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Brindisi vs Mestre Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 03 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 83-72
21-24 18-10 21-23 23-15
Position#9
Record9-4
FormWLWWW
Points / game78.6
Allowed / game71.2
vs
Position#15
Record6-7
FormLWLWW
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game81.2
ItalySerie A2Round 14· PalaPentassuglia
Other2025-26
Meetings · Brindisi v Mestre
16 Jan 2027
BRI v MEST
upcoming
03 Dec 2025
BRI83
MEST72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brindisi winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mestre winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BrindisiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrindisi
Date
Competition
Scafati
#1
W
77-73
77
73
+4
73avg 70
H08/10
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
W
82-59
82
59
+23
82avg 70
A12/10
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
W
80-79 OT
80
79
+1
68avg 70
A18/10
Serie A2
Forli
#17
L
79-84
79
84
-5
69avg 70
H25/10
Serie A2
Verona
#2
L
71-85
71
85
-14
58avg 70
A28/10
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
79-70
79
70
+9
76avg 70
H02/11
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
66-77
66
77
-11
53avg 70
A08/11
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
85-78
85
78
+7
83avg 70
H12/11
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
W
72-66
72
66
+6
63avg 70
A16/11
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
90-69
90
69
+21
84avg 70
H22/11
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-20
20-23
19-10
12-20
21-20
20-16
25-11
16-12
19-14
22-23
10-15
19-18
14-19
18-15
17-14
30-36
18-23
16-24
19-16
18-22
28-19
17-20
15-17
19-14
16-23
14-10
19-24
17-20
17-17
26-24
20-16
22-21
17-10
22-12
16-16
17-28
27-22
18-19
22-12
23-16
152.1Avg total
78.1Scored
74.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)78.671.2149.8+7.569%
Season at home (6)82.572.3154.8+10.283%
Season away (7)75.370.1145.4+5.157%
Last 10 (10)78.174.0152.1+4.170%
Last 5 (5)78.472.0150.4+6.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)84.079.0163.0+5.0100%
vs Similar (21)73.974.8148.6-0.948%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)83.671.8155.4+11.975%
This opponent (Mestre) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MestreItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMestre
Date
Competition
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
W
79-71
79
71
+8
69avg 66
A08/10
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
73-92
73
92
-19
61avg 66
H12/10
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
L
84-90
84
90
-6
76avg 66
A19/10
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
78-79
78
79
-1
69avg 66
H25/10
Serie A2
Forli
#17
L
80-85
80
85
-5
68avg 66
A29/10
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
L
94-102
94
102
-8
87avg 66
H01/11
Serie A2
Pistoia
#19
W
89-74
89
74
+15
80avg 66
A09/11
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
58-81
58
81
-23
42avg 66
H12/11
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
W
79-75
79
75
+4
73avg 66
A16/11
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
W
75-70
75
70
+5
67avg 66
H22/11
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-14
23-15
24-22
21-20
16-33
17-19
28-24
12-16
23-28
28-21
24-16
9-25
23-24
14-18
25-19
16-18
19-25
27-26
19-19
15-15
21-19
28-26
27-33
18-24
21-23
22-23
19-15
27-13
13-20
13-22
22-18
10-21
22-26
22-13
19-15
16-21
15-19
22-14
18-14
20-23
160.8Avg total
78.9Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)79.281.2160.4-2.146%
Season at home (7)79.683.6163.1-4.043%
Season away (6)78.778.5157.2+0.250%
Last 10 (10)78.981.9160.8-3.040%
Last 5 (5)79.080.4159.4-1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)75.385.0160.3-9.714%
vs Similar (5)84.678.0162.6+6.680%
vs Weaker (1)79.071.0150.0+8.0100%
This opponent (Brindisi) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: -4.7-4.7Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: -3.2-3.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: -4.7-4.7Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: -3.2-3.2
BrindisiMestre
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BrindisiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Scafati
#1
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H08/10
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A12/10
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A18/10
Serie A2
Forli
#17
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H25/10
Serie A2
Verona
#2
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A28/10
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H02/11
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A08/11
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H12/11
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
W
39-22
39
22
+17
A16/11
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H22/11
Serie A2
76.9Avg total
39.6Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.237.674.8-0.453%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.737.875.5-0.157%-
Last 30 away (16)36.837.474.2-0.650%-
Last 10 (10)39.637.376.9+2.370%-
Last 5 (5)40.435.275.6+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)34.031.065.0+3.0100%-
vs Similar (21)35.838.674.4-2.843%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)41.435.977.2+5.575%-
This opponent (Mestre) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MestreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A08/10
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
33-52
33
52
-19
H12/10
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
W
51-49
51
49
+2
A19/10
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H25/10
Serie A2
Forli
#17
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A29/10
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H01/11
Serie A2
Pistoia
#19
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A09/11
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
26-42
26
42
-16
H12/11
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A16/11
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H22/11
Serie A2
82.8Avg total
40.0Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (13)40.542.983.5-2.446%-
Last 30 at home (7)39.143.983.0-4.743%-
Last 30 away (6)42.241.884.0+0.350%-
Last 10 (10)40.042.882.8-2.850%-
Last 5 (5)39.841.080.8-1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)39.343.783.0-4.443%-
vs Similar (5)43.644.688.2-1.040%-
vs Weaker (1)34.029.063.0+5.0100%-
This opponent (Brindisi) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Brindisitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brindisi: 78.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.817.3
48.3%
50.8%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.010.2
39.2%
34.6%30.6
🏀 Free throws18.112.9
71.3%
74.4%12.9
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mestretheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mestre: 78.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.219.0
48.5%
50.8%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.09.2
38.3%
34.6%27.6
🏀 Free throws16.812.7
75.6%
74.4%12.7
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brindisi
WWWLWLLWWW
Mestre
WWLWLLLLLW
#9
League position
#15
+5.1
Net rating
-3.5
109.9
Offensive rating
106.9
104.9
Defensive rating
110.4
52.8%
Effective FG%
51.9%
51.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.8%
16.2%
Turnover %
15.3%
28.2%
Off. rebound %
23.5%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.27
39.2%
3-point %
38.3%
59.3%
Assist %
45.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence109.9 · 106.9Defence104.9 · 110.4Shooting52.8% · 51.9%3-point %39.2% · 38.3%Ball care16.2% · 15.3%Off. rebounds28.2% · 23.5%Free throws0.29 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Brindisi   ■ Mestre
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Brindisi wins
0
Mestre wins
No previous meetings.
Brindisilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/25HCento90-69
16/11/25ABasket Torino72-66
12/11/25HRimini85-78
08/11/25AFortitudo Bologna66-77
02/11/25HCividale79-70
28/10/25AVerona71-85
25/10/25HForli79-84
18/10/25AUrania Milano80-79 OT
12/10/25AAvellino Basket82-59
08/10/25HScafati77-73
Mestrelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/25HJuVi Cremona75-70
16/11/25AAvellino Basket79-75
12/11/25HFortitudo Bologna58-81
09/11/25APistoia89-74
01/11/25HSebastiani Rieti94-102
29/10/25AForli80-85
25/10/25HCividale78-79
19/10/25APesaro84-90
12/10/25HRimini73-92
08/10/25ARuvo Di Puglia79-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brindisi
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW69%
HomeWLWWW83%
AwayWWLLW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %69%83%57%
Points / game78.682.575.3
Allowed / game71.272.370.1
Point differential+7.5+10.2+5.1
Avg total149.8154.8145.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%33%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %8%0%14%
Mestre
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW46%
HomeLLLLW43%
AwayWLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %46%43%50%
Points / game79.279.678.7
Allowed / game81.283.678.5
Point differential-2.1-4.0+0.2
Avg total160.4163.1157.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%14%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Pesaro1511473%83.278.3+4.9
2 Brindisi139469%78.671.2+7.5
3 Fortitudo Bologna139469%78.872.2+6.5
4 Libertas Livorno1510567%78.972.9+6.0
5 Verona1510567%77.673.1+4.5
6 Sebastiani Rieti149564%81.677.6+4.0
7 Cividale138562%77.775.2+2.5
8 Rimini148657%81.677.5+4.1
9 Avellino Basket148657%79.476.4+3.0
10 Scafati158753%82.379.3+3.0
11 Cento157847%78.078.6-0.6
12 Basket Torino157847%73.074.3-1.3
13 Blu Basket Bergamo136746%82.782.8-0.1
14 Mestre136746%79.281.2-2.1
15 Pistoia156940%79.381.7-2.5
16 Forli1551033%75.380.8-5.5
17 JuVi Cremona1551033%73.080.6-7.6
18 Urania Milano1441029%77.684.6-7.0
19 Ruvo Di Puglia1541127%74.985.6-10.7
20 Roseto1531220%80.186.6-6.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brindisi2118212383
Mestre2410231572
← all games of the day
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