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Capo d'Orlando vs Brescia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Mar 2017
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 71-67
17-24 18-11 19-14 17-18
Position#8
Record11-9
FormWWLLW
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game78.0
Capo d'Orlando 🏆
Italy
vs
Brescia
Italy
Position#11
Record10-10
FormWLWLW
Points / game80.9
Allowed / game80.0
ItalyLega ARound 21
Domestic2016-17
Meetings · Capo d'Orlando v Brescia
24 Mar 2018
KDO78
BRE88
05 Mar 2017
KDO71
BRE67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Capo d'Orlando winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brescia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Capo d'OrlandoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Formd'Orlando
Date
Competition
Sassari
#5
W
72-65
72
65
+7
98avg 103
H17/12
Lega A
Avellino
#3
L
65-94
65
94
-29
88avg 103
A27/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
W
86-82
86
82
+4
112avg 103
H02/01
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
L
68-70
68
70
-2
94avg 103
A08/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
74-90
74
90
-16
no box
A22/01
Lega A
Venezia
#1
W
90-82 OT
90
82
+8
no box
H29/01
Lega A
Torino
#12
W
92-91
92
91
+1
115avg 103
A05/02
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
63-71
63
71
-8
84avg 103
H12/02
Lega A
Reggiana
#4
L
61-63
61
63
-2
no box
A16/02
Italian Cup
Cantu
#14
W
79-73
79
73
+6
105avg 103
A26/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-17
16-24
19-13
24-11
17-30
15-17
20-24
13-23
19-11
18-26
26-12
23-33
17-16
19-14
15-17
17-23
19-27
20-18
12-23
23-22
26-25
18-15
16-20
17-17
12-25
27-14
27-29
26-23
15-17
18-20
16-18
14-16
16-14
17-21
18-15
10-13
23-11
25-12
12-24
19-26
153.1Avg total
75.0Scored
78.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)78.278.0156.2+0.355%
Season at home (10)79.671.2150.8+8.480%
Season away (10)76.984.7161.6-7.830%
Last 10 (10)75.078.1153.1-3.150%
Last 5 (5)77.076.0153.0+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)72.281.8153.9-9.617%
vs Similar ◀ (17)78.974.1153.0+4.971%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BresciaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrescia
Date
Competition
Trento
#4
L
74-80
74
80
-6
104avg 110
H27/12
Lega A
Torino
#12
W
91-86
91
86
+5
125avg 110
A02/01
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
W
97-79
97
79
+18
129avg 110
H08/01
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
99-68
99
68
+31
136avg 110
H22/01
Lega A
Cantu
#14
L
65-81
65
81
-16
88avg 110
A29/01
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
56-48
56
48
+8
87avg 110
H05/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
79-93
79
93
-14
104avg 110
A12/02
Lega A
Venezia
#8
W
76-68
76
68
+8
no box
A17/02
Italian Cup
Sassari
#2
L
70-77
70
77
-7
no box
A18/02
Italian Cup
Avellino
#3
W
91-87
91
87
+4
118avg 110
H26/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-18
20-20
11-18
18-24
20-20
20-20
21-20
30-26
21-20
18-16
31-22
27-21
31-17
22-16
21-13
25-22
13-21
12-19
18-15
22-26
13-16
18-11
13-7
12-14
21-23
16-19
21-28
21-23
25-15
17-22
14-18
20-13
15-22
24-11
16-27
15-17
24-20
21-27
25-21
21-19
156.5Avg total
79.8Scored
76.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)80.980.0160.9+0.950%
Season at home (10)85.075.9160.9+9.170%
Season away (10)76.884.2161.0-7.430%
Last 10 (10)79.876.7156.5+3.160%
Last 5 (5)74.474.6149.0-0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)77.083.8160.8-6.833%
vs Similar ◀ (20)79.774.1153.8+5.665%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Capo d'Orlando) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +0.6+0.6
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +0.6+0.6
Capo d'OrlandoBrescia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Capo d'OrlandoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari
#5
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H17/12
Lega A
Avellino
#3
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A27/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H02/01
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A08/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A22/01
Lega A
Venezia
#1
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H29/01
Lega A
Torino
#12
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A05/02
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H12/02
Lega A
Reggiana
#4
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A16/02
Italian Cup
Cantu
#14
W
48-23
48
23
+25
A26/02
Lega A
74.4Avg total
37.0Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.237.375.5+0.957%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.635.173.7+3.679%-
Last 30 away (16)37.839.277.0-1.538%-
Last 10 (10)37.037.474.4-0.430%-
Last 5 (5)39.434.874.2+4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)38.239.777.8-1.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)38.535.874.2+2.765%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trento
#4
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H27/12
Lega A
Torino
#12
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A02/01
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H08/01
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
53-33
53
33
+20
H22/01
Lega A
Cantu
#14
L
25-40
25
40
-15
A29/01
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
31-27
31
27
+4
H05/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A12/02
Lega A
Venezia
#8
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A17/02
Italian Cup
Sassari
#2
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A18/02
Italian Cup
Avellino
#3
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H26/02
Lega A
76.9Avg total
39.6Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.139.078.1+0.150%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.236.677.8+4.673%-
Last 30 away (15)37.041.378.3-4.327%-
Last 10 (10)39.637.376.9+2.360%-
Last 5 (5)38.837.276.0+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)38.042.980.9-4.922%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)39.537.376.8+2.260%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Capo d'Orlando) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Capo d'Orlandotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Capo d'Orlando: 75.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.018.4
51.1%
51.1%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.28.3
37.4%
35.7%24.9
🏀 Free throws16.713.3
79.6%
74.0%13.3
They take 58.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 80.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.220.3
50.5%
51.1%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.68.8
38.9%
35.7%26.4
🏀 Free throws18.113.9
76.8%
74.0%13.9
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Mar 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Capo d'Orlando
WLLWWLLWLW
Brescia
WLWLWLWWWL
#8
League position
#11
-4.8
Net rating
+6.8
100.3
Offensive rating
108.3
105.1
Defensive rating
101.4
53.0%
Effective FG%
53.3%
53.9%
Opp. effective FG%
50.6%
23.6%
Turnover %
18.0%
27.2%
Off. rebound %
27.1%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.29
37.4%
3-point %
38.9%
55.4%
Assist %
65.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence100.3 · 108.3Defence105.1 · 101.4Shooting53.0% · 53.3%3-point %37.4% · 38.9%Ball care23.6% · 18.0%Off. rebounds27.2% · 27.1%Free throws0.29 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Capo d'Orlando   ■ Brescia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Capo d'Orlando wins
0
Brescia wins
DateGameScore
05/11/16Brescia v Capo d'Orlando89-90 OT
Capo d'Orlandolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/17ACantu79-73
16/02/17AReggiana61-63
12/02/17HTrento63-71
05/02/17ATorino92-91
29/01/17HVenezia90-82 OT
22/01/17AOlimpia Milano74-90
08/01/17APesaro68-70
02/01/17HBrindisi86-82
27/12/16AAvellino65-94
17/12/16HSassari72-65
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/17HAvellino91-87
18/02/17ASassari70-77
17/02/17AVenezia76-68
12/02/17AOlimpia Milano79-93
05/02/17HSassari56-48
29/01/17ACantu65-81
22/01/17HPesaro99-68
08/01/17HPistoia97-79
02/01/17ATorino91-86
27/12/16HTrento74-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Capo d'Orlando
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW55%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayLLLWW30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %55%80%30%
Points / game78.279.676.9
Allowed / game78.071.284.7
Point differential+0.3+8.4-7.8
Avg total156.2150.8161.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%30%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)100% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %10%10%10%
Brescia
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW50%
HomeLWWWW70%
AwayLLWLL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %50%70%30%
Points / game80.985.076.8
Allowed / game80.075.984.2
Point differential+0.8+9.1-7.4
Avg total160.9160.9161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %5%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano2017385%88.179.2+8.9
2 Avellino2013765%79.774.7+5.0
3 Venezia2012860%81.579.8+1.6
4 Sassari2112957%77.273.2+4.0
5 Trento2112957%75.671.8+3.8
6 Capo d'Orlando2011955%78.278.0+0.3
7 Reggiana2011955%81.081.5-0.5
8 Brescia20101050%80.980.0+0.8
9 Torino20101050%82.285.5-3.3
10 Pistoia21101148%75.176.3-1.2
11 Brindisi2091145%83.282.8+0.3
12 Caserta2191243%80.083.6-3.7
13 Pesaro2071335%73.777.8-4.2
14 Cantu2071335%76.681.5-4.8
15 Cremona2061430%77.579.3-1.8
16 Varese2061430%75.681.2-5.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Capo d'Orlando1718191771
Brescia2411141867
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