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Forli vs Sebastiani Rieti Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 82-86 (OT)
18-22 14-13 22-15 18-22 10-14
Position#17
Record7-14
FormLLLLW
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game80.3
vs
Position#10
Record12-9
FormWLWLW
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game76.9
ItalySerie A2Round 22
Other2025-26
Meetings · Forli v Sebastiani Rieti
18 Oct 2026
FORL93
SEBA71
17 Jan 2026
FORL82
SEBA86
05 Jan 2025
FORL64
SEBA65
11 Feb 2024
FORL83
SEBA73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Forli winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sebastiani Rieti winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ForliItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormForli
Date
Competition
Verona
#2
L
74-85
74
85
-11
63avg 69
H16/11
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
72-81
72
81
-9
61avg 69
A23/11
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
L
88-91
88
91
-3
81avg 69
H26/11
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
L
82-88
82
88
-6
79avg 69
A30/11
Serie A2
Pistoia
#19
W
85-72
85
72
+13
80avg 69
H08/12
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
L
79-90
79
90
-11
64avg 69
A14/12
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
77-86
77
86
-9
66avg 69
H21/12
Serie A2
Blu Basket Bergamo
#11
L
79-93
79
93
-14
76avg 69
A28/12
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
L
69-79
69
79
-10
61avg 69
H04/01
Serie A2
Mestre
#15
W
83-55
83
55
+28
82avg 69
A10/01
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-21
22-22
17-24
18-18
15-19
20-23
21-15
16-24
24-24
20-23
17-24
27-20
19-26
26-22
13-15
24-25
19-27
29-18
21-19
16-8
11-23
23-18
21-22
24-27
19-18
22-21
22-20
14-27
22-26
22-24
17-27
18-16
18-18
28-23
14-19
9-19
18-22
21-9
30-13
14-11
160.8Avg total
78.8Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)76.280.3156.6-4.133%
Season at home (10)78.480.2158.6-1.840%
Season away (11)74.380.5154.7-6.227%
Last 10 (10)78.882.0160.8-3.220%
Last 5 (5)77.480.6158.0-3.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)73.183.3156.4-10.114%
vs Similar (16)80.677.2157.8+3.356%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Sebastiani Rieti) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sebastiani RietiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRieti
Date
Competition
JuVi Cremona
#12
W
76-74
76
74
+2
65avg 72
A16/11
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
W
94-76
94
76
+18
96avg 72
H22/11
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
L
79-95
79
95
-16
72avg 72
A26/11
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
L
72-82
72
82
-10
65avg 72
A07/12
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
L
64-75
64
75
-11
58avg 72
H14/12
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
W
87-76
87
76
+11
88avg 72
H17/12
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
L
73-91
73
91
-18
60avg 72
A21/12
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
W
68-62
68
62
+6
57avg 72
H28/12
Serie A2
Cento
#18
L
82-89
82
89
-7
73avg 72
A04/01
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
82-54
82
54
+28
79avg 72
H09/01
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-20
18-20
19-15
19-19
27-16
18-21
26-24
23-15
27-21
14-26
21-26
17-22
17-19
23-20
22-18
10-25
16-20
14-22
13-18
21-15
23-20
21-19
19-22
24-15
13-18
19-25
19-25
22-23
20-20
15-13
15-16
18-13
20-26
17-13
28-29
17-21
22-16
17-11
24-15
19-12
155.1Avg total
77.7Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)79.576.9156.4+2.657%
Season at home (11)78.272.4150.5+5.864%
Season away (10)81.081.9162.9-0.950%
Last 10 (10)77.777.4155.1+0.350%
Last 5 (5)78.474.4152.8+4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)73.281.2154.3-8.017%
vs Similar (17)74.373.6147.9+0.665%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)89.678.9168.4+10.771%
This opponent (Forli) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -4.2-4.2Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +1.0+1.0
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -4.2-4.2Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +1.0+1.0
ForliSebastiani Rieti
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ForliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Verona
#2
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H16/11
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A23/11
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H26/11
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A30/11
Serie A2
Pistoia
#19
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H08/12
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A14/12
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H21/12
Serie A2
Blu Basket Bergamo
#11
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A28/12
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H04/01
Serie A2
Mestre
#15
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A10/01
Serie A2
84.2Avg total
41.5Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.239.980.2+0.350%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.540.683.1+1.957%-
Last 30 away (16)38.239.377.6-1.144%-
Last 10 (10)41.542.784.2-1.240%-
Last 5 (5)40.840.481.2+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)37.339.676.9-2.436%-
vs Similar (16)42.840.283.0+2.662%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Sebastiani Rieti) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sebastiani RietiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
JuVi Cremona
#12
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A16/11
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H22/11
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A26/11
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A07/12
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H14/12
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H17/12
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A21/12
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H28/12
Serie A2
Cento
#18
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A04/01
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
39-27
39
27
+12
H09/01
Serie A2
76.7Avg total
38.1Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.938.476.3-0.547%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.135.671.7+0.560%-
Last 30 away (15)39.741.280.9-1.533%-
Last 10 (10)38.138.676.7-0.550%-
Last 5 (5)37.436.273.6+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)34.840.375.2-5.533%-
vs Similar (17)37.637.374.9+0.347%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)41.339.480.7+1.957%-
This opponent (Forli) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Forlitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Forli: 78.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.2 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.816.1
47.6%
50.8%32.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.310.7
39.2%
34.6%32.1
🏀 Free throws18.013.7
76.1%
74.4%13.7
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sebastiani Rietitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sebastiani Rieti: 76.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.420.1
52.3%
50.8%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.37.2
32.3%
34.6%21.6
🏀 Free throws19.614.9
76.0%
74.4%14.9
They take 60.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Forli
WLLLLWLLLL
Sebastiani Rieti
WLWLWLLLWW
#17
League position
#10
-4.4
Net rating
+0.1
107.9
Offensive rating
103.7
112.3
Defensive rating
103.5
52.6%
Effective FG%
50.9%
52.6%
Opp. effective FG%
50.7%
15.4%
Turnover %
16.9%
24.9%
Off. rebound %
26.0%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.32
39.2%
3-point %
32.3%
54.9%
Assist %
61.5%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence107.9 · 103.7Defence112.3 · 103.5Shooting52.6% · 50.9%3-point %39.2% · 32.3%Ball care15.4% · 16.9%Off. rebounds24.9% · 26.0%Free throws0.29 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ Forli   ■ Sebastiani Rieti
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Forli wins
3
Sebastiani Rieti wins
DateGameScore
05/10/25Sebastiani Rieti v Forli90-60
06/04/25Sebastiani Rieti v Forli79-68
05/01/25Forli v Sebastiani Rieti64-65
11/02/24Forli v Sebastiani Rieti83-73
Forlilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/26AMestre83-55
04/01/26HJuVi Cremona69-79
28/12/25ABlu Basket Bergamo79-93
21/12/25HRimini77-86
14/12/25AAvellino Basket79-90
08/12/25HPistoia85-72
30/11/25ARoseto82-88
26/11/25HPesaro88-91
23/11/25AFortitudo Bologna72-81
16/11/25HVerona74-85
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/01/26HCividale82-54
04/01/26ACento82-89
28/12/25HFortitudo Bologna68-62
21/12/25APesaro73-91
17/12/25HBrindisi87-76
14/12/25HLibertas Livorno64-75
07/12/25ABasket Torino72-82
26/11/25AScafati79-95
22/11/25HUrania Milano94-76
16/11/25AJuVi Cremona76-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Forli
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW33%
HomeLLWLL40%
AwayLLLLW27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %33%40%27%
Points / game76.278.474.3
Allowed / game80.380.280.5
Point differential-4.1-1.8-6.2
Avg total156.6158.6154.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%30%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)33% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sebastiani Rieti
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW57%
HomeWLWWW64%
AwayWLLLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %57%64%50%
Points / game79.578.281.0
Allowed / game76.972.481.9
Point differential+2.6+5.8-0.9
Avg total156.4150.5162.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%45%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)-67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rimini2115671%82.375.0+7.3
2 Pesaro2115671%82.477.5+4.9
3 Brindisi2114767%76.571.6+4.9
4 Verona2114767%77.273.3+4.0
5 Libertas Livorno2113862%78.073.1+4.9
6 Scafati2113862%81.877.3+4.5
7 Cividale2113862%77.175.8+1.3
8 Avellino Basket2112957%81.278.2+3.0
9 Fortitudo Bologna2112957%75.172.4+2.7
10 Sebastiani Rieti2112957%79.576.9+2.6
11 Basket Torino21111052%74.072.9+1.1
12 Blu Basket Bergamo21101148%80.781.6-1.0
13 Cento2191243%78.480.6-2.2
14 Mestre2191243%77.080.5-3.6
15 JuVi Cremona2181338%74.078.9-4.8
16 Forli2171433%76.280.3-4.1
17 Urania Milano2171433%77.382.9-5.6
18 Pistoia2161529%78.583.0-4.5
19 Ruvo Di Puglia2161529%75.485.4-10.0
20 Roseto2141719%78.984.4-5.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Forli181422181082
Sebastiani Rieti221315221486
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