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Brescia vs Torino Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 06 May 2018
Tip-off: 18:45
Final 98-95 (OT)
21-11 27-23 16-27 19-22 15-12
Position#3
Record19-9
FormWWLWL
Points / game79.1
Allowed / game74.9
Brescia 🏆
Italy
vs
Torino
Italy
Position#12
Record12-16
FormLLLLL
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game82.6
ItalyLega ARound 29
Domestic2017-18
Meetings · Brescia v Torino
25 Nov 2018
BRE83
TOR76
06 May 2018
BRE98
TOR95
30 Apr 2017
BRE96
TOR89
19 May 2015
BRE74
TOR85
17 May 2015
BRE78
TOR73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brescia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Torino winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BresciaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrescia
Date
Competition
Torino
#1
L
67-69
67
69
-2
no box
A18/02
Italian Cup
Brindisi
#14
W
74-60
74
60
+14
108avg 107
H05/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#7
L
66-70
66
70
-4
94avg 107
H18/03
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#16
W
88-78
88
78
+10
121avg 107
A24/03
Lega A
Cantu
#9
W
86-71
86
71
+15
120avg 107
H31/03
Lega A
Reggiana
#11
W
75-71
75
71
+4
99avg 107
A04/04
Lega A
Sassari
#6
W
80-76
80
76
+4
106avg 107
A08/04
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
61-68
61
68
-7
83avg 107
A15/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
88-85 OT
88
85
+3
no box
H22/04
Lega A
Cremona
#10
L
86-88
86
88
-2
119avg 107
A28/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-11
17-17
25-25
11-16
15-12
20-17
19-20
20-11
24-23
17-18
10-18
15-11
17-26
28-21
17-14
26-17
25-27
20-14
18-11
23-19
21-12
21-16
13-22
20-21
26-26
18-17
20-20
16-13
15-21
12-15
14-23
20-9
24-18
24-27
16-15
11-15
19-26
16-17
27-26
24-19
150.7Avg total
77.1Scored
73.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)79.174.9154.0+4.268%
Season at home (14)79.971.4151.2+8.571%
Season away (14)78.378.4156.7-0.164%
Last 10 (10)77.173.6150.7+3.560%
Last 5 (5)78.077.6155.6+0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)79.579.5159.0+0.050%
vs Similar (16)76.976.8153.7+0.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)82.371.9154.2+10.491%
This opponent (Torino) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TorinoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTorino
Date
Competition
Brescia
#2
W
69-67
69
67
+2
no box
H18/02
Italian Cup
Capo d'Orlando
#16
W
92-89
92
89
+3
126avg 109
H04/03
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
82-90
82
90
-8
109avg 109
H11/03
Lega A
Cremona
#10
L
70-92
70
92
-22
no box
A18/03
Lega A
Cantu
#9
L
90-93
90
93
-3
no box
A25/03
Lega A
Pistoia
#13
L
77-84
77
84
-7
103avg 109
H31/03
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
78-90
78
90
-12
109avg 109
A08/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#7
L
65-67
65
67
-2
94avg 109
H14/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#11
L
82-89
82
89
-7
106avg 109
A23/04
Lega A
Trento
#5
L
88-92
88
92
-4
118avg 109
H29/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-14
17-17
25-25
16-11
35-18
16-32
18-21
23-18
19-26
8-18
28-26
27-20
17-24
18-23
18-22
17-23
23-17
20-15
20-29
27-32
11-31
16-12
28-20
22-21
23-16
19-27
23-24
13-23
22-16
12-25
13-10
18-16
21-18
21-22
18-25
22-24
27-10
15-28
24-22
22-32
164.6Avg total
79.3Scored
85.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)80.282.6162.8-2.443%
Season at home (14)81.981.1162.9+0.850%
Season away (14)78.584.1162.6-5.636%
Last 10 (10)79.385.3164.6-6.020%
Last 5 (5)78.084.4162.4-6.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)78.385.7164.1-7.428%
vs Similar (8)79.482.1161.5-2.838%
vs Weaker (3)93.088.7181.7+4.3100%
This opponent (Brescia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: -5.7-5.7Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +3.5+3.5Q4: -1.3-1.3
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: -5.7-5.7Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +3.5+3.5Q4: -1.3-1.3
BresciaTorino
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Torino
#1
W
31-28
31
28
+3
A18/02
Italian Cup
Brindisi
#14
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H05/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#7
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H18/03
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#16
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A24/03
Lega A
Cantu
#9
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H31/03
Lega A
Reggiana
#11
W
42-28
42
28
+14
A04/04
Lega A
Sassari
#6
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A08/04
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
27-36
27
36
-9
A15/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H22/04
Lega A
Cremona
#10
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A28/04
Lega A
77.4Avg total
39.3Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.738.479.1+2.367%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.936.278.1+5.773%-
Last 30 away (15)39.540.780.1-1.260%-
Last 10 (10)39.338.177.4+1.260%-
Last 5 (5)39.239.078.2+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)41.545.086.5-3.550%-
vs Similar (16)38.638.477.0+0.262%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)43.137.580.5+5.673%-
This opponent (Torino) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TorinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#2
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H18/02
Italian Cup
Capo d'Orlando
#16
W
51-50
51
50
+1
H04/03
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
27-44
27
44
-17
H11/03
Lega A
Cremona
#10
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A18/03
Lega A
Cantu
#9
W
43-32
43
32
+11
A25/03
Lega A
Pistoia
#13
L
27-43
27
43
-16
H31/03
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A08/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#7
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H14/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#11
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A23/04
Lega A
Trento
#5
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H29/04
Lega A
78.0Avg total
37.1Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.340.080.2+0.353%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.837.577.3+2.360%-
Last 30 away (15)40.742.483.1-1.747%-
Last 10 (10)37.140.978.0-3.840%-
Last 5 (5)37.441.078.4-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)39.641.480.9-1.844%-
vs Similar (8)39.036.575.5+2.562%-
vs Weaker (3)46.744.391.0+2.367%-
This opponent (Brescia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 74.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.019.6
51.6%
51.6%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.08.2
35.7%
34.9%24.6
🏀 Free throws17.310.8
62.4%
73.0%10.8
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Torinotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Torino: 81.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.720.7
50.9%
51.6%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.97.7
33.6%
34.9%23.1
🏀 Free throws21.416.7
78.0%
73.0%16.7
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 May 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brescia
LWLWWWWLWL
Torino
LLLLLLLLWW
#3
League position
#12
-0.8
Net rating
-7.2
102.4
Offensive rating
108.7
103.2
Defensive rating
115.9
52.3%
Effective FG%
50.7%
49.9%
Opp. effective FG%
56.1%
18.1%
Turnover %
17.6%
27.4%
Off. rebound %
33.1%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.34
35.7%
3-point %
33.6%
58.3%
Assist %
59.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence102.4 · 108.7Defence103.2 · 115.9Shooting52.3% · 50.7%3-point %35.7% · 33.6%Ball care18.1% · 17.6%Off. rebounds27.4% · 33.1%Free throws0.28 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ Brescia   ■ Torino
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Brescia wins
5
Torino wins
DateGameScore
18/02/18Torino v Brescia69-67
07/01/18Torino v Brescia95-86
30/04/17Brescia v Torino96-89
02/01/17Torino v Brescia86-91
24/05/15Torino v Brescia91-86 OT
22/05/15Torino v Brescia89-68
19/05/15Brescia v Torino74-85
17/05/15Brescia v Torino78-73
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/04/18ACremona86-88
22/04/18HOlimpia Milano88-85 OT
15/04/18AVenezia61-68
08/04/18ASassari80-76
04/04/18AReggiana75-71
31/03/18HCantu86-71
24/03/18ACapo d'Orlando88-78
18/03/18HVirtus Bologna66-70
05/03/18HBrindisi74-60
18/02/18ATorino67-69
Torinolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/04/18HTrento88-92
23/04/18AReggiana82-89
14/04/18HVirtus Bologna65-67
08/04/18AOlimpia Milano78-90
31/03/18HPistoia77-84
25/03/18ACantu90-93
18/03/18ACremona70-92
11/03/18HVenezia82-90
04/03/18HCapo d'Orlando92-89
18/02/18HBrescia69-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brescia
Lega A 2017-18
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL68%
HomeLWLWW71%
AwayWWWLL64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %68%71%64%
Points / game79.179.978.3
Allowed / game74.971.478.4
Point differential+4.2+8.5-0.1
Avg total154.0151.2156.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%50%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (12)50% (4)75% (8)
Overtime %7%7%7%
Torino
Lega A 2017-18
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL43%
HomeWLLLL50%
AwayWLLLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %43%50%36%
Points / game80.281.978.5
Allowed / game82.681.184.1
Point differential-2.4+0.8-5.6
Avg total162.8162.9162.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won64% (11)40% (5)83% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Venezia2822679%82.878.6+4.2
2 Olimpia Milano2821775%81.374.3+7.0
3 Brescia2819968%79.174.9+4.2
4 Avellino28181064%83.777.7+6.0
5 Trento28171161%80.876.6+4.2
6 Varese28151354%78.075.0+3.0
7 Virtus Bologna28151354%78.275.6+2.6
8 Cantu28151354%87.587.8-0.2
9 Sassari28141450%85.582.9+2.6
10 Cremona28141450%84.182.5+1.6
11 Reggiana28121643%76.678.1-1.5
12 Torino28121643%80.282.6-2.4
13 Pistoia2891932%75.180.8-5.7
14 Brindisi2882029%77.081.8-4.8
15 Pesaro2872125%76.984.3-7.5
16 Capo d'Orlando2862221%71.084.1-13.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Brescia212716191598
Torino112327221295
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