01
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
81-77
81
77
+4
104avg 118
A20/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
80-101
80
101
-21
176avg 118
H26/01
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
86-89
86
89
-3
111avg 118
H03/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
74-111
74
111
-37
97avg 118
A10/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-35
30-31
18-28
35-28
24-16
11-27
18-15
12-19
14-28
16-19
16-33
27-34
22-25
20-24
15-28
21-21
15-25
14-32
15-24
22-27
26-26
15-23
26-18
19-19
30-17
16-29
14-16
21-15
19-31
22-29
23-12
16-29
25-18
28-20
14-21
19-30
18-29
10-30
21-21
25-31
180.6Avg total
81.1Scored
99.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)81.893.2175.0-11.332%
Season at home (10)87.492.2179.6-4.840%
Season away (9)75.794.2169.9-18.622%
Last 10 (10)81.199.5180.6-18.420%
Last 5 (5)84.695.2179.8-10.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)79.892.9172.8-13.124%
vs Similar (4)81.879.8161.5+2.075%
vs Weaker (1)84.081.0165.0+3.0100%
This opponent (Brescia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BresciaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrescia
Date
Competition
Ulm
#10
L
80-97
80
97
-17
106avg 109
H19/12
Eurocup
Cremona
#3
W
91-88
91
88
+3
123avg 109
A22/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
75-87
75
87
-12
no box
A25/12
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
71-95
71
95
-24
97avg 109
H30/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#11
L
80-88
80
88
-8
107avg 109
A06/01
Lega A
Venezia
#2
W
72-70
72
70
+2
100avg 109
H12/01
Lega A
Varese
#7
W
78-73
78
73
+5
105avg 109
H20/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
82-79
82
79
+3
94avg 109
A27/01
Lega A
Trieste
#10
L
77-85
77
85
-8
120avg 109
H03/02
Lega A
Avellino
#9
L
67-79
67
79
-12
93avg 109
A10/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-28
18-23
22-22
23-24
22-20
24-25
18-24
27-19
22-28
18-18
16-17
19-24
13-31
20-25
22-26
16-13
16-24
18-18
29-21
17-25
22-17
12-25
22-13
16-15
16-17
25-11
22-25
15-20
24-29
22-15
20-14
16-21
15-32
22-20
16-19
24-14
26-18
15-22
8-21
18-18
161.4Avg total
77.3Scored
84.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)77.679.6157.2-2.042%
Season at home (9)78.177.7155.8+0.467%
Season away (10)77.181.3158.4-4.220%
Last 10 (10)77.384.1161.4-6.840%
Last 5 (5)75.277.2152.4-2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)77.985.1163.0-7.231%
vs Similar (11)77.676.2153.8+1.545%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)77.077.0154.0+0.050%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q1: -5.1-5.1Q2Q2: -8.2-8.2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: -0.2-0.2
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q1: -5.1-5.1Q2Q2: -8.2-8.2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: -0.2-0.2
PesaroBrescia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cremona
#3
L
53-66
53
66
-13
H16/12
Lega A
Trento
#6
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H23/12
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A26/12
Lega A
Varese
#7
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H30/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
L
29-57
29
57
-28
A06/01
Lega A
Torino
#13
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H13/01
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A20/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
41-60
41
60
-19
H26/01
Lega A
Venezia
#2
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H03/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
28-59
28
59
-31
A10/02
Lega A
91.2Avg total
39.8Scored
51.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.548.086.5-9.520%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.146.186.2-5.927%-
Last 30 away (15)36.949.986.8-13.113%-
Last 10 (10)39.851.491.2-11.610%-
Last 5 (5)41.850.492.2-8.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)38.448.887.2-10.420%-
vs Similar (4)41.043.584.5-2.525%-
vs Weaker (1)31.045.076.0-14.00%-
This opponent (Brescia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ulm
#10
L
35-51
35
51
-16
H19/12
Eurocup
Cremona
#3
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A22/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A25/12
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
33-56
33
56
-23
H30/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#11
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A06/01
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H12/01
Lega A
Varese
#7
W
41-28
41
28
+13
H20/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A27/01
Lega A
Trieste
#10
L
37-52
37
52
-15
H03/02
Lega A
Avellino
#9
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A10/02
Lega A
83.3Avg total
38.7Scored
44.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.541.981.5-2.450%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.440.881.1-0.457%-
Last 30 away (16)38.842.981.8-4.144%-
Last 10 (10)38.744.683.3-5.940%-
Last 5 (5)39.841.281.0-1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)38.345.583.8-7.231%-
vs Similar (11)41.637.879.5+3.882%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)42.539.582.0+3.050%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 78.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀18%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers14.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.923.1
49.3%
51.0%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.74.8
25.7%
35.1%14.4
🏀 Free throws24.317.4
71.6%
72.3%17.4
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 76.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀26%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.9 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.1 pts a game · 26% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.718.9
46.4%
51.0%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.76.3
30.4%
35.1%18.9
🏀 Free throws27.520.1
73.1%
72.3%20.1
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Mar 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pesaro
LLLWWLLLLL
Brescia
LLWWWLLLWL
#15
League position
#12
-24.1
Net rating
-9.2
99.5
Offensive rating
105.2
123.7
Defensive rating
114.4
46.2%
Effective FG%
46.2%
61.3%
Opp. effective FG%
52.6%
18.3%
Turnover %
18.5%
31.5%
Off. rebound %
35.9%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.45
25.7%
3-point %
30.4%
34.4%
Assist %
57.5%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence99.5 · 105.2Defence123.7 · 114.4Shooting46.2% · 46.2%3-point %25.7% · 30.4%Ball care18.3% · 18.5%Off. rebounds31.5% · 35.9%Free throws0.37 · 0.45Form (last 10/10)20% · 40%
■ Pesaro   ■ Brescia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Pesaro wins
4
Brescia wins
DateGameScore
04/11/18Brescia v Pesaro84-81
21/01/18Brescia v Pesaro88-70
01/10/17Pesaro v Brescia70-73
22/01/17Brescia v Pesaro99-68
02/10/16Pesaro v Brescia76-63
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/02/19AOlimpia Milano74-111
03/02/19HVenezia86-89
26/01/19HBrindisi80-101
20/01/19APistoia81-77
13/01/19HTorino102-98 OT
06/01/19AReggiana66-108
30/12/18HVarese78-98
26/12/18ASassari73-114
23/12/18HTrento65-77
16/12/18HCremona106-122
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/02/19AAvellino67-79
03/02/19HTrieste77-85
27/01/19AReggiana82-79
20/01/19HVarese78-73
12/01/19HVenezia72-70
06/01/19AVirtus Bologna80-88
30/12/18HSassari71-95
25/12/18AOlimpia Milano75-87
22/12/18ACremona91-88
19/12/18HUlm80-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pesaro
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL32%
HomeLLWLL40%
AwayLLLWL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %32%40%22%
Points / game81.887.475.7
Allowed / game93.292.294.2
Point differential-11.3-4.8-18.6
Avg total175.0179.6169.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%10%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)67% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %5%10%0%
Brescia
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL42%
HomeWLWWL67%
AwayWLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %42%67%20%
Points / game77.678.177.1
Allowed / game79.677.781.3
Point differential-2.0+0.4-4.2
Avg total157.2155.8158.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%11%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)80% (5)33% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano2017385%88.377.8+10.4
2 Venezia2014670%81.572.1+9.3
3 Cremona2013765%83.077.8+5.2
4 Brindisi1912763%82.178.1+4.0
5 Varese2012860%79.575.2+4.3
6 Avellino2012860%80.581.5-1.0
7 Trieste20101050%86.784.9+1.8
8 Virtus Bologna20101050%80.781.8-1.1
9 Trento20101050%78.981.2-2.2
10 Cantu1991047%84.587.3-2.8
11 Sassari2091145%84.081.8+2.2
12 Brescia1981142%77.679.6-2.0
13 Pesaro1961332%81.893.2-11.3
14 Torino2061430%83.587.2-3.7
15 Reggiana2051525%78.783.6-5.0
16 Pistoia2051525%74.583.2-8.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pesaro2625171886
Brescia1726262392
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