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Brindisi vs Trento Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 29 Mar 2020
Tip-off: 16:15
Postponed
Position#5
Record13-8
FormWWWLW
Points / game84.6
Allowed / game80.8
Brindisi
Italy
vs
Form · last 5 games
6.1/10
Above normal
4.8/10
Around normal
Trento
Italy
Position#8
Record11-10
FormWLWWW
Points / game77.9
Allowed / game79.3
ItalyLega ARound 28
Domestic2019-20
Meetings · Brindisi v Trento
17 Mar 2024
BRI89
TRE82
23 Apr 2023
BRI73
TRE86
13 Nov 2021
BRI78
TRE80
03 Jan 2021
BRI74
TRE73
29 Mar 2020
BRI v TRE
upcoming
12 May 2019
BRI76
TRE81
10 Dec 2017
BRI72
TRE77
02 Oct 2016
BRI69
TRE61
24 Oct 2015
BRI71
TRE81
01 Nov 2014
BRI82
TRE74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brindisi win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Trento win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BrindisiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrindisi
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
87-99
87
99
-12
75avg 80
A14/12
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
L
72-78
72
78
-6
57avg 80
A22/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
W
87-72
87
72
+15
no box
H26/12
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
81-74
81
74
+7
no box
H29/12
Lega A
Cremona
#6
L
89-93
89
93
-4
80avg 80
A05/01
Lega A
Cantu
#11
W
93-92 OT
93
92
+1
no box
A12/01
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
W
88-81 OT
88
81
+7
no box
H19/01
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
86-82
86
82
+4
76avg 80
A26/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
74-77
74
77
-3
no box
H01/02
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
103-77
103
77
+26
98avg 80
A09/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-22
23-32
22-23
22-22
14-20
18-20
22-21
18-17
24-13
22-25
20-18
21-16
17-20
21-17
26-16
17-21
21-27
19-25
21-18
28-23
24-21
23-22
20-29
17-12
20-15
12-20
23-23
21-18
22-15
18-26
22-25
24-16
16-14
18-18
15-24
25-21
16-18
29-17
33-28
25-14
168.5Avg total
86.0Scored
82.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)84.680.8165.3+3.862%
Season at home (10)84.277.1161.3+7.170%
Season away (11)84.984.1169.0+0.855%
Last 10 (10)86.082.5168.5+3.560%
Last 5 (5)88.881.8170.6+7.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)78.382.3160.7-4.033%
vs Similar (14)83.184.4167.5-1.450%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)85.177.2162.3+7.869%
This opponent (Trento) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrentoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrento
Date
Competition
Virtus Roma
#15
L
82-88
82
88
-6
57avg 81
H14/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
69-81
69
81
-12
55avg 81
A22/12
Lega A
Trieste
#14
W
80-53
80
53
+27
73avg 81
H26/12
Lega A
Varese
#10
W
86-81
86
81
+5
89avg 81
A29/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
77-83
77
83
-6
58avg 81
H05/01
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
74-71
74
71
+3
66avg 81
A12/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
L
81-103
81
103
-22
71avg 81
H18/01
Lega A
Sassari
#2
W
90-87
90
87
+3
89avg 81
A25/01
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
63-56
63
56
+7
57avg 81
H02/02
Lega A
Cantu
#11
W
79-71
79
71
+8
no box
H09/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-30
22-17
15-13
15-28
21-28
17-15
9-19
22-19
19-3
21-22
18-11
22-17
20-16
26-20
19-17
21-28
17-21
8-21
25-13
27-28
24-22
18-9
15-17
17-23
15-32
18-23
22-25
26-23
26-19
19-18
27-26
18-24
19-15
14-18
15-12
15-11
17-16
21-20
15-19
26-16
155.5Avg total
78.1Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)77.979.3157.1-1.452%
Season at home (11)77.875.6153.5+2.255%
Season away (10)77.983.3161.2-5.450%
Last 10 (10)78.177.4155.5+0.760%
Last 5 (5)77.477.6155.0-0.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)71.777.7149.5-6.027%
vs Similar (13)79.579.4158.9+0.262%
vs Weaker (6)84.779.7164.3+5.083%
This opponent (Brindisi) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: +3.8+3.8Q4: -0.8-0.8
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: +3.8+3.8Q4: -0.8-0.8
BrindisiTrento
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BrindisiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
43-54
43
54
-11
A14/12
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A22/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H26/12
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H29/12
Lega A
Cremona
#6
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A05/01
Lega A
Cantu
#11
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A12/01
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H19/01
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A26/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H01/02
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A09/02
Lega A
80.4Avg total
39.7Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.239.180.4+2.153%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.236.777.8+4.562%-
Last 30 away (17)41.341.082.3+0.347%-
Last 10 (10)39.740.780.4-1.050%-
Last 5 (5)39.637.276.8+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)39.343.382.7-4.00%-
vs Similar (14)41.740.081.7+1.757%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)41.237.278.4+3.962%-
This opponent (Trento) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrentoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Roma
#15
W
52-47
52
47
+5
H14/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A22/12
Lega A
Trieste
#14
W
40-25
40
25
+15
H26/12
Lega A
Varese
#10
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A29/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
25-42
25
42
-17
H05/01
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A12/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
L
33-55
33
55
-22
H18/01
Lega A
Sassari
#2
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A25/01
Lega A
Brescia
#3
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H02/02
Lega A
Cantu
#11
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H09/02
Lega A
77.7Avg total
39.2Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.739.076.8-1.347%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.940.177.9-2.253%-
Last 30 away (15)37.638.075.6-0.440%-
Last 10 (10)39.238.577.7+0.760%-
Last 5 (5)38.238.476.6-0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)33.938.572.4-4.527%-
vs Similar (13)38.840.279.0-1.546%-
vs Weaker (6)42.537.580.0+5.083%-
This opponent (Brindisi) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Brindisitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brindisi: 81.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.020.9
51.0%
52.0%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.88.4
33.9%
35.1%25.2
🏀 Free throws18.714.3
76.5%
73.6%14.3
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Trentotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trento: 77.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.4 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.721.5
48.1%
52.0%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.78.3
40.1%
35.1%24.9
🏀 Free throws13.69.4
69.1%
73.6%9.4
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Mar 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brindisi
WLWWWLWWLL
Trento
WWWLWLWWLL
#5
League position
#8
+0.9
Net rating
+1.6
116.6
Offensive rating
111.2
115.8
Defensive rating
109.7
50.9%
Effective FG%
51.9%
55.9%
Opp. effective FG%
50.8%
13.8%
Turnover %
16.1%
36.4%
Off. rebound %
33.6%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.21
33.9%
3-point %
40.1%
48.5%
Assist %
50.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence116.6 · 111.2Defence115.8 · 109.7Shooting50.9% · 51.9%3-point %33.9% · 40.1%Ball care13.8% · 16.1%Off. rebounds36.4% · 33.6%Free throws0.28 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Brindisi   ■ Trento
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Brindisi wins
7
Trento wins
DateGameScore
30/11/19Trento v Brindisi78-67
12/05/19Brindisi v Trento76-81
13/01/19Trento v Brindisi76-79
08/04/18Trento v Brindisi85-68
10/12/17Brindisi v Trento72-77
22/01/17Trento v Brindisi84-48
02/10/16Brindisi v Trento69-61
07/02/16Trento v Brindisi89-92
24/10/15Brindisi v Trento71-81
14/02/15Trento v Brindisi95-83
Brindisilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/20APesaro103-77
01/02/20HOlimpia Milano74-77
26/01/20ABrescia86-82
19/01/20HVirtus Roma88-81 OT
12/01/20ACantu93-92 OT
05/01/20ACremona89-93
29/12/19HTreviso81-74
26/12/19HReggiana87-72
22/12/19AFortitudo Bologna72-78
14/12/19AVirtus Bologna87-99
Trentolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/20HCantu79-71
02/02/20HBrescia63-56
25/01/20ASassari90-87
18/01/20HReggiana81-103
12/01/20APistoia74-71
05/01/20HVirtus Bologna77-83
29/12/19AVarese86-81
26/12/19HTrieste80-53
22/12/19AOlimpia Milano69-81
14/12/19HVirtus Roma82-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brindisi
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW62%
HomeLWWWL70%
AwayLLWWW55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %62%70%55%
Points / game84.684.284.9
Allowed / game80.877.184.1
Point differential+3.8+7.1+0.8
Avg total165.3161.3169.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%30%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)33% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %10%10%9%
Trento
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW52%
HomeWLLWW55%
AwayLLWWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %52%55%50%
Points / game77.977.877.9
Allowed / game79.375.683.3
Point differential-1.4+2.2-5.4
Avg total157.1153.5161.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%27%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)50% (2)100% (3)
Overtime %5%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna2018290%86.075.0+10.9
2 Sassari2116576%85.575.9+9.6
3 Brescia2114767%81.374.0+7.3
4 Olimpia Milano2114767%80.374.0+6.3
5 Brindisi2113862%84.680.8+3.8
6 Cremona2012860%81.380.8+0.5
7 Venezia21111052%78.075.3+2.7
8 Trento21111052%77.979.3-1.4
9 Fortitudo Bologna21111052%77.379.5-2.2
10 Varese1991047%82.680.1+2.5
11 Cantu2091145%76.779.0-2.4
12 Reggiana2191243%82.984.0-1.0
13 Treviso2181338%77.179.2-2.1
14 Trieste2271532%76.080.5-4.5
15 Virtus Roma2271532%78.585.5-7.0
16 Pistoia2271532%74.583.3-8.8
17 Pesaro201195%79.292.5-13.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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