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Brescia vs Torino Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 25 Nov 2018
Tip-off: 20:15
Final 83-76
28-22 22-13 17-23 16-18
Position#12
Record2-5
FormWLLLW
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game79.4
Brescia 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#13
Record2-5
FormLLLLL
Points / game79.6
Allowed / game82.6
ItalyLega ARound 8
Domestic2018-19
Meetings · Brescia v Torino
25 Nov 2018
BRE83
TOR76
06 May 2018
BRE98
TOR95
30 Apr 2017
BRE96
TOR89
19 May 2015
BRE74
TOR85
17 May 2015
BRE78
TOR73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brescia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Torino winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BresciaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trieste
#10
L
86-90
86
90
-4
A21/10
Lega A
Crvena zvezda
#9
W
69-61
69
61
+8
H24/10
Eurocup
Avellino
#9
L
74-77
74
77
-3
H27/10
Lega A
Ulm
#10
L
82-83
82
83
-1
A30/10
Eurocup
Pesaro
#15
W
84-81
84
81
+3
H04/11
Lega A
Monaco
#8
W
86-80
86
80
+6
A07/11
Eurocup
Trento
#6
L
75-76
75
76
-1
A10/11
Lega A
MoraBanc Andorra
#7
L
73-79
73
79
-6
H14/11
Eurocup
Brindisi
#5
L
65-72
65
72
-7
A18/11
Lega A
Galatasaray
#20
W
88-65
88
65
+23
H21/11
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-24
25-18
20-27
22-21
15-31
24-7
17-12
13-11
20-13
19-21
15-21
20-22
29-24
16-16
18-27
19-16
17-27
33-17
15-19
19-18
19-26
20-24
21-16
26-14
22-19
17-19
19-18
17-20
19-16
19-24
9-22
26-17
20-14
12-21
16-27
17-10
26-18
22-22
18-5
22-20
154.6Avg total
78.2Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)78.179.4157.6-1.329%
Season at home (3)80.379.0159.3+1.367%
Season away (4)76.579.8156.2-3.20%
Last 10 (10)78.276.4154.6+1.840%
Last 5 (5)77.474.4151.8+3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)78.582.8161.2-4.331%
vs Similar ◀ (12)75.273.8148.9+1.450%
vs Weaker (4)85.584.2169.8+1.275%
This opponent (Torino) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TorinoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#14
W
98-85
98
85
+13
A21/10
Lega A
Rytas
#11
L
79-86
79
86
-7
A24/10
Eurocup
Sassari
#4
L
82-96
82
96
-14
A28/10
Lega A
Unicaja
#6
L
104-105
104
105
-1
H31/10
Eurocup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
71-93
71
93
-22
H04/11
Lega A
Frankfurt
#16
L
75-85
75
85
-10
H06/11
Eurocup
Brindisi
#5
L
66-72
66
72
-6
H11/11
Lega A
Mornar Bar
#22
L
83-86
83
86
-3
A14/11
Eurocup
Virtus Bologna
#11
L
79-82
79
82
-3
A18/11
Lega A
Unics Kazan
#2
L
72-82
72
82
-10
H21/11
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-19
26-24
21-17
27-25
12-22
22-22
19-16
26-26
18-27
24-22
15-23
25-24
24-33
24-29
27-26
29-17
17-16
19-27
21-14
14-36
21-24
15-25
19-23
20-13
13-13
18-19
20-20
15-20
21-20
19-25
20-20
23-21
15-26
27-18
16-17
21-21
20-14
17-16
8-27
27-25
168.1Avg total
80.9Scored
87.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)79.682.6162.1-3.029%
Season at home (3)74.379.7154.0-5.333%
Season away (4)83.584.8168.2-1.225%
Last 10 (10)80.987.2168.1-6.310%
Last 5 (5)75.081.4156.4-6.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)80.286.1166.4-5.912%
vs Similar ◀ (9)80.685.0165.6-4.422%
vs Weaker (4)86.886.5173.2+0.250%
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: -0.1-0.1
BresciaTorino
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trieste
#10
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A21/10
Lega A
Crvena zvezda
#9
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H24/10
Eurocup
Avellino
#9
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H27/10
Lega A
Ulm
#10
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A30/10
Eurocup
Pesaro
#15
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H04/11
Lega A
Monaco
#8
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A07/11
Eurocup
Trento
#6
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A10/11
Lega A
MoraBanc Andorra
#7
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H14/11
Eurocup
Brindisi
#5
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A18/11
Lega A
Galatasaray
#20
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H21/11
Eurocup
81.4Avg total
41.3Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.140.179.2-1.050%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.539.680.2+0.962%-
Last 30 away (17)38.040.578.5-2.541%-
Last 10 (10)41.340.181.4+1.270%-
Last 5 (5)39.240.679.8-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)39.843.283.1-3.446%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)36.837.874.6-1.150%-
vs Weaker (4)46.038.084.0+8.075%-
This opponent (Torino) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TorinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#14
W
50-43
50
43
+7
A21/10
Lega A
Rytas
#11
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A24/10
Eurocup
Sassari
#4
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A28/10
Lega A
Unicaja
#6
L
48-62
48
62
-14
H31/10
Eurocup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H04/11
Lega A
Frankfurt
#16
L
36-49
36
49
-13
H06/11
Eurocup
Brindisi
#5
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H11/11
Lega A
Mornar Bar
#22
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A14/11
Eurocup
Virtus Bologna
#11
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A18/11
Lega A
Unics Kazan
#2
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H21/11
Eurocup
83.7Avg total
39.6Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.942.580.4-4.627%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.141.778.8-4.631%-
Last 30 away (14)38.843.482.1-4.621%-
Last 10 (10)39.644.183.7-4.520%-
Last 5 (5)37.240.077.2-2.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)36.642.579.1-5.919%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)37.841.679.3-3.833%-
vs Weaker (4)42.847.590.2-4.825%-
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 77.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.818.3
48.4%
51.0%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.89.4
37.9%
35.1%28.2
🏀 Free throws18.113.1
72.4%
72.3%13.1
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Torinotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Torino: 79.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.820.6
50.5%
51.0%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.67.5
36.4%
35.1%22.5
🏀 Free throws20.716.2
78.3%
72.3%16.2
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Nov 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brescia
WLLLWWLLWL
Torino
LLLLLLLLLW
#12
League position
#13
+2.7
Net rating
-8.6
104.0
Offensive rating
106.1
101.3
Defensive rating
114.7
51.8%
Effective FG%
51.9%
49.8%
Opp. effective FG%
55.7%
18.1%
Turnover %
15.9%
31.6%
Off. rebound %
22.1%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.34
37.9%
3-point %
36.4%
58.1%
Assist %
52.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence104.0 · 106.1Defence101.3 · 114.7Shooting51.8% · 51.9%3-point %37.9% · 36.4%Ball care18.1% · 15.9%Off. rebounds31.6% · 22.1%Free throws0.29 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)40% · 10%
■ Brescia   ■ Torino
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Brescia wins
5
Torino wins
DateGameScore
06/05/18Brescia v Torino98-95 OT
18/02/18Torino v Brescia69-67
07/01/18Torino v Brescia95-86
30/04/17Brescia v Torino96-89
02/01/17Torino v Brescia86-91
24/05/15Torino v Brescia91-86 OT
22/05/15Torino v Brescia89-68
19/05/15Brescia v Torino74-85
17/05/15Brescia v Torino78-73
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/11/18HGalatasaray88-65
18/11/18ABrindisi65-72
14/11/18HMoraBanc Andorra73-79
10/11/18ATrento75-76
07/11/18AMonaco86-80
04/11/18HPesaro84-81
30/10/18AUlm82-83
27/10/18HAvellino74-77
24/10/18HCrvena zvezda69-61
21/10/18ATrieste86-90
Torinolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/11/18HUnics Kazan72-82
18/11/18AVirtus Bologna79-82
14/11/18AMornar Bar83-86
11/11/18HBrindisi66-72
06/11/18HFrankfurt75-85
04/11/18HOlimpia Milano71-93
31/10/18HUnicaja104-105
28/10/18ASassari82-96
24/10/18ARytas79-86
21/10/18AReggiana98-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brescia
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL29%
HomeWLW67%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %29%67%0%
Points / game78.180.376.5
Allowed / game79.479.079.8
Point differential-1.3+1.3-3.2
Avg total157.6159.3156.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)67% (3)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Torino
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL29%
HomeWLL33%
AwayLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %29%33%25%
Points / game79.674.383.5
Allowed / game82.679.784.8
Point differential-3.0-5.3-1.2
Avg total162.1154.0168.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%33%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %14%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano880100%93.579.8+13.8
2 Venezia87188%87.170.1+17.0
3 Avellino85362%85.881.2+4.5
4 Cremona85362%85.681.6+4.0
5 Brindisi85362%80.176.9+3.2
6 Varese85362%78.275.6+2.6
7 Trieste84450%84.885.0-0.2
8 Virtus Bologna84450%83.286.6-3.4
9 Pesaro84450%82.986.6-3.8
10 Sassari83538%83.482.6+0.8
11 Cantu83538%83.987.8-3.9
12 Brescia72529%78.179.4-1.3
13 Torino72529%79.682.6-3.0
14 Reggiana82625%81.287.8-6.5
15 Trento82625%76.688.0-11.4
16 Pistoia82625%81.594.5-13.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brescia2822171683
Torino2213231876
← all games of the day
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