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Cremona vs Brescia Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Apr 2018
Tip-off: 18:45
Final 88-86
26-19 17-16 26-27 19-24
Position#10
Record13-14
FormWLLLW
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game82.4
Cremona 🏆
Italy
vs
Brescia
Italy
Position#3
Record19-8
FormWWWLW
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game74.4
ItalyLega ARound 28
Domestic2017-18
Meetings · Cremona v Brescia
15 Mar 2026
CRE78
BRE79
10 Nov 2024
CRE89
BRE100
20 Apr 2024
CRE84
BRE77
24 Apr 2022
CRE76
BRE88
25 Apr 2021
CRE89
BRE94
17 Apr 2020
CRE v BRE
upcoming
22 Dec 2018
CRE88
BRE91
28 Apr 2018
CRE88
BRE86
09 Apr 2017
CRE80
BRE86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cremona winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brescia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CremonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCremona
Date
Competition
Avellino
#5
W
89-82 OT
89
82
+7
no box
A15/02
Italian Cup
Torino
#1
L
87-92 OT
87
92
-5
no box
H17/02
Italian Cup
Pesaro
#15
W
92-79
92
79
+13
126avg 114
H04/03
Lega A
Sassari
#6
L
86-102
86
102
-16
no box
A11/03
Lega A
Torino
#12
W
92-70
92
70
+22
no box
H18/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#7
W
91-78
91
78
+13
no box
H31/03
Lega A
Avellino
#4
L
72-95
72
95
-23
96avg 114
A08/04
Lega A
Trento
#5
L
89-96
89
96
-7
113avg 114
H15/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#11
L
84-91
84
91
-7
109avg 114
A18/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#14
W
99-72
99
72
+27
123avg 114
A22/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-22
14-18
19-13
23-21
22-12
18-28
21-15
19-25
33-26
21-15
20-18
18-20
21-23
19-27
30-19
16-33
24-17
23-18
22-18
23-17
23-18
14-17
28-19
26-24
15-26
24-27
16-24
17-18
22-22
17-27
20-27
30-20
22-27
20-18
21-22
21-24
23-26
21-18
32-11
23-17
173.8Avg total
88.1Scored
85.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)84.082.4166.4+1.648%
Season at home (13)86.980.1167.0+6.869%
Season away (14)81.384.6165.9-3.329%
Last 10 (10)88.185.7173.8+2.450%
Last 5 (5)87.086.4173.4+0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)78.485.0163.4-6.614%
vs Similar ◀ (15)86.284.9171.1+1.347%
vs Weaker (7)87.777.1164.9+10.686%
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BresciaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrescia
Date
Competition
Cantu
#3
W
87-82 OT
87
82
+5
no box
A17/02
Italian Cup
Torino
#1
L
67-69
67
69
-2
no box
A18/02
Italian Cup
Brindisi
#14
W
74-60
74
60
+14
108avg 108
H05/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#7
L
66-70
66
70
-4
94avg 108
H18/03
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#16
W
88-78
88
78
+10
121avg 108
A24/03
Lega A
Cantu
#9
W
86-71
86
71
+15
120avg 108
H31/03
Lega A
Reggiana
#11
W
75-71
75
71
+4
99avg 108
A04/04
Lega A
Sassari
#6
W
80-76
80
76
+4
106avg 108
A08/04
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
61-68
61
68
-7
83avg 108
A15/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
88-85 OT
88
85
+3
no box
H22/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-18
23-21
20-17
13-20
14-11
17-17
25-25
11-16
15-12
20-17
19-20
20-11
24-23
17-18
10-18
15-11
17-26
28-21
17-14
26-17
25-27
20-14
18-11
23-19
21-12
21-16
13-22
20-21
26-26
18-17
20-20
16-13
15-21
12-15
14-23
20-9
24-18
24-27
16-15
11-15
150.2Avg total
77.2Scored
73.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)78.874.4153.2+4.470%
Season at home (14)79.971.4151.2+8.571%
Season away (13)77.777.7155.4+0.069%
Last 10 (10)77.273.0150.2+4.270%
Last 5 (5)78.074.2152.2+3.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)79.579.5159.0+0.050%
vs Similar ◀ (15)76.376.0152.3+0.353%
vs Weaker (12)81.571.8153.2+9.892%
This opponent (Cremona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: +4.3+4.3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +2.3+2.3
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: +4.3+4.3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +2.3+2.3
CremonaBrescia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CremonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Avellino
#5
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A15/02
Italian Cup
Torino
#1
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H17/02
Italian Cup
Pesaro
#15
W
54-41
54
41
+13
H04/03
Lega A
Sassari
#6
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A11/03
Lega A
Torino
#12
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H18/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#7
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H31/03
Lega A
Avellino
#4
L
39-53
39
53
-14
A08/04
Lega A
Trento
#5
L
39-49
39
49
-10
H15/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#11
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A18/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#14
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A22/04
Lega A
84.6Avg total
41.4Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.142.084.1+0.140%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.539.984.5+4.667%-
Last 30 away (15)39.644.183.7-4.513%-
Last 10 (10)41.443.284.6-1.830%-
Last 5 (5)40.245.285.4-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)41.145.486.6-4.314%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)41.541.983.3-0.447%-
vs Weaker (7)45.739.184.9+6.657%-
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cantu
#3
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A17/02
Italian Cup
Torino
#1
W
31-28
31
28
+3
A18/02
Italian Cup
Brindisi
#14
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H05/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#7
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H18/03
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#16
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A24/03
Lega A
Cantu
#9
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H31/03
Lega A
Reggiana
#11
W
42-28
42
28
+14
A04/04
Lega A
Sassari
#6
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A08/04
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
27-36
27
36
-9
A15/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H22/04
Lega A
77.8Avg total
40.1Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.738.379.1+2.467%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.936.278.1+5.773%-
Last 30 away (15)39.540.580.0-0.960%-
Last 10 (10)40.137.777.8+2.470%-
Last 5 (5)41.238.679.8+2.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)41.545.086.5-3.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)38.938.176.9+0.867%-
vs Weaker (12)42.537.780.2+4.867%-
This opponent (Cremona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cremonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cremona: 84.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.719.2
49.6%
51.6%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.910.6
36.7%
34.9%31.8
🏀 Free throws16.514.1
85.5%
73.0%14.1
They take 67.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 75.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.220.0
52.4%
51.6%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.77.8
34.4%
34.9%23.4
🏀 Free throws18.711.6
62.0%
73.0%11.6
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Apr 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cremona
WLLLWWLWLW
Brescia
WLWWWWLWLW
#10
League position
#3
+1.2
Net rating
+2.5
107.9
Offensive rating
103.1
106.7
Defensive rating
100.7
51.9%
Effective FG%
52.1%
53.6%
Opp. effective FG%
49.1%
16.3%
Turnover %
17.2%
26.1%
Off. rebound %
27.5%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.31
36.7%
3-point %
34.4%
51.3%
Assist %
57.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence107.9 · 103.1Defence106.7 · 100.7Shooting51.9% · 52.1%3-point %36.7% · 34.4%Ball care16.3% · 17.2%Off. rebounds26.1% · 27.5%Free throws0.24 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Cremona   ■ Brescia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Cremona wins
2
Brescia wins
DateGameScore
02/01/18Brescia v Cremona67-80
09/04/17Cremona v Brescia80-86
11/12/16Brescia v Cremona95-66
Cremonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/04/18ABrindisi99-72
18/04/18AReggiana84-91
15/04/18HTrento89-96
08/04/18AAvellino72-95
31/03/18HVirtus Bologna91-78
18/03/18HTorino92-70
11/03/18ASassari86-102
04/03/18HPesaro92-79
17/02/18HTorino87-92 OT
15/02/18AAvellino89-82 OT
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/04/18HOlimpia Milano88-85 OT
15/04/18AVenezia61-68
08/04/18ASassari80-76
04/04/18AReggiana75-71
31/03/18HCantu86-71
24/03/18ACapo d'Orlando88-78
18/03/18HVirtus Bologna66-70
05/03/18HBrindisi74-60
18/02/18ATorino67-69
17/02/18ACantu87-82 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cremona
Lega A 2017-18
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW48%
HomeLWWWL69%
AwayLLLLW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %48%69%29%
Points / game84.086.981.3
Allowed / game82.480.184.6
Point differential+1.6+6.8-3.3
Avg total166.4167.0165.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%46%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Brescia
Lega A 2017-18
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW70%
HomeLWLWW71%
AwayLWWWL69%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %70%71%69%
Points / game78.879.977.7
Allowed / game74.471.477.7
Point differential+4.4+8.5+0.0
Avg total153.2151.2155.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won73% (11)50% (4)86% (7)
Overtime %7%7%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano2721678%81.774.3+7.4
2 Venezia2721678%82.078.4+3.6
3 Brescia2719870%78.874.4+4.4
4 Avellino2718967%84.377.6+6.7
5 Trento27161159%80.476.2+4.2
6 Varese27141352%78.375.4+2.9
7 Virtus Bologna27141352%78.476.2+2.2
8 Cantu27141352%87.488.1-0.7
9 Sassari27131448%85.783.4+2.2
10 Cremona27131448%84.082.4+1.6
11 Reggiana27121544%76.677.7-1.1
12 Torino27121544%79.982.3-2.4
13 Pistoia2791833%75.681.1-5.4
14 Brindisi2781930%77.582.3-4.8
15 Pesaro2762122%76.984.9-7.9
16 Capo d'Orlando2762122%70.483.4-12.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cremona2617261988
Brescia1916272486
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