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Brindisi vs Avellino Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 05 Jan 2019
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 68-70
15-16 24-20 14-17 15-17
Position#5
Record7-6
FormLLWLW
Points / game79.1
Allowed / game76.8
Brindisi
Italy
vs
Avellino 🏆
Italy
Position#9
Record9-4
FormLWWWW
Points / game84.5
Allowed / game83.0
ItalyLega ARound 14
Domestic2018-19
Meetings · Brindisi v Avellino
05 Jan 2019
BRI68
AVE70
05 Nov 2017
BRI92
AVE88
26 Mar 2017
BRI94
AVE74
14 Mar 2016
BRI82
AVE89
27 Apr 2015
BRI81
AVE67
19 Apr 2014
BRI75
AVE73
24 Mar 2013
BRI72
AVE76
15 May 2011
BRI68
AVE112
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brindisi winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Avellino winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BrindisiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#16
W
90-74
90
74
+16
A28/10
Lega A
Cantu
#8
W
76-59
76
59
+17
H04/11
Lega A
Torino
#13
W
72-66
72
66
+6
A11/11
Lega A
Brescia
#12
W
72-65
72
65
+7
H18/11
Lega A
Varese
#7
L
67-85
67
85
-18
A25/11
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
L
67-75
67
75
-8
H09/12
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
59-70
59
70
-11
A16/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#11
W
89-81
89
81
+8
H22/12
Lega A
Cremona
#3
L
80-86
80
86
-6
H26/12
Lega A
Trieste
#10
W
92-71
92
71
+21
A30/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-16
21-22
12-19
29-17
22-5
21-28
23-10
10-16
13-13
19-18
20-20
20-15
14-20
21-12
27-16
10-17
12-24
23-18
16-27
16-16
15-17
16-17
16-17
20-24
12-22
19-10
20-18
8-20
29-13
14-27
25-16
21-25
16-31
18-15
26-18
20-22
16-27
31-10
26-17
19-17
149.6Avg total
76.4Scored
73.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)79.176.8155.8+2.354%
Season at home (7)79.475.6155.0+3.957%
Season away (6)78.778.2156.8+0.550%
Last 10 (10)76.473.2149.6+3.260%
Last 5 (5)77.476.6154.0+0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)74.585.5160.1-11.09%
vs Similar ◀ (14)81.978.1159.9+3.864%
vs Weaker (5)78.272.6150.8+5.660%
This opponent (Avellino) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AvellinoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#14
W
91-75
91
75
+16
A18/11
Lega A
Ventspils
#32
L
74-88
74
88
-14
H21/11
Champions League
Venezia
#2
L
49-79
49
79
-30
H25/11
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
82-81
82
81
+1
H09/12
Lega A
Nizhny Novgorod
#18
L
71-92
71
92
-21
H12/12
Champions League
Trieste
#10
L
64-110
64
110
-46
A16/12
Lega A
Ludwigsburg
#43
W
82-76
82
76
+6
H19/12
Champions League
Sassari
#4
W
86-78
86
78
+8
H23/12
Lega A
Torino
#13
W
96-79
96
79
+17
A26/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
85-81
85
81
+4
H30/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-12
17-10
22-23
18-30
22-18
19-28
26-19
7-23
14-20
11-23
6-16
18-20
25-25
21-24
24-16
12-16
16-24
14-19
24-30
17-19
21-33
11-21
20-30
12-26
22-11
21-17
21-28
18-20
24-22
23-18
20-18
19-20
23-30
19-16
24-14
30-19
24-20
18-21
21-17
22-23
161.9Avg total
78.0Scored
83.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)84.583.0167.5+1.569%
Season at home (7)85.781.1166.9+4.671%
Season away (6)83.285.2168.3-2.067%
Last 10 (10)78.083.9161.9-5.960%
Last 5 (5)82.684.8167.4-2.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)80.985.5166.4-4.650%
vs Similar ◀ (17)81.081.5162.5-0.553%
vs Weaker (5)89.477.6167.0+11.8100%
This opponent (Brindisi) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -4.3-4.3
BrindisiAvellino
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BrindisiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#16
W
49-38
49
38
+11
A28/10
Lega A
Cantu
#8
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H04/11
Lega A
Torino
#13
W
32-31
32
31
+1
A11/11
Lega A
Brescia
#12
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H18/11
Lega A
Varese
#7
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A25/11
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H09/12
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A16/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#11
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H22/12
Lega A
Cremona
#3
L
34-46
34
46
-12
H26/12
Lega A
Trieste
#10
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A30/12
Lega A
74.5Avg total
38.0Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.939.077.9-0.250%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.738.178.8+2.760%-
Last 30 away (15)37.040.077.0-3.040%-
Last 10 (10)38.036.574.5+1.560%-
Last 5 (5)37.237.875.0-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)36.540.476.9-3.836%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)41.139.980.9+1.250%-
vs Weaker (5)37.833.871.6+4.080%-
This opponent (Avellino) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AvellinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#14
W
51-22
51
22
+29
A18/11
Lega A
Ventspils
#32
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H21/11
Champions League
Venezia
#2
L
25-43
25
43
-18
H25/11
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H09/12
Lega A
Nizhny Novgorod
#18
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H12/12
Champions League
Trieste
#10
L
32-54
32
54
-22
A16/12
Lega A
Ludwigsburg
#43
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H19/12
Champions League
Sassari
#4
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H23/12
Lega A
Torino
#13
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A26/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H30/12
Lega A
81.1Avg total
39.9Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.340.381.6+1.047%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.441.885.1+1.656%-
Last 30 away (14)38.938.677.6+0.336%-
Last 10 (10)39.941.281.1-1.340%-
Last 5 (5)41.241.883.0-0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)40.042.282.2-2.250%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)40.640.981.5-0.341%-
vs Weaker (5)45.835.281.0+10.660%-
This opponent (Brindisi) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Brindisitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brindisi: 75.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.221.4
50.7%
51.0%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.16.8
29.4%
35.1%20.4
🏀 Free throws16.912.4
73.4%
72.3%12.4
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Avellinotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Avellino: 81.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.520.5
49.4%
51.0%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.89.3
37.5%
35.1%27.9
🏀 Free throws17.112.5
73.1%
72.3%12.5
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Jan 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brindisi
WLWLLLWWWW
Avellino
WWWWLLWLLW
#5
League position
#9
+4.0
Net rating
+1.7
101.4
Offensive rating
105.0
97.4
Defensive rating
103.3
48.4%
Effective FG%
52.0%
49.0%
Opp. effective FG%
47.0%
17.4%
Turnover %
15.7%
28.7%
Off. rebound %
23.5%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.26
29.4%
3-point %
37.5%
59.9%
Assist %
65.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence101.4 · 105.0Defence97.4 · 103.3Shooting48.4% · 52.0%3-point %29.4% · 37.5%Ball care17.4% · 15.7%Off. rebounds28.7% · 23.5%Free throws0.26 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Brindisi   ■ Avellino
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Brindisi wins
5
Avellino wins
DateGameScore
11/03/18Avellino v Brindisi89-71
05/11/17Brindisi v Avellino92-88 OT
26/03/17Brindisi v Avellino94-74
27/11/16Avellino v Brindisi76-73
14/03/16Brindisi v Avellino82-89
22/11/15Avellino v Brindisi83-81 OT
27/04/15Brindisi v Avellino81-67
29/12/14Avellino v Brindisi77-80
19/04/14Brindisi v Avellino75-73
26/12/13Avellino v Brindisi85-83
Brindisilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/18ATrieste92-71
26/12/18HCremona80-86
22/12/18HVirtus Bologna89-81
16/12/18AVenezia59-70
09/12/18HReggiana67-75
25/11/18AVarese67-85
18/11/18HBrescia72-65
11/11/18ATorino72-66
04/11/18HCantu76-59
28/10/18APistoia90-74
Avellinolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/18HOlimpia Milano85-81
26/12/18ATorino96-79
23/12/18HSassari86-78
19/12/18HLudwigsburg82-76
16/12/18ATrieste64-110
12/12/18HNizhny Novgorod71-92
09/12/18HPesaro82-81
25/11/18HVenezia49-79
21/11/18HVentspils74-88
18/11/18AReggiana91-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brindisi
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW54%
HomeWWLWL57%
AwayWWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %54%57%50%
Points / game79.179.478.7
Allowed / game76.875.678.2
Point differential+2.3+3.9+0.5
Avg total155.8155.0156.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%29%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Avellino
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW69%
HomeWLWWW71%
AwayWWWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %69%71%67%
Points / game84.585.783.2
Allowed / game83.081.185.2
Point differential+1.5+4.6-2.0
Avg total167.5166.9168.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%29%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano1312192%92.080.4+11.6
2 Venezia139469%82.370.9+11.4
3 Varese139469%78.772.8+5.8
4 Cremona139469%89.884.2+5.6
5 Avellino139469%84.583.0+1.5
6 Trieste137654%84.982.2+2.7
7 Brindisi137654%79.176.8+2.3
8 Sassari136746%88.282.5+5.7
9 Virtus Bologna136746%80.683.0-2.4
10 Trento136746%76.280.8-4.5
11 Brescia135838%78.379.8-1.5
12 Torino134931%79.384.5-5.2
13 Reggiana134931%77.582.8-5.3
14 Cantu134931%80.888.1-7.3
15 Pesaro134931%82.091.2-9.2
16 Pistoia1331023%78.890.1-11.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brindisi1524141568
Avellino1620171770
← all games of the day
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